Louisville City vs Birmingham Legion – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Football USL Championship
Football USL Championship Louisville City - Birmingham Legion
Result
4:2
14/06/2025 at 20:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • USL Championship
  • Where to Watch on TV:
argentinaArgentinaDisney+
brazilBrazilDisney+
chileChileDisney+
colombiaColombiaDisney+
mexicoMexicoDisney+
peruPeruDisney+
uruguayUruguayDisney+
usaUsaESPN App, ESPN+
venezuelaVenezuelaDisney+

Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
2.100.28
Ball Possession
39%61%
Total shots
1411
Shots on target
76
Big Chances
40
Corner Kicks
56
Passes
69% (212/306)82% (393/482)
Yellow Cards
12
Expected Goals (xG)
2.100.28
xG on target (xGOT)
3.080.75
Total shots
1411
Shots on target
76
Shots off target
33
Blocked Shots
42
Shots inside the Box
103
Shots outside the Box
47
Hit the Woodwork
10
Headed Goals
11
Big Chances
40
Corner Kicks
56
Touches in opposition box
249
Accurate through passes
10
Offsides
20
Free Kicks
1312
Passes
69% (212/306)82% (393/482)
Long passes
37% (21/57)53% (40/75)
Passes in final third
54% (56/103)70% (79/113)
Crosses
50% (8/16)18% (3/17)
Expected assists (xA)
1.320.30
Throw-ins
1523
Fouls
1213
Tackles
60% (9/15)50% (3/6)
Duels won
5539
Clearances
2035
Interceptions
105
Errors leading to shot
10
Errors leading to goal
01
Goalkeeper Saves
43
xGOT faced
0.753.08
Goals prevented
-0.26-0.92

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (3 - 1)
  • 15', 0 - 1, Damus R. ⚽, Laszo E. (A),
  • 19', Centeno E. 🟨,
  • 29', 1 - 1, Dia A. ⚽, Serrano R. (A),
  • 30', 2 - 1, Goodrum P. ⚽, Davila T. (A),
  • 44', 3 - 1, Goodrum P. ⚽, Davila T. (A),
  • 2nd Half (1 - 1)
  • 52', Preston T. 🟨,
  • 58', 4 - 1, Goodrum P. ⚽, Davila T. (A),
  • 60', Preston T. ↓, Trejo D. ↑,
  • 65', Dia A. ↓, McFadden A. ↑,
  • 66', Goodrum P. ↓, Gleadle S. ↑,
  • 66', Perez E. ↓, Morris J. ↑,
  • 67', Centeno E. ↓, Tregarthen S. ↑,
  • 67', Suarez S. ↓, Paterson AJ ↑,
  • 68', Gleadle S. 🟨,
  • 76', Wilson J. ↓, Perez A. ↑,
  • 78', Turnbull S. ↓, Hamouda R. ↑,
  • 78', Laszo E. ↓, McIllhatton S. ↑,
  • 82', Davila T. ↓, Moguel C. ↑,
  • 90', 4 - 2, Moguel C. (Own goal),

Highlights

Official Live

Chances of winning


Louisville City
65.4%		Draw
20.3%		Birmingham Legion
14.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
56.6% 24.7% 18.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

58.9% 23.7% 18%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Louisville City has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+8.8%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Louisville City's performance.
  • Birmingham Legion has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.4%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Louisville City than the current prediction. (-6.5%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Louisville City that the model has picked up on.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Birmingham Legion than the current prediction. (+3.7%)
    •

    Louisville City - Birmingham Legion Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)    		 1.42 ↓
    (1.57)    		 4.56 ↑
    (3.6)    		 6.49 ↑
    (4.75)    		 7.9%
    (12.5%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 3.00
    •
    What is the prediction for Louisville City - Birmingham Legion?
  • Users Predictions: 5 users predict this event. Louisville City will win (votes: 5 - 100%).
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 2 high ROI users predict this event. Louisville City (votes: 2 - 100%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 2:0.
    •
    Preview Facts
    • A leader and an outsider will face off in this match (ranked 1 in the zone Promotion ~ USL Championship (Play Offs: ) and 10).
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Louisville City won 2.
    • Louisville City is showing really good form (last 5 games: 3 wins).
    • In recent matches, Birmingham has shown inconsistent performance (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).
    • Birmingham may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
    • In this match, Louisville City is the obvious favorite.
    • In the last 11 head-to-head matches, Louisville City won 5 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 18:10. (average 1.6:0.9).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Louisville City won 3 matches, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 11:4. (average 2.2:0.8).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Louisville City - Birmingham Legion were as follows:
    29.06.2024 Birmingham Legion - Louisville City 1:4
    30.03.2024 Louisville City - Birmingham Legion 5:0
    19.08.2023 Birmingham Legion - Louisville City 2:0
    22.07.2023 Louisville City - Birmingham Legion 1:2
    Latest results of Louisville City
    11.06.2025 Louisville City - Rhode Island 2:1 ✺
    07.06.2025 Louisville City - Tampa Bay Rowdies 2:1
    31.05.2025 Loudoun United - Louisville City 2:1
    24.05.2025 Monterey Bay - Louisville City 0:2
    17.05.2025 Hartford Athletic - Louisville City 1:1
    Latest results of Birmingham Legion
    04.06.2025 Birmingham Legion - Indy Eleven 0:1 ✺
    31.05.2025 Tulsa - Birmingham Legion 1:2
    24.05.2025 Miami - Birmingham Legion 1:2
    18.05.2025 Birmingham Legion - Detroit City 1:1
    14.05.2025 Birmingham Legion - Rhode Island 0:1 ✺
    USL Championship Table
    2025

    Eastern Conference
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Charleston18132338:162241
    2Louisville City18125134:142041
    3Loudoun1883728:27127
    4North Carolina1782726:24226
    5Pittsburgh1875617:15226
    6Detroit1756620:22-221
    7Indy Eleven1755727:31-420
    8Miami FC1754817:25-819
    9Birmingham1947822:28-619
    10Tampa Bay17521020:26-617
    11Rhode Island1845914:20-617
    12Hartford Athletic1644819:21-216


    Western Conference
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1FC Tulsa1795327:18932
    2San Antonio1783624:24027
    3Sacramento Republic1776425:131227
    4El Paso1775530:25526
    5New Mexico1681722:21125
    6Phoenix Rising1866630:33-324
    7Orange County SC1672726:23323
    8Monterey Bay1864819:23-422
    9Colorado Springs1756622:23-121
    10Oakland Roots1762919:25-620
    11Lexington1847718:26-819
    12Las Vegas Lights18531013:34-2118

          Promotion ~ USL Championship (Play Offs: )

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