Result
0:1
26/09/2025 at 19:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Liga AUF Uruguaya - Clausura - Round 9
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Argentina | Disney+ |
 Brazil | Disney+ |
 Mexico | Disney+ |
 Peru | Disney+ |
 South-america | Gol TV Latinoamerica, Gol TV Latinoamerica |
 Uruguay | Disney+, VTV+ |
 Usa | Fanatiz |
 Venezuela | Disney+, Inter |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 55% | 45% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 5 | 4 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 3 | 4 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 5 | 4 |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 5 | 6 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 5 | 4 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 3 | 4 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 2 | 0 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 5 | 4 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 1)
- 23', Paiva S. 🟨,
- 29', Garcia A. 🟨,
- 41', Acosta M. 🟨,
- 42', 0 - 1, Morales B. ⚽,
- 2nd Half (0 - 0)
- 55', Macelli A. 🟨,
- 56', Valenzuela I. 🟨,
- 58', Acosta M. ↓, Viudez T. ↑,
- 58', Queiroz N. ↓, Suarez P. ↑,
- 62', Paiva S. ↓, Larrosa E. ↑,
- 62', Miranda A. ↓, Cuello E. ↑,
- 63', Sosa E. 🟨,
- 65', Luna J. 🟨,
- 68', Sosa E. ↓, Suarez M. ↑,
- 74', Garcia A. ↓, Veglio B. ↑,
- 74', Cerro F. ↓, Lima P. ↑,
- 77', Morales B. ↓, Ocampo M. ↑,
- 77', Valenzuela I. ↓, Camacho S. ↑,
- 79', Martinez M. ↓, Guzman S. ↑,
- 80', Lima P. 🟨,
- 87', Bacchia R. 🟨,
- 89', Suarez M. 🟨,
- 90', Suarez P. 🟨,
Chances of winning
Montevideo Wanderers
42.3% | Draw
31.8% | Cerro
25.9% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Montevideo Wanderers has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.6%)Cerro has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.2%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Montevideo Wanderers than the current prediction. (+2.1%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Cerro than the current prediction. (+0.9%)
Montevideo Wanderers - Cerro Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
2.23 ↑
(2.11) |
2.91 ↓
(3.21) |
3.65 ↑
(3.43) |
6.6%
(7.7%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 1.75
What is the prediction for Montevideo Wanderers - Cerro?
Users Predictions:
4 users predict this event. Wanderers will win (votes: 2 - 50%). Cerro will win (votes: 1 - 25%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 25%). Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:- O/U 2.5 - under (votes: 1 - 100%) .
- AH 0 - Wanderers (1.54) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
Overall votes from High ROI Users Predictions (including all markets): 1 high ROI users predict this event. Wanderers (votes: 1 - 100%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.
Preview Facts
- The game between a mid-table team and the outsider (ranked 14 and 11).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Wanderers won 3.
- Wanderers is currently in poor form (last 5 games: 1 wins).
- Cerro has been playing with ups and downs recently (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).
- Recently, Wanderers has had a series of away games.
- Wanderers might have a minor edge in this game.
- In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Wanderers won 6 matches, drew 5 matches, lost 9 matches, and goals 17:21. (average 0.9:1.1).
- Including home matches between the teams, Wanderers won 3 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 8:9. (average 0.8:0.9).
How many head-to-head matches has Montevideo Wanderers won against Cerro?
Montevideo Wanderers has won 4 of their last 7 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Cerro won against Montevideo Wanderers?
Cerro has won 2 of their last 7 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Montevideo Wanderers - Cerro were as follows:
01.06.2025
Cerro
-
Montevideo Wanderers
1:2
31.03.2025
Cerro
-
Montevideo Wanderers
2:1
16.08.2024
Montevideo Wanderers
-
Cerro
1:0
18.02.2024
Cerro
-
Montevideo Wanderers
1:1
03.11.2023
Cerro
-
Montevideo Wanderers
0:1
Latest results of Montevideo Wanderers
Uruguayan Primera Division Table
Apertura | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Central Esp | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 6:1 | 5 | 9 |
| 2 | Nacional | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 4:2 | 2 | 7 |
| 3 | Defensor Sp | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 4:2 | 2 | 7 |
| 4 | Maldonado | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 7:4 | 3 | 6 |
| 5 | Penarol | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 6:4 | 2 | 6 |
| 6 | Danubio | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 3:4 | -1 | 6 |
| 7 | Racing Montevideo | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 7:5 | 2 | 4 |
| 8 | Montevideo City | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 7:5 | 2 | 4 |
| 9 | Albion | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 4:2 | 2 | 4 |
| 10 | Liverpool M | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 4:4 | 0 | 4 |
| 11 | Wanderers | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 3:6 | -3 | 4 |
| 12 | Cerro Largo | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 2:3 | -1 | 3 |
| 13 | Juventud | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 2:4 | -2 | 1 |
| 14 | Boston River | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 1:4 | -3 | 1 |
| 15 | CA Cerro | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 1:5 | -4 | 1 |
| 16 | Progreso | 3 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 0:6 | -6 | 0 |
Promotion ~ Liga AUF Uruguaya (Play Offs: )
