Result
2:2
09/05/2025 at 14:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Serie B - Round 38
- Referee: Santoro A. (Ita)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Italy | DAZN Italia |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.96 | 1.35 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 48% | 52% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 12 | 15 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 3 | 4 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 2 | 4 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 2 | 1 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 81% (321/398) | 81% (339/419) |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 4 | 1 |
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.96 | 1.35 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 0.41 | 1.44 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 12 | 15 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 3 | 4 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 6 | 8 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 3 | 3 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 6 | 9 |
| Shots outside the Box |
|---|
| 6 | 6 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Headed Goals |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 2 | 4 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 2 | 1 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 15 | 20 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 10 | 17 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 81% (321/398) | 81% (339/419) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 33% (18/55) | 65% (35/54) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 73% (88/121) | 67% (90/134) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 38% (3/8) | 38% (5/13) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 1.00 | 0.87 |
| Throw-ins |
|---|
| 24 | 21 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 17 | 10 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 69% (9/13) | 82% (9/11) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 43 | 46 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 24 | 16 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 12 | 4 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 3 | 1 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 1.44 | 0.41 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| 0.44 | -1.59 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (1 - 1)
- 17', Adorni D. 🟨,
- 25', 0 - 1, Cauz C. (Own goal),
- 28', 1 - 1, Caso G. ⚽, Di Pardo A. (A),
- 2nd Half (1 - 1)
- 67', 2 - 1, Di Pardo A. ⚽, Zaro G. (A),
- 68', Di Pardo A. 🟨,
- 75', Besaggio M. ↓, Nuamah P. ↑,
- 75', Bianchi F. ↓, Moncini G. ↑,
- 76', Gliozzi E. ↓, Defrel G. ↑,
- 76', Di Pardo A. ↓, Ponsi F. ↑,
- 77', Palumbo A. 🟨,
- 84', Galazzi N. ↓, D'Andrea L. ↑,
- 84', Jallow A. ↓, Cistana A. ↑,
- 85', Cotali M. ↓, Dellavalle A. ↑,
- 85', Caso G. 🟨,
- 85', Caso G. ↓, Duca E. ↑,
- 87', Corrado N. ↓, Olzer G. ↑,
- 88', Beyuku G. 🟨,
- 89', 2 - 2, Calvani G. ⚽, Bisoli D. (A),
- 90+3', Palumbo A. ↓, Kamate I. ↑,
Chances of winning
Modena
38.8% | Draw
32.5% | Brescia
28.7% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Modena has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.1%)Brescia has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.8%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Modena than the current prediction. (+4.9%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Brescia than the current prediction. (-2.9%)
Modena - Brescia Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
2.42 ↑
(2.24) |
2.88 ↓
(3.01) |
3.29 ↓
(3.48) |
6.5%
(6.6%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
What is the prediction for Modena - Brescia?
Users Predictions:
11 users predict this event. Modena will win (votes: 3 - 27.3%). Brescia will win (votes: 2 - 18.2%). It will Tie (votes: 6 - 54.5%).
Confidence interval (95%) for a draw: 25.1% – 83.9%.High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 2 high ROI users predict this event. Tie (votes: 2 - 100%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
Preview Facts
- A meeting between a mid-table team and the outsider will take place in this match (ranked 10 and 16 in the zone Serie B (Play Out: )).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Modena won 2.
- Each of the teams is struggling with stability in their game.
- Modena is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.
- There will not play in Modena: Battistella T.
(Injury)
Caldara M.
(Inactive)
Oliva M.
(Red Card)
Santoro S.
(Yellow Cards)
- There will not play in Brescia: Dickmann L.
(Yellow Cards)
Fogliata R.
(Injury)
- There are questionable in Brescia: Bertagnoli M.
(Injury)
- In the last 14 head-to-head matches, Modena won 5 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 15:16. (average 1.1:1.1).
- Including home matches between the teams, Modena won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 4 matches, and goals 5:9. (average 0.8:1.5).
How many head-to-head matches has Modena won against Brescia?
Modena has won 2 of their last 5 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Brescia won against Modena?
Brescia has won 2 of their last 5 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Modena - Brescia were as follows:
26.12.2024
Brescia
-
Modena
3:3
13.01.2024
Modena
-
Brescia
1:2
24.10.2023
Brescia
-
Modena
0:1
11.02.2023
Brescia
-
Modena
0:1
10.09.2022
Modena
-
Brescia
1:3
Latest results of Brescia
Italian Serie B Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Modena | 9 | 6 | 3 | 0 | 16:5 | 11 | 21 |
| 2 | Monza | 9 | 5 | 2 | 2 | 11:7 | 4 | 17 |
| 3 | Cesena | 9 | 5 | 2 | 2 | 14:11 | 3 | 17 |
| 4 | Palermo | 9 | 4 | 4 | 1 | 10:5 | 5 | 16 |
| 5 | Frosinone | 9 | 4 | 3 | 2 | 14:9 | 5 | 15 |
| 6 | Carrarese | 9 | 3 | 5 | 1 | 16:11 | 5 | 14 |
| 7 | Venezia | 9 | 3 | 4 | 2 | 13:9 | 4 | 13 |
| 8 | Juve Stabia | 8 | 3 | 4 | 1 | 10:8 | 2 | 13 |
| 9 | Reggiana | 9 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 14:14 | 0 | 12 |
| 10 | Avellino | 9 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 11:15 | -4 | 12 |
| 11 | Padova | 8 | 3 | 2 | 3 | 8:9 | -1 | 11 |
| 12 | Sudtirol | 9 | 2 | 4 | 3 | 12:12 | 0 | 10 |
| 13 | Entella | 9 | 2 | 4 | 3 | 10:12 | -2 | 10 |
| 14 | Empoli | 9 | 2 | 4 | 3 | 12:16 | -4 | 10 |
| 15 | Catanzaro | 9 | 1 | 6 | 2 | 8:9 | -1 | 9 |
| 16 | Pescara | 9 | 1 | 4 | 4 | 14:17 | -3 | 7 |
| 17 | Spezia | 9 | 1 | 3 | 5 | 9:13 | -4 | 6 |
| 18 | Sampdoria | 9 | 1 | 3 | 5 | 9:14 | -5 | 6 |
| 19 | Bari | 8 | 1 | 3 | 4 | 8:15 | -7 | 6 |
| 20 | Mantova | 8 | 1 | 2 | 5 | 6:14 | -8 | 5 |
Promotion ~ Serie A
Promotion ~ Serie B (Play Offs: Semi~finals)
Promotion ~ Serie B (Play Offs: Quarter~finals)
Serie B (Play Out: )
Relegation
