Los Angeles Galaxy vs Toluca – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

15/04/2026 at 21:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))

Chances of winning


Los Angeles Galaxy
37.7%
Draw
25.5%
Toluca
36.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
40% 25.6% 34.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

39% 24.9% 35.3%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Los Angeles Galaxy has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.3%)
  • Toluca has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.4%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Los Angeles Galaxy than the current prediction. (+1.3%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Toluca than the current prediction. (-1.5%)
  • Los Angeles Galaxy - Toluca Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    2.46
    (2.3)
    3.63
    (3.6)
    2.52
    (2.68)
    7.9%
    (8.6%)
    Preview Facts
    • First leg result: 2-4. Second leg.
    • Recent form of LA Galaxy has been disappointing (last 5 games: 1 wins).
    • In recent matches, Toluca has shown inconsistent performance (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).
    • The probability of winning is almost the same for both teams in this match.
    • In the last 2 head-to-head matches, LA Galaxy won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 4:7. (average 2:3.5).
    • Including home match between the teams, LA Galaxy won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 2:3.
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Los Angeles Galaxy - Toluca were as follows:
    08.04.2026 Toluca - Los Angeles Galaxy 4:2
    01.10.2025 Los Angeles Galaxy - Toluca 2:3
    Latest results of Los Angeles Galaxy
    Latest results of Toluca
    04.04.2026 Querétaro - Toluca 1:0
    22.03.2026 Pachuca - Toluca 1:1
    18.03.2026 Toluca - San Diego 4:0
    14.03.2026 Toluca - Atlas 1:1