Cerro vs Montevideo Wanderers – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Football Uruguayan Primera Division Cerro - Montevideo Wanderers
Result
1:2
01/06/2025 at 19:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • Liga AUF Uruguaya - Torneo Intermedio - Round 2
  • Where to Watch on TV:
argentinaArgentinaDisney+
brazilBrazilDisney+
mexicoMexicoDisney+
peruPeruDisney+
south-americaSouth-americaGol TV Latinoamerica, Gol TV Latinoamerica
uruguayUruguayDisney+, VTV+
usaUsaFanatiz
venezuelaVenezuelaDisney+, Inter

Match Stats

Ball Possession
41%59%
Total shots
59
Shots on target
44
Corner Kicks
35
Yellow Cards
42
Red Cards
10
Total shots
59
Shots on target
44
Shots off target
15
Corner Kicks
35
Goalkeeper Saves
23

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (1 - 1)
  • 7', 0 - 1, Suarez M. ,
  • 14', 1 - 1, Larrosa E. ,
  • 2nd Half (0 - 1)
  • 46', Silvestre F. , Haller R. ,
  • 46', Camacho S. , Mulet A. ,
  • 53', Figueredo S. 🟨,
  • 54', Villar M. 🟨,
  • 61', Ocampo M. 🟨,
  • 65', Alvarez E. , Almeida E. ,
  • 65', Cuello E. , Alonso M. ,
  • 75', 1 - 2, Zeballos J. ,
  • 78', Miranda A. , Techera F. ,
  • 83', Ferreira Berrondo M. N. , Royon N. ,
  • 83', Zeballos J. , Cosentino L. ,
  • 88', Mulet A. 🟨,
  • 90', Cerro F. , Queiroz N. ,
  • 90+4', Silveira M. 🟨,
  • 90+4', Haller R. 🟨,
  • 90+7', Haller R. 🟥,

Chances of winning


Cerro
30%
Draw
31.8%
Montevideo Wanderers
38.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
33.8% 32.4% 33.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

33.3% 32.9% 34.3%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Cerro has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.8%)
  • Montevideo Wanderers has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.4%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Cerro than the current prediction. (+3.3%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Montevideo Wanderers than the current prediction. (-3.9%)
  • Cerro - Montevideo Wanderers Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    3.08
    (2.75)
    2.93
    (2.87)
    2.45
    (2.75)
    7.3%
    (7.5%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.00
  • What is the prediction for Cerro - Montevideo Wanderers?
  • Users Predictions: 7 users predict this event. Cerro will win (votes: 3 - 42.9%). It will Tie (votes: 4 - 57.1%).
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 1 high ROI users predict this event. Tie (votes: 1 - 100%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
  • Preview Facts
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Cerro won 1.
    • Recent form of Cerro has been disappointing (last 5 games: 0 wins).
    • Wanderers has been unpredictable lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).
    • Cerro may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
    • Recently, Cerro has had a series of away games.
    • In this match, both teams are almost equally likely to win.
    • In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Cerro won 9 matches, drew 5 matches, lost 6 matches, and goals 21:17. (average 1.1:0.9).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Cerro won 4 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 12:9. (average 1.2:0.9).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Cerro - Montevideo Wanderers were as follows:
    31.03.2025 Cerro - Montevideo Wanderers 2:1
    16.08.2024 Montevideo Wanderers - Cerro 1:0
    18.02.2024 Cerro - Montevideo Wanderers 1:1
    03.11.2023 Cerro - Montevideo Wanderers 0:1
    25.03.2023 Montevideo Wanderers - Cerro 3:0
    Latest results of Cerro
    19.05.2025 Boston River - Cerro 0:0
    27.04.2025 Peñarol de Montevideo - Cerro Abandoned
    Uruguayan Primera Division Table
    Clausura
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Cerro Largo43106:2410
    2Defensor Sp43013:4-19
    3Boston River42207:258
    4Liverpool M32103:127
    5Penarol32016:336
    6Racing Montevideo32013:216
    7Juventud42024:5-16
    8Nacional42118:624
    9CA Cerro31113:214
    10Miramar41125:504
    11Danubio31112:204
    12Montevideo City31115:6-14
    13Wanderers40131:4-31
    14River Plate30120:3-31
    15Plaza Colonia40131:6-51
    16Progreso30033:7-40

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