Result
3:0
28/03/2026 at 15:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Liga AUF Uruguaya - Apertura - Round 9
- Referee: Burgos J. (Uru)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Argentina | DirecTV Sports, Disney+ |
 Brazil | Disney+ |
 Chile | DirecTV Sports |
 Ecuador | DirecTV Sports |
 Mexico | Disney+ |
 Peru | DirecTV Sports, Disney+ |
 Uruguay | Antel TV, DirecTV Sports, Disney+ |
 Venezuela | Disney+ |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Ball possession |
|---|
| 49% | 51% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 6 | 10 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 4 | 2 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 7 | 8 |
| Yellow cards |
|---|
| 2 | 4 |
| Red cards |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 6 | 10 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 4 | 2 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 2 | 8 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 7 | 8 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (1 - 0)
- 22', Luna J. 🟨,
- 36', Freitas G. 🟨,
- 40', Guasone J. 🟨,
- 42', 1 - 0, Levato M. (Penalty Awarded),
- 2nd Half (2 - 0)
- 46', 2 - 0, Urretaviscaya J. ⚽,
- 46', Suarez D. ↓, Arguello M. ↑,
- 46', Cambon A. ↓, Morales B. ↑,
- 46', Zeballos J. ↓, Benitez S. ↑,
- 51', Nongoy P. 🟨,
- 55', Nongoy P. ↓, Mendez A. ↑,
- 55', Guasone J. ↓, Miranda A. ↑,
- 69', Miranda A. 🟨,
- 70', Miranda A. 🟨,
- 71', Barros C. ↓, Quinteros B. ↑,
- 73', 3 - 0, Olivera Moreira L. N. ⚽,
- 75', Freitas G. ↓, Alberti J. ↑,
- 75', Furtado N. ↓, Acosta M. ↑,
- 79+2', Urretaviscaya J. ↓, Rivero R. ↑,
Chances of winning
Montevideo Wanderers
42.9% | Draw
31.5% | Cerro
25.5% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Montevideo Wanderers has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.7%)Cerro has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.8%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Montevideo Wanderers than the current prediction. (+1.8%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Cerro than the current prediction. (-0.9%)
Montevideo Wanderers - Cerro Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
2.16 ↑
(2.07) |
2.95 ↓
(3) |
3.7 ↓
(3.75) |
7.3%
(8.2%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.00
What is the prediction for Montevideo Wanderers - Cerro?
Users Predictions:
Montevideo Wanderers will win
(5 of 5 users predict this - 100%).
Confidence interval (95%): 100% – 100%. The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.
Preview Facts
- A mid-table team will face off against the outsider in this match (ranked 11 and 15).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Wanderers won 2.
- Recent performances by Wanderers have been up and down (last 5 games: 2 wins).
- Cerro has been struggling lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).
- Cerro may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
- Wanderers is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.
- In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Wanderers won 5 matches, drew 5 matches, lost 10 matches, and goals 16:22. (average 0.8:1.1).
- Including home matches between the teams, Wanderers won 2 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 6 matches, and goals 7:10. (average 0.7:1).
How many head-to-head matches has Montevideo Wanderers won against Cerro?
Montevideo Wanderers has won 4 of their last 8 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Cerro won against Montevideo Wanderers?
Cerro has won 3 of their last 8 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Montevideo Wanderers - Cerro were as follows:
26.09.2025
Montevideo Wanderers
-
Cerro
0:1
01.06.2025
Cerro
-
Montevideo Wanderers
1:2
31.03.2025
Cerro
-
Montevideo Wanderers
2:1
16.08.2024
Montevideo Wanderers
-
Cerro
1:0
18.02.2024
Cerro
-
Montevideo Wanderers
1:1
Latest results of Montevideo Wanderers
Uruguayan Primera Division Table
Apertura | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Racing Montevideo | 10 | 7 | 2 | 1 | 18:9 | 9 | 23 |
| 2 | Penarol | 10 | 7 | 1 | 2 | 17:8 | 9 | 22 |
| 3 | Maldonado | 10 | 6 | 1 | 3 | 15:10 | 5 | 19 |
| 4 | Central Esp | 10 | 5 | 2 | 3 | 14:11 | 3 | 17 |
| 5 | Nacional | 10 | 5 | 1 | 4 | 14:11 | 3 | 16 |
| 6 | Montevideo City | 10 | 4 | 3 | 3 | 14:11 | 3 | 15 |
| 7 | Wanderers | 10 | 4 | 2 | 4 | 11:15 | -4 | 14 |
| 8 | Albion | 10 | 3 | 4 | 3 | 13:12 | 1 | 13 |
| 9 | Liverpool M | 10 | 3 | 4 | 3 | 13:13 | 0 | 13 |
| 10 | Defensor Sp | 10 | 3 | 4 | 3 | 7:7 | 0 | 13 |
| 11 | Cerro Largo | 10 | 4 | 1 | 5 | 12:13 | -1 | 13 |
| 12 | Danubio | 10 | 3 | 4 | 3 | 12:13 | -1 | 13 |
| 13 | Boston River | 10 | 3 | 2 | 5 | 9:11 | -2 | 11 |
| 14 | CA Cerro | 10 | 2 | 2 | 6 | 5:14 | -9 | 8 |
| 15 | Progreso | 10 | 1 | 4 | 5 | 9:17 | -8 | 7 |
| 16 | Juventud | 10 | 1 | 1 | 8 | 9:17 | -8 | 4 |
Promotion ~ Liga AUF Uruguaya (Play Offs: )
