Result
3:2
27/04/2025 at 21:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Liga Nacional - Clausura - Round 17
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Honduras | Deportes TV |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 58% | 42% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 12 | 5 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 6 | 2 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 6 | 1 |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 4 | 2 |
| Red Cards |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 12 | 5 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 6 | 2 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 6 | 3 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 6 | 1 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 0 | 3 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (1 - 1)
- 15', Pena K. 🟥,
- 29', 0 - 1, Rochez J. ⚽,
- 37', Barrios O. 🟨,
- 38', 1 - 1, Hernandez E. ⚽,
- 41', Garcia F. 🟨,
- 45', Sander R. 🟨,
- 2nd Half (2 - 1)
- 51', Sander R. ↓, Lasso J. ↑,
- 65', Moncada M. 🟨,
- 70', 2 - 1, Ramirez Arauz M. R. ⚽,
- 74', Moncada M. ↓, Palacios D. ↑,
- 76', Gutierrez C. ↓, Vasquez E. ↑,
- 76', Rochez C. ↓, Padilla J. ↑,
- 78', Gomez H. 🟨,
- 78', 🟨,
- 81', 3 - 1, Delgado J. ⚽,
- 85', Hernandez E. ↓, Diaz S. ↑,
- 85', Lopez A. ↓, Mayorquin R. ↑,
- 86', Gomez H. ↓, Chavez M. ↑,
- 86', Garcia R. ↓, Dolmo ↑,
- 89', 3 - 2, Dolmo ⚽,
Chances of winning
Olancho
63.1% | Draw
22.5% | Lobos UPNFM
14.4% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Olancho has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+13.1%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Olancho's performance.Lobos UPNFM has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-8.5%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Lobos UPNFM might be facing challenges that affect their performance.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Olancho than the current prediction. (-12.1%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Olancho that the model has picked up on.ML Model estimates a higher probability for Lobos UPNFM than the current prediction. (+8.1%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Lobos UPNFM could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
Olancho - Lobos UPNFM Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.45 ↓
(1.82) |
4.07 ↑
(3.35) |
6.35 ↑
(3.98) |
9.4%
(9.9%) | |
The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
What is the prediction for Olancho - Lobos UPNFM?
High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 1 high ROI users predict this event. Olancho (votes: 1 - 100%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.
Preview Facts
- The game will be played between two neighbours in a tournament table (ranked 7 and 8).
- Last 5 head-to-head matches Olancho won 2.
- Right away both teams are in a satisfying form.
- Lobos UPNFM could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.
- In this match Olancho is absolute favorite.
- Last 11 head-to-head matches Olancho won 6 matches, drawn 3 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 19:8 (average 1.7:0.7).
- Including matches at home between the teams Olancho won 4 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 13:2 (average 2.6:0.4).
How many head-to-head matches has Olancho won against Lobos UPNFM?
Olancho has won 6 of their last 11 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Lobos UPNFM won against Olancho?
Lobos UPNFM has won 2 of their last 11 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Olancho - Lobos UPNFM were as follows:
22.02.2025
Lobos UPNFM
-
Olancho
1:1
05.10.2024
Olancho
-
Lobos UPNFM
4:0
03.08.2024
Lobos UPNFM
-
Olancho
1:0
06.04.2024
Lobos UPNFM
-
Olancho
0:1
10.02.2024
Olancho
-
Lobos UPNFM
0:0
Latest results of Olancho
Latest results of Lobos UPNFM
Honduras Liga Nacional Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Olimpia | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 11:2 | 9 | 9 |
| 2 | Marathon | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 10:1 | 9 | 6 |
| 3 | Platense | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 6:2 | 4 | 6 |
| 4 | Real Espana | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 6:3 | 3 | 6 |
| 5 | Olancho | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 5:5 | 0 | 4 |
| 6 | UPNFM | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 4:5 | -1 | 4 |
| 7 | Juticalpa | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 2:8 | -6 | 4 |
| 8 | Genesis | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 3:3 | 0 | 3 |
| 9 | Choloma | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 4:9 | -5 | 1 |
| 10 | Motagua | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1:4 | -3 | 0 |
| 11 | Victoria | 3 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 0:10 | -10 | 0 |
Promotion ~ Liga Nacional (Apertura ~ Play Offs: Semi~finals)
Promotion ~ Liga Nacional (Apertura ~ Play Offs: Quarter~finals)
