Modena vs Brescia – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

09/05/2025 at 14:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))

Stadio Alberto Braglia (Modena).

Serie B - Round 38
Referee: Santoro A. (Ita)
Where to Watch on TV:


Italy	DAZN Italia

Match Stats


Expected Goals (xG)
0.96	1.35
Ball Possession
48%	52%
Total shots
12	15
Shots on target
3	4
Big Chances
2	4
Corner Kicks
2	1
Passes
81% (321/398)	81% (339/419)
Yellow Cards
4	1
Expected Goals (xG)
0.96	1.35
xG on target (xGOT)
0.41	1.44
Total shots
12	15
Shots on target
3	4
Shots off target
6	8
Blocked Shots
3	3
Shots inside the Box
6	9
Shots outside the Box
6	6
Hit the Woodwork
0	0
Headed Goals
0	1
Big Chances
2	4
Corner Kicks
2	1
Touches in opposition box
15	20
Accurate through passes
0	0
Offsides
1	0
Free Kicks
10	17
Passes
81% (321/398)	81% (339/419)
Long passes
33% (18/55)	65% (35/54)
Passes in final third
73% (88/121)	67% (90/134)
Crosses
38% (3/8)	38% (5/13)
Expected assists (xA)
1.00	0.87
Throw-ins
24	21
Fouls
17	10
Tackles
69% (9/13)	82% (9/11)
Duels won
43	46
Clearances
24	16
Interceptions
12	4
Errors leading to shot
0	0
Errors leading to goal
0	0
Goalkeeper Saves
3	1
xGOT faced
1.44	0.41
Goals prevented
0.44	-1.59

Key Moments

Here there are

1st Half (1 - 1)
17', Adorni D. 🟨,
25', 0 - 1, Cauz C. (Own goal),
28', 1 - 1, Caso G. ⚽, Di Pardo A. (A),
2nd Half (1 - 1)
67', 2 - 1, Di Pardo A. ⚽, Zaro G. (A),
68', Di Pardo A. 🟨,
75', Besaggio M. ↓, Nuamah P. ↑,
75', Bianchi F. ↓, Moncini G. ↑,
76', Gliozzi E. ↓, Defrel G. ↑,
76', Di Pardo A. ↓, Ponsi F. ↑,
77', Palumbo A. 🟨,
84', Galazzi N. ↓, D'Andrea L. ↑,
84', Jallow A. ↓, Cistana A. ↑,
85', Cotali M. ↓, Dellavalle A. ↑,
85', Caso G. 🟨,
85', Caso G. ↓, Duca E. ↑,
87', Corrado N. ↓, Olzer G. ↑,
88', Beyuku G. 🟨,
89', 2 - 2, Calvani G. ⚽, Bisoli D. (A),
90+3', Palumbo A. ↓, Kamate I. ↑,

Highlights

Chances of winning

Modena
38.8%

Draw
32.5%

Brescia
28.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

41.9%

31.2%

26.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

43.7%

29.9%

25.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Modena has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.1%)

Brescia has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.8%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Modena than the current prediction. (+4.9%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Brescia than the current prediction. (-2.9%)

Modena - Brescia Odds

	1	X	2	Marga
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.42 ↑ (2.24)	2.88 ↓ (3.01)	3.29 ↓ (3.48)	6.5% (6.6%)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

What is the prediction for Modena - Brescia?

Users Predictions: 11 users predict this event. Modena will win (votes: 3 - 27.3%). Brescia will win (votes: 2 - 18.2%). It will Tie (votes: 6 - 54.5%).
Confidence interval (95%) for a draw: 25.1% – 83.9%.

High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 5 high ROI users predict this event. Tie (votes: 5 - 100%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:

AH 0 - Brescia (2.23) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

DC - Brescia (1.60) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Overall votes from High ROI Users Predictions (including all markets): 7 high ROI users predict this event. Brescia (votes: 2 - 28.6%). Tie (votes: 5 - 71.4%).

The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.

Preview Facts

A meeting between a mid-table team and the outsider will take place in this match (ranked 10 and 16 in the zone Serie B (Play Out: )).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Modena won 2.
Each of the teams is struggling with stability in their game.
Modena is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.
There will not play in Modena: Battistella T. (Injury) Caldara M. (Inactive) Oliva M. (Red Card) Santoro S. (Yellow Cards)
There will not play in Brescia: Dickmann L. (Yellow Cards) Fogliata R. (Injury)
There are questionable in Brescia: Bertagnoli M. (Injury)
In the last 14 head-to-head matches, Modena won 5 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 15:16. (average 1.1:1.1).
Including home matches between the teams, Modena won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 4 matches, and goals 5:9. (average 0.8:1.5).

How many head-to-head matches has Modena won against Brescia?

Modena has won 2 of their last 5 head-to-head matches.

How many head-to-head matches has Brescia won against Modena?

Brescia has won 2 of their last 5 head-to-head matches.

What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?

The latest head-to-head matches between Modena - Brescia were as follows:

26.12.2024 Brescia - Modena 3:3

13.01.2024 Modena - Brescia 1:2

24.10.2023 Brescia - Modena 0:1

11.02.2023 Brescia - Modena 0:1

10.09.2022 Modena - Brescia 1:3

Latest results of Modena

04.05.2025 Carrarese - Modena 2:1 ✺

01.05.2025 Modena - Reggiana 2:3 ✺

25.04.2025 Bari - Modena 1:2 ✺

12.04.2025 Modena - Sassuolo 1:3 ✺

05.04.2025 Pisa - Modena 1:2 ✺

Latest results of Brescia

04.05.2025 Brescia - Juve Stabia 0:0 ✺

01.05.2025 Cittadella - Brescia 0:1 ✺

25.04.2025 Brescia - Pisa 1:2 ✺

12.04.2025 Nuova Cosenza - Brescia 1:1 ✺

05.04.2025 Brescia - Mantova 1:2 ✺

Italian Serie B Table

2025/26

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
1	Venezia	28	18	6	4	58:25	33	60
2	Monza	28	18	6	4	44:21	23	60
3	Frosinone	28	15	10	3	52:28	24	55
4	Palermo	28	15	9	4	48:22	26	54
5	Catanzaro	28	12	10	6	42:32	10	46
6	Modena	28	12	7	9	37:24	13	43
7	Juve Stabia	28	9	13	6	32:32	0	40
8	Cesena	28	11	5	12	36:41	-5	38
9	Sudtirol	28	8	13	7	31:28	3	37
10	Padova	28	8	10	10	30:35	-5	34
11	Carrarese	28	7	11	10	35:40	-5	32
12	Empoli	28	7	10	11	34:39	-5	31
13	Sampdoria	28	7	9	12	29:37	-8	30
14	Avellino	28	7	9	12	30:46	-16	30
15	Reggiana	28	7	8	13	29:40	-11	29
16	Entella	28	6	10	12	26:40	-14	28
17	Bari	28	6	10	12	25:40	-15	28
18	Mantova	28	7	6	15	28:44	-16	27
19	Spezia	28	6	8	14	25:37	-12	26
20	Pescara	28	4	10	14	34:54	-20	22

      Promotion ~ Serie A
      Promotion ~ Serie B (Play Offs: Semi~finals)
      Promotion ~ Serie B (Play Offs: Quarter~finals)
      Serie B (Play Out: )
      Relegation