Luton Town vs Middlesbrough – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
0:0
15/03/2025 at 11:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • ENGLAND: Championship - Round 38
  • Referee: Hallam F. (Eng)
  • Where to Watch on TV:
hungaryHungaryNet4+
usaUsaParamount+

Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
2.450.24
Ball Possession
45%55%
Goal Attempts
197
Shots on Goal
50
Shots off Goal
104
Blocked Shots
43
Big Chances
40
Corner Kicks
92
Shots inside the Box
153
Shots outside the Box
44
Hit the Woodwork
00
Goalkeeper Saves
05
Free Kicks
1218
Offsides
24
Fouls
1812
Yellow Cards
23
Throw-ins
2724
Touches in the Opposition Box
3712
Passes
67% (203/301)75% (287/383)
Passes in the final third
58% (86/148)60% (63/105)
Crosses
38% (10/26)0% (0/9)
Tackles
78% (14/18)64% (14/22)
Clearances Total
2759
Interceptions
810

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 0)
  • 24', Iling Junior S. 🟨,
  • 2nd Half (0 - 0)
  • 55', Adebayo E. , Brown J. ,
  • 64', Brown J. 🟨,
  • 67', Walsh L. 🟨,
  • 69', Brown J. , Nordas L. ,
  • 70', Walsh L. , Dabo L. ,
  • 70', Doughty A. , Alli M. ,
  • 75', Conway T. , Forss M. ,
  • 75', Dijksteel A. 🟨,
  • 89', Hackney H. 🟨,

Highlights

Chances of winning


Luton Town
35.6%
Draw
27.9%
Middlesbrough
36.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
34.5% 27.1% 38.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

34.5% 27.1% 38.4%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Luton Town has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.1%)
  • Middlesbrough has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.9%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Luton Town than the current prediction. (-1.1%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Middlesbrough than the current prediction. (+1.9%)
  • Luton Town - Middlesbrough Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    2.67
    (2.73)
    3.43
    (3.48)
    2.61
    (2.46)
    4.9%
    (5.9%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
    What is the prediction for Luton Town - Middlesbrough?
  • Users Predictions: 11 users predict this event. Luton will win (votes: 5 - 45.5%). Middlesbrough will win (votes: 3 - 27.3%). It will Tie (votes: 3 - 27.3%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for Luton: 16.1%74.9%.
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
  • Preview Facts
    • Let's watch a game between leader and an outsider (ranked 23 in the zone Relegation ~ League One and 8).
    • Last 5 head-to-head matches Luton won 2.
    • One and the other team get a very uncertain game.
    • The possibility to win in this match is almost balanced for both teams.
    • There will not play in Luton: Baptiste S. (Muscle Injury) Chong T. (Hamstring Injury) Lockyer T. (Ankle Injury) Mengi T. (Groin Injury) Nakamba M. (Muscle Injury)
    • There will not play in Middlesbrough: Ayling L. (Ankle Injury) Bangura A. (Achilles Tendon Injury) Brynn S. (Injury) Dieng S. (Achilles Tendon Injury) Doak B. (Thigh Injury) Edmundson G. (Ankle Injury) Lenihan D. (Ankle Injury) McGree R. (Muscle Injury) van den Berg R. (Knee Injury)
    • There are questionable in Middlesbrough: Fry D. (Calf Injury)
    • Last 9 head-to-head matches Luton won 3 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 4 matches and goals 13:16 (average 1.4:1.8).
    • Including matches at home between the teams Luton won 2 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 9:6 (average 2.3:1.5).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Luton Town - Middlesbrough were as follows:
    09.11.2024 Middlesbrough - Luton Town 5:1
    24.04.2023 Luton Town - Middlesbrough 2:1
    10.12.2022 Middlesbrough - Luton Town 2:1
    Latest results of Luton Town
    11.03.2025 Cardiff City - Luton Town 1:2
    08.03.2025 Burnley - Luton Town 4:0
    01.03.2025 Luton Town - Portsmouth 1:0
    23.02.2025 Watford - Luton Town 2:0
    Latest results of Middlesbrough
    English League Championship Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Coventry422510784:424285
    2Ipswich402112771:403175
    3Millwall4221101156:47973
    4Middlesbrough4220121062:422072
    5Southampton4119121070:502069
    6Hull422081464:60468
    7Wrexham4217131263:60364
    8Derby421891561:53863
    9Norwich421771855:50558
    10Bristol City4216101652:51158
    11QPR4216101658:63-558
    12Watford4214151352:51157
    13Preston4214151350:53-357
    14Swansea421691750:54-457
    15Birmingham4215111651:52-156
    16Stoke4215101749:46355
    17Sheffield Utd421662059:59054
    18Charlton4212131739:51-1249
    19Blackburn4212121838:50-1248
    20West Brom4211131842:56-1446
    21Portsmouth4111121841:57-1645
    22Oxford Utd4210141841:54-1344
    23Leicester4211141754:64-1041
    24Sheffield Wed ✔ 421113025:82-57-4

          Promotion ~ Premier League
          Promotion ~ Championship (Play Offs: Semi~finals)
          Relegation ~ League One

    Clinched Spots for Teams
    Sheffield Wed is Relegated to League One