Result
2:1
27/09/2025 at 10:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- League One - Round 10
- Referee: Mather S. (Eng)
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.62 | 1.44 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 57% | 43% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 15 | 8 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 7 | 3 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 3 | 2 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 4 | 2 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 75% (305/406) | 68% (212/310) |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 3 | 4 |
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.62 | 1.44 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 2.82 | 1.05 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 15 | 8 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 7 | 3 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 3 | 3 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 5 | 2 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 13 | 4 |
| Shots outside the Box |
|---|
| 2 | 4 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Headed Goals |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 3 | 2 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 4 | 2 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 28 | 9 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 3 | 0 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 21 | 8 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 75% (305/406) | 68% (212/310) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 27% (15/56) | 29% (20/69) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 50% (52/105) | 54% (43/80) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 42% (8/19) | 14% (1/7) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 1.03 | 0.45 |
| Throw-ins |
|---|
| 27 | 19 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 8 | 21 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 47% (7/15) | 70% (14/20) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 57 | 53 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 22 | 22 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 6 | 10 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 2 | 5 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 1.05 | 2.82 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| 0.05 | 0.82 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 1)
- 7', 0 - 1, Hugill J. (Pen),
- 20', Hall D. 🟨,
- 32', Roberts T. 🟨,
- 35', Moriah-Welsh N. 🟨,
- 38', Agbaire L. 🟨,
- 45+3', Gore D. 🟨,
- 45+4', McLaughlin S. 🟨,
- 2nd Half (2 - 0)
- 46', Kaleta M. ↓, Martha A. ↑,
- 58', Agbaire L. ↓, Jules Z. ↑,
- 62', 1 - 1, Roberts T. ⚽,
- 66', Roberts T. ↓, Maris G. ↑,
- 77', Spence K. ↓, Etete K. ↑,
- 80', Moriah-Welsh N. ↓, Dickov M. ↑,
- 88', James R. 🟨,
- 89', Knoyle K. ↓, Dwyer D. ↑,
- 89', McLaughlin S. ↓, McAdam K. ↑,
- 90', Oates R. ↓, Anderson T. ↑,
- 90', 2 - 1, Dwyer D. ⚽,
Chances of winning
Mansfield Town
41.9% | Draw
28.2% | Rotherham United
29.9% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Mansfield Town has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-8.7%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Mansfield Town's form might have worsened.Rotherham United has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.3%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Rotherham United's recent form is better than expected.ML Model estimates a higher probability for Mansfield Town than the current prediction. (+9.4%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Mansfield Town, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Rotherham United than the current prediction. (-6.6%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Rotherham United, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
Mansfield Town - Rotherham United Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
2.42 ↑
(1.87) |
3.49 ↓
(3.65) |
3.25 ↓
(4) |
0.8%
(6%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
What is the prediction for Mansfield Town - Rotherham United?
High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 1 high ROI users predict this event. Mansfield (votes: 1 - 100%).
Users Predictions:
Mansfield Town will win
(7 of 8 users predict this - 87.5%).
Confidence interval (95%): 64.58% – 100%. The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
Preview Facts
- A meeting between a mid-table team and the outsider will take place in this match (ranked 13 and 21 in the zone Relegation ~ League Two).
- The current form of both teams is below expectations.
- In this match, Mansfield is considered a favorite.
- There will not play in Mansfield: Bolton L.
(Injury)
Cargill B.
(Injury)
Oshilaja A.
(Groin Injury)
Sweeney R.
(Red Card)
- There will not play in Rotherham: Hatton B.
(Hamstring Injury)
Holmes T.
(Knee Injury)
Nombe S.
(Hamstring Injury)
Raggett S.
(Injury)
Sherif M.
(Hamstring Injury)
- There are questionable in Mansfield: Hendry R.
(Injury)
Maris G.
(Inactive)
Reed L.
(Inactive)
- There are questionable in Rotherham: Etete K.
(Injury)
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Mansfield won 1 match, drew 2 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 7:10. (average 1.4:2).
- Including home matches between the teams, Mansfield won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 4:5. (average 1.3:1.7).
How many head-to-head matches has Mansfield Town won against Rotherham United?
Mansfield Town has won 1 of their last 4 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Rotherham United won against Mansfield Town?
Rotherham United has won 2 of their last 4 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Mansfield Town - Rotherham United were as follows:
18.04.2025
Rotherham United
-
Mansfield Town
3:3
21.12.2024
Mansfield Town
-
Rotherham United
1:0
20.08.2024
Rotherham United
-
Mansfield Town
2:0
22.07.2023
Mansfield Town
-
Rotherham United
2:4
Latest results of Mansfield Town
Latest results of Rotherham United
English League One Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Cardiff | 12 | 8 | 2 | 2 | 21:10 | 11 | 26 |
| 2 | Stevenage | 11 | 8 | 1 | 2 | 17:9 | 8 | 25 |
| 3 | Bradford City | 12 | 7 | 4 | 1 | 22:15 | 7 | 25 |
| 4 | Stockport County | 13 | 7 | 4 | 2 | 19:14 | 5 | 25 |
| 5 | AFC Wimbledon | 13 | 8 | 1 | 4 | 19:14 | 5 | 25 |
| 6 | Lincoln | 12 | 7 | 3 | 2 | 18:10 | 8 | 24 |
| 7 | Bolton | 13 | 5 | 5 | 3 | 18:15 | 3 | 20 |
| 8 | Huddersfield | 12 | 6 | 1 | 5 | 18:15 | 3 | 19 |
| 9 | Mansfield | 12 | 5 | 3 | 4 | 18:14 | 4 | 18 |
| 10 | Barnsley | 11 | 5 | 3 | 3 | 18:16 | 2 | 18 |
| 11 | Northampton | 13 | 5 | 2 | 6 | 10:12 | -2 | 17 |
| 12 | Doncaster | 13 | 5 | 2 | 6 | 12:18 | -6 | 17 |
| 13 | Wigan | 13 | 4 | 4 | 5 | 16:17 | -1 | 16 |
| 14 | Luton | 12 | 5 | 1 | 6 | 14:15 | -1 | 16 |
| 15 | Leyton Orient | 13 | 4 | 2 | 7 | 20:23 | -3 | 14 |
| 16 | Reading | 13 | 3 | 5 | 5 | 14:18 | -4 | 14 |
| 17 | Rotherham | 12 | 4 | 2 | 6 | 12:16 | -4 | 14 |
| 18 | Wycombe | 13 | 3 | 4 | 6 | 15:16 | -1 | 13 |
| 19 | Port Vale | 13 | 3 | 4 | 6 | 11:12 | -1 | 13 |
| 20 | Exeter | 13 | 4 | 1 | 8 | 12:14 | -2 | 13 |
| 21 | Plymouth | 12 | 4 | 1 | 7 | 17:21 | -4 | 13 |
| 22 | Burton | 12 | 3 | 3 | 6 | 10:16 | -6 | 12 |
| 23 | Peterborough | 12 | 3 | 1 | 8 | 9:20 | -11 | 10 |
| 24 | Blackpool | 13 | 2 | 3 | 8 | 11:21 | -10 | 9 |
Promotion ~ Championship
Promotion ~ League One (Play Offs: )
Relegation ~ League Two
