Result
4:1
20/12/2025 at 09:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
- Serie B - Round 17
- Referee: Perenzoni D. (Ita)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Italy | DAZN Italia, LAB Channel |
 World | Onefootball |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 3.44 | 0.34 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 51% | 49% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 15 | 9 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 12 | 4 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 6 | 0 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 5 | 8 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 85% (400/472) | 86% (395/458) |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 0 | 4 |
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 3.44 | 0.34 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 4.22 | 0.20 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 15 | 9 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 12 | 4 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 3 | 4 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 9 | 4 |
| Shots outside the Box |
|---|
| 6 | 5 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 6 | 0 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 5 | 8 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 22 | 15 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 5 | 0 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 12 | 12 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 85% (400/472) | 86% (395/458) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 34% (16/47) | 38% (13/34) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 72% (86/120) | 77% (104/135) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 30% (6/20) | 13% (3/23) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 3.42 | 0.40 |
| Throw-ins |
|---|
| 11 | 9 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 12 | 12 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 64% (9/14) | 67% (4/6) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 43 | 39 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 14 | 25 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 4 | 6 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 3 | 7 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 0.20 | 4.22 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| -0.80 | 0.22 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (2 - 0)
- 9', 1 - 0, Birindelli S. ⚽,
- 13', Parlanti G. 🟨,
- 40', Zanon S. 🟨,
- 42', Illanes J. 🟨,
- 44', 2 - 0, Delli Carri F. ⚽,
- 45+3', Schiavi N. 🟨,
- 2nd Half (2 - 1)
- 46', Parlanti G. ↓, Di Stefano F. ↑,
- 46', Illanes J. ↓, Oliana F. ↑,
- 55', 3 - 0, Birindelli S. ⚽, Ciurria P. (A),
- 58', Finotto M. ↓, Melegoni F. ↑,
- 58', Zanon S. ↓, Bouah D. ↑,
- 67', Obiang P. ↓, Colombo L. ↑,
- 67', Balde K. ↓, Petagna A. ↑,
- 68', Mota D. ↓, Alvarez A. ↑,
- 74', 3 - 1, Di Stefano F. ⚽,
- 74', Azzi P. ↓, Capolupo S. ↑,
- 80', Schiavi N. ↓, Rubino T. ↑,
- 84', 4 - 1, Petagna A. ⚽, Colombo L. (A),
- 86', Ravanelli L. ↓, Bakoune A. ↑,
Chances of winning
Monza
59.8% | Draw
24.2% | Carrarese
16% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Monza - Carrarese Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.57 ↑
(1.56) |
3.89 ↓
(3.9) |
5.85 ↑
(5.73) |
6.5%
(7.2%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
What is the prediction for Monza - Carrarese?
Users Predictions:
15 users predict this event. Monza will win (votes: 12 - 80%). Carrarese will win (votes: 1 - 6.7%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 13.3%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Monza: 59.8% – 100%.High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): Monza will win (4 of 4 users predict this - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip. The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.
Preview Facts
- Get ready for a battle between the top and the middle of the table (ranked 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Serie A and 13).
- The recent form of both competitors has been shaky.
- In this match, Monza is seen as the favorite.
- There will not play in Monza: Antov V.
(Knee Injury)
Colpani A.
(Inactive)
Forson O.
(Knee Injury)
Zeroli K.
(Inactive)
- There will not play in Carrarese: Accornero F.
(Inactive)
Arena A.
(Inactive)
Salamon B.
(Inactive)
- There are questionable in Monza: Mota D.
(Injury)
- In the last 4 head-to-head matches, Monza won 1 match, drew 2 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 6:3. (average 1.5:0.8).
- Including home matches between the teams, Monza won 1 match, drew 2 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 6:2. (average 2:0.7).
How many head-to-head matches has Monza won against Carrarese?
Monza has won of their last 0 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Carrarese won against Monza?
Carrarese has won of their last 0 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Monza - Carrarese were as follows:
Latest results of Carrarese
Italian Serie B Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Frosinone | 19 | 12 | 5 | 2 | 36:16 | 20 | 41 |
| 2 | Venezia | 19 | 11 | 5 | 3 | 34:15 | 19 | 38 |
| 3 | Monza | 19 | 11 | 4 | 4 | 27:15 | 12 | 37 |
| 4 | Palermo | 19 | 9 | 7 | 3 | 29:14 | 15 | 34 |
| 5 | Catanzaro | 19 | 8 | 7 | 4 | 26:21 | 5 | 31 |
| 6 | Cesena | 19 | 9 | 4 | 6 | 25:21 | 4 | 31 |
| 7 | Modena | 19 | 8 | 5 | 6 | 26:17 | 9 | 29 |
| 8 | Empoli | 19 | 7 | 6 | 6 | 26:24 | 2 | 27 |
| 9 | Juve Stabia | 19 | 6 | 9 | 4 | 21:22 | -1 | 27 |
| 10 | Padova | 19 | 6 | 7 | 6 | 19:20 | -1 | 25 |
| 11 | Avellino | 19 | 6 | 7 | 6 | 23:31 | -8 | 25 |
| 12 | Carrarese | 19 | 5 | 8 | 6 | 25:29 | -4 | 23 |
| 13 | Reggiana | 19 | 5 | 5 | 9 | 23:28 | -5 | 20 |
| 14 | Sudtirol | 19 | 3 | 10 | 6 | 18:22 | -4 | 19 |
| 15 | Entella | 19 | 4 | 7 | 8 | 17:26 | -9 | 19 |
| 16 | Sampdoria | 19 | 4 | 5 | 10 | 19:27 | -8 | 17 |
| 17 | Spezia | 19 | 4 | 5 | 10 | 18:27 | -9 | 17 |
| 18 | Bari | 19 | 3 | 8 | 8 | 16:29 | -13 | 17 |
| 19 | Mantova | 19 | 4 | 4 | 11 | 16:28 | -12 | 16 |
| 20 | Pescara | 19 | 2 | 8 | 9 | 25:37 | -12 | 14 |
Promotion ~ Serie A
Promotion ~ Serie B (Play Offs: Semi~finals)
Promotion ~ Serie B (Play Offs: Quarter~finals)
Serie B (Play Out: )
Relegation
