Minnesota United vs Houston Dynamo – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Football MLS Minnesota United - Houston Dynamo
Result
3:1
25/06/2025 at 20:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • MLS
  • Where to Watch on TV:
finlandFinlandVeikkaus TV
usaUsaMLS Season Pass
worldWorldEA Sports FC

Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
1.241.09
Ball Possession
36%64%
Total shots
913
Shots on target
42
Big Chances
31
Corner Kicks
64
Passes
76% (227/297)85% (434/511)
Yellow Cards
41
Expected Goals (xG)
1.241.09
xG on target (xGOT)
1.491.13
Total shots
913
Shots on target
42
Shots off target
45
Blocked Shots
16
Shots inside the Box
68
Shots outside the Box
35
Hit the Woodwork
00
Big Chances
31
Corner Kicks
64
Touches in opposition box
1820
Accurate through passes
00
Offsides
00
Free Kicks
1520
Passes
76% (227/297)85% (434/511)
Long passes
52% (32/61)28% (11/40)
Passes in final third
63% (52/82)74% (109/147)
Crosses
11% (1/9)16% (3/19)
Expected assists (xA)
0.800.52
Throw-ins
1512
Fouls
2015
Tackles
79% (11/14)67% (8/12)
Duels won
4447
Clearances
2430
Interceptions
97
Errors leading to shot
00
Errors leading to goal
00
Goalkeeper Saves
11
xGOT faced
1.131.49
Goals prevented
0.13-1.51

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 0)
  • 36', Dorsey G. 🟨,
  • 45+7', Boxall M. 🟨,
  • 2nd Half (3 - 1)
  • 52', Diaz J. 🟨,
  • 60', 1 - 0, Hlongwane B. , Diaz J. (A), Boxall M. (A2)
  • 62', Lodeiro N. , Bassi A. ,
  • 62', Sviatchenko E. , Felipe Andrade ,
  • 63', 2 - 0, Hlongwane B. , Markanich A. (A), Trapp W. (A2)
  • 70', 3 - 0, Lod R. , Gressel J. (A), Hlongwane B. (A2)
  • 71', Gene O. , Pereyra J. ,
  • 75', Lingr O. , Ennali L. ,
  • 75', Ponce E. , Segal G. ,
  • 79', Yeboah K. 🟨,
  • 82', Pereyra J. 🟨,
  • 82', Artur , Holmes D. ,
  • 84', Gressel J. , Jeong S. ,
  • 84', Hlongwane B. , Randell A. ,
  • 84', Yeboah K. , Taylor D. ,
  • 90+4', 3 - 1, Felipe Andrade ,
  • 90+5', Markanich A. , Padelford D. ,

Highlights

Chances of winning


Minnesota United
47.3%
Draw
26.4%
Houston Dynamo
26.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
53.1% 24.5% 22.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

54% 24.1% 22%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Minnesota United has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.8%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Minnesota United's form might have worsened.
  • Houston Dynamo has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.9%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Minnesota United than the current prediction. (+6.7%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Minnesota United, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Houston Dynamo than the current prediction. (-4.3%)
  • Minnesota United - Houston Dynamo Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    2.01
    (1.8)
    3.6
    (3.9)
    3.6
    (4.25)
    5.5%
    (4.8%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.75
  • What is the prediction for Minnesota United - Houston Dynamo?
  • Users Predictions: 11 users predict this event. Minnesota will win (votes: 6 - 54.5%). Houston will win (votes: 1 - 9.1%). It will Tie (votes: 4 - 36.4%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for Minnesota: 25.1%83.9%.
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 2 high ROI users predict this event. Minnesota (votes: 1 - 50%). Tie (votes: 1 - 50%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
  • Preview Facts
    • Get ready for a battle between the top and the middle of the table (ranked 3 in the zone Promotion ~ MLS (Play Offs: 1/8~finals) and 11).
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Minnesota won 1.
    • Minnesota has had mixed results lately (last 5 games: 2 wins).
    • Houston is going through a rough patch (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).
    • Minnesota will hold a modest advantage in this match.
    • There will not play in Minnesota: Dotson H. (Knee Injury) Harvey C. (International duty) Oluwaseyi T. (International duty) Rosales J. (International duty) Shashoua S. (Leg Injury) St.Clair D. (International duty)
    • There will not play in Houston: McGlynn J. (International duty) Quinones N. (Knee Injury) Tarbell A. (Knee Injury)
    • There are questionable in Houston: Batioja A. (Injury) Steres D. (Lower-Body Injury) Sviatchenko E. (Lower-Body Injury)
    • In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Minnesota won 10 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 7 matches, and goals 26:28. (average 1.3:1.4).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Minnesota won 6 matches, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 13:6. (average 1.6:0.8).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Minnesota United - Houston Dynamo were as follows:
    14.05.2025 Houston Dynamo - Minnesota United 2:0
    13.07.2024 Houston Dynamo - Minnesota United 1:1
    13.04.2024 Minnesota United - Houston Dynamo 1:2
    12.07.2023 Houston Dynamo - Minnesota United 0:3
    23.05.2023 Houston Dynamo - Minnesota United 4:0
    Latest results of Minnesota United
    Latest results of Houston Dynamo
    MLS Table
    Main

    Western Conference
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1San Diego FC24134747:321543
    2Vancouver Whitecaps23126539:261342
    3Minnesota United24118540:271341
    4Seattle Sounders23107637:33437
    5Los Angeles FC21106539:271236
    6Portland Timbers2397732:32034
    7Colorado Rapids24861030:36-630
    8Austin FC2286817:24-730
    9San Jose Earthquakes2478946:42429
    10Real Salt Lake23841124:29-528
    11Houston Dynamo24761130:39-927
    12FC Dallas23671032:41-925
    13Sporting Kansas City23661136:42-624
    14St. Louis City23461323:38-1518
    15Los Angeles Galaxy24371428:48-2016


    Eastern Conference
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1FC Cincinnati24153639:31848
    2Nashville SC24145542:251747
    3Philadelphia Union24145540:231747
    4Columbus Crew24128440:33744
    5Inter Miami21125449:341541
    6Orlando City24108643:321138
    7Charlotte241121141:39235
    8New York City23105830:26435
    9New York Red Bulls2496939:35433
    10Chicago Fire2395944:40432
    11New England Revolution23671030:32-225
    12Toronto FC23561225:30-521
    13Atlanta Utd23481127:43-1620
    14DC United24471320:45-2519
    15CF Montreal24361520:45-2515

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