Result
1:4
25/06/2025 at 18:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- USL Championship
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
---|
Argentina | Disney+ |
Brazil | Disney+ |
Chile | Disney+ |
Colombia | Disney+ |
Mexico | Disney+ |
Peru | Disney+ |
Uruguay | Disney+ |
Usa | ESPN App, ESPN+ |
Venezuela | Disney+ |
Match Stats
| |
---|
Expected Goals (xG) |
---|
1.34 | 1.06 |
Ball Possession |
---|
76% | 24% |
Total shots |
---|
12 | 8 |
Shots on target |
---|
4 | 4 |
Big Chances |
---|
1 | 1 |
Corner Kicks |
---|
6 | 2 |
Passes |
---|
87% (516/596) | 61% (115/189) |
Yellow Cards |
---|
4 | 2 |
Red Cards |
---|
1 | 0 |
Expected Goals (xG) |
---|
1.34 | 1.06 |
xG on target (xGOT) |
---|
1.33 | 2.17 |
Total shots |
---|
12 | 8 |
Shots on target |
---|
4 | 4 |
Shots off target |
---|
6 | 3 |
Blocked Shots |
---|
2 | 1 |
Shots inside the Box |
---|
8 | 5 |
Shots outside the Box |
---|
4 | 3 |
Hit the Woodwork |
---|
0 | 0 |
Headed Goals |
---|
0 | 1 |
Big Chances |
---|
1 | 1 |
Corner Kicks |
---|
6 | 2 |
Touches in opposition box |
---|
22 | 14 |
Accurate through passes |
---|
0 | 0 |
Offsides |
---|
3 | 2 |
Free Kicks |
---|
15 | 8 |
Passes |
---|
87% (516/596) | 61% (115/189) |
Long passes |
---|
63% (44/70) | 39% (21/54) |
Passes in final third |
---|
79% (168/212) | 52% (46/88) |
Crosses |
---|
17% (4/23) | 22% (2/9) |
Expected assists (xA) |
---|
0.69 | 0.57 |
Throw-ins |
---|
23 | 16 |
Fouls |
---|
8 | 15 |
Tackles |
---|
100% (5/5) | 47% (9/19) |
Duels won |
---|
46 | 49 |
Clearances |
---|
22 | 32 |
Interceptions |
---|
4 | 9 |
Errors leading to shot |
---|
0 | 1 |
Errors leading to goal |
---|
0 | 0 |
Goalkeeper Saves |
---|
0 | 3 |
xGOT faced |
---|
2.17 | 1.33 |
Goals prevented |
---|
-0.83 | 0.18 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (1 - 1)
- 25', 0 - 1, Moguel C. ⚽,
- 32', Cruz D. 🟨,
- 32', 1 - 1, Aboukoura A. (Pen),
- 40', Totsch S. 🟨,
- 45+1', Leerman Y. 🟥,
- 45+1', Dia A. 🟨,
- 45+1', Karamoko H. 🟨,
- 2nd Half (0 - 3)
- 46', Karamoko H. ↓, Dambrot R. ↑,
- 50', Dia A. ↓, Morris J. ↑,
- 54', Ryan Z. 🟨,
- 57', 1 - 2, McCabe T. (Own goal),
- 59', Martin R. 🟥,
- 60', Moguel C. ↓, Serrano R. ↑,
- 60', Adams K. ↓, Perez E. ↑,
- 69', Tingey K. ↓, Mines B. ↑,
- 69', Skundrich D. ↓, Bidois R. ↑,
- 69', Dambrot R. 🟨,
- 76', Gleadle S. ↓, Wilson J. ↑,
- 76', McCabe T. ↓, Nyeman M. ↑,
- 76', Awuah K. ↓, Erlandson J. ↑,
- 79', 1 - 3, Wilson J. ⚽, Morris J. (A),
- 87', Goodrum P. ↓, Lancaster C. ↑,
- 89', 🟨,
- 90+1', 1 - 4, Serrano R. ⚽, Wilson J. (A),
Chances of winning
Loudoun United 31.1% | Draw 26.5% | Louisville City 42.4% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Loudoun United has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.6%)Louisville City has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.2%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Loudoun United than the current prediction. (+5%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Louisville City than the current prediction. (-3.6%)
Loudoun United - Louisville City Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now (Initially) |
2.96 ↑ (2.57) |
3.47 ↓ (3.65) |
2.17 ↓ (2.34) |
8.7% (9%) | |
The most likely Over/Under: 2.75
Preview Facts
- One of today’s top clashes will feature two teams fighting for the top spots (ranked 3 in the zone Promotion ~ USL Championship (Play Offs: ) and 2 in the zone Promotion ~ USL Championship (Play Offs: )).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Loudoun won 1.
- Both teams have been playing unpredictably.
- Loudoun may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
- Louisville City could have a small edge in this match.
- In the last 12 head-to-head matches, Loudoun won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 10 matches, and goals 10:20. (average 0.8:1.7).
- Including home matches between the teams, Loudoun won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 6:6. (average 1.2:1.2).
How many head-to-head matches has Loudoun United won against Louisville City?
Loudoun United has won 1 of their last 8 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Louisville City won against Loudoun United?
Louisville City has won 7 of their last 8 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Loudoun United - Louisville City were as follows:
31.05.2025
Loudoun United
-
Louisville City
2:1
15.04.2025
Louisville City
-
Loudoun United
2:1
22.03.2025
Louisville City
-
Loudoun United
2:0
06.09.2024
Louisville City
-
Loudoun United
1:0
20.04.2024
Loudoun United
-
Louisville City
0:1
Latest results of Loudoun United
Latest results of Louisville City
USL Championship Table
2025Eastern Conference | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
1 | Charleston | 18 | 13 | 2 | 3 | 38:16 | 22 | 41 |
2 | Louisville City | 17 | 11 | 5 | 1 | 30:13 | 17 | 38 |
3 | Loudoun | 18 | 8 | 3 | 7 | 28:27 | 1 | 27 |
4 | North Carolina | 16 | 8 | 2 | 6 | 25:20 | 5 | 26 |
5 | Pittsburgh | 17 | 6 | 5 | 6 | 15:15 | 0 | 23 |
6 | Detroit | 17 | 5 | 6 | 6 | 20:22 | -2 | 21 |
7 | Indy Eleven | 16 | 5 | 5 | 6 | 26:28 | -2 | 20 |
8 | Miami FC | 17 | 5 | 4 | 8 | 17:25 | -8 | 19 |
9 | Birmingham | 18 | 4 | 6 | 8 | 19:25 | -6 | 18 |
10 | Rhode Island | 17 | 4 | 5 | 8 | 14:18 | -4 | 17 |
11 | Hartford Athletic | 16 | 4 | 4 | 8 | 19:21 | -2 | 16 |
12 | Tampa Bay | 16 | 4 | 2 | 10 | 17:25 | -8 | 14 |
Western Conference | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
1 | FC Tulsa | 17 | 9 | 5 | 3 | 27:18 | 9 | 32 |
2 | San Antonio | 16 | 8 | 3 | 5 | 23:21 | 2 | 27 |
3 | New Mexico | 16 | 8 | 1 | 7 | 22:21 | 1 | 25 |
4 | Sacramento Republic | 16 | 6 | 6 | 4 | 22:12 | 10 | 24 |
5 | Orange County SC | 16 | 7 | 2 | 7 | 26:23 | 3 | 23 |
6 | El Paso | 16 | 6 | 5 | 5 | 24:25 | -1 | 23 |
7 | Phoenix Rising | 17 | 6 | 5 | 6 | 27:30 | -3 | 23 |
8 | Monterey Bay | 18 | 6 | 4 | 8 | 19:23 | -4 | 22 |
9 | Colorado Springs | 17 | 5 | 6 | 6 | 22:23 | -1 | 21 |
10 | Oakland Roots | 17 | 6 | 2 | 9 | 19:25 | -6 | 20 |
11 | Lexington | 18 | 4 | 7 | 7 | 18:26 | -8 | 19 |
12 | Las Vegas Lights | 17 | 5 | 3 | 9 | 13:28 | -15 | 18 |
Promotion ~ USL Championship (Play Offs: )