Moreirense vs Benfica – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
0:4
14/12/2025 at 13:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
  • Liga Portugal - Round 14
  • Referee: Carvalho H. (Por)
  • Where to Watch on TV:
africaAfricaZAP
denmarkDenmarkBold+
franceFrancebeIN Connect
georgiaGeorgiaSilk Sport 3
italyItalyDAZN Italia
portugalPortugalTVI

Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
0.420.86
Ball Possession
53%47%
Total shots
1010
Shots on target
25
Big Chances
03
Corner Kicks
44
Passes
87% (460/530)86% (414/480)
Yellow Cards
20
Expected Goals (xG)
0.420.86
xG on target (xGOT)
0.161.95
Total shots
1010
Shots on target
25
Shots off target
22
Blocked Shots
63
Shots inside the Box
58
Shots outside the Box
52
Hit the Woodwork
00
Headed Goals
01
Big Chances
03
Corner Kicks
44
Touches in opposition box
923
Accurate through passes
00
Offsides
01
Free Kicks
1519
Passes
87% (460/530)86% (414/480)
Long passes
48% (22/46)42% (19/45)
Passes in final third
80% (71/89)74% (78/105)
Crosses
14% (2/14)38% (3/8)
Expected assists (xA)
0.320.79
Throw-ins
1213
Fouls
1915
Tackles
56% (9/16)73% (11/15)
Duels won
4157
Clearances
2316
Interceptions
412
Errors leading to shot
11
Errors leading to goal
20
Goalkeeper Saves
12
xGOT faced
1.950.16
Goals prevented
-2.050.16

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 1)
  • 29', Stjepanovic M. 🟨,
  • 33', Sousa V. 🟨,
  • 36', 0 - 1, Pavlidis V. , Aursnes F. (A),
  • 45+6', Sousa V. , Rodri ,
  • 2nd Half (0 - 3)
  • 46', Stjepanovic M. , Assis A. ,
  • 46', Barreiro L. , Rego R. ,
  • 57', 0 - 2, Pavlidis V. , Sudakov G. (A),
  • 66', Guilherme Schettine , Semedo L. ,
  • 66', Bernardo , Kiko Bondoso ,
  • 70', 0 - 3, Pavlidis V. ,
  • 76', 0 - 4, Aursnes F. ,
  • 78', Pavlidis V. , Ivanovic F. ,
  • 78', Sudakov G. , Schjelderup A. ,
  • 82', Barrenechea E. , Manu ,
  • 82', Kiko , Martinez A. ,
  • 86', Dahl S. , Neto J. ,

Chances of winning


Moreirense
11.4%
Draw
20.5%
Benfica
68.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
9.2% 17.9% 72.9%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Moreirense has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.2%)
  • Benfica has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.8%)
  • Moreirense - Benfica Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    8.21
    (10.26)
    4.68
    (5.3)
    1.39
    (1.3)
    5.6%
    (5.5%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
    What is the prediction for Moreirense - Benfica?
  • Users Predictions: 13 users predict this event. Moreirense will win (votes: 3 - 23.1%). Benfica will win (votes: 8 - 61.5%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 15.4%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for Benfica: 35%88%.
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 2 high ROI users predict this event. Benfica (votes: 2 - 100%).
  • Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:
    • O/U 2.5 - over (votes: 3 - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.
    • BTTS - yes (votes: 2 - 100%) .
    • O/U 1.5 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • O/U 2 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • AH +1.25 - Moreirense (1.90) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • O/U 0.5, 1st Half - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .
  • Overall votes from High ROI Users Predictions (including all markets): 3 high ROI users predict this event. Moreirense (votes: 1 - 33.3%). Benfica (votes: 2 - 66.7%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 0:1.
  • Preview Facts
    • A mid-table team takes on a leader in this match (ranked 8 and 3 in the zone Promotion ~ Europa League (Qualification: )).
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Moreirense won 0.
    • Recent performances by Moreirense have been up and down (last 5 games: 1 wins).
    • Benfica is in superb shape, having picked up a string of victories recently (last 5 games: 4 wins).
    • Benfica may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
    • In this match, Benfica is the obvious favorite.
    • There will not play in Moreirense: Alanzinho (Yellow Cards) Jorquera Romero J. (Ankle Injury) Yan Maranhao (Injury)
    • There will not play in Benfica: Bah A. (Knee Injury) Bruma (Achilles Tendon Injury) Felix N. (Knee Injury) Lukebakio D. (Broken ankle) Prestianni G. (Red Card)
    • There are questionable in Benfica: Araujo H. (Muscle Injury)
    • In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Moreirense won 2 matches, drew 6 matches, lost 12 matches, and goals 17:40. (average 0.9:2).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Moreirense won 1 match, drew 4 matches, lost 7 matches, and goals 10:25. (average 0.8:2.1).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Moreirense - Benfica were as follows:
    08.02.2025 Benfica - Moreirense 3:2
    30.08.2024 Moreirense - Benfica 1:1
    14.04.2024 Benfica - Moreirense 3:0
    03.12.2023 Moreirense - Benfica 0:0
    17.12.2022 Moreirense - Benfica 1:1
    Latest results of Moreirense
    07.12.2025 Estoril Praia - Moreirense 3:3
    29.11.2025 Moreirense - Famalicão 2:2
    09.11.2025 Braga - Moreirense 2:1
    02.11.2025 Arouca - Moreirense 0:2
    27.10.2025 Moreirense - Porto 1:2
    Latest results of Benfica
    10.12.2025 Benfica - Napoli 2:0
    05.12.2025 Benfica - Sporting Lisbon 1:1
    29.11.2025 Nacional - Benfica 1:2
    25.11.2025 Ajax - Benfica 0:2
    21.11.2025 Atlético CP - Benfica 0:2
    Liga Portugal Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1FC Porto23202144:73762
    2Sporting CP23184159:124758
    3Benfica23167049:133655
    4Braga23126548:222642
    5Gil Vicente23117534:211340
    6Famalicao23105829:21835
    7Estoril2396846:39733
    8Moreirense231031029:33-433
    9Vitoria Guimaraes23941027:34-731
    10Alverca23751123:38-1526
    11Arouca23751131:49-1826
    12Estrela23581026:41-1523
    13Casa Pia23571125:43-1822
    14Nacional23561227:34-721
    15Rio Ave23481123:44-2120
    16Santa Clara23461318:29-1118
    17Tondela23461317:36-1918
    18AFS23151718:57-398

          Promotion ~ Champions League (League phase: )
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          Promotion ~ Europa League (Qualification: )
          Promotion ~ Conference League (Qualification: )
          Liga Portugal (Relegation)
          Relegation ~ Liga Portugal 2