Minnesota United vs Houston Dynamo – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Football MLS Minnesota United - Houston Dynamo
Result
3:1
25/06/2025 at 20:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • MLS
  • Where to Watch on TV:
finlandFinlandVeikkaus TV
usaUsaMLS Season Pass
worldWorldEA Sports FC

Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
1.241.09
Ball Possession
36%64%
Total shots
913
Shots on target
42
Big Chances
31
Corner Kicks
64
Passes
76% (227/297)85% (434/511)
Yellow Cards
41
Expected Goals (xG)
1.241.09
xG on target (xGOT)
1.491.13
Total shots
913
Shots on target
42
Shots off target
45
Blocked Shots
16
Shots inside the Box
68
Shots outside the Box
35
Hit the Woodwork
00
Big Chances
31
Corner Kicks
64
Touches in opposition box
1820
Accurate through passes
00
Offsides
00
Free Kicks
1520
Passes
76% (227/297)85% (434/511)
Long passes
52% (32/61)28% (11/40)
Passes in final third
63% (52/82)74% (109/147)
Crosses
11% (1/9)16% (3/19)
Expected assists (xA)
0.800.52
Throw-ins
1512
Fouls
2015
Tackles
79% (11/14)67% (8/12)
Duels won
4447
Clearances
2430
Interceptions
97
Errors leading to shot
00
Errors leading to goal
00
Goalkeeper Saves
11
xGOT faced
1.131.49
Goals prevented
0.13-1.51

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 0)
  • 36', Dorsey G. 🟨,
  • 45+7', Boxall M. 🟨,
  • 2nd Half (3 - 1)
  • 52', Diaz J. 🟨,
  • 60', 1 - 0, Hlongwane B. , Diaz J. (A), Boxall M. (A2)
  • 62', Lodeiro N. , Bassi A. ,
  • 62', Sviatchenko E. , Felipe Andrade ,
  • 63', 2 - 0, Hlongwane B. , Markanich A. (A), Trapp W. (A2)
  • 70', 3 - 0, Lod R. , Gressel J. (A), Hlongwane B. (A2)
  • 71', Gene O. , Pereyra J. ,
  • 75', Lingr O. , Ennali L. ,
  • 75', Ponce E. , Segal G. ,
  • 79', Yeboah K. 🟨,
  • 82', Pereyra J. 🟨,
  • 82', Artur , Holmes D. ,
  • 84', Gressel J. , Jeong S. ,
  • 84', Hlongwane B. , Randell A. ,
  • 84', Yeboah K. , Taylor D. ,
  • 90+4', 3 - 1, Felipe Andrade ,
  • 90+5', Markanich A. , Padelford D. ,

Highlights

Chances of winning


Minnesota United
47.3%
Draw
26.4%
Houston Dynamo
26.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
53.1% 24.5% 22.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

54% 24.1% 22%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Minnesota United has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.8%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Minnesota United's form might have worsened.
  • Houston Dynamo has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.9%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Minnesota United than the current prediction. (+6.7%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Minnesota United, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Houston Dynamo than the current prediction. (-4.3%)
  • Minnesota United - Houston Dynamo Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    2.01
    (1.8)
    3.6
    (3.9)
    3.6
    (4.25)
    5.5%
    (4.8%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 2.75
    What is the prediction for Minnesota United - Houston Dynamo?
  • Users Predictions: 11 users predict this event. Minnesota will win (votes: 6 - 54.5%). Houston will win (votes: 1 - 9.1%). It will Tie (votes: 4 - 36.4%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for Minnesota: 25.1%83.9%.
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 2 high ROI users predict this event. Minnesota (votes: 1 - 50%). Tie (votes: 1 - 50%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
  • Preview Facts
    • Get ready for a battle between the top and the middle of the table (ranked 3 in the zone Promotion ~ MLS (Play Offs: 1/8~finals) and 11).
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Minnesota won 1.
    • Minnesota has had mixed results lately (last 5 games: 2 wins).
    • Houston is going through a rough patch (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).
    • Minnesota will hold a modest advantage in this match.
    • There will not play in Minnesota: Dotson H. (Knee Injury) Harvey C. (International duty) Oluwaseyi T. (International duty) Rosales J. (International duty) Shashoua S. (Leg Injury) St.Clair D. (International duty)
    • There will not play in Houston: McGlynn J. (International duty) Quinones N. (Knee Injury) Tarbell A. (Knee Injury)
    • There are questionable in Houston: Batioja A. (Injury) Steres D. (Lower-Body Injury) Sviatchenko E. (Lower-Body Injury)
    • In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Minnesota won 10 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 7 matches, and goals 26:28. (average 1.3:1.4).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Minnesota won 6 matches, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 13:6. (average 1.6:0.8).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Minnesota United - Houston Dynamo were as follows:
    14.05.2025 Houston Dynamo - Minnesota United 2:0
    13.07.2024 Houston Dynamo - Minnesota United 1:1
    13.04.2024 Minnesota United - Houston Dynamo 1:2
    12.07.2023 Houston Dynamo - Minnesota United 0:3
    23.05.2023 Houston Dynamo - Minnesota United 4:0
    Latest results of Minnesota United
    Latest results of Houston Dynamo
    MLS Table
    Main

    Western Conference
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1San Diego FC ✔ 34196964:412363
    2Vancouver Whitecaps ✔ 34189766:382863
    3Los Angeles FC ✔ 34179865:402560
    4Minnesota United ✔ 341610856:391758
    5Seattle Sounders ✔ 341510958:481055
    6Austin FC341381337:45-847
    7FC Dallas3411111252:55-344
    8Portland Timbers3411111241:48-744
    9Real Salt Lake341251738:49-1141
    10San Jose Earthquakes341181560:63-341
    11Colorado Rapids341181544:56-1241
    12Houston Dynamo349101543:56-1337
    13St. Louis City34881844:58-1432
    14Los Angeles Galaxy34791846:66-2030
    15Sporting Kansas City34772046:70-2428


    Eastern Conference
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Philadelphia Union ✔ 34206857:352266
    2FC Cincinnati ✔ 34205952:401265
    3Inter Miami ✔ 34198781:552665
    4Charlotte ✔ 341921355:46959
    5New York City ✔ 341751250:44656
    6Nashville SC341661258:451354
    7Columbus Crew341412855:51454
    8Chicago Fire341581168:60853
    9Orlando City341411963:511253
    10New York Red Bulls341271548:47143
    11New England Revolution34991644:51-736
    12Toronto FC346141437:44-732
    13CF Montreal346101834:60-2628
    14Atlanta Utd345131638:63-2528
    15DC United345111830:66-3626

          Promotion ~ MLS (Play Offs: 1/8~finals)
          Promotion ~ MLS (Play Offs: 1/16~finals)

    Clinched Spots for Teams
    San Diego FC is Qualified for MLS (Play Offs 1/8~finals)
    Vancouver Whitecaps is Qualified for MLS (Play Offs 1/8~finals)
    Los Angeles FC is Qualified for MLS (Play Offs 1/8~finals)
    Minnesota United is Qualified for MLS (Play Offs 1/8~finals)
    Seattle Sounders is Qualified for MLS (Play Offs 1/8~finals)
    Philadelphia Union is Qualified for MLS (Play Offs 1/8~finals)
    FC Cincinnati is Qualified for MLS (Play Offs 1/8~finals)
    Inter Miami is Qualified for MLS (Play Offs 1/8~finals)
    Charlotte is Qualified for MLS (Play Offs 1/8~finals)
    New York City is Qualified for MLS (Play Offs 1/8~finals)