Luton Town vs Lincoln City – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

17/01/2026 at 10:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))

Kenilworth Road (Luton).

League One - Round 27
Referee: Oldham S. (Eng)

Match Stats


Expected goals (xG)
1.86	0.98
Ball possession
56%	44%
Total shots
18	10
Shots on target
5	3
Big chances
4	2
Corner kicks
8	7
Passes
77% (308/402)	69% (217/316)
Yellow cards
1	5
Expected goals (xG)
1.86	0.98
xG on target (xGOT)
1.25	1.85
Total shots
18	10
Shots on target
5	3
Shots off target
6	3
Blocked shots
7	4
Shots inside the box
11	7
Shots outside the box
7	3
Hit the woodwork
0	0
Headed goals
1	1
Big chances
4	2
Corner kicks
8	7
Touches in opposition box
25	26
Accurate through passes
0	0
Offsides
0	3
Free kicks
21	14
Passes
77% (308/402)	69% (217/316)
Long passes
29% (18/62)	39% (35/89)
Passes in final third
56% (72/128)	52% (66/127)
Crosses
30% (6/20)	36% (8/22)
Expected assists (xA)
1.36	1.82
Throw ins
10	20
Fouls
14	21
Tackles
79% (11/14)	83% (10/12)
Duels won
69	57
Clearances
54	28
Interceptions
2	9
Errors leading to shot
0	0
Errors leading to goal
0	0
Goalkeeper saves
1	3
xGOT faced
1.85	1.25
Goals prevented
-0.15	-0.75

Key Moments

Here there are

1st Half (2 - 2)
11', 0 - 1, Draper F. ⚽, Moylan J. (A),
22', 0 - 2, Street R. ⚽, Hamer T. (A),
35', 1 - 2, Kodua G. ⚽, Walsh L. (A),
39', Street R. 🟨,
45+3', 2 - 2, Wells N. ⚽, Naismith K. (A),
45+6', Varfolomeev I. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 0)
46', Varfolomeev I. ↓, Jefferies D. ↑,
46', McGrandles C. 🟨,
49', Bramall C. 🟨,
60', Lawrence E. ↓, Morris S. ↑,
68', Moylan J. ↓, Ring E. ↑,
75', Jefferies D. 🟨,
77', Kodua G. ↓, Richards J. ↑,
86', Hackett-Fairchild R. ↓, Towler R. ↑,
89', Wells N. ↓, Yates J. ↑,
90+5', Draper F. 🟨,

Highlights

Chances of winning

Luton Town
38.4%

Draw
30.2%

Lincoln City
31.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

45.3%

28.6%

26.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

46.7%

29.5%

25.3%

Luton Town - Lincoln City Odds

	1	X	2	Marga
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.45 ↑ (2.06)	3.11 ↓ (3.26)	2.94 ↓ (3.58)	7.1% (7.2%)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

What is the prediction for Luton Town - Lincoln City?

High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 3 high ROI users predict this event. Luton (votes: 2 - 66.7%). Lincoln (votes: 1 - 33.3%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:

AH -1 - Luton (3.96) (votes: 2 - 100%) .

O/U 2.5 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Users Predictions: Luton Town will win (12 of 15 users predict this - 80%).
Confidence interval (95%): 59.76% – 100%.

Overall votes from High ROI Users Predictions (including all markets): 5 high ROI users predict this event. Luton (votes: 4 - 80%). Lincoln (votes: 1 - 20%).

The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.

Preview Facts

The most interesting match of the day — two teams from the very top of the table will face off (ranked 7 and 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Championship).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Luton won 2.
Luton has had mixed results lately (last 5 games: 3 wins).
Lincoln is on a winning streak and currently in very good shape (last 5 games: 4 wins).
Luton may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
Recently, Luton has had a series of home games.
In this match, both teams have almost equal chances to win.
There will not play in Luton: Adebayo E. (Knee Injury) Al Hamadi A. (Inactive) Baptiste S. (Knee Injury) Jones I. (Injury) Richards J. (Injury)
There will not play in Lincoln: Collins J. (Knee Injury) Honohan J. (Injury) House B. (Inactive) Jackson A. (Surgery) Thorn O. (Inactive)
There are questionable in Luton: Naismith K. (Inactive)
In the last 7 head-to-head matches, Luton won 4 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 13:8. (average 1.9:1.1).
Including home matches between the teams, Luton won 3 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 10:4. (average 3.3:1.3).

How many head-to-head matches has Luton Town won against Lincoln City?

Luton Town has won 0 of their last 1 head-to-head matches.

How many head-to-head matches has Lincoln City won against Luton Town?

Lincoln City has won 1 of their last 1 head-to-head matches.

What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?

The latest head-to-head matches between Luton Town - Lincoln City were as follows:

20.09.2025 Lincoln City - Luton Town 3:1

Latest results of Luton Town

13.01.2026 Luton Town - Swindon Town 1:2 ✺

10.01.2026 Luton Town - Stevenage Borough 2:1 ✺

04.01.2026 Doncaster Rovers - Luton Town Postponed ✺

01.01.2026 Exeter City - Luton Town 1:0 ✺

29.12.2025 Luton Town - Leyton Orient 3:0 ✺

Latest results of Lincoln City

04.01.2026 Lincoln City - Peterborough United 5:2 ✺

01.01.2026 Lincoln City - Huddersfield Town 1:1 ✺

29.12.2025 Barnsley - Lincoln City 0:2 ✺

26.12.2025 Stockport County - Lincoln City 1:2 ✺

20.12.2025 Lincoln City - Cardiff City 2:1 ✺

English League One Table

2025/26

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
1	Cardiff	29	18	6	5	52:29	23	60
2	Lincoln	29	17	7	5	48:29	19	58
3	Bolton	30	14	10	6	38:27	11	52
4	Stockport County	29	15	7	7	42:35	7	52
5	Bradford City	28	14	7	7	36:31	5	49
6	Huddersfield	30	14	6	10	51:40	11	48
7	Luton	29	12	6	11	38:34	4	42
8	Stevenage	28	11	9	8	30:27	3	42
9	Wycombe	29	10	10	9	36:31	5	40
10	Reading	28	10	10	8	39:35	4	40
11	Mansfield	27	10	8	9	36:30	6	38
12	Peterborough	29	12	2	15	37:39	-2	38
13	Exeter	28	11	4	13	33:30	3	37
14	Barnsley	26	10	7	9	42:43	-1	37
15	Plymouth	29	11	4	14	36:42	-6	37
16	AFC Wimbledon	28	10	5	13	29:36	-7	35
17	Doncaster	29	9	6	14	33:46	-13	33
18	Blackpool	29	9	5	15	35:42	-7	32
19	Leyton Orient	29	9	5	15	40:49	-9	32
20	Wigan	28	7	10	11	29:34	-5	31
21	Rotherham	28	8	7	13	31:40	-9	31
22	Burton	29	8	7	14	31:43	-12	31
23	Northampton	29	8	6	15	26:38	-12	30
24	Port Vale	27	5	6	16	20:38	-18	21

      Promotion ~ Championship
      Promotion ~ League One (Play Offs: )
      Relegation ~ League Two