Result
0:1
26/09/2025 at 19:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Liga AUF Uruguaya - Clausura - Round 9
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
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Argentina | Disney+ |
Brazil | Disney+ |
Mexico | Disney+ |
Peru | Disney+ |
South-america | Gol TV Latinoamerica, Gol TV Latinoamerica |
Uruguay | Disney+, VTV+ |
Usa | Fanatiz |
Venezuela | Disney+, Inter |
Match Stats
| |
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Ball Possession |
---|
55% | 45% |
Total shots |
---|
5 | 4 |
Shots on target |
---|
3 | 4 |
Corner Kicks |
---|
5 | 4 |
Yellow Cards |
---|
5 | 6 |
Total shots |
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5 | 4 |
Shots on target |
---|
3 | 4 |
Shots off target |
---|
2 | 0 |
Corner Kicks |
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5 | 4 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 1)
- 23', Paiva S. 🟨,
- 29', Garcia A. 🟨,
- 41', Acosta M. 🟨,
- 42', 0 - 1, Morales B. ⚽,
- 2nd Half (0 - 0)
- 55', Macelli A. 🟨,
- 56', Valenzuela I. 🟨,
- 58', Acosta M. ↓, Viudez T. ↑,
- 58', Queiroz N. ↓, Suarez P. ↑,
- 62', Paiva S. ↓, Larrosa E. ↑,
- 62', Miranda A. ↓, Cuello E. ↑,
- 63', Sosa E. 🟨,
- 65', Luna J. 🟨,
- 68', Sosa E. ↓, Suarez M. ↑,
- 74', Garcia A. ↓, Veglio B. ↑,
- 74', Cerro F. ↓, Lima P. ↑,
- 77', Morales B. ↓, Ocampo M. ↑,
- 77', Valenzuela I. ↓, Camacho S. ↑,
- 79', Martinez M. ↓, Guzman S. ↑,
- 80', Lima P. 🟨,
- 87', Bacchia R. 🟨,
- 89', Suarez M. 🟨,
- 90', Suarez P. 🟨,
Chances of winning
Montevideo Wanderers 42.3% | Draw 31.8% | Cerro 25.9% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Montevideo Wanderers has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.6%)Cerro has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.2%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Montevideo Wanderers than the current prediction. (+2.1%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Cerro than the current prediction. (+0.9%)
Montevideo Wanderers - Cerro Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now (Initially) |
2.23 ↑ (2.11) |
2.91 ↓ (3.21) |
3.65 ↑ (3.43) |
6.6% (7.7%) | |
The most likely Over/Under: 1.75
What is the prediction for Montevideo Wanderers - Cerro?
Users Predictions:
4 users predict this event. Wanderers will win (votes: 2 - 50%). Cerro will win (votes: 1 - 25%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 25%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.
Preview Facts
- The game between a mid-table team and the outsider (ranked 14 and 11).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Wanderers won 3.
- Wanderers is currently in poor form (last 5 games: 1 wins).
- Cerro has been playing with ups and downs recently (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).
- Recently, Wanderers has had a series of away games.
- Wanderers might have a minor edge in this game.
- In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Wanderers won 6 matches, drew 5 matches, lost 9 matches, and goals 17:21. (average 0.9:1.1).
- Including home matches between the teams, Wanderers won 3 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 8:9. (average 0.8:0.9).
How many head-to-head matches has Montevideo Wanderers won against Cerro?
Montevideo Wanderers has won 4 of their last 7 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Cerro won against Montevideo Wanderers?
Cerro has won 2 of their last 7 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Montevideo Wanderers - Cerro were as follows:
01.06.2025
Cerro
-
Montevideo Wanderers
1:2
31.03.2025
Cerro
-
Montevideo Wanderers
2:1
16.08.2024
Montevideo Wanderers
-
Cerro
1:0
18.02.2024
Cerro
-
Montevideo Wanderers
1:1
03.11.2023
Cerro
-
Montevideo Wanderers
0:1
Latest results of Montevideo Wanderers
Uruguayan Primera Division Table
Clausura | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
1 | Penarol | 10 | 8 | 1 | 1 | 21:7 | 14 | 25 |
2 | Nacional | 10 | 7 | 2 | 1 | 21:9 | 12 | 20 |
3 | Montevideo City | 10 | 6 | 2 | 2 | 19:11 | 8 | 20 |
4 | Boston River | 10 | 5 | 4 | 1 | 18:6 | 12 | 19 |
5 | Defensor Sp | 10 | 6 | 1 | 3 | 8:9 | -1 | 19 |
6 | Liverpool M | 10 | 5 | 3 | 2 | 13:10 | 3 | 18 |
7 | Cerro Largo | 10 | 5 | 1 | 4 | 10:9 | 1 | 16 |
8 | Progreso | 10 | 4 | 2 | 4 | 12:11 | 1 | 14 |
9 | Danubio | 10 | 4 | 1 | 5 | 14:11 | 3 | 13 |
10 | CA Cerro | 10 | 4 | 1 | 5 | 8:12 | -4 | 13 |
11 | Miramar | 10 | 3 | 2 | 5 | 13:14 | -1 | 11 |
12 | Juventud | 10 | 3 | 2 | 5 | 5:8 | -3 | 11 |
13 | Racing Montevideo | 10 | 3 | 2 | 5 | 7:16 | -9 | 11 |
14 | Plaza Colonia | 10 | 1 | 2 | 7 | 7:20 | -13 | 5 |
15 | Wanderers | 10 | 1 | 1 | 8 | 3:14 | -11 | 4 |
16 | River Plate | 10 | 0 | 3 | 7 | 3:15 | -12 | 3 |
Promotion ~ Liga AUF Uruguaya (Play Offs: )