Loudoun United vs Louisville City – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Football USL Championship
Football USL Championship Loudoun United - Louisville City
Result
1:4
25/06/2025 at 18:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • USL Championship
  • Where to Watch on TV:
argentinaArgentinaDisney+
brazilBrazilDisney+
chileChileDisney+
colombiaColombiaDisney+
mexicoMexicoDisney+
peruPeruDisney+
uruguayUruguayDisney+
usaUsaESPN App, ESPN+
venezuelaVenezuelaDisney+

Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
1.341.06
Ball Possession
76%24%
Total shots
128
Shots on target
44
Big Chances
11
Corner Kicks
62
Passes
87% (516/596)61% (115/189)
Yellow Cards
42
Red Cards
10
Expected Goals (xG)
1.341.06
xG on target (xGOT)
1.332.17
Total shots
128
Shots on target
44
Shots off target
63
Blocked Shots
21
Shots inside the Box
85
Shots outside the Box
43
Hit the Woodwork
00
Headed Goals
01
Big Chances
11
Corner Kicks
62
Touches in opposition box
2214
Accurate through passes
00
Offsides
32
Free Kicks
158
Passes
87% (516/596)61% (115/189)
Long passes
63% (44/70)39% (21/54)
Passes in final third
79% (168/212)52% (46/88)
Crosses
17% (4/23)22% (2/9)
Expected assists (xA)
0.690.57
Throw-ins
2316
Fouls
815
Tackles
100% (5/5)47% (9/19)
Duels won
4649
Clearances
2232
Interceptions
49
Errors leading to shot
01
Errors leading to goal
00
Goalkeeper Saves
03
xGOT faced
2.171.33
Goals prevented
-0.830.18

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (1 - 1)
  • 25', 0 - 1, Moguel C. ⚽,
  • 32', Cruz D. 🟨,
  • 32', 1 - 1, Aboukoura A. (Pen),
  • 40', Totsch S. 🟨,
  • 45+1', Leerman Y. 🟥,
  • 45+1', Dia A. 🟨,
  • 45+1', Karamoko H. 🟨,
  • 2nd Half (0 - 3)
  • 46', Karamoko H. ↓, Dambrot R. ↑,
  • 50', Dia A. ↓, Morris J. ↑,
  • 54', Ryan Z. 🟨,
  • 57', 1 - 2, McCabe T. (Own goal),
  • 59', Martin R. 🟥,
  • 60', Moguel C. ↓, Serrano R. ↑,
  • 60', Adams K. ↓, Perez E. ↑,
  • 69', Tingey K. ↓, Mines B. ↑,
  • 69', Skundrich D. ↓, Bidois R. ↑,
  • 69', Dambrot R. 🟨,
  • 76', Gleadle S. ↓, Wilson J. ↑,
  • 76', McCabe T. ↓, Nyeman M. ↑,
  • 76', Awuah K. ↓, Erlandson J. ↑,
  • 79', 1 - 3, Wilson J. ⚽, Morris J. (A),
  • 87', Goodrum P. ↓, Lancaster C. ↑,
  • 89', 🟨,
  • 90+1', 1 - 4, Serrano R. ⚽, Wilson J. (A),

Official Live

Chances of winning


Loudoun United
31.1%		Draw
26.5%		Louisville City
42.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
35.7% 25.1% 39.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

36.1% 25.4% 38.8%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Loudoun United has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.6%)
  • Louisville City has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.2%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Loudoun United than the current prediction. (+5%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Louisville City than the current prediction. (-3.6%)
    •

    Loudoun United - Louisville City Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)    		 2.96 ↑
    (2.57)    		 3.47 ↓
    (3.65)    		 2.17 ↓
    (2.34)    		 8.7%
    (9%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 2.75
    Preview Facts
    • One of today’s top clashes will feature two teams fighting for the top spots (ranked 3 in the zone Promotion ~ USL Championship (Play Offs: ) and 2 in the zone Promotion ~ USL Championship (Play Offs: )).
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Loudoun won 1.
    • Both teams have been playing unpredictably.
    • Loudoun may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
    • Louisville City could have a small edge in this match.
    • In the last 12 head-to-head matches, Loudoun won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 10 matches, and goals 10:20. (average 0.8:1.7).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Loudoun won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 6:6. (average 1.2:1.2).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Loudoun United - Louisville City were as follows:
    31.05.2025 Loudoun United - Louisville City 2:1
    15.04.2025 Louisville City - Loudoun United 2:1
    22.03.2025 Louisville City - Loudoun United 2:0
    06.09.2024 Louisville City - Loudoun United 1:0
    20.04.2024 Loudoun United - Louisville City 0:1
    Latest results of Loudoun United
    20.06.2025 Hartford Athletic - Loudoun United 3:0 ✺
    14.06.2025 Loudoun United - Detroit City 3:2
    07.06.2025 Loudoun United - Charleston Battery 1:1 ✺
    31.05.2025 Loudoun United - Louisville City 2:1
    17.05.2025 Miami - Loudoun United 2:1
    Latest results of Louisville City
    20.06.2025 North Carolina - Louisville City 2:1
    14.06.2025 Louisville City - Birmingham Legion 4:2 ✺
    11.06.2025 Louisville City - Rhode Island 2:1 ✺
    07.06.2025 Louisville City - Tampa Bay Rowdies 2:1
    31.05.2025 Loudoun United - Louisville City 2:1
    USL Championship Table
    2025

    Eastern Conference
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Louisville City ✔ 29217155:193670
    2Charleston ✔ 30195662:323062
    3North Carolina ✔ 301361140:39145
    4Hartford Athletic ✔ 291351148:351344
    5Pittsburgh ✔ 291271032:28443
    6Loudoun ✔ 301261245:48-342
    7Rhode Island291081128:27138
    8Detroit29991132:34-236
    9Indy Eleven291051443:50-735
    10Tampa Bay29961442:49-733
    11Miami FC29761628:44-1627
    12Birmingham305121336:50-1427


    Western Conference
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1FC Tulsa ✔ 29159547:301754
    2Sacramento Republic ✔ 29139744:261848
    3New Mexico ✔ 291361043:40345
    4El Paso291011845:40541
    5Phoenix Rising29912848:48039
    6San Antonio291071234:36-237
    7Colorado Springs291071235:44-937
    8Orange County SC29991142:44-236
    9Lexington29991131:39-836
    10Oakland Roots29781439:52-1329
    11Monterey Bay29771526:44-1828
    12Las Vegas Lights29681522:49-2726

          Promotion ~ USL Championship (Play Offs: )

    Clinched Spots for Teams
    Louisville City is Qualified for USL Championship (Play Offs )
    Charleston is Qualified for USL Championship (Play Offs )
    North Carolina is Qualified for USL Championship (Play Offs )
    Hartford Athletic is Qualified for USL Championship (Play Offs )
    Pittsburgh is Qualified for USL Championship (Play Offs )
    Loudoun is Qualified for USL Championship (Play Offs )
    FC Tulsa is Qualified for USL Championship (Play Offs )
    Sacramento Republic is Qualified for USL Championship (Play Offs )
    New Mexico is Qualified for USL Championship (Play Offs )
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