Result
2:1
07/06/2025 at 20:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- USL Championship
- Referee: Wiseman T. (Usa)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
Argentina | Disney+ |
Brazil | Disney+ |
Chile | Disney+ |
Colombia | Disney+ |
Mexico | Disney+ |
Peru | Disney+ |
Uruguay | Disney+ |
Usa | ESPN App, ESPN+ |
Venezuela | Disney+ |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.24 | 0.75 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 46% | 54% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 11 | 9 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 3 | 4 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 9 | 3 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 79% (306/386) | 81% (383/473) |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 4 | 1 |
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.24 | 0.75 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 1.62 | 1.08 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 11 | 9 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 3 | 4 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 6 | 3 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 2 | 2 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 6 | 5 |
| Shots outside the Box |
|---|
| 5 | 4 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 9 | 3 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 21 | 9 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 3 | 1 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 11 | 15 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 79% (306/386) | 81% (383/473) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 47% (25/53) | 40% (20/50) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 61% (90/148) | 65% (55/85) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 30% (9/30) | 46% (6/13) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 1.26 | 0.89 |
| Throw-ins |
|---|
| 32 | 18 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 15 | 11 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 81% (13/16) | 75% (15/20) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 44 | 62 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 10 | 52 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 22 | 3 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 3 | 1 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 1.08 | 1.62 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| 0.08 | -0.38 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (2 - 1)
- 7', 1 - 0, Goodrum P. ⚽, McFadden A. (A),
- 16', 2 - 0, Serrano R. ⚽, Davila T. (A),
- 17', Ordonez A. 🟨,
- 29', Goodrum P. 🟨,
- 31', 2 - 1, Pacius W. ⚽, Bassett O. (A),
- 2nd Half (0 - 0)
- 54', Ordonez A. ↓, Jones J. ↑,
- 55', Moon N. ↓, Alvarez L. ↑,
- 55', Bassett O. ↓, Hilton L. ↑,
- 71', Davila E. ↓, Lambert K. ↑,
- 71', Goodrum P. ↓, Perez A. ↑,
- 76', Fernandes L. ↓, Arteaga M. ↑,
- 76', Bodily B. ↓, Skinner J. ↑,
- 77', Hilton L. 🟨,
- 80', Davila T. 🟨,
- 83', Davila T. ↓, McCabe N. ↑,
- 83', Serrano R. ↓, Lancaster C. ↑,
- 87', Castellanos R. ↓, Mustali E. ↑,
- 89', McCabe N. 🟨,
Chances of winning
Louisville City 61.1% | Draw 22.5% | Tampa Bay Rowdies 16.3% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Louisville City - Tampa Bay Rowdies Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now (Initially) |
1.51 ↑ (1.47) |
4.1 ↑ (3.96) |
5.65 ↓ (6.79) |
8.2% (8%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 3.00
What is the prediction for Louisville City - Tampa Bay Rowdies?
High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 1 high ROI users predict this event. Louisville City (votes: 1 - 100%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.
Preview Facts
- A leader and an outsider will face off in this match (ranked 2 in the zone Promotion ~ USL Championship (Play Offs: ) and 12).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Louisville City won 2.
- Louisville City has had mixed results lately (last 5 games: 1 wins).
- Tampa Bay's performance has dropped in recent matches (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).
- Recently, Tampa Bay has had a series of home games.
- In this match, Louisville City is considered a favorite.
- In the last 16 head-to-head matches, Louisville City won 8 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 6 matches, and goals 24:22. (average 1.5:1.4).
- Including home matches between the teams, Louisville City won 6 matches, drew 1 match, lost 2 matches, and goals 14:10. (average 1.6:1.1).
How many head-to-head matches has Louisville City won against Tampa Bay Rowdies?
Louisville City has won 3 of their last 6 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Tampa Bay Rowdies won against Louisville City?
Tampa Bay Rowdies has won 3 of their last 6 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Louisville City - Tampa Bay Rowdies were as follows:
19.04.2025
Tampa Bay Rowdies
-
Louisville City
1:2
12.10.2024
Louisville City
-
Tampa Bay Rowdies
2:1
15.06.2024
Tampa Bay Rowdies
-
Louisville City
3:2
14.10.2023
Louisville City
-
Tampa Bay Rowdies
2:3
09.09.2023
Tampa Bay Rowdies
-
Louisville City
2:1
Latest results of Louisville City
Latest results of Tampa Bay Rowdies
Draw
Play Offs1/8-finals| 1 | FC Tulsa | Colorado Springs | 1 : 0 |
| 2 | El Paso | Phoenix Rising | 0 : 1 |
| 3 | New Mexico | San Antonio | 2 : 0 |
| 4 | Sacramento Republic | Orange County SC | 0 : 1 |
| 5 | Pittsburgh | Hartford Athletic | 1 : 0 |
| 6 | Louisville City | Detroit | 0 : 1 |
| 7 | North Carolina | Loudoun | 1 : 0 |
| 8 | Charleston | Rhode Island | 0 : 1 |
Quarter-finals| 1 | FC Tulsa | Phoenix Rising | 1 : 0 |
| 2 | New Mexico | Orange County SC | 2 : 1 |
| 3 | Pittsburgh | Detroit | 1 : 0 |
| 4 | North Carolina | Rhode Island | 0 : 2 |
Semi-finals| 1 | FC Tulsa | New Mexico | |
| 2 | Pittsburgh | Rhode Island | |
Final