Result
23/03/2026 at 21:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Liga Nacional - Clausura - Round 14
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Honduras | Deportes TV |
Chances of winning
Lobos UPNFM
32.5% | Draw
28.3% | Olancho
39.2% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Lobos UPNFM has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.2%)Olancho has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.4%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Lobos UPNFM than the current prediction. (+2.3%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Olancho than the current prediction. (-1.5%)
Lobos UPNFM - Olancho Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
2.79 ↑
(2.59) |
3.21 ↓
(3.26) |
2.32 ↓
(2.38) |
10.1%
(11.3%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
Preview Facts
- This time we’ll see a clash between two mid-table teams (ranked 6 in the zone Promotion ~ Liga Nacional (Clausura ~ Triangulares: ) and 5 in the zone Promotion ~ Liga Nacional (Clausura ~ Triangulares: )).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Lobos UPNFM won 0.
- Lobos UPNFM has had mixed results lately (last 5 games: 2 wins).
- Olancho is in great form at the moment (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).
- Lobos UPNFM may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
- The probability of winning is almost the same for both teams in this match.
- In the last 15 head-to-head matches, Lobos UPNFM won 2 matches, drew 6 matches, lost 7 matches, and goals 13:25. (average 0.9:1.7).
- Including home matches between the teams, Lobos UPNFM won 2 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 7:7. (average 1:1).
How many head-to-head matches has Lobos UPNFM won against Olancho?
Lobos UPNFM has won 2 of their last 15 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Olancho won against Lobos UPNFM?
Olancho has won 7 of their last 15 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Lobos UPNFM - Olancho were as follows:
01.02.2026
Olancho
-
Lobos UPNFM
1:1
08.11.2025
Olancho
-
Lobos UPNFM
1:1
10.09.2025
Lobos UPNFM
-
Olancho
1:1
27.04.2025
Olancho
-
Lobos UPNFM
3:2
22.02.2025
Lobos UPNFM
-
Olancho
1:1
Latest results of Lobos UPNFM
Latest results of Olancho
Honduras Liga Nacional Table
Clausura | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Motagua | 12 | 7 | 5 | 0 | 22:8 | 14 | 26 |
| 2 | Real Espana | 13 | 7 | 5 | 1 | 24:17 | 7 | 26 |
| 3 | Olimpia | 13 | 6 | 4 | 3 | 21:11 | 10 | 22 |
| 4 | Marathon | 13 | 5 | 6 | 2 | 19:9 | 10 | 21 |
| 5 | Olancho | 12 | 4 | 6 | 2 | 15:10 | 5 | 18 |
| 6 | UPNFM | 12 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 15:18 | -3 | 13 |
| 7 | Platense | 12 | 2 | 5 | 5 | 17:18 | -1 | 11 |
| 8 | Choloma | 12 | 2 | 5 | 5 | 9:15 | -6 | 11 |
| 9 | Victoria | 12 | 2 | 4 | 6 | 14:22 | -8 | 10 |
| 10 | Genesis | 12 | 2 | 4 | 6 | 11:20 | -9 | 10 |
| 11 | Juticalpa | 13 | 2 | 4 | 7 | 12:31 | -19 | 10 |
Promotion ~ Liga Nacional (Clausura ~ Triangulares: )
