Louisville City vs Tampa Bay Rowdies – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Football USL Championship
Result
2:1
07/06/2025 at 20:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • USL Championship
  • Referee: Wiseman T. (Usa)
  • Where to Watch on TV:
argentinaArgentinaDisney+
brazilBrazilDisney+
chileChileDisney+
colombiaColombiaDisney+
mexicoMexicoDisney+
peruPeruDisney+
uruguayUruguayDisney+
usaUsaESPN App, ESPN+
venezuelaVenezuelaDisney+

Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
1.240.75
Ball Possession
46%54%
Total shots
119
Shots on target
34
Big Chances
10
Corner Kicks
93
Passes
79% (306/386)81% (383/473)
Yellow Cards
41
Expected Goals (xG)
1.240.75
xG on target (xGOT)
1.621.08
Total shots
119
Shots on target
34
Shots off target
63
Blocked Shots
22
Shots inside the Box
65
Shots outside the Box
54
Hit the Woodwork
00
Big Chances
10
Corner Kicks
93
Touches in opposition box
219
Accurate through passes
00
Offsides
31
Free Kicks
1115
Passes
79% (306/386)81% (383/473)
Long passes
47% (25/53)40% (20/50)
Passes in final third
61% (90/148)65% (55/85)
Crosses
30% (9/30)46% (6/13)
Expected assists (xA)
1.260.89
Throw-ins
3218
Fouls
1511
Tackles
81% (13/16)75% (15/20)
Duels won
4462
Clearances
1052
Interceptions
223
Errors leading to shot
00
Errors leading to goal
00
Goalkeeper Saves
31
xGOT faced
1.081.62
Goals prevented
0.08-0.38

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (2 - 1)
  • 7', 1 - 0, Goodrum P. ⚽, McFadden A. (A),
  • 16', 2 - 0, Serrano R. ⚽, Davila T. (A),
  • 17', Ordonez A. 🟨,
  • 29', Goodrum P. 🟨,
  • 31', 2 - 1, Pacius W. ⚽, Bassett O. (A),
  • 2nd Half (0 - 0)
  • 54', Ordonez A. ↓, Jones J. ↑,
  • 55', Moon N. ↓, Alvarez L. ↑,
  • 55', Bassett O. ↓, Hilton L. ↑,
  • 71', Davila E. ↓, Lambert K. ↑,
  • 71', Goodrum P. ↓, Perez A. ↑,
  • 76', Fernandes L. ↓, Arteaga M. ↑,
  • 76', Bodily B. ↓, Skinner J. ↑,
  • 77', Hilton L. 🟨,
  • 80', Davila T. 🟨,
  • 83', Davila T. ↓, McCabe N. ↑,
  • 83', Serrano R. ↓, Lancaster C. ↑,
  • 87', Castellanos R. ↓, Mustali E. ↑,
  • 89', McCabe N. 🟨,

Highlights

Official Live

Chances of winning


Louisville City
61.1%		Draw
22.5%		Tampa Bay Rowdies
16.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
63% 23.4% 13.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

56.7% 21.1% 15.1%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Louisville City has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.9%)
  • Tampa Bay Rowdies has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.7%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Louisville City than the current prediction. (-4.4%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Tampa Bay Rowdies than the current prediction. (-1.2%)
    •

    Louisville City - Tampa Bay Rowdies Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)    		 1.51 ↑
    (1.47)    		 4.1 ↑
    (3.96)    		 5.65 ↓
    (6.79)    		 8.2%
    (8%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 3.00
    What is the prediction for Louisville City - Tampa Bay Rowdies?
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 1 high ROI users predict this event. Louisville City (votes: 1 - 100%).
  • Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:
    • AH -0.5 - Louisville City (1.59) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • O/U 3.5 - under (votes: 1 - 100%) .
  • Overall votes from High ROI Users Predictions (including all markets): 2 high ROI users predict this event. Louisville City (votes: 2 - 100%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.
    •
    Preview Facts
    • A leader and an outsider will face off in this match (ranked 2 in the zone Promotion ~ USL Championship (Play Offs: ) and 12).
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Louisville City won 2.
    • Louisville City has had mixed results lately (last 5 games: 1 wins).
    • Tampa Bay's performance has dropped in recent matches (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).
    • Recently, Tampa Bay has had a series of home games.
    • In this match, Louisville City is considered a favorite.
    • In the last 16 head-to-head matches, Louisville City won 8 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 6 matches, and goals 24:22. (average 1.5:1.4).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Louisville City won 6 matches, drew 1 match, lost 2 matches, and goals 14:10. (average 1.6:1.1).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Louisville City - Tampa Bay Rowdies were as follows:
    19.04.2025 Tampa Bay Rowdies - Louisville City 1:2
    12.10.2024 Louisville City - Tampa Bay Rowdies 2:1
    15.06.2024 Tampa Bay Rowdies - Louisville City 3:2
    14.10.2023 Louisville City - Tampa Bay Rowdies 2:3
    09.09.2023 Tampa Bay Rowdies - Louisville City 2:1
    Latest results of Louisville City
    31.05.2025 Loudoun United - Louisville City 2:1
    24.05.2025 Monterey Bay - Louisville City 0:2
    17.05.2025 Hartford Athletic - Louisville City 1:1
    10.05.2025 Louisville City - Pittsburgh Riverhounds 0:0
    07.05.2025 Louisville City - Minnesota United 0:1
    Latest results of Tampa Bay Rowdies
    31.05.2025 Tampa Bay Rowdies - South Georgia Tormenta 2:1
    24.05.2025 Lexington - Tampa Bay Rowdies 1:1
    17.05.2025 Tampa Bay Rowdies - Rhode Island 0:3
    10.05.2025 Tampa Bay Rowdies - Charleston Battery 1:3
    07.05.2025 Tampa Bay Rowdies - Orlando City 0:5 ✺
    USL Championship Table
    2026

    Eastern Conference
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Charleston00000:000
    2Tampa Bay00000:000
    3Pittsburgh00000:000
    4Indy Eleven00000:000
    5Detroit00000:000
    6Louisville City00000:000
    7Miami FC00000:000
    8Hartford Athletic00000:000
    9Birmingham00000:000
    10Loudoun00000:000
    11Rhode Island00000:000
    12Sporting Jax00000:000
    13Brooklyn00000:000


    Western Conference
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Orange County SC00000:000
    2New Mexico00000:000
    3Sacramento Republic00000:000
    4FC Tulsa00000:000
    5Colorado Springs00000:000
    6San Antonio00000:000
    7Phoenix Rising00000:000
    8Oakland Roots00000:000
    9Monterey Bay00000:000
    10Las Vegas Lights00000:000
    11El Paso00000:000
    12Lexington00000:000

          Promotion ~ USL Championship (Play Offs: 1/8~finals)

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