Result
1:0
24/01/2026 at 10:30 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
- Liga Portugal - Round 19
- Referee: Pinheiro J. (Por)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Portugal | TVI, V+ TVI |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.14 | 0.21 |
| Ball possession |
|---|
| 49% | 51% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 3 | 9 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 1 | 1 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 5 | 5 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 80% (299/373) | 76% (295/386) |
| Yellow cards |
|---|
| 2 | 2 |
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.14 | 0.21 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 0.03 | 0.00 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 3 | 9 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 1 | 1 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 2 | 4 |
| Blocked shots |
|---|
| 0 | 4 |
| Shots inside the box |
|---|
| 1 | 2 |
| Shots outside the box |
|---|
| 2 | 6 |
| Hit the woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 5 | 5 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 7 | 14 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 1 | 5 |
| Free kicks |
|---|
| 22 | 13 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 80% (299/373) | 76% (295/386) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 41% (23/56) | 35% (26/75) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 55% (40/73) | 57% (64/112) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 14% (2/14) | 13% (2/16) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 0.21 | 0.27 |
| Throw ins |
|---|
| 22 | 15 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 13 | 22 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 45% (5/11) | 60% (9/15) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 52 | 56 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 39 | 14 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 2 | 11 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper saves |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 0.10 | 0.03 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| 0.10 | -0.97 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 0)
- 18', Stjepanovic M. 🟨,
- 34', Maracas 🟨,
- 2nd Half (1 - 0)
- 62', Semedo L. ↓, Yan Maranhao ↑,
- 63', Kiko Bondoso ↓, Landerson ↑,
- 68', Vinicius Lopes 🟨,
- 73', Vinicius Lopes ↓, Welinton Torrao ↑,
- 73', Serginho ↓, Brenner ↑,
- 83', Rodri ↓, Bernardo ↑,
- 83', Martinez A. ↓, Kiko ↑,
- 84', Gustavo Klismahn ↓, Tavares J. ↑,
- 87', 1 - 0, Maracas ⚽, Travassos (A),
- 90', Rocha L. 🟨,
- 90+2', Alanzinho ↓, Gower J. ↑,
Chances of winning
Moreirense
31.8% | Draw
33.2% | Santa Clara
35% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Moreirense has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.4%)Santa Clara has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.8%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Moreirense than the current prediction. (+3%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Santa Clara than the current prediction. (-1.4%)
Moreirense - Santa Clara Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
2.96 ↑
(2.76) |
2.85 ↓
(3.07) |
2.73 ↓
(2.92) |
5.5%
(3.1%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 1.75
What is the prediction for Moreirense - Santa Clara?
Users Predictions:
16 users predict this event. Moreirense will win (votes: 7 - 43.8%). Santa Clara will win (votes: 4 - 25%). It will Tie (votes: 5 - 31.3%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Moreirense: 19.5% – 68.1%.Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:- O/U 1.75 - over (votes: 2 - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.
- O/U 0.5, 1st Half - under (votes: 2 - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.
High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): Moreirense will win (3 of 4 users predict this - 75%) 🥉 Bronze Tip. The most likely score by Bookmakers is 0:0.
Preview Facts
- This match features a clash between the league leader and a mid-table team (ranked 6 and 13).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Moreirense won 2.
- Moreirense has been quite unpredictable recently (last 5 games: 2 wins).
- Santa Clara is going through a rough patch (in the last 5 games, wins – 0).
- Recently, Santa Clara has had a series of home games.
- In this match, both teams have almost equal chances to win.
- There will not play in Moreirense: Sousa V.
(Leg Injury)
- There are questionable in Moreirense: Ofori L.
(Inactive)
- There are questionable in Santa Clara: MT
(Injury)
Silva H.
(Injury)
- In the last 15 head-to-head matches, Moreirense won 6 matches, drew 5 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 15:15. (average 1:1).
- Including home matches between the teams, Moreirense won 4 matches, drew 1 match, lost 3 matches, and goals 9:9. (average 1.1:1.1).
How many head-to-head matches has Moreirense won against Santa Clara?
Moreirense has won 2 of their last 3 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Santa Clara won against Moreirense?
Santa Clara has won 0 of their last 3 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Moreirense - Santa Clara were as follows:
17.08.2025
Santa Clara
-
Moreirense
0:1
09.03.2025
Santa Clara
-
Moreirense
1:1
05.10.2024
Moreirense
-
Santa Clara
1:0
Latest results of Moreirense
Latest results of Santa Clara
Liga Portugal Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | FC Porto | 27 | 23 | 3 | 1 | 54:11 | 43 | 72 |
| 2 | Sporting CP | 26 | 20 | 5 | 1 | 68:15 | 53 | 65 |
| 3 | Benfica | 27 | 19 | 8 | 0 | 58:17 | 41 | 65 |
| 4 | Braga | 26 | 13 | 7 | 6 | 53:27 | 26 | 46 |
| 5 | Famalicao | 27 | 13 | 6 | 8 | 33:22 | 11 | 45 |
| 6 | Gil Vicente | 27 | 11 | 9 | 7 | 39:28 | 11 | 42 |
| 7 | Estoril | 27 | 10 | 7 | 10 | 48:44 | 4 | 37 |
| 8 | Moreirense | 27 | 10 | 5 | 12 | 31:39 | -8 | 35 |
| 9 | Vitoria Guimaraes | 27 | 9 | 5 | 13 | 29:42 | -13 | 32 |
| 10 | Rio Ave | 27 | 7 | 9 | 11 | 28:46 | -18 | 30 |
| 11 | Alverca | 27 | 7 | 8 | 12 | 27:45 | -18 | 29 |
| 12 | Arouca | 27 | 8 | 5 | 14 | 34:55 | -21 | 29 |
| 13 | Santa Clara | 27 | 7 | 7 | 13 | 24:31 | -7 | 28 |
| 14 | Estrela | 27 | 6 | 10 | 11 | 33:45 | -12 | 28 |
| 15 | Casa Pia | 26 | 5 | 9 | 12 | 26:48 | -22 | 24 |
| 16 | Nacional | 27 | 5 | 7 | 15 | 29:39 | -10 | 22 |
| 17 | Tondela | 26 | 4 | 8 | 14 | 19:39 | -20 | 20 |
| 18 | AFS | 27 | 1 | 8 | 18 | 18:58 | -40 | 11 |
Promotion ~ Champions League (League phase: )
Promotion ~ Champions League (Qualification: )
Promotion ~ Europa League (Qualification: )
Promotion ~ Conference League (Qualification: )
Liga Portugal (Relegation)
Relegation ~ Liga Portugal 2
