Mansfield Town vs Rotherham United – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Football English League One Mansfield Town - Rotherham United
Result
2:1
27/09/2025 at 10:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • League One - Round 10
  • Referee: Mather S. (Eng)

Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
1.621.44
Ball Possession
57%43%
Total shots
158
Shots on target
73
Big Chances
32
Corner Kicks
42
Passes
75% (305/406)68% (212/310)
Yellow Cards
34
Expected Goals (xG)
1.621.44
xG on target (xGOT)
2.821.05
Total shots
158
Shots on target
73
Shots off target
33
Blocked Shots
52
Shots inside the Box
134
Shots outside the Box
24
Hit the Woodwork
01
Headed Goals
10
Big Chances
32
Corner Kicks
42
Touches in opposition box
289
Accurate through passes
00
Offsides
30
Free Kicks
218
Passes
75% (305/406)68% (212/310)
Long passes
27% (15/56)29% (20/69)
Passes in final third
50% (52/105)54% (43/80)
Crosses
42% (8/19)14% (1/7)
Expected assists (xA)
1.030.45
Throw-ins
2719
Fouls
821
Tackles
47% (7/15)70% (14/20)
Duels won
5753
Clearances
2222
Interceptions
610
Errors leading to shot
00
Errors leading to goal
00
Goalkeeper Saves
25
xGOT faced
1.052.82
Goals prevented
0.050.82

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 1)
  • 7', 0 - 1, Hugill J. (Pen),
  • 20', Hall D. 🟨,
  • 32', Roberts T. 🟨,
  • 35', Moriah-Welsh N. 🟨,
  • 38', Agbaire L. 🟨,
  • 45+3', Gore D. 🟨,
  • 45+4', McLaughlin S. 🟨,
  • 2nd Half (2 - 0)
  • 46', Kaleta M. , Martha A. ,
  • 58', Agbaire L. , Jules Z. ,
  • 62', 1 - 1, Roberts T. ,
  • 66', Roberts T. , Maris G. ,
  • 77', Spence K. , Etete K. ,
  • 80', Moriah-Welsh N. , Dickov M. ,
  • 88', James R. 🟨,
  • 89', Knoyle K. , Dwyer D. ,
  • 89', McLaughlin S. , McAdam K. ,
  • 90', Oates R. , Anderson T. ,
  • 90', 2 - 1, Dwyer D. ,

Highlights

Chances of winning


Mansfield Town
41.9%
Draw
28.2%
Rotherham United
29.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
50.6% 25.9% 23.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

51.3% 25.5% 23.3%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Mansfield Town has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-8.7%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Mansfield Town's form might have worsened.
  • Rotherham United has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.3%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Rotherham United's recent form is better than expected.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Mansfield Town than the current prediction. (+9.4%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Mansfield Town, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Rotherham United than the current prediction. (-6.6%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Rotherham United, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
  • Mansfield Town - Rotherham United Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    2.42
    (1.87)
    3.49
    (3.65)
    3.25
    (4)
    0.8%
    (6%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
  • What is the prediction for Mansfield Town - Rotherham United?
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 1 high ROI users predict this event. Mansfield (votes: 1 - 100%).
  • Users Predictions: Mansfield Town will win (7 of 8 users predict this - 87.5%).
    Confidence interval (95%): 64.58%100%.
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
  • Preview Facts
    • A meeting between a mid-table team and the outsider will take place in this match (ranked 13 and 21 in the zone Relegation ~ League Two).
    • The current form of both teams is below expectations.
    • In this match, Mansfield is considered a favorite.
    • There will not play in Mansfield: Bolton L. (Injury) Cargill B. (Injury) Oshilaja A. (Groin Injury) Sweeney R. (Red Card)
    • There will not play in Rotherham: Hatton B. (Hamstring Injury) Holmes T. (Knee Injury) Nombe S. (Hamstring Injury) Raggett S. (Injury) Sherif M. (Hamstring Injury)
    • There are questionable in Mansfield: Hendry R. (Injury) Maris G. (Inactive) Reed L. (Inactive)
    • There are questionable in Rotherham: Etete K. (Injury)
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Mansfield won 1 match, drew 2 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 7:10. (average 1.4:2).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Mansfield won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 4:5. (average 1.3:1.7).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Mansfield Town - Rotherham United were as follows:
    18.04.2025 Rotherham United - Mansfield Town 3:3
    21.12.2024 Mansfield Town - Rotherham United 1:0
    20.08.2024 Rotherham United - Mansfield Town 2:0
    22.07.2023 Mansfield Town - Rotherham United 2:4
    Latest results of Mansfield Town
    Latest results of Rotherham United
    English League One Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Bradford City1173120:13724
    2Stevenage971115:8722
    3Lincoln1063117:9821
    4Cardiff1062215:6920
    5Huddersfield1061316:11519
    6AFC Wimbledon1060414:12218
    7Luton1051414:11316
    8Stockport County1044215:13216
    9Barnsley951314:12216
    10Doncaster1051410:11-116
    11Bolton1035214:10414
    12Mansfield1042415:13214
    13Northampton94147:8-113
    14Wigan1033414:15-112
    15Plymouth1040615:18-312
    16Port Vale1032510:10011
    17Leyton Orient1032513:18-511
    18Exeter1030710:12-29
    19Reading923410:14-49
    20Wycombe1022611:13-28
    21Rotherham102269:15-68
    22Blackpool1022610:17-78
    23Burton92256:14-88
    24Peterborough102177:18-117

          Promotion ~ Championship
          Promotion ~ League One (Play Offs: )
          Relegation ~ League Two