Real Madrid Castilla vs Lugo – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
2:1
29/08/2025 at 13:15 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • Primera RFEF - Group 1 - Round 1

Match Stats

Ball Possession
43%57%
Total shots
67
Shots on target
34
Corner Kicks
43
Yellow Cards
32
Total shots
67
Shots on target
34
Shots off target
33
Corner Kicks
43
Goalkeeper Saves
31

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 0)
  • 15', Aguado D. 🟨,
  • 26', Celorio N. 🟨,
  • 2nd Half (2 - 1)
  • 46', Perea C. , Fortuny P. ,
  • 55', 1 - 0, Cestero Sancho J. ,
  • 59', 2 - 0, Yanez D. ,
  • 61', Moran M. A. 🟨,
  • 62', Gonzalez J. , Balboa A. ,
  • 63', Presa K. , Pastrana V. ,
  • 68', Yanez D. , Zuniga L. ,
  • 68', Aguado D. , Valdepenas V. ,
  • 74', 2 - 1, Junior L. ,
  • 77', Martinez J. 🟨,
  • 78', Celorio N. , Alba T. ,
  • 81', Martin R. , Iglesias Lois B. ,
  • 84', Unzueta I. , Reniero N. ,
  • 88', Fettal R. , Serrano M. ,
  • 90+2', Balboa A. 🟨,

Highlights

Chances of winning


Real Madrid Castilla
40.9%
Draw
30.5%
Lugo
28.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
41% 29.8% 29.2%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Real Madrid Castilla has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.1%)
  • Lugo has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.6%)
  • Real Madrid Castilla - Lugo Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    2.27
    (2.23)
    3.02
    (3.06)
    3.22
    (3.13)
    8.2%
    (9.6%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
    Preview Facts
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Real Madrid Castilla won 2.
    • Real Madrid Castilla has been quite unpredictable recently (last 5 games: 2 wins).
    • Real Madrid Castilla may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
    • Recently, Real Madrid Castilla has had a series of home games.
    • Real Madrid Castilla will hold a modest advantage in this match.
    • In the last 6 head-to-head matches, Real Madrid Castilla won 2 matches, drew 1 match, lost 3 matches, and goals 8:8. (average 1.3:1.3).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Real Madrid Castilla won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 5:1. (average 2.5:0.5).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Real Madrid Castilla - Lugo were as follows:
    02.08.2023 Lugo - Real Madrid Castilla 1:0
    Latest results of Real Madrid Castilla
    Latest results of Lugo
    21.08.2025 UD Ourense - Lugo 0:1
    13.08.2025 Ponferradina - Lugo 3:2
    09.08.2025 Lugo - Leonesa 1:0
    02.08.2025 Sarriana - Lugo 0:0
    24.05.2025 Amorebieta - Lugo 1:0
    Spanish Primera RFEF Group 1 Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Tenerife25183445:133257
    2Celta Vigo B25146541:301148
    3Pontevedra251010532:201240
    4Ath Bilbao B25116828:28039
    5AD Merida25115935:33238
    6Real Madrid B25115932:33-138
    7Barakaldo25910633:27637
    8Lugo25910625:22337
    9Racing Club Ferrol251141029:28137
    10Ponferradina25106927:22536
    11Unionistas25106934:30436
    12Zamora2598832:30235
    13Real Aviles25941237:43-631
    14Arenas Getxo25931328:36-830
    15Ourense CF25771128:31-328
    16Cacereno25691022:31-927
    17CF Talavera25741425:36-1125
    18Arenteiro25661323:31-824
    19Guadalajara25661322:39-1724
    20Osasuna B25481317:32-1520

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