Result
2:1
07/06/2025 at 20:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- USL Championship
- Referee: Wiseman T. (Usa)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
---|
Argentina | Disney+ |
Brazil | Disney+ |
Chile | Disney+ |
Colombia | Disney+ |
Mexico | Disney+ |
Peru | Disney+ |
Uruguay | Disney+ |
Usa | ESPN App, ESPN+ |
Venezuela | Disney+ |
Match Stats
| |
---|
Expected Goals (xG) |
---|
1.24 | 0.75 |
Ball Possession |
---|
46% | 54% |
Total shots |
---|
11 | 9 |
Shots on target |
---|
3 | 4 |
Big Chances |
---|
1 | 0 |
Corner Kicks |
---|
9 | 3 |
Passes |
---|
79% (306/386) | 81% (383/473) |
Yellow Cards |
---|
4 | 1 |
Expected Goals (xG) |
---|
1.24 | 0.75 |
xG on target (xGOT) |
---|
1.62 | 1.08 |
Total shots |
---|
11 | 9 |
Shots on target |
---|
3 | 4 |
Shots off target |
---|
6 | 3 |
Blocked Shots |
---|
2 | 2 |
Shots inside the Box |
---|
6 | 5 |
Shots outside the Box |
---|
5 | 4 |
Hit the Woodwork |
---|
0 | 0 |
Big Chances |
---|
1 | 0 |
Corner Kicks |
---|
9 | 3 |
Touches in opposition box |
---|
21 | 9 |
Accurate through passes |
---|
0 | 0 |
Offsides |
---|
3 | 1 |
Free Kicks |
---|
11 | 15 |
Passes |
---|
79% (306/386) | 81% (383/473) |
Long passes |
---|
47% (25/53) | 40% (20/50) |
Passes in final third |
---|
61% (90/148) | 65% (55/85) |
Crosses |
---|
30% (9/30) | 46% (6/13) |
Expected assists (xA) |
---|
1.26 | 0.89 |
Throw-ins |
---|
32 | 18 |
Fouls |
---|
15 | 11 |
Tackles |
---|
81% (13/16) | 75% (15/20) |
Duels won |
---|
44 | 62 |
Clearances |
---|
10 | 52 |
Interceptions |
---|
22 | 3 |
Errors leading to shot |
---|
0 | 0 |
Errors leading to goal |
---|
0 | 0 |
Goalkeeper Saves |
---|
3 | 1 |
xGOT faced |
---|
1.08 | 1.62 |
Goals prevented |
---|
0.08 | -0.38 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (2 - 1)
- 7', 1 - 0, Goodrum P. ⚽, McFadden A. (A),
- 16', 2 - 0, Serrano R. ⚽, Davila T. (A),
- 17', Ordonez A. 🟨,
- 29', Goodrum P. 🟨,
- 31', 2 - 1, Pacius W. ⚽, Bassett O. (A),
- 2nd Half (0 - 0)
- 54', Ordonez A. ↓, Jones J. ↑,
- 55', Moon N. ↓, Alvarez L. ↑,
- 55', Bassett O. ↓, Hilton L. ↑,
- 71', Davila E. ↓, Lambert K. ↑,
- 71', Goodrum P. ↓, Perez A. ↑,
- 76', Fernandes L. ↓, Arteaga M. ↑,
- 76', Bodily B. ↓, Skinner J. ↑,
- 77', Hilton L. 🟨,
- 80', Davila T. 🟨,
- 83', Davila T. ↓, McCabe N. ↑,
- 83', Serrano R. ↓, Lancaster C. ↑,
- 87', Castellanos R. ↓, Mustali E. ↑,
- 89', McCabe N. 🟨,
Chances of winning
Louisville City 61.1% | Draw 22.5% | Tampa Bay Rowdies 16.3% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Louisville City has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.9%)Tampa Bay Rowdies has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.7%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Louisville City than the current prediction. (-4.4%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Tampa Bay Rowdies than the current prediction. (-1.2%)
Louisville City - Tampa Bay Rowdies Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now (Initially) |
1.51 ↑ (1.47) |
4.1 ↑ (3.96) |
5.65 ↓ (6.79) |
8.2% (8%) | |
The most likely Over/Under: 3.00
What is the prediction for Louisville City - Tampa Bay Rowdies?
High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 1 high ROI users predict this event. Louisville City (votes: 1 - 100%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.
Preview Facts
- A leader and an outsider will face off in this match (ranked 2 in the zone Promotion ~ USL Championship (Play Offs: ) and 12).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Louisville City won 2.
- Louisville City has had mixed results lately (last 5 games: 1 wins).
- Tampa Bay's performance has dropped in recent matches (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).
- Recently, Tampa Bay has had a series of home games.
- In this match, Louisville City is considered a favorite.
- In the last 16 head-to-head matches, Louisville City won 8 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 6 matches, and goals 24:22. (average 1.5:1.4).
- Including home matches between the teams, Louisville City won 6 matches, drew 1 match, lost 2 matches, and goals 14:10. (average 1.6:1.1).
How many head-to-head matches has Louisville City won against Tampa Bay Rowdies?
Louisville City has won 3 of their last 6 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Tampa Bay Rowdies won against Louisville City?
Tampa Bay Rowdies has won 3 of their last 6 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Louisville City - Tampa Bay Rowdies were as follows:
19.04.2025
Tampa Bay Rowdies
-
Louisville City
1:2
12.10.2024
Louisville City
-
Tampa Bay Rowdies
2:1
15.06.2024
Tampa Bay Rowdies
-
Louisville City
3:2
14.10.2023
Louisville City
-
Tampa Bay Rowdies
2:3
09.09.2023
Tampa Bay Rowdies
-
Louisville City
2:1
Latest results of Louisville City
Latest results of Tampa Bay Rowdies
USL Championship Table
2025Eastern Conference | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
1 | Charleston | 18 | 13 | 2 | 3 | 38:16 | 22 | 41 |
2 | Louisville City | 17 | 11 | 5 | 1 | 30:13 | 17 | 38 |
3 | Loudoun | 18 | 8 | 3 | 7 | 28:27 | 1 | 27 |
4 | North Carolina | 16 | 8 | 2 | 6 | 25:20 | 5 | 26 |
5 | Pittsburgh | 17 | 6 | 5 | 6 | 15:15 | 0 | 23 |
6 | Detroit | 17 | 5 | 6 | 6 | 20:22 | -2 | 21 |
7 | Indy Eleven | 16 | 5 | 5 | 6 | 26:28 | -2 | 20 |
8 | Miami FC | 17 | 5 | 4 | 8 | 17:25 | -8 | 19 |
9 | Birmingham | 18 | 4 | 6 | 8 | 19:25 | -6 | 18 |
10 | Rhode Island | 17 | 4 | 5 | 8 | 14:18 | -4 | 17 |
11 | Hartford Athletic | 16 | 4 | 4 | 8 | 19:21 | -2 | 16 |
12 | Tampa Bay | 16 | 4 | 2 | 10 | 17:25 | -8 | 14 |
Western Conference | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
1 | FC Tulsa | 17 | 9 | 5 | 3 | 27:18 | 9 | 32 |
2 | San Antonio | 16 | 8 | 3 | 5 | 23:21 | 2 | 27 |
3 | New Mexico | 16 | 8 | 1 | 7 | 22:21 | 1 | 25 |
4 | Sacramento Republic | 16 | 6 | 6 | 4 | 22:12 | 10 | 24 |
5 | Orange County SC | 16 | 7 | 2 | 7 | 26:23 | 3 | 23 |
6 | El Paso | 16 | 6 | 5 | 5 | 24:25 | -1 | 23 |
7 | Phoenix Rising | 17 | 6 | 5 | 6 | 27:30 | -3 | 23 |
8 | Monterey Bay | 18 | 6 | 4 | 8 | 19:23 | -4 | 22 |
9 | Colorado Springs | 17 | 5 | 6 | 6 | 22:23 | -1 | 21 |
10 | Oakland Roots | 17 | 6 | 2 | 9 | 19:25 | -6 | 20 |
11 | Lexington | 18 | 4 | 7 | 7 | 18:26 | -8 | 19 |
12 | Las Vegas Lights | 17 | 5 | 3 | 9 | 13:28 | -15 | 18 |
Promotion ~ USL Championship (Play Offs: )