Los Angeles Galaxy vs Toluca – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Football Campeones Cup Los Angeles Galaxy - Toluca
Result
2:3
01/10/2025 at 22:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • Campeones Cup - Final
  • Where to Watch on TV:
finlandFinlandVeikkaus TV
mexicoMexicoTUDN
usaUsaTUDN

Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
1.401.28
Ball Possession
40%60%
Total shots
918
Shots on target
47
Big Chances
31
Corner Kicks
111
Passes
83% (297/359)87% (461/530)
Yellow Cards
54
Expected Goals (xG)
1.401.28
xG on target (xGOT)
1.752.50
Total shots
918
Shots on target
47
Shots off target
44
Blocked Shots
17
Shots inside the Box
78
Shots outside the Box
210
Hit the Woodwork
01
Big Chances
31
Corner Kicks
111
Touches in opposition box
2328
Accurate through passes
00
Offsides
25
Free Kicks
1014
Passes
83% (297/359)87% (461/530)
Long passes
40% (19/48)60% (29/48)
Passes in final third
72% (68/95)74% (110/149)
Crosses
14% (1/7)26% (5/19)
Expected assists (xA)
0.231.90
Throw-ins
87
Fouls
1410
Tackles
75% (12/16)53% (10/19)
Duels won
4148
Clearances
2610
Interceptions
136
Errors leading to shot
00
Errors leading to goal
00
Goalkeeper Saves
32
xGOT faced
2.501.75
Goals prevented
-0.50-0.25

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (1 - 0)
  • 33', Pereira F. 🟨,
  • 34', Ruiz M. 🟨,
  • 36', 1 - 0, Fagundez D. (Pen),
  • 38', Gabriel Pec 🟨,
  • 45+2', Cerrillo E. 🟨,
  • 2nd Half (1 - 3)
  • 46', Barbosa D. , Simon S. ,
  • 53', 1 - 1, Castro N. ,
  • 62', Gallardo J. 🟨,
  • 70', Angulo J. , Dominguez Chonteco J. P. ,
  • 70', Yamane M. , Cuevas M. ,
  • 71', Miller H. , Matheus Nascimento ,
  • 71', Aude J. , Nelson J. ,
  • 78', Garces C. 🟨,
  • 80', Paintsil J. 🟨,
  • 84', 2 - 1, Gabriel Pec ,
  • 85', Castro N. , Helinho ,
  • 87', 🟨,
  • 87', Matheus Nascimento 🟨,
  • 88', 2 - 2, Romero F. ,
  • 90+1', Paulinho , Morales R. ,
  • 90+4', 2 - 3, Pereira F. , Helinho (A),
  • 90+5', Wynder E. , Berry M. ,

Chances of winning


Los Angeles Galaxy
30.4%
Draw
25.8%
Toluca
43.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
35.2% 26.9% 37.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

36.2% 27.6% 36.9%

Los Angeles Galaxy - Toluca Odds

1 X 2 Marga
Avarage Now
(Initially)
3.12
(2.69)
3.67
(3.52)
2.17
(2.5)
5.4%
(5.6%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 3.00
What is the prediction for Los Angeles Galaxy - Toluca?
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 1 high ROI users predict this event. LA Galaxy (votes: 1 - 100%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
  • Preview Facts
    • LA Galaxy has had mixed results lately (last 5 games: 2 wins).
    • Toluca is on a winning streak and currently in very good shape (last 5 games: 5 wins).
    • LA Galaxy may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
    • The probability of winning is almost the same for both teams in this match.
    • There will not play in LA Galaxy: Puig R. (Knee Injury) Sanabria L. (Foot Injury)
    • There will not play in Toluca: Luan (Injury)
    • There are questionable in LA Galaxy: Matheus Nascimento (Groin Injury) Ramirez C. (Lower-Body Injury) Reus M. (Thigh Injury)
    • Recently, there has been no match between the teams.
    Latest results of Los Angeles Galaxy
    Latest results of Toluca
    27.09.2025 Toluca - Mazatlan 3:1
    24.09.2025 Toluca - Monterrey 6:2
    13.09.2025 Toluca - Puebla 3:1
    Draw
    2025

    Final
    1Los Angeles GalaxyToluca2 : 3