Loudoun United vs Louisville City – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

25/06/2025 at 18:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))

Segra Field (Leesburg, VA).

USL Championship
Where to Watch on TV:


Argentina	Disney+
Brazil	Disney+
Chile	Disney+
Colombia	Disney+
Mexico	Disney+
Peru	Disney+
Uruguay	Disney+
Usa	ESPN App, ESPN+
Venezuela	Disney+

Match Stats


Expected Goals (xG)
1.34	1.06
Ball Possession
76%	24%
Total shots
12	8
Shots on target
4	4
Big Chances
1	1
Corner Kicks
6	2
Passes
87% (516/596)	61% (115/189)
Yellow Cards
4	2
Red Cards
1	0
Expected Goals (xG)
1.34	1.06
xG on target (xGOT)
1.33	2.17
Total shots
12	8
Shots on target
4	4
Shots off target
6	3
Blocked Shots
2	1
Shots inside the Box
8	5
Shots outside the Box
4	3
Hit the Woodwork
0	0
Headed Goals
0	1
Big Chances
1	1
Corner Kicks
6	2
Touches in opposition box
22	14
Accurate through passes
0	0
Offsides
3	2
Free Kicks
15	8
Passes
87% (516/596)	61% (115/189)
Long passes
63% (44/70)	39% (21/54)
Passes in final third
79% (168/212)	52% (46/88)
Crosses
17% (4/23)	22% (2/9)
Expected assists (xA)
0.69	0.57
Throw-ins
23	16
Fouls
8	15
Tackles
100% (5/5)	47% (9/19)
Duels won
46	49
Clearances
22	32
Interceptions
4	9
Errors leading to shot
0	1
Errors leading to goal
0	0
Goalkeeper Saves
0	3
xGOT faced
2.17	1.33
Goals prevented
-0.83	0.18

Key Moments

Here there are

1st Half (1 - 1)
25', 0 - 1, Moguel C. ⚽,
32', Cruz D. 🟨,
32', 1 - 1, Aboukoura A. (Pen),
40', Totsch S. 🟨,
45+1', Leerman Y. 🟥,
45+1', Dia A. 🟨,
45+1', Karamoko H. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 3)
46', Karamoko H. ↓, Dambrot R. ↑,
50', Dia A. ↓, Morris J. ↑,
54', Ryan Z. 🟨,
57', 1 - 2, McCabe T. (Own goal),
59', Martin R. 🟥,
60', Moguel C. ↓, Serrano R. ↑,
60', Adams K. ↓, Perez E. ↑,
69', Tingey K. ↓, Mines B. ↑,
69', Skundrich D. ↓, Bidois R. ↑,
69', Dambrot R. 🟨,
76', Gleadle S. ↓, Wilson J. ↑,
76', McCabe T. ↓, Nyeman M. ↑,
76', Awuah K. ↓, Erlandson J. ↑,
79', 1 - 3, Wilson J. ⚽, Morris J. (A),
87', Goodrum P. ↓, Lancaster C. ↑,
89', 🟨,
90+1', 1 - 4, Serrano R. ⚽, Wilson J. (A),

Official Live

Chances of winning

Loudoun United
31.1%

Draw
26.5%

Louisville City
42.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

35.7%

25.1%

39.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

36.1%

25.4%

38.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Loudoun United has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.6%)

Louisville City has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Loudoun United than the current prediction. (+5%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Louisville City than the current prediction. (-3.6%)

Loudoun United - Louisville City Odds

	1	X	2	Marga
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.96 ↑ (2.57)	3.47 ↓ (3.65)	2.17 ↓ (2.34)	8.7% (9%)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

Preview Facts

One of today’s top clashes will feature two teams fighting for the top spots (ranked 3 in the zone Promotion ~ USL Championship (Play Offs: ) and 2 in the zone Promotion ~ USL Championship (Play Offs: )).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Loudoun won 1.
Both teams have been playing unpredictably.
Loudoun may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
Louisville City could have a small edge in this match.
In the last 12 head-to-head matches, Loudoun won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 10 matches, and goals 10:20. (average 0.8:1.7).
Including home matches between the teams, Loudoun won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 6:6. (average 1.2:1.2).

How many head-to-head matches has Loudoun United won against Louisville City?

Loudoun United has won 1 of their last 8 head-to-head matches.

How many head-to-head matches has Louisville City won against Loudoun United?

Louisville City has won 7 of their last 8 head-to-head matches.

What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?

The latest head-to-head matches between Loudoun United - Louisville City were as follows:

31.05.2025 Loudoun United - Louisville City 2:1

15.04.2025 Louisville City - Loudoun United 2:1

22.03.2025 Louisville City - Loudoun United 2:0

06.09.2024 Louisville City - Loudoun United 1:0

20.04.2024 Loudoun United - Louisville City 0:1

Latest results of Loudoun United

20.06.2025 Hartford Athletic - Loudoun United 3:0 ✺

14.06.2025 Loudoun United - Detroit City 3:2 ✺

07.06.2025 Loudoun United - Charleston Battery 1:1 ✺

31.05.2025 Loudoun United - Louisville City 2:1 ✺

17.05.2025 Miami - Loudoun United 2:1 ✺

Latest results of Louisville City

20.06.2025 North Carolina - Louisville City 2:1 ✺

14.06.2025 Louisville City - Birmingham Legion 4:2 ✺

11.06.2025 Louisville City - Rhode Island 2:1 ✺

07.06.2025 Louisville City - Tampa Bay Rowdies 2:1 ✺

31.05.2025 Loudoun United - Louisville City 2:1 ✺

USL Championship Table

2025

Eastern Conference

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
1	Louisville City	21	14	6	1	42:17	25	48
2	Charleston	20	14	2	4	41:21	20	44
3	North Carolina	20	10	3	7	31:27	4	33
4	Loudoun	20	9	4	7	31:29	2	31
5	Pittsburgh	21	7	7	7	20:19	1	28
6	Detroit	21	7	7	7	24:24	0	28
7	Hartford Athletic	20	7	5	8	29:23	6	26
8	Indy Eleven	20	6	5	9	32:37	-5	23
9	Rhode Island	21	5	6	10	15:23	-8	21
10	Miami FC	21	5	5	11	21:34	-13	20
11	Birmingham	21	4	8	9	24:33	-9	20
12	Tampa Bay	20	5	3	12	22:31	-9	18

Western Conference

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
1	FC Tulsa	21	12	6	3	37:23	14	42
2	Sacramento Republic	20	8	7	5	29:17	12	31
3	El Paso	20	8	7	5	33:27	6	31
4	San Antonio	20	8	5	7	25:26	-1	29
5	Phoenix Rising	21	7	7	7	35:37	-2	28
6	Lexington	21	7	7	7	23:27	-4	28
7	Orange County SC	19	8	3	8	28:25	3	27
8	New Mexico	19	8	3	8	26:28	-2	27
9	Colorado Springs	20	6	6	8	25:29	-4	24
10	Monterey Bay	22	6	6	10	23:29	-6	24
11	Oakland Roots	20	6	3	11	24:32	-8	21
12	Las Vegas Lights	21	5	5	11	17:39	-22	20

Promotion ~ USL Championship (Play Offs: )