Result
1:4
25/06/2025 at 18:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- USL Championship
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
Argentina | Disney+ |
Brazil | Disney+ |
Chile | Disney+ |
Colombia | Disney+ |
Mexico | Disney+ |
Peru | Disney+ |
Uruguay | Disney+ |
Usa | ESPN App, ESPN+ |
Venezuela | Disney+ |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.34 | 1.06 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 76% | 24% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 12 | 8 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 4 | 4 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 1 | 1 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 6 | 2 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 87% (516/596) | 61% (115/189) |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 4 | 2 |
| Red Cards |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.34 | 1.06 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 1.33 | 2.17 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 12 | 8 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 4 | 4 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 6 | 3 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 2 | 1 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 8 | 5 |
| Shots outside the Box |
|---|
| 4 | 3 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Headed Goals |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 1 | 1 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 6 | 2 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 22 | 14 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 3 | 2 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 15 | 8 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 87% (516/596) | 61% (115/189) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 63% (44/70) | 39% (21/54) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 79% (168/212) | 52% (46/88) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 17% (4/23) | 22% (2/9) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 0.69 | 0.57 |
| Throw-ins |
|---|
| 23 | 16 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 8 | 15 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 100% (5/5) | 47% (9/19) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 46 | 49 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 22 | 32 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 4 | 9 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 0 | 3 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 2.17 | 1.33 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| -0.83 | 0.18 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (1 - 1)
- 25', 0 - 1, Moguel C. ⚽,
- 32', Cruz D. 🟨,
- 32', 1 - 1, Aboukoura A. (Pen),
- 40', Totsch S. 🟨,
- 45+1', Leerman Y. 🟥,
- 45+1', Dia A. 🟨,
- 45+1', Karamoko H. 🟨,
- 2nd Half (0 - 3)
- 46', Karamoko H. ↓, Dambrot R. ↑,
- 50', Dia A. ↓, Morris J. ↑,
- 54', Ryan Z. 🟨,
- 57', 1 - 2, McCabe T. (Own goal),
- 59', Martin R. 🟥,
- 60', Moguel C. ↓, Serrano R. ↑,
- 60', Adams K. ↓, Perez E. ↑,
- 69', Tingey K. ↓, Mines B. ↑,
- 69', Skundrich D. ↓, Bidois R. ↑,
- 69', Dambrot R. 🟨,
- 76', Gleadle S. ↓, Wilson J. ↑,
- 76', McCabe T. ↓, Nyeman M. ↑,
- 76', Awuah K. ↓, Erlandson J. ↑,
- 79', 1 - 3, Wilson J. ⚽, Morris J. (A),
- 87', Goodrum P. ↓, Lancaster C. ↑,
- 89', 🟨,
- 90+1', 1 - 4, Serrano R. ⚽, Wilson J. (A),
Chances of winning
Loudoun United 31.1% | Draw 26.5% | Louisville City 42.4% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Loudoun United - Louisville City Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now (Initially) |
2.96 ↑ (2.57) |
3.47 ↓ (3.65) |
2.17 ↓ (2.34) |
8.7% (9%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.75
Preview Facts
- One of today’s top clashes will feature two teams fighting for the top spots (ranked 3 in the zone Promotion ~ USL Championship (Play Offs: ) and 2 in the zone Promotion ~ USL Championship (Play Offs: )).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Loudoun won 1.
- Both teams have been playing unpredictably.
- Loudoun may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
- Louisville City could have a small edge in this match.
- In the last 12 head-to-head matches, Loudoun won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 10 matches, and goals 10:20. (average 0.8:1.7).
- Including home matches between the teams, Loudoun won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 6:6. (average 1.2:1.2).
How many head-to-head matches has Loudoun United won against Louisville City?
Loudoun United has won 1 of their last 8 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Louisville City won against Loudoun United?
Louisville City has won 7 of their last 8 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Loudoun United - Louisville City were as follows:
31.05.2025
Loudoun United
-
Louisville City
2:1
15.04.2025
Louisville City
-
Loudoun United
2:1
22.03.2025
Louisville City
-
Loudoun United
2:0
06.09.2024
Louisville City
-
Loudoun United
1:0
20.04.2024
Loudoun United
-
Louisville City
0:1
Latest results of Loudoun United
Latest results of Louisville City
Draw
Play Offs1/8-finals| 1 | FC Tulsa | Colorado Springs | 1 : 0 |
| 2 | El Paso | Phoenix Rising | 0 : 1 |
| 3 | New Mexico | San Antonio | 2 : 0 |
| 4 | Sacramento Republic | Orange County SC | 0 : 1 |
| 5 | Pittsburgh | Hartford Athletic | 1 : 0 |
| 6 | Louisville City | Detroit | 0 : 1 |
| 7 | North Carolina | Loudoun | 1 : 0 |
| 8 | Charleston | Rhode Island | 0 : 1 |
Quarter-finals| 1 | FC Tulsa | Phoenix Rising | 1 : 0 |
| 2 | New Mexico | Orange County SC | 2 : 1 |
| 3 | Pittsburgh | Detroit | 1 : 0 |
| 4 | North Carolina | Rhode Island | 0 : 2 |
Semi-finals| 1 | FC Tulsa | New Mexico | 3 : 0 |
| 2 | Pittsburgh | Rhode Island | 1 : 0 |
Final