Montevideo Wanderers vs Cerro – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Football Uruguayan Primera Division Montevideo Wanderers - Cerro
Result
0:1
26/09/2025 at 19:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • Liga AUF Uruguaya - Clausura - Round 9
  • Where to Watch on TV:
argentinaArgentinaDisney+
brazilBrazilDisney+
mexicoMexicoDisney+
peruPeruDisney+
south-americaSouth-americaGol TV Latinoamerica, Gol TV Latinoamerica
uruguayUruguayDisney+, VTV+
usaUsaFanatiz
venezuelaVenezuelaDisney+, Inter

Match Stats

Ball Possession
55%45%
Total shots
54
Shots on target
34
Corner Kicks
54
Yellow Cards
56
Total shots
54
Shots on target
34
Shots off target
20
Corner Kicks
54

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 1)
  • 23', Paiva S. 🟨,
  • 29', Garcia A. 🟨,
  • 41', Acosta M. 🟨,
  • 42', 0 - 1, Morales B. ,
  • 2nd Half (0 - 0)
  • 55', Macelli A. 🟨,
  • 56', Valenzuela I. 🟨,
  • 58', Acosta M. , Viudez T. ,
  • 58', Queiroz N. , Suarez P. ,
  • 62', Paiva S. , Larrosa E. ,
  • 62', Miranda A. , Cuello E. ,
  • 63', Sosa E. 🟨,
  • 65', Luna J. 🟨,
  • 68', Sosa E. , Suarez M. ,
  • 74', Garcia A. , Veglio B. ,
  • 74', Cerro F. , Lima P. ,
  • 77', Morales B. , Ocampo M. ,
  • 77', Valenzuela I. , Camacho S. ,
  • 79', Martinez M. , Guzman S. ,
  • 80', Lima P. 🟨,
  • 87', Bacchia R. 🟨,
  • 89', Suarez M. 🟨,
  • 90', Suarez P. 🟨,

Chances of winning


Montevideo Wanderers
42.3%
Draw
31.8%
Cerro
25.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
43.9% 29% 27.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

44.4% 28.7% 26.8%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Montevideo Wanderers has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.6%)
  • Cerro has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.2%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Montevideo Wanderers than the current prediction. (+2.1%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Cerro than the current prediction. (+0.9%)
  • Montevideo Wanderers - Cerro Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    2.23
    (2.11)
    2.91
    (3.21)
    3.65
    (3.43)
    6.6%
    (7.7%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 1.75
  • What is the prediction for Montevideo Wanderers - Cerro?
  • Users Predictions: 4 users predict this event. Wanderers will win (votes: 2 - 50%). Cerro will win (votes: 1 - 25%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 25%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.
  • Preview Facts
    • The game between a mid-table team and the outsider (ranked 14 and 11).
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Wanderers won 3.
    • Wanderers is currently in poor form (last 5 games: 1 wins).
    • Cerro has been playing with ups and downs recently (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).
    • Recently, Wanderers has had a series of away games.
    • Wanderers might have a minor edge in this game.
    • In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Wanderers won 6 matches, drew 5 matches, lost 9 matches, and goals 17:21. (average 0.9:1.1).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Wanderers won 3 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 8:9. (average 0.8:0.9).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Montevideo Wanderers - Cerro were as follows:
    01.06.2025 Cerro - Montevideo Wanderers 1:2
    31.03.2025 Cerro - Montevideo Wanderers 2:1
    16.08.2024 Montevideo Wanderers - Cerro 1:0
    18.02.2024 Cerro - Montevideo Wanderers 1:1
    03.11.2023 Cerro - Montevideo Wanderers 0:1
    Latest results of Montevideo Wanderers
    Latest results of Cerro
    21.09.2025 Cerro - Miramar Misiones 1:0
    14.09.2025 Danubio - Cerro 5:1
    07.09.2025 Cerro - Cerro Largo 0:1
    Uruguayan Primera Division Table
    Clausura
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Penarol1081121:71425
    2Nacional1072121:91220
    3Montevideo City1062219:11820
    4Boston River1054118:61219
    5Defensor Sp106138:9-119
    6Liverpool M1053213:10318
    7Cerro Largo1051410:9116
    8Progreso1042412:11114
    9Danubio1041514:11313
    10CA Cerro104158:12-413
    11Miramar1032513:14-111
    12Juventud103255:8-311
    13Racing Montevideo103257:16-911
    14Plaza Colonia101277:20-135
    15Wanderers101183:14-114
    16River Plate100373:15-123

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