New York Red Bulls vs Los Angeles Galaxy – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
7:0
10/05/2025 at 19:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • MLS
  • Referee: Gonzalez G. Jr. (Usa)
  • Where to Watch on TV:
usaUsaMLS Season Pass, SiriusXM FC

Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
3.281.77
Ball Possession
47%53%
Total shots
2016
Shots on target
126
Big Chances
83
Corner Kicks
26
Passes
87% (386/444)84% (424/503)
Yellow Cards
25
Expected Goals (xG)
3.281.77
xG on target (xGOT)
5.490.72
Total shots
2016
Shots on target
126
Shots off target
64
Blocked Shots
26
Shots inside the Box
1310
Shots outside the Box
66
Hit the Woodwork
00
Big Chances
83
Corner Kicks
26
Touches in opposition box
2426
Accurate through passes
30
Offsides
02
Free Kicks
177
Passes
87% (386/444)84% (424/503)
Long passes
50% (18/36)54% (27/50)
Passes in final third
69% (66/95)75% (86/114)
Crosses
25% (2/8)31% (5/16)
Expected assists (xA)
1.641.28
Throw-ins
1023
Fouls
717
Tackles
67% (6/9)78% (14/18)
Duels won
4637
Clearances
2512
Interceptions
147
Errors leading to shot
11
Errors leading to goal
02
Goalkeeper Saves
65
xGOT faced
0.725.49
Goals prevented
0.72-0.51

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (3 - 0)
  • 7', 1 - 0, Choupo-Moting E. M. ,
  • 10', Garces C. 🟨,
  • 16', 2 - 0, Forsberg E. , Valencia O. (A),
  • 31', 3 - 0, Choupo-Moting E. M. , Forsberg E. (A),
  • 2nd Half (4 - 0)
  • 46', Berry M. , Cuevas M. ,
  • 46', Nelson J. , Sanabria L. ,
  • 49', Aude J. 🟨,
  • 50', 4 - 0, Forsberg E. ,
  • 64', Reus M. , Wynder E. ,
  • 64', Ramirez C. , Matheus Nascimento ,
  • 67', Carmona W. , Harper C. ,
  • 67', Sofo M. , Gjengaar D. ,
  • 67', Edelman D. , Stroud P. ,
  • 68', 5 - 0, Harper C. ,
  • 73', Cuevas M. 🟨,
  • 74', Eile N. 🟨,
  • 74', Nealis S. 🟨,
  • 74', Cerrillo E. 🟨,
  • 76', Choupo-Moting E. M. , Bogacz W. ,
  • 76', Forsberg E. , Hall J. ,
  • 78', Wynder E. 🟨,
  • 81', Fagundez D. , Lepley T. ,
  • 88', 6 - 0, Gjengaar D. , Bogacz W. (A),
  • 90+3', 7 - 0, Yamane M. (Own goal),

Highlights

Chances of winning


New York Red Bulls
47.7%
Draw
26.6%
Los Angeles Galaxy
25.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
53.3% 25.5% 21.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

54% 25.2% 20.9%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • New York Red Bulls has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.6%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that New York Red Bulls's form might have worsened.
  • Los Angeles Galaxy has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.5%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for New York Red Bulls than the current prediction. (+6.3%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for New York Red Bulls, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Los Angeles Galaxy than the current prediction. (-4.8%)
  • New York Red Bulls - Los Angeles Galaxy Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.99
    (1.78)
    3.6
    (3.73)
    3.72
    (4.48)
    4.9%
    (5.3%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
    What is the prediction for New York Red Bulls - Los Angeles Galaxy?
  • Users Predictions: 9 users predict this event. NY Red Bulls will win (votes: 7 - 77.8%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 22.2%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for NY Red Bulls: 50.6%100%.
  • Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:
    • AH -0.5 - NY Red Bulls (2.10) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • AH -1.5 - LA Galaxy (1.27) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): New York Red Bulls will win (2 of 2 users predict this - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.
  • Overall votes from High ROI Users Predictions (including all markets): 4 high ROI users predict this event. NY Red Bulls (votes: 3 - 75%). LA Galaxy (votes: 1 - 25%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.
  • Preview Facts
    • This match features a clash between a mid-table team and the outsider (ranked 10 and 15).
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, NY Red Bulls won 2.
    • Recent performances by NY Red Bulls have been up and down (last 5 games: 2 wins).
    • LA Galaxy has suffered multiple defeats recently (in the last 5 games, wins – 0).
    • LA Galaxy may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
    • In this match, NY Red Bulls is a strong favorite.
    • There will not play in NY Red Bulls: Mitchell R. (Knee Injury) Morales M. (Thigh Injury) Morgan L. (Knee Injury) Nealis D. (Hamstring Injury)
    • There will not play in LA Galaxy: Puig R. (Knee Injury)
    • There are questionable in NY Red Bulls: Harper C. (Muscle Injury) Ngoma S. (Back Injury)
    • In the last 11 head-to-head matches, NY Red Bulls won 3 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 6 matches, and goals 15:21. (average 1.4:1.9).
    • Including home matches between the teams, NY Red Bulls won 2 matches, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 6:6. (average 1.5:1.5).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between New York Red Bulls - Los Angeles Galaxy were as follows:
    07.12.2024 Los Angeles Galaxy - New York Red Bulls 2:1
    Latest results of New York Red Bulls
    Latest results of Los Angeles Galaxy
    MLS Table
    Main

    Western Conference
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Los Angeles FC651014:01416
    2Vancouver Whitecaps650117:41315
    3San Jose Earthquakes650110:1915
    4Real Salt Lake641112:8413
    5Seattle Sounders64116:2413
    6FC Dallas632114:9511
    7San Diego FC632113:8511
    8Colorado Rapids630313:1039
    9Minnesota United62226:12-68
    10Houston Dynamo52038:10-26
    11Austin FC61327:9-26
    12Los Angeles Galaxy61238:10-25
    13St. Louis City61235:8-35
    14Portland Timbers61149:15-64
    15Sporting Kansas City61146:14-84


    Eastern Conference
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Nashville SC641113:31013
    2New York City632114:7711
    3Charlotte632112:7511
    4Inter Miami632111:10111
    5Chicago Fire63128:5310
    6Toronto FC63129:10-110
    7New York Red Bulls63129:13-410
    8DC United62134:8-47
    9New England Revolution520311:926
    10FC Cincinnati62049:15-66
    11Columbus Crew61238:9-15
    12Atlanta Utd61146:11-54
    13CF Montreal61057:17-103
    14Orlando City61055:23-183
    15Philadelphia Union60064:11-70

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