Louisville City vs Birmingham Legion – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Football USL Championship
Result
4:2
14/06/2025 at 20:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • USL Championship
  • Where to Watch on TV:
argentinaArgentinaDisney+
brazilBrazilDisney+
chileChileDisney+
colombiaColombiaDisney+
mexicoMexicoDisney+
peruPeruDisney+
uruguayUruguayDisney+
usaUsaESPN App, ESPN+
venezuelaVenezuelaDisney+

Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
2.100.28
Ball Possession
39%61%
Total shots
1411
Shots on target
76
Big Chances
40
Corner Kicks
56
Passes
69% (212/306)82% (393/482)
Yellow Cards
12
Expected Goals (xG)
2.100.28
xG on target (xGOT)
3.080.75
Total shots
1411
Shots on target
76
Shots off target
33
Blocked Shots
42
Shots inside the Box
103
Shots outside the Box
47
Hit the Woodwork
10
Headed Goals
11
Big Chances
40
Corner Kicks
56
Touches in opposition box
249
Accurate through passes
10
Offsides
20
Free Kicks
1312
Passes
69% (212/306)82% (393/482)
Long passes
37% (21/57)53% (40/75)
Passes in final third
54% (56/103)70% (79/113)
Crosses
50% (8/16)18% (3/17)
Expected assists (xA)
1.320.30
Throw-ins
1523
Fouls
1213
Tackles
60% (9/15)50% (3/6)
Duels won
5539
Clearances
2035
Interceptions
105
Errors leading to shot
10
Errors leading to goal
01
Goalkeeper Saves
43
xGOT faced
0.753.08
Goals prevented
-0.26-0.92

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (3 - 1)
  • 15', 0 - 1, Damus R. ⚽, Laszo E. (A),
  • 19', Centeno E. 🟨,
  • 29', 1 - 1, Dia A. ⚽, Serrano R. (A),
  • 30', 2 - 1, Goodrum P. ⚽, Davila T. (A),
  • 44', 3 - 1, Goodrum P. ⚽, Davila T. (A),
  • 2nd Half (1 - 1)
  • 52', Preston T. 🟨,
  • 58', 4 - 1, Goodrum P. ⚽, Davila T. (A),
  • 60', Preston T. ↓, Trejo D. ↑,
  • 65', Dia A. ↓, McFadden A. ↑,
  • 66', Goodrum P. ↓, Gleadle S. ↑,
  • 66', Perez E. ↓, Morris J. ↑,
  • 67', Centeno E. ↓, Tregarthen S. ↑,
  • 67', Suarez S. ↓, Paterson AJ ↑,
  • 68', Gleadle S. 🟨,
  • 76', Wilson J. ↓, Perez A. ↑,
  • 78', Turnbull S. ↓, Hamouda R. ↑,
  • 78', Laszo E. ↓, McIllhatton S. ↑,
  • 82', Davila T. ↓, Moguel C. ↑,
  • 90', 4 - 2, Moguel C. (Own goal),

Highlights

Official Live

Chances of winning


Louisville City
65.4%		Draw
20.3%		Birmingham Legion
14.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
56.6% 24.7% 18.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

58.9% 23.7% 18%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Louisville City has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+8.8%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Louisville City's performance.
  • Birmingham Legion has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.4%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Louisville City than the current prediction. (-6.5%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Louisville City that the model has picked up on.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Birmingham Legion than the current prediction. (+3.7%)
    •

    Louisville City - Birmingham Legion Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)    		 1.42 ↓
    (1.57)    		 4.56 ↑
    (3.6)    		 6.49 ↑
    (4.75)    		 7.9%
    (12.5%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 3.00
    What is the prediction for Louisville City - Birmingham Legion?
  • Users Predictions: 5 users predict this event. Louisville City will win (votes: 5 - 100%).
  • Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:
    • O/U 2.5 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): Louisville City will win (3 of 3 users predict this - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.
    •
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 2:0.
    •
    Preview Facts
    • A leader and an outsider will face off in this match (ranked 1 in the zone Promotion ~ USL Championship (Play Offs: ) and 10).
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Louisville City won 2.
    • Louisville City is showing really good form (last 5 games: 3 wins).
    • In recent matches, Birmingham has shown inconsistent performance (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).
    • Birmingham may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
    • In this match, Louisville City is the obvious favorite.
    • In the last 11 head-to-head matches, Louisville City won 5 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 18:10. (average 1.6:0.9).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Louisville City won 3 matches, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 11:4. (average 2.2:0.8).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Louisville City - Birmingham Legion were as follows:
    29.06.2024 Birmingham Legion - Louisville City 1:4
    30.03.2024 Louisville City - Birmingham Legion 5:0
    19.08.2023 Birmingham Legion - Louisville City 2:0
    22.07.2023 Louisville City - Birmingham Legion 1:2
    Latest results of Louisville City
    11.06.2025 Louisville City - Rhode Island 2:1 ✺
    07.06.2025 Louisville City - Tampa Bay Rowdies 2:1
    31.05.2025 Loudoun United - Louisville City 2:1
    24.05.2025 Monterey Bay - Louisville City 0:2
    17.05.2025 Hartford Athletic - Louisville City 1:1
    Latest results of Birmingham Legion
    04.06.2025 Birmingham Legion - Indy Eleven 0:1 ✺
    31.05.2025 Tulsa - Birmingham Legion 1:2
    24.05.2025 Miami - Birmingham Legion 1:2
    18.05.2025 Birmingham Legion - Detroit City 1:1
    14.05.2025 Birmingham Legion - Rhode Island 0:1 ✺
    USL Championship Table
    2026

    Eastern Conference
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Charleston00000:000
    2Tampa Bay00000:000
    3Pittsburgh00000:000
    4Indy Eleven00000:000
    5Detroit00000:000
    6Louisville City00000:000
    7Miami FC00000:000
    8Hartford Athletic00000:000
    9Birmingham00000:000
    10Loudoun00000:000
    11Rhode Island00000:000
    12Sporting Jax00000:000
    13Brooklyn00000:000


    Western Conference
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Orange County SC00000:000
    2New Mexico00000:000
    3Sacramento Republic00000:000
    4FC Tulsa00000:000
    5Colorado Springs00000:000
    6San Antonio00000:000
    7Phoenix Rising00000:000
    8Oakland Roots00000:000
    9Monterey Bay00000:000
    10Las Vegas Lights00000:000
    11El Paso00000:000
    12Lexington00000:000

          Promotion ~ USL Championship (Play Offs: 1/8~finals)

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