Minnesota United vs Houston Dynamo – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
3:1
25/06/2025 at 20:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • MLS
  • Where to Watch on TV:
finlandFinlandVeikkaus TV
usaUsaMLS Season Pass
worldWorldEA Sports FC

Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
1.241.09
Ball Possession
36%64%
Total shots
913
Shots on target
42
Big Chances
31
Corner Kicks
64
Passes
76% (227/297)85% (434/511)
Yellow Cards
41
Expected Goals (xG)
1.241.09
xG on target (xGOT)
1.491.13
Total shots
913
Shots on target
42
Shots off target
45
Blocked Shots
16
Shots inside the Box
68
Shots outside the Box
35
Hit the Woodwork
00
Big Chances
31
Corner Kicks
64
Touches in opposition box
1820
Accurate through passes
00
Offsides
00
Free Kicks
1520
Passes
76% (227/297)85% (434/511)
Long passes
52% (32/61)28% (11/40)
Passes in final third
63% (52/82)74% (109/147)
Crosses
11% (1/9)16% (3/19)
Expected assists (xA)
0.800.52
Throw-ins
1512
Fouls
2015
Tackles
79% (11/14)67% (8/12)
Duels won
4447
Clearances
2430
Interceptions
97
Errors leading to shot
00
Errors leading to goal
00
Goalkeeper Saves
11
xGOT faced
1.131.49
Goals prevented
0.13-1.51

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 0)
  • 36', Dorsey G. 🟨,
  • 45+7', Boxall M. 🟨,
  • 2nd Half (3 - 1)
  • 52', Diaz J. 🟨,
  • 60', 1 - 0, Hlongwane B. , Diaz J. (A), Boxall M. (A2)
  • 62', Lodeiro N. , Bassi A. ,
  • 62', Sviatchenko E. , Felipe Andrade ,
  • 63', 2 - 0, Hlongwane B. , Markanich A. (A), Trapp W. (A2)
  • 70', 3 - 0, Lod R. , Gressel J. (A), Hlongwane B. (A2)
  • 71', Gene O. , Pereyra J. ,
  • 75', Lingr O. , Ennali L. ,
  • 75', Ponce E. , Segal G. ,
  • 79', Yeboah K. 🟨,
  • 82', Pereyra J. 🟨,
  • 82', Artur , Holmes D. ,
  • 84', Gressel J. , Jeong S. ,
  • 84', Hlongwane B. , Randell A. ,
  • 84', Yeboah K. , Taylor D. ,
  • 90+4', 3 - 1, Felipe Andrade ,
  • 90+5', Markanich A. , Padelford D. ,

Highlights

Chances of winning


Minnesota United
47.3%
Draw
26.4%
Houston Dynamo
26.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
53.1% 24.5% 22.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

54% 24.1% 22%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Minnesota United has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.8%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Minnesota United's form might have worsened.
  • Houston Dynamo has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.9%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Minnesota United than the current prediction. (+6.7%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Minnesota United, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Houston Dynamo than the current prediction. (-4.3%)
  • Minnesota United - Houston Dynamo Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    2.01
    (1.8)
    3.6
    (3.9)
    3.6
    (4.25)
    5.5%
    (4.8%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 2.75
    What is the prediction for Minnesota United - Houston Dynamo?
  • Users Predictions: 11 users predict this event. Minnesota will win (votes: 6 - 54.5%). Houston will win (votes: 1 - 9.1%). It will Tie (votes: 4 - 36.4%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for Minnesota: 25.1%83.9%.
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 3 high ROI users predict this event. Minnesota (votes: 2 - 66.7%). Tie (votes: 1 - 33.3%).
  • Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:
    • O/U 2.5 - under (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • AH 0 - Minnesota (1.48) (votes: 2 - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.
    • AH -0.25 - Minnesota (1.81) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • DC - Minnesota (1.29) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • AH -0.5 - Minnesota (2.01) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
  • Overall votes from High ROI Users Predictions (including all markets): 8 high ROI users predict this event. Minnesota (votes: 7 - 87.5%). Tie (votes: 1 - 12.5%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
  • Preview Facts
    • Get ready for a battle between the top and the middle of the table (ranked 3 in the zone Promotion ~ MLS (Play Offs: 1/8~finals) and 11).
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Minnesota won 1.
    • Minnesota has had mixed results lately (last 5 games: 2 wins).
    • Houston is going through a rough patch (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).
    • Minnesota will hold a modest advantage in this match.
    • There will not play in Minnesota: Dotson H. (Knee Injury) Harvey C. (International duty) Oluwaseyi T. (International duty) Rosales J. (International duty) Shashoua S. (Leg Injury) St.Clair D. (International duty)
    • There will not play in Houston: McGlynn J. (International duty) Quinones N. (Knee Injury) Tarbell A. (Knee Injury)
    • There are questionable in Houston: Batioja A. (Injury) Steres D. (Lower-Body Injury) Sviatchenko E. (Lower-Body Injury)
    • In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Minnesota won 10 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 7 matches, and goals 26:28. (average 1.3:1.4).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Minnesota won 6 matches, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 13:6. (average 1.6:0.8).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Minnesota United - Houston Dynamo were as follows:
    14.05.2025 Houston Dynamo - Minnesota United 2:0
    13.07.2024 Houston Dynamo - Minnesota United 1:1
    13.04.2024 Minnesota United - Houston Dynamo 1:2
    12.07.2023 Houston Dynamo - Minnesota United 0:3
    23.05.2023 Houston Dynamo - Minnesota United 4:0
    Latest results of Minnesota United
    Latest results of Houston Dynamo
    MLS Table
    Main

    Western Conference
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Los Angeles FC651014:01416
    2Vancouver Whitecaps650117:41315
    3San Jose Earthquakes650110:1915
    4Real Salt Lake641112:8413
    5Seattle Sounders64116:2413
    6FC Dallas632114:9511
    7San Diego FC632113:8511
    8Colorado Rapids630313:1039
    9Minnesota United62226:12-68
    10Houston Dynamo52038:10-26
    11Austin FC61327:9-26
    12Los Angeles Galaxy61238:10-25
    13St. Louis City61235:8-35
    14Portland Timbers61149:15-64
    15Sporting Kansas City61146:14-84


    Eastern Conference
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Nashville SC641113:31013
    2New York City632114:7711
    3Charlotte632112:7511
    4Inter Miami632111:10111
    5Chicago Fire63128:5310
    6Toronto FC63129:10-110
    7New York Red Bulls63129:13-410
    8DC United62134:8-47
    9New England Revolution520311:926
    10FC Cincinnati62049:15-66
    11Columbus Crew61238:9-15
    12Atlanta Utd61146:11-54
    13CF Montreal61057:17-103
    14Orlando City61055:23-183
    15Philadelphia Union60064:11-70

          Promotion ~ MLS (Play Offs: 1/8~finals)
          Promotion ~ MLS (Play Offs: 1/16~finals)