Loudoun United vs Louisville City – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Football USL Championship
Result
1:4
25/06/2025 at 18:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • USL Championship
  • Where to Watch on TV:
argentinaArgentinaDisney+
brazilBrazilDisney+
chileChileDisney+
colombiaColombiaDisney+
mexicoMexicoDisney+
peruPeruDisney+
uruguayUruguayDisney+
usaUsaESPN App, ESPN+
venezuelaVenezuelaDisney+

Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
1.341.06
Ball Possession
76%24%
Total shots
128
Shots on target
44
Big Chances
11
Corner Kicks
62
Passes
87% (516/596)61% (115/189)
Yellow Cards
42
Red Cards
10
Expected Goals (xG)
1.341.06
xG on target (xGOT)
1.332.17
Total shots
128
Shots on target
44
Shots off target
63
Blocked Shots
21
Shots inside the Box
85
Shots outside the Box
43
Hit the Woodwork
00
Headed Goals
01
Big Chances
11
Corner Kicks
62
Touches in opposition box
2214
Accurate through passes
00
Offsides
32
Free Kicks
158
Passes
87% (516/596)61% (115/189)
Long passes
63% (44/70)39% (21/54)
Passes in final third
79% (168/212)52% (46/88)
Crosses
17% (4/23)22% (2/9)
Expected assists (xA)
0.690.57
Throw-ins
2316
Fouls
815
Tackles
100% (5/5)47% (9/19)
Duels won
4649
Clearances
2232
Interceptions
49
Errors leading to shot
01
Errors leading to goal
00
Goalkeeper Saves
03
xGOT faced
2.171.33
Goals prevented
-0.830.18

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (1 - 1)
  • 25', 0 - 1, Moguel C. ⚽,
  • 32', Cruz D. 🟨,
  • 32', 1 - 1, Aboukoura A. (Pen),
  • 40', Totsch S. 🟨,
  • 45+1', Leerman Y. 🟥,
  • 45+1', Dia A. 🟨,
  • 45+1', Karamoko H. 🟨,
  • 2nd Half (0 - 3)
  • 46', Karamoko H. ↓, Dambrot R. ↑,
  • 50', Dia A. ↓, Morris J. ↑,
  • 54', Ryan Z. 🟨,
  • 57', 1 - 2, McCabe T. (Own goal),
  • 59', Martin R. 🟥,
  • 60', Moguel C. ↓, Serrano R. ↑,
  • 60', Adams K. ↓, Perez E. ↑,
  • 69', Tingey K. ↓, Mines B. ↑,
  • 69', Skundrich D. ↓, Bidois R. ↑,
  • 69', Dambrot R. 🟨,
  • 76', Gleadle S. ↓, Wilson J. ↑,
  • 76', McCabe T. ↓, Nyeman M. ↑,
  • 76', Awuah K. ↓, Erlandson J. ↑,
  • 79', 1 - 3, Wilson J. ⚽, Morris J. (A),
  • 87', Goodrum P. ↓, Lancaster C. ↑,
  • 89', 🟨,
  • 90+1', 1 - 4, Serrano R. ⚽, Wilson J. (A),

Official Live

Chances of winning


Loudoun United
31.1%		Draw
26.5%		Louisville City
42.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
35.7% 25.1% 39.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

36.1% 25.4% 38.8%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Loudoun United has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.6%)
  • Louisville City has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.2%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Loudoun United than the current prediction. (+5%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Louisville City than the current prediction. (-3.6%)
    •

    Loudoun United - Louisville City Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)    		 2.96 ↑
    (2.57)    		 3.47 ↓
    (3.65)    		 2.17 ↓
    (2.34)    		 8.7%
    (9%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 2.75
    What is the prediction for Loudoun United - Louisville City?
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 1 high ROI users predict this event. Loudoun (votes: 1 - 100%).
  • Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:
    • O/U 2.5 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
    •
    Preview Facts
    • One of today’s top clashes will feature two teams fighting for the top spots (ranked 3 in the zone Promotion ~ USL Championship (Play Offs: ) and 2 in the zone Promotion ~ USL Championship (Play Offs: )).
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Loudoun won 1.
    • Both teams have been playing unpredictably.
    • Loudoun may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
    • Louisville City could have a small edge in this match.
    • In the last 12 head-to-head matches, Loudoun won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 10 matches, and goals 10:20. (average 0.8:1.7).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Loudoun won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 6:6. (average 1.2:1.2).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Loudoun United - Louisville City were as follows:
    31.05.2025 Loudoun United - Louisville City 2:1
    15.04.2025 Louisville City - Loudoun United 2:1
    22.03.2025 Louisville City - Loudoun United 2:0
    06.09.2024 Louisville City - Loudoun United 1:0
    20.04.2024 Loudoun United - Louisville City 0:1
    Latest results of Loudoun United
    20.06.2025 Hartford Athletic - Loudoun United 3:0 ✺
    14.06.2025 Loudoun United - Detroit City 3:2
    07.06.2025 Loudoun United - Charleston Battery 1:1 ✺
    31.05.2025 Loudoun United - Louisville City 2:1
    17.05.2025 Miami - Loudoun United 2:1
    Latest results of Louisville City
    20.06.2025 North Carolina - Louisville City 2:1
    14.06.2025 Louisville City - Birmingham Legion 4:2 ✺
    11.06.2025 Louisville City - Rhode Island 2:1 ✺
    07.06.2025 Louisville City - Tampa Bay Rowdies 2:1
    31.05.2025 Loudoun United - Louisville City 2:1
    USL Championship Table
    2026

    Eastern Conference
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Charleston00000:000
    2Tampa Bay00000:000
    3Pittsburgh00000:000
    4Indy Eleven00000:000
    5Detroit00000:000
    6Louisville City00000:000
    7Miami FC00000:000
    8Hartford Athletic00000:000
    9Birmingham00000:000
    10Loudoun00000:000
    11Rhode Island00000:000
    12Sporting Jax00000:000
    13Brooklyn00000:000


    Western Conference
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Orange County SC00000:000
    2New Mexico00000:000
    3Sacramento Republic00000:000
    4FC Tulsa00000:000
    5Colorado Springs00000:000
    6San Antonio00000:000
    7Phoenix Rising00000:000
    8Oakland Roots00000:000
    9Monterey Bay00000:000
    10Las Vegas Lights00000:000
    11El Paso00000:000
    12Lexington00000:000

          Promotion ~ USL Championship (Play Offs: 1/8~finals)

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