Result
1:1
04/01/2025 at 10:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
- ENGLAND: Championship - Round 26
- Referee: Nield T. (Eng)
- Where to Watch on TV:
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 Hungary | Net4+ |
Match Stats
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| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.58 | 0.56 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 75% | 25% |
| Goal Attempts |
|---|
| 9 | 8 |
| Shots on Goal |
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| 3 | 2 |
| Shots off Goal |
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| 2 | 3 |
| Blocked Shots |
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| 4 | 3 |
| Big Chances |
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| 1 | 0 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 4 | 4 |
| Shots inside the Box |
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| 7 | 5 |
| Shots outside the Box |
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| 2 | 3 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
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| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
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| 1 | 2 |
| Free Kicks |
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| 15 | 9 |
| Offsides |
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| 7 | 3 |
| Fouls |
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| 9 | 15 |
| Yellow Cards |
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| 2 | 3 |
| Throw-ins |
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| 18 | 8 |
| Touches in the Opposition Box |
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| 26 | 10 |
| Passes |
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| 89% (615/691) | 63% (143/228) |
| Passes in the final third |
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| 77% (141/182) | 47% (40/86) |
| Crosses |
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| 18% (4/22) | 38% (3/8) |
| Tackles |
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| 88% (7/8) | 52% (15/29) |
| Clearances Total |
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| 10 | 35 |
| Interceptions |
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| 11 | 12 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (1 - 1)
- 12', 1 - 0, Latte Lath E. ⚽, Doak B. (A),
- 21', 1 - 1, Chambers C. ⚽,
- 30', O'Dowda C. 🟨,
- 2nd Half (0 - 0)
- 65', Tanner O. ↓, Willock C. ↑,
- 67', Burgzorg D. ↓, Jones I. ↑,
- 75', Doak B. 🟨,
- 75', Azaz F. ↓, Gilbert A. ↑,
- 76', Rinomhota A. 🟨,
- 79', Ashford C. ↓, Bagan J. ↑,
- 79', Colwill R. ↓, Meite Y. ↑,
- 80', Robertson A. 🟨,
- 83', Robertson A. ↓, Ralls J. ↑,
- 84', Neto Borges ↓, Engel L. ↑,
- 89', Barlaser D. 🟨,
Chances of winning
Middlesbrough
61.4% | Draw
22.4% | Cardiff City
16.3% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Middlesbrough has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.9%)Cardiff City has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.3%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Middlesbrough than the current prediction. (-1%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Cardiff City than the current prediction. (+1.7%)
Middlesbrough - Cardiff City Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.54 ↓
(1.61) |
4.23 ↑
(4.11) |
5.83 ↑
(5.05) |
5.6%
(6.4%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.75
What is the prediction for Middlesbrough - Cardiff City?
Users Predictions:
24 users predict this event. Middlesbrough will win (votes: 14 - 58.3%). Cardiff will win (votes: 4 - 16.7%). It will Tie (votes: 6 - 25%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Middlesbrough: 38.6% – 78%. The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.
Preview Facts
- This match will be played by one of a leader and an outsider (ranked 5 in the zone Promotion ~ Championship (Play Offs: Semi~finals) and 23 in the zone Relegation ~ League One).
- Last 5 head-to-head matches Middlesbrough won 4.
- Middlesbrough is in real good shape (in the last 5 games wins - 2).
- Recent matches Cardiff is playing unstable (in the last 5 games wins - 1).
- In this match Middlesbrough is a favorite.
- There will not play in Cardiff: Robinson C.
(Red Card)
Simic R.
(Knock)
- There are questionable in Middlesbrough: Lenihan D.
(Ankle Injury)
- There are questionable in Cardiff: Etete K.
(Leg Injury)
Ramsey A.
(Muscle Injury)
Tsunoda R.
(Muscle Injury)
- Last 20 head-to-head matches Middlesbrough won 10 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 8 matches and goals 28:20 (average 1.4:1).
- Including matches at home between the teams Middlesbrough won 5 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 4 matches and goals 15:13 (average 1.5:1.3).
How many head-to-head matches has Middlesbrough won against Cardiff City?
Middlesbrough has won 4 of their last 5 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Cardiff City won against Middlesbrough?
Cardiff City has won 1 of their last 5 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Middlesbrough - Cardiff City were as follows:
31.08.2024
Cardiff City
-
Middlesbrough
0:2
27.04.2024
Cardiff City
-
Middlesbrough
1:4
03.10.2023
Middlesbrough
-
Cardiff City
2:0
11.02.2023
Cardiff City
-
Middlesbrough
1:3
13.09.2022
Middlesbrough
-
Cardiff City
2:3
Latest results of Middlesbrough
Latest results of Cardiff City
English League Championship Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Coventry | 12 | 8 | 4 | 0 | 34:9 | 25 | 28 |
| 2 | Middlesbrough | 11 | 7 | 3 | 1 | 15:7 | 8 | 24 |
| 3 | Stoke | 12 | 6 | 3 | 3 | 13:8 | 5 | 21 |
| 4 | Millwall | 11 | 6 | 2 | 3 | 13:13 | 0 | 20 |
| 5 | Bristol City | 11 | 5 | 4 | 2 | 19:11 | 8 | 19 |
| 6 | Preston | 12 | 5 | 4 | 3 | 15:12 | 3 | 19 |
| 7 | Charlton | 11 | 5 | 3 | 3 | 13:9 | 4 | 18 |
| 8 | Hull | 11 | 5 | 3 | 3 | 19:19 | 0 | 18 |
| 9 | QPR | 11 | 5 | 3 | 3 | 15:16 | -1 | 18 |
| 10 | Leicester | 11 | 4 | 5 | 2 | 15:11 | 4 | 17 |
| 11 | West Brom | 12 | 5 | 2 | 5 | 12:14 | -2 | 17 |
| 12 | Ipswich | 11 | 4 | 4 | 3 | 17:13 | 4 | 16 |
| 13 | Watford | 12 | 4 | 3 | 5 | 14:16 | -2 | 15 |
| 14 | Birmingham | 11 | 4 | 3 | 4 | 11:14 | -3 | 15 |
| 15 | Wrexham | 11 | 3 | 4 | 4 | 15:16 | -1 | 13 |
| 16 | Swansea | 11 | 3 | 4 | 4 | 10:11 | -1 | 13 |
| 17 | Portsmouth | 12 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 10:13 | -3 | 13 |
| 18 | Southampton | 11 | 2 | 6 | 3 | 12:15 | -3 | 12 |
| 19 | Derby | 11 | 2 | 5 | 4 | 12:16 | -4 | 11 |
| 20 | Oxford Utd | 11 | 2 | 3 | 6 | 11:14 | -3 | 9 |
| 21 | Sheffield Utd | 12 | 3 | 0 | 9 | 9:20 | -11 | 9 |
| 22 | Norwich | 11 | 2 | 2 | 7 | 11:16 | -5 | 8 |
| 23 | Blackburn | 10 | 2 | 1 | 7 | 8:16 | -8 | 7 |
| 24 | Sheffield Wed | 11 | 1 | 3 | 7 | 9:23 | -14 | -6 |
Promotion ~ Premier League
Promotion ~ Championship (Play Offs: Semi~finals)
Relegation ~ League One
