Louisville City vs Birmingham Legion – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Football USL Championship
Football USL Championship Louisville City - Birmingham Legion
Result
4:2
14/06/2025 at 20:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • USL Championship
  • Where to Watch on TV:
argentinaArgentinaDisney+
brazilBrazilDisney+
chileChileDisney+
colombiaColombiaDisney+
mexicoMexicoDisney+
peruPeruDisney+
uruguayUruguayDisney+
usaUsaESPN App, ESPN+
venezuelaVenezuelaDisney+

Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
2.100.28
Ball Possession
39%61%
Total shots
1411
Shots on target
76
Big Chances
40
Corner Kicks
56
Passes
69% (212/306)82% (393/482)
Yellow Cards
12
Expected Goals (xG)
2.100.28
xG on target (xGOT)
3.080.75
Total shots
1411
Shots on target
76
Shots off target
33
Blocked Shots
42
Shots inside the Box
103
Shots outside the Box
47
Hit the Woodwork
10
Headed Goals
11
Big Chances
40
Corner Kicks
56
Touches in opposition box
249
Accurate through passes
10
Offsides
20
Free Kicks
1312
Passes
69% (212/306)82% (393/482)
Long passes
37% (21/57)53% (40/75)
Passes in final third
54% (56/103)70% (79/113)
Crosses
50% (8/16)18% (3/17)
Expected assists (xA)
1.320.30
Throw-ins
1523
Fouls
1213
Tackles
60% (9/15)50% (3/6)
Duels won
5539
Clearances
2035
Interceptions
105
Errors leading to shot
10
Errors leading to goal
01
Goalkeeper Saves
43
xGOT faced
0.753.08
Goals prevented
-0.26-0.92

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (3 - 1)
  • 15', 0 - 1, Damus R. ⚽, Laszo E. (A),
  • 19', Centeno E. 🟨,
  • 29', 1 - 1, Dia A. ⚽, Serrano R. (A),
  • 30', 2 - 1, Goodrum P. ⚽, Davila T. (A),
  • 44', 3 - 1, Goodrum P. ⚽, Davila T. (A),
  • 2nd Half (1 - 1)
  • 52', Preston T. 🟨,
  • 58', 4 - 1, Goodrum P. ⚽, Davila T. (A),
  • 60', Preston T. ↓, Trejo D. ↑,
  • 65', Dia A. ↓, McFadden A. ↑,
  • 66', Goodrum P. ↓, Gleadle S. ↑,
  • 66', Perez E. ↓, Morris J. ↑,
  • 67', Centeno E. ↓, Tregarthen S. ↑,
  • 67', Suarez S. ↓, Paterson AJ ↑,
  • 68', Gleadle S. 🟨,
  • 76', Wilson J. ↓, Perez A. ↑,
  • 78', Turnbull S. ↓, Hamouda R. ↑,
  • 78', Laszo E. ↓, McIllhatton S. ↑,
  • 82', Davila T. ↓, Moguel C. ↑,
  • 90', 4 - 2, Moguel C. (Own goal),

Highlights

Official Live

Chances of winning


Louisville City
65.4%		Draw
20.3%		Birmingham Legion
14.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
56.6% 24.7% 18.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

58.9% 23.7% 18%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Louisville City has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+8.8%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Louisville City's performance.
  • Birmingham Legion has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.4%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Louisville City than the current prediction. (-6.5%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Louisville City that the model has picked up on.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Birmingham Legion than the current prediction. (+3.7%)
    •

    Louisville City - Birmingham Legion Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)    		 1.42 ↓
    (1.57)    		 4.56 ↑
    (3.6)    		 6.49 ↑
    (4.75)    		 7.9%
    (12.5%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 3.00
    •
    What is the prediction for Louisville City - Birmingham Legion?
  • Users Predictions: 5 users predict this event. Louisville City will win (votes: 5 - 100%).
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 2 high ROI users predict this event. Louisville City (votes: 2 - 100%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 2:0.
    •
    Preview Facts
    • A leader and an outsider will face off in this match (ranked 1 in the zone Promotion ~ USL Championship (Play Offs: ) and 10).
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Louisville City won 2.
    • Louisville City is showing really good form (last 5 games: 3 wins).
    • In recent matches, Birmingham has shown inconsistent performance (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).
    • Birmingham may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
    • In this match, Louisville City is the obvious favorite.
    • In the last 11 head-to-head matches, Louisville City won 5 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 18:10. (average 1.6:0.9).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Louisville City won 3 matches, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 11:4. (average 2.2:0.8).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Louisville City - Birmingham Legion were as follows:
    29.06.2024 Birmingham Legion - Louisville City 1:4
    30.03.2024 Louisville City - Birmingham Legion 5:0
    19.08.2023 Birmingham Legion - Louisville City 2:0
    22.07.2023 Louisville City - Birmingham Legion 1:2
    Latest results of Louisville City
    11.06.2025 Louisville City - Rhode Island 2:1 ✺
    07.06.2025 Louisville City - Tampa Bay Rowdies 2:1
    31.05.2025 Loudoun United - Louisville City 2:1
    24.05.2025 Monterey Bay - Louisville City 0:2
    17.05.2025 Hartford Athletic - Louisville City 1:1
    Latest results of Birmingham Legion
    04.06.2025 Birmingham Legion - Indy Eleven 0:1 ✺
    31.05.2025 Tulsa - Birmingham Legion 1:2
    24.05.2025 Miami - Birmingham Legion 1:2
    18.05.2025 Birmingham Legion - Detroit City 1:1
    14.05.2025 Birmingham Legion - Rhode Island 0:1 ✺
    USL Championship Table
    2025

    Eastern Conference
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Louisville City21146142:172548
    2Charleston20142441:212044
    3North Carolina20103731:27433
    4Loudoun2094731:29231
    5Pittsburgh2177720:19128
    6Detroit2177724:24028
    7Hartford Athletic2075829:23626
    8Indy Eleven2065932:37-523
    9Rhode Island21561015:23-821
    10Miami FC21551121:34-1320
    11Birmingham2148924:33-920
    12Tampa Bay20531222:31-918


    Western Conference
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1FC Tulsa21126337:231442
    2Sacramento Republic2087529:171231
    3El Paso2087533:27631
    4San Antonio2085725:26-129
    5Phoenix Rising2177735:37-228
    6Lexington2177723:27-428
    7Orange County SC1983828:25327
    8New Mexico1983826:28-227
    9Colorado Springs2066825:29-424
    10Monterey Bay22661023:29-624
    11Oakland Roots20631124:32-821
    12Las Vegas Lights21551117:39-2220

          Promotion ~ USL Championship (Play Offs: )

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