Result
2:1
17/01/2026 at 13:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
- Liga Portugal - Round 18
- Referee: Branco Godinho L. M. (Por)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Portugal | Sport TV1 |
 Ukraine | MEGOGO Futbol 5, MEGOGO Ukraine |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 2.41 | 1.42 |
| Ball possession |
|---|
| 41% | 59% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 15 | 10 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 3 | 4 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 5 | 3 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 4 | 0 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 83% (309/371) | 89% (481/542) |
| Yellow cards |
|---|
| 3 | 1 |
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 2.41 | 1.42 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 1.48 | 1.86 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 15 | 10 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 3 | 4 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 8 | 4 |
| Blocked shots |
|---|
| 4 | 2 |
| Shots inside the box |
|---|
| 11 | 8 |
| Shots outside the box |
|---|
| 4 | 2 |
| Hit the woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 5 | 3 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 4 | 0 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 31 | 17 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 0 | 2 |
| Free kicks |
|---|
| 6 | 16 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 83% (309/371) | 89% (481/542) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 44% (23/52) | 47% (18/38) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 72% (79/109) | 80% (124/155) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 21% (4/19) | 22% (4/18) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 1.50 | 0.99 |
| Throw ins |
|---|
| 24 | 19 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 16 | 6 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 50% (9/18) | 63% (5/8) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 41 | 44 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 19 | 31 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 2 | 8 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper saves |
|---|
| 3 | 1 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 1.86 | 1.48 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| 0.86 | -0.52 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 0)
- 2nd Half (2 - 1)
- 58', Michel 🟨,
- 60', 1 - 0, Touaizi N. (Penalty Awarded),
- 62', 1 - 1, Rodri ⚽,
- 70', 2 - 1, Sandro Lima ⚽, Touaizi N. (A),
- 70', Rodri ↓, Yan Maranhao ↑,
- 71', Assis A. ↓, Stjepanovic M. ↑,
- 74', Lincoln ↓, Gui D. ↑,
- 74', Sandro Lima ↓, Marezi ↑,
- 77', Martinez A. ↓, Landerson ↑,
- 84', Gomes A. 🟨,
- 85', Abdulai S. ↓, Nuozzi C. ↑,
- 90', Amorim ↓, Moreira V. ↑,
- 90', Touaizi N. ↓, Kauan ↑,
- 90+3', Figueiredo 🟨,
- 90+5', Gui D. 🟨,
Chances of winning
Alverca
38.9% | Draw
33% | Moreirense
28% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Alverca has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.7%)Moreirense has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.4%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Alverca than the current prediction. (-2.3%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Moreirense than the current prediction. (+3.7%)
Alverca - Moreirense Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
2.44 ↑
(2.41) |
2.85 ↓
(2.94) |
3.35 ↑
(3.03) |
5.9%
(8.6%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.00
What is the prediction for Alverca - Moreirense?
Users Predictions:
19 users predict this event. Alverca will win (votes: 9 - 47.4%). Moreirense will win (votes: 4 - 21.1%). It will Tie (votes: 6 - 31.6%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Alverca: 24.9% – 69.9%.High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 3 high ROI users predict this event. Alverca (votes: 1 - 33.3%). Tie (votes: 2 - 66.7%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
Preview Facts
- A mid-table team takes on a leader in this match (ranked 11 and 6).
- Both teams are showing inconsistent performances lately.
- Moreirense may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
- Alverca will hold a modest advantage in this match.
- There will not play in Alverca: Diarra S.
(Muscle Injury)
Leo Chu
(Injury)
Mendes T.
(Muscle Injury)
Paulo A.
(Injury)
- There will not play in Moreirense: Sousa V.
(Leg Injury)
- There are questionable in Alverca: Marezi
(Inactive)
- There are questionable in Moreirense: Ofori L.
(Inactive)
- In the last 1 head-to-head match, Alverca won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 1:2.
How many head-to-head matches has Alverca won against Moreirense?
Alverca has won 0 of their last 1 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Moreirense won against Alverca?
Moreirense has won 1 of their last 1 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Alverca - Moreirense were as follows:
10.08.2025
Moreirense
-
Alverca
2:1
Latest results of Alverca
Latest results of Moreirense
Liga Portugal Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | FC Porto | 24 | 21 | 2 | 1 | 47:8 | 39 | 65 |
| 2 | Sporting CP | 24 | 19 | 4 | 1 | 62:12 | 50 | 61 |
| 3 | Benfica | 24 | 17 | 7 | 0 | 51:14 | 37 | 58 |
| 4 | Braga | 24 | 13 | 6 | 5 | 50:23 | 27 | 45 |
| 5 | Gil Vicente | 24 | 11 | 7 | 6 | 35:23 | 12 | 40 |
| 6 | Famalicao | 24 | 10 | 6 | 8 | 29:21 | 8 | 36 |
| 7 | Moreirense | 24 | 10 | 4 | 10 | 30:34 | -4 | 34 |
| 8 | Estoril | 24 | 9 | 6 | 9 | 46:42 | 4 | 33 |
| 9 | Vitoria Guimaraes | 24 | 9 | 5 | 10 | 28:35 | -7 | 32 |
| 10 | Alverca | 24 | 7 | 6 | 11 | 24:39 | -15 | 27 |
| 11 | Arouca | 24 | 7 | 5 | 12 | 32:52 | -20 | 26 |
| 12 | Estrela | 24 | 5 | 9 | 10 | 26:41 | -15 | 24 |
| 13 | Casa Pia | 24 | 5 | 8 | 11 | 26:44 | -18 | 23 |
| 14 | Nacional | 24 | 5 | 6 | 13 | 28:36 | -8 | 21 |
| 15 | Rio Ave | 24 | 4 | 9 | 11 | 23:44 | -21 | 21 |
| 16 | Santa Clara | 24 | 4 | 7 | 13 | 20:31 | -11 | 19 |
| 17 | Tondela | 24 | 4 | 7 | 13 | 19:38 | -19 | 19 |
| 18 | AFS | 24 | 1 | 6 | 17 | 18:57 | -39 | 9 |
Promotion ~ Champions League (League phase: )
Promotion ~ Champions League (Qualification: )
Promotion ~ Europa League (Qualification: )
Promotion ~ Conference League (Qualification: )
Liga Portugal (Relegation)
Relegation ~ Liga Portugal 2
