Result
2:1
23/03/2026 at 21:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Liga Nacional - Clausura - Round 14
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Honduras | Deportes TV |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Ball possession |
|---|
| 46% | 54% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 9 | 14 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 7 | 10 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 0 | 8 |
| Yellow cards |
|---|
| 3 | 8 |
| Red cards |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 9 | 14 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 7 | 10 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 2 | 4 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 0 | 8 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (2 - 1)
- 17', 0 - 1, Cabrera Y. A. ⚽,
- 21', Gutierrez C. 🟨,
- 29', Garcia J. 🟨,
- 35', 1 - 1, Pena K. ⚽,
- 43', Fonseca H. 🟨,
- 44', Martinez D. 🟨,
- 45', 2 - 1, Pena K. ⚽,
- 2nd Half (0 - 0)
- 46', Villatoro A. ↓, Mejia Y. ↑,
- 49', Guity E. 🟨,
- 58', Cabrera Y. A. ↓, Calix C. ↑,
- 58', Ramirez Arauz M. R. ↓, Lopez C. ↑,
- 59', Lasso J. 🟨,
- 61', Nunez J. ↓, Rochez C. ↑,
- 62', Pena K. ↓, Moreira R. ↑,
- 62', Guity E. ↓, Herrlein L. ↑,
- 68', Martinez D. ↓, Leiva G. ↑,
- 78', Leiva G. 🟨,
- 90', Gomez H. 🟨,
- 90', Rochez J. ↓, Lopez B. ↑,
- 90+4', 🟨,
- 90+4', Gomez H. 🟨,
- 90+5', Benitez E. 🟨,
Chances of winning
Lobos UPNFM
23.7% | Draw
26.4% | Olancho
49.9% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Lobos UPNFM has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-11%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Lobos UPNFM's form might have worsened.Olancho has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+12.1%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Olancho's recent form is better than expected.ML Model estimates a higher probability for Lobos UPNFM than the current prediction. (+11.1%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Lobos UPNFM, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Olancho than the current prediction. (-12.2%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Olancho, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
Lobos UPNFM - Olancho Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
3.89 ↑
(2.59) |
3.49 ↑
(3.26) |
1.85 ↓
(2.38) |
8.6%
(11.3%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
What is the prediction for Lobos UPNFM - Olancho?
Users Predictions:
4 users predict this event. Lobos UPNFM will win (votes: 1 - 25%). Olancho will win (votes: 2 - 50%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 25%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:2.
Preview Facts
- This time we’ll see a clash between two mid-table teams (ranked 6 in the zone Promotion ~ Liga Nacional (Clausura ~ Triangulares: ) and 5 in the zone Promotion ~ Liga Nacional (Clausura ~ Triangulares: )).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Lobos UPNFM won 0.
- Lobos UPNFM has had mixed results lately (last 5 games: 2 wins).
- Olancho is in great form at the moment (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).
- Lobos UPNFM may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
- The probability of winning is almost the same for both teams in this match.
- In the last 15 head-to-head matches, Lobos UPNFM won 2 matches, drew 6 matches, lost 7 matches, and goals 13:25. (average 0.9:1.7).
- Including home matches between the teams, Lobos UPNFM won 2 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 7:7. (average 1:1).
How many head-to-head matches has Lobos UPNFM won against Olancho?
Lobos UPNFM has won 2 of their last 15 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Olancho won against Lobos UPNFM?
Olancho has won 7 of their last 15 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Lobos UPNFM - Olancho were as follows:
01.02.2026
Olancho
-
Lobos UPNFM
1:1
08.11.2025
Olancho
-
Lobos UPNFM
1:1
10.09.2025
Lobos UPNFM
-
Olancho
1:1
27.04.2025
Olancho
-
Lobos UPNFM
3:2
22.02.2025
Lobos UPNFM
-
Olancho
1:1
Latest results of Lobos UPNFM
Latest results of Olancho
Honduras Liga Nacional Table
Clausura | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Real Espana | 16 | 8 | 6 | 2 | 29:21 | 8 | 30 |
| 2 | Motagua | 14 | 8 | 5 | 1 | 25:10 | 15 | 29 |
| 3 | Olancho | 16 | 7 | 6 | 3 | 25:13 | 12 | 27 |
| 4 | Olimpia | 15 | 7 | 5 | 3 | 23:12 | 11 | 26 |
| 5 | Marathon | 17 | 6 | 6 | 5 | 21:16 | 5 | 24 |
| 6 | UPNFM | 15 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 19:22 | -3 | 17 |
| 7 | Choloma | 16 | 4 | 5 | 7 | 15:22 | -7 | 17 |
| 8 | Genesis | 16 | 4 | 4 | 8 | 15:25 | -10 | 16 |
| 9 | Platense | 15 | 3 | 5 | 7 | 20:21 | -1 | 14 |
| 10 | Juticalpa | 16 | 3 | 5 | 8 | 14:36 | -22 | 14 |
| 11 | Victoria | 14 | 3 | 4 | 7 | 18:26 | -8 | 13 |
Promotion ~ Liga Nacional (Clausura ~ Triangulares: )
