Motor Lublin vs Wisła Płock – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
1:1
08/11/2025 at 11:30 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
  • Ekstraklasa - Round 15
  • Referee: Sylwestrzak D. (Pol)
  • Where to Watch on TV:
canadaCanadabeIN Connect, beIN Sports XTRA Espanol
croatiaCroatiaArena Sport 9, MAXtv To Go
finlandFinlandVeikkaus TV
polandPolandCANAL+ Sport 3, Ekstraklasa TV
usaUsabeIN Connect, beIN Sports US XTRA Espanol, Fanatiz, Tubi TV

Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
2.630.71
Ball Possession
64%36%
Total shots
1410
Shots on target
42
Big Chances
42
Corner Kicks
51
Passes
87% (472/540)77% (230/300)
Yellow Cards
36
Expected Goals (xG)
2.630.71
xG on target (xGOT)
1.800.61
Total shots
1410
Shots on target
42
Shots off target
76
Blocked Shots
32
Shots inside the Box
107
Shots outside the Box
43
Hit the Woodwork
10
Headed Goals
11
Big Chances
42
Corner Kicks
51
Touches in opposition box
2515
Accurate through passes
10
Offsides
20
Free Kicks
1418
Passes
87% (472/540)77% (230/300)
Long passes
59% (27/46)48% (31/64)
Passes in final third
74% (105/141)56% (49/87)
Crosses
25% (6/24)21% (4/19)
Expected assists (xA)
1.630.85
Throw-ins
1816
Fouls
1814
Tackles
83% (10/12)64% (7/11)
Duels won
4241
Clearances
2227
Interceptions
18
Errors leading to shot
00
Errors leading to goal
11
Goalkeeper Saves
13
xGOT faced
0.611.80
Goals prevented
-0.390.80

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (1 - 0)
  • 5', 1 - 0, Fabio Ronaldo ,
  • 30', Wolski B. (Pen),
  • 39', Stolarski P. 🟨,
  • 39', Sekulski L. 🟨,
  • 40', Hiszpanski F. 🟨,
  • 2nd Half (0 - 1)
  • 46', Juric D. , Nowak W. ,
  • 46', Pacheco D. , Salvador I. ,
  • 46', Tavares T. , Mijuskovic N. ,
  • 51', Edmundsson A. 🟨,
  • 56', Najemski A. 🟨,
  • 58', Sekulski L. , Niarchos G. ,
  • 65', Najemski A. , Matthys H. ,
  • 65', Fabio Ronaldo , van Hoeven B. ,
  • 67', Bartos M. 🟨,
  • 73', Rogelj Z. , Custovic K. ,
  • 73', Samper S. , Labojko J. ,
  • 77', 1 - 1, Edmundsson A. ,
  • 82', Krol M. , Haxha F. ,
  • 82', Wolski B. , Scalet M. ,
  • 86', Salvador I. 🟨,
  • 89', Mijuskovic N. 🟨,
  • 90+5', 🟨,

Highlights

Chances of winning


Motor Lublin
40.6%
Draw
27.2%
Wisła Płock
32.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
37.1% 29.4% 33.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

38.7% 30.7% 32.1%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Motor Lublin has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.5%)
  • Wisła Płock has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.3%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Motor Lublin than the current prediction. (-1.9%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Wisła Płock than the current prediction. (-0.1%)
  • Motor Lublin - Wisła Płock Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    2.33
    (2.41)
    3.43
    (3.04)
    2.89
    (2.67)
    6.8%
    (11.8%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
    What is the prediction for Motor Lublin - Wisła Płock?
  • Users Predictions: 9 users predict this event. Motor will win (votes: 2 - 22.2%). Wisła Płock will win (votes: 3 - 33.3%). It will Tie (votes: 4 - 44.4%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for a draw: 11.9%76.9%.
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 1 high ROI users predict this event. Motor (votes: 1 - 100%).
  • Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:
    • O/U 2.5 - under (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • BTTS - yes (votes: 1 - 100%) .
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
  • Preview Facts
    • Let's watch a game between a leader and an outsider (ranked 14 and 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Champions League (Qualification: )).
    • Recent performances by Motor have been up and down (last 5 games: 1 wins).
    • Wisła Płock is in very good shape now (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).
    • Motor may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
    • The probability of winning is almost the same for both teams in this match.
    • There will not play in Motor: Ndiaye M. (Injury)
    • There will not play in Wisła Płock: Borowski B. (Inactive) Burek J. (Inactive) Gostomski M. (Knee Injury) Jimenez J. (Foot Injury) Wieckowski M. (Inactive)
    • There are questionable in Motor: Fabio Ronaldo (Injury) Rodrigues I. (Injury)
    • There are questionable in Wisła Płock: Sekulski L. (Injury)
    • In the last 4 head-to-head matches, Motor won 0 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 5:7. (average 1.3:1.8).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Motor won 0 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 4:4. (average 2:2).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Motor Lublin - Wisła Płock were as follows:
    11.07.2025 Motor Lublin - Wisła Płock 2:2
    05.05.2024 Wisła Płock - Motor Lublin 1:0
    05.11.2023 Motor Lublin - Wisła Płock 2:2
    Latest results of Motor Lublin
    Latest results of Wisła Płock
    Polish Ekstraklasa Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Lech Poznan26128646:37944
    2Zaglebie26118740:301041
    3Jagiellonia26118743:34941
    4Gornik Zabrze26116936:32439
    5Wisla Plock26109728:25339
    6Rakow261151035:33238
    7Motor Lublin26910735:38-337
    8Korona Kielce261061033:29436
    9Cracovia2699831:28336
    10GKS Katowice261131235:35036
    11Piast Gliwice261051132:33-135
    12Lechia Gdansk26116951:48334
    13Pogon Szczecin261041236:40-434
    14Radomiak Radom2689942:40233
    15Legia26612830:31-130
    16Arka Gdynia26861225:44-1930
    17Widzew Lodz26851331:34-329
    18Termalica B-B26571430:48-1822

          Promotion ~ Champions League (Qualification: )
          Promotion ~ Conference League (Qualification: )
          Relegation ~ Division 1