Mansfield Town vs Rotherham United – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Football English League One Mansfield Town - Rotherham United
Result
2:1
27/09/2025 at 10:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • League One - Round 10
  • Referee: Mather S. (Eng)

Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
1.621.44
Ball Possession
57%43%
Total shots
158
Shots on target
73
Big Chances
32
Corner Kicks
42
Passes
75% (305/406)68% (212/310)
Yellow Cards
34
Expected Goals (xG)
1.621.44
xG on target (xGOT)
2.821.05
Total shots
158
Shots on target
73
Shots off target
33
Blocked Shots
52
Shots inside the Box
134
Shots outside the Box
24
Hit the Woodwork
01
Headed Goals
10
Big Chances
32
Corner Kicks
42
Touches in opposition box
289
Accurate through passes
00
Offsides
30
Free Kicks
218
Passes
75% (305/406)68% (212/310)
Long passes
27% (15/56)29% (20/69)
Passes in final third
50% (52/105)54% (43/80)
Crosses
42% (8/19)14% (1/7)
Expected assists (xA)
1.030.45
Throw-ins
2719
Fouls
821
Tackles
47% (7/15)70% (14/20)
Duels won
5753
Clearances
2222
Interceptions
610
Errors leading to shot
00
Errors leading to goal
00
Goalkeeper Saves
25
xGOT faced
1.052.82
Goals prevented
0.050.82

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 1)
  • 7', 0 - 1, Hugill J. (Pen),
  • 20', Hall D. 🟨,
  • 32', Roberts T. 🟨,
  • 35', Moriah-Welsh N. 🟨,
  • 38', Agbaire L. 🟨,
  • 45+3', Gore D. 🟨,
  • 45+4', McLaughlin S. 🟨,
  • 2nd Half (2 - 0)
  • 46', Kaleta M. , Martha A. ,
  • 58', Agbaire L. , Jules Z. ,
  • 62', 1 - 1, Roberts T. ,
  • 66', Roberts T. , Maris G. ,
  • 77', Spence K. , Etete K. ,
  • 80', Moriah-Welsh N. , Dickov M. ,
  • 88', James R. 🟨,
  • 89', Knoyle K. , Dwyer D. ,
  • 89', McLaughlin S. , McAdam K. ,
  • 90', Oates R. , Anderson T. ,
  • 90', 2 - 1, Dwyer D. ,

Highlights

Chances of winning


Mansfield Town
41.9%
Draw
28.2%
Rotherham United
29.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
50.6% 25.9% 23.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

51.3% 25.5% 23.3%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Mansfield Town has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-8.7%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Mansfield Town's form might have worsened.
  • Rotherham United has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.3%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Rotherham United's recent form is better than expected.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Mansfield Town than the current prediction. (+9.4%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Mansfield Town, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Rotherham United than the current prediction. (-6.6%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Rotherham United, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
  • Mansfield Town - Rotherham United Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    2.42
    (1.87)
    3.49
    (3.65)
    3.25
    (4)
    0.8%
    (6%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
    What is the prediction for Mansfield Town - Rotherham United?
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 1 high ROI users predict this event. Mansfield (votes: 1 - 100%).
  • Users Predictions: Mansfield Town will win (7 of 8 users predict this - 87.5%).
    Confidence interval (95%): 64.58%100%.
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
  • Preview Facts
    • A meeting between a mid-table team and the outsider will take place in this match (ranked 13 and 21 in the zone Relegation ~ League Two).
    • The current form of both teams is below expectations.
    • In this match, Mansfield is considered a favorite.
    • There will not play in Mansfield: Bolton L. (Injury) Cargill B. (Injury) Oshilaja A. (Groin Injury) Sweeney R. (Red Card)
    • There will not play in Rotherham: Hatton B. (Hamstring Injury) Holmes T. (Knee Injury) Nombe S. (Hamstring Injury) Raggett S. (Injury) Sherif M. (Hamstring Injury)
    • There are questionable in Mansfield: Hendry R. (Injury) Maris G. (Inactive) Reed L. (Inactive)
    • There are questionable in Rotherham: Etete K. (Injury)
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Mansfield won 1 match, drew 2 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 7:10. (average 1.4:2).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Mansfield won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 4:5. (average 1.3:1.7).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Mansfield Town - Rotherham United were as follows:
    18.04.2025 Rotherham United - Mansfield Town 3:3
    21.12.2024 Mansfield Town - Rotherham United 1:0
    20.08.2024 Rotherham United - Mansfield Town 2:0
    22.07.2023 Mansfield Town - Rotherham United 2:4
    Latest results of Mansfield Town
    Latest results of Rotherham United
    English League One Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Cardiff1282221:101126
    2Stevenage1181217:9825
    3Bradford City1274122:15725
    4Stockport County1374219:14525
    5AFC Wimbledon1381419:14525
    6Lincoln1273218:10824
    7Bolton1355318:15320
    8Huddersfield1261518:15319
    9Mansfield1253418:14418
    10Barnsley1153318:16218
    11Northampton1352610:12-217
    12Doncaster1352612:18-617
    13Wigan1344516:17-116
    14Luton1251614:15-116
    15Leyton Orient1342720:23-314
    16Reading1335514:18-414
    17Rotherham1242612:16-414
    18Wycombe1334615:16-113
    19Port Vale1334611:12-113
    20Exeter1341812:14-213
    21Plymouth1241717:21-413
    22Burton1233610:16-612
    23Peterborough123189:20-1110
    24Blackpool1323811:21-109

          Promotion ~ Championship
          Promotion ~ League One (Play Offs: )
          Relegation ~ League Two