New York Red Bulls vs Los Angeles Galaxy – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
7:0
10/05/2025 at 19:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • MLS
  • Referee: Gonzalez G. Jr. (Usa)
  • Where to Watch on TV:
usaUsaMLS Season Pass, SiriusXM FC

Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
3.281.77
Ball Possession
47%53%
Total shots
2016
Shots on target
126
Big Chances
83
Corner Kicks
26
Passes
87% (386/444)84% (424/503)
Yellow Cards
25
Expected Goals (xG)
3.281.77
xG on target (xGOT)
5.490.72
Total shots
2016
Shots on target
126
Shots off target
64
Blocked Shots
26
Shots inside the Box
1310
Shots outside the Box
66
Hit the Woodwork
00
Big Chances
83
Corner Kicks
26
Touches in opposition box
2426
Accurate through passes
30
Offsides
02
Free Kicks
177
Passes
87% (386/444)84% (424/503)
Long passes
50% (18/36)54% (27/50)
Passes in final third
69% (66/95)75% (86/114)
Crosses
25% (2/8)31% (5/16)
Expected assists (xA)
1.641.28
Throw-ins
1023
Fouls
717
Tackles
67% (6/9)78% (14/18)
Duels won
4637
Clearances
2512
Interceptions
147
Errors leading to shot
11
Errors leading to goal
02
Goalkeeper Saves
65
xGOT faced
0.725.49
Goals prevented
0.72-0.51

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (3 - 0)
  • 7', 1 - 0, Choupo-Moting E. M. ,
  • 10', Garces C. 🟨,
  • 16', 2 - 0, Forsberg E. , Valencia O. (A),
  • 31', 3 - 0, Choupo-Moting E. M. , Forsberg E. (A),
  • 2nd Half (4 - 0)
  • 46', Berry M. , Cuevas M. ,
  • 46', Nelson J. , Sanabria L. ,
  • 49', Aude J. 🟨,
  • 50', 4 - 0, Forsberg E. ,
  • 64', Reus M. , Wynder E. ,
  • 64', Ramirez C. , Matheus Nascimento ,
  • 67', Carmona W. , Harper C. ,
  • 67', Sofo M. , Gjengaar D. ,
  • 67', Edelman D. , Stroud P. ,
  • 68', 5 - 0, Harper C. ,
  • 73', Cuevas M. 🟨,
  • 74', Eile N. 🟨,
  • 74', Nealis S. 🟨,
  • 74', Cerrillo E. 🟨,
  • 76', Choupo-Moting E. M. , Bogacz W. ,
  • 76', Forsberg E. , Hall J. ,
  • 78', Wynder E. 🟨,
  • 81', Fagundez D. , Lepley T. ,
  • 88', 6 - 0, Gjengaar D. , Bogacz W. (A),
  • 90+3', 7 - 0, Yamane M. (Own goal),

Highlights

Chances of winning


New York Red Bulls
47.7%
Draw
26.6%
Los Angeles Galaxy
25.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
53.3% 25.5% 21.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

54% 25.2% 20.9%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • New York Red Bulls has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.6%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that New York Red Bulls's form might have worsened.
  • Los Angeles Galaxy has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.5%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for New York Red Bulls than the current prediction. (+6.3%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for New York Red Bulls, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Los Angeles Galaxy than the current prediction. (-4.8%)
  • New York Red Bulls - Los Angeles Galaxy Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.99
    (1.78)
    3.6
    (3.73)
    3.72
    (4.48)
    4.9%
    (5.3%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
    What is the prediction for New York Red Bulls - Los Angeles Galaxy?
  • Users Predictions: 9 users predict this event. NY Red Bulls will win (votes: 7 - 77.8%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 22.2%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for NY Red Bulls: 50.6%100%.
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 2 high ROI users predict this event. NY Red Bulls (votes: 2 - 100%).
  • Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:
    • AH -0.5 - NY Red Bulls (2.10) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • AH -1.5 - LA Galaxy (1.27) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
  • Overall votes from High ROI Users Predictions (including all markets): 4 high ROI users predict this event. NY Red Bulls (votes: 3 - 75%). LA Galaxy (votes: 1 - 25%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.
  • Preview Facts
    • This match features a clash between a mid-table team and the outsider (ranked 10 and 15).
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, NY Red Bulls won 2.
    • Recent performances by NY Red Bulls have been up and down (last 5 games: 2 wins).
    • LA Galaxy has suffered multiple defeats recently (in the last 5 games, wins – 0).
    • LA Galaxy may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
    • In this match, NY Red Bulls is a strong favorite.
    • There will not play in NY Red Bulls: Mitchell R. (Knee Injury) Morales M. (Thigh Injury) Morgan L. (Knee Injury) Nealis D. (Hamstring Injury)
    • There will not play in LA Galaxy: Puig R. (Knee Injury)
    • There are questionable in NY Red Bulls: Harper C. (Muscle Injury) Ngoma S. (Back Injury)
    • In the last 11 head-to-head matches, NY Red Bulls won 3 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 6 matches, and goals 15:21. (average 1.4:1.9).
    • Including home matches between the teams, NY Red Bulls won 2 matches, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 6:6. (average 1.5:1.5).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between New York Red Bulls - Los Angeles Galaxy were as follows:
    07.12.2024 Los Angeles Galaxy - New York Red Bulls 2:1
    Latest results of New York Red Bulls
    Latest results of Los Angeles Galaxy
    MLS Table
    2026

    Western Conference
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1San Diego FC11005:053
    2San Jose Earthquakes11003:033
    3Los Angeles FC11003:033
    4Seattle Sounders11002:023
    5FC Dallas11003:213
    6Portland Timbers11003:213
    7Houston Dynamo11002:113
    8Vancouver Whitecaps11001:013
    9Minnesota United10102:201
    10Austin FC10102:201
    11Los Angeles Galaxy10101:101
    12St. Louis City10101:101
    13Real Salt Lake10010:1-10
    14Colorado Rapids10010:2-20
    15Sporting Kansas City10010:3-30


    Eastern Conference
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Nashville SC11004:133
    2FC Cincinnati11002:023
    3New York Red Bulls11002:113
    4DC United11001:013
    5New York City10101:101
    6Charlotte10101:101
    7Toronto FC10012:3-10
    8Columbus Crew10012:3-10
    9Chicago Fire10011:2-10
    10Orlando City10011:2-10
    11Philadelphia Union10010:1-10
    12Atlanta Utd10010:2-20
    13New England Revolution10011:4-30
    14Inter Miami10010:3-30
    15CF Montreal10010:5-50

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