Result
1:0
02/05/2025 at 14:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Eerste Divisie - Round 37
- Referee: Timmer L. (Ned)
- Where to Watch on TV:
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Netherlands | ESPN Extra |
Match Stats
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Expected Goals (xG) |
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1.12 | 0.43 |
Ball Possession |
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48% | 52% |
Total shots |
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8 | 11 |
Shots on target |
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3 | 2 |
Big Chances |
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1 | 0 |
Corner Kicks |
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9 | 5 |
Passes |
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86% (329/381) | 90% (377/421) |
Expected Goals (xG) |
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1.12 | 0.43 |
xG on target (xGOT) |
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1.93 | 0.61 |
Total shots |
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8 | 11 |
Shots on target |
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3 | 2 |
Shots off target |
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3 | 6 |
Blocked Shots |
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2 | 3 |
Shots inside the Box |
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5 | 6 |
Shots outside the Box |
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3 | 5 |
Hit the Woodwork |
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3 | 1 |
Big Chances |
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1 | 0 |
Corner Kicks |
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9 | 5 |
Touches in opposition box |
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22 | 21 |
Accurate through passes |
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0 | 0 |
Offsides |
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6 | 3 |
Free Kicks |
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13 | 11 |
Passes |
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86% (329/381) | 90% (377/421) |
Long passes |
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69% (44/64) | 66% (31/47) |
Passes in final third |
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68% (50/73) | 78% (87/112) |
Crosses |
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32% (6/19) | 8% (1/12) |
Expected assists (xA) |
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0.68 | 0.52 |
Throw-ins |
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20 | 15 |
Fouls |
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11 | 13 |
Tackles |
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67% (14/21) | 68% (17/25) |
Duels won |
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45 | 44 |
Clearances |
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24 | 22 |
Interceptions |
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6 | 12 |
Errors leading to shot |
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0 | 0 |
Errors leading to goal |
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0 | 0 |
Goalkeeper Saves |
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2 | 2 |
xGOT faced |
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0.61 | 1.93 |
Goals prevented |
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0.61 | 0.58 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 0)
- 33', Rijkhoff J. ↓, Vink S. ↑,
- 2nd Half (1 - 0)
- 46', Buifrahi R. ↓, Silva Timas I. ↑,
- 46', Braken S. ↓, Camil Mmaee ↑,
- 63', Faberski J. ↓, Chahid R. ↑,
- 63', Johnson J. ↓, Speksnijder R. ↑,
- 63', Wolff K. ↓, Kalokoh D. ↑,
- 73', Coomans W. ↓, Hofland M. ↑,
- 75', Camil Mmaee (Pen),
- 80', Zeegers T. ↓, Sy K. ↑,
- 90+3', 1 - 0, Klaasen R. ⚽, El Basri N. (A),
Chances of winning
MVV Maastricht 44.6% | Draw 24.5% | Jong Ajax 31% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
MVV Maastricht has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.3%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that MVV Maastricht's form might have worsened.Jong Ajax has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.5%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for MVV Maastricht than the current prediction. (+5.7%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for MVV Maastricht, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Jong Ajax than the current prediction. (-3.7%)
MVV Maastricht - Jong Ajax Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now (Initially) |
2.09 ↑ (1.9) |
3.82 ↓ (4.18) |
3.02 ↓ (3.44) |
7.1% (5.8%) | |
The most likely Over/Under: 3.50
What is the prediction for MVV Maastricht - Jong Ajax?
Users Predictions:
MVV Maastricht will win
(5 of 6 users predict this - 83.33%).
Confidence interval (95%): 53.51% – 100%. The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
Preview Facts
- A great opportunity to watch a clash of neighbouring teams in the table (ranked 15 and 17)
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Maastricht won 2.
- The current form of both teams is below expectations.
- Maastricht is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.
- There are questionable in Maastricht: Smeets B.
(Injury)
- In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Maastricht won 8 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 8 matches, and goals 26:35. (average 1.3:1.8).
- Including home matches between the teams, Maastricht won 5 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 13:17. (average 1.3:1.7).
How many head-to-head matches has MVV Maastricht won against Jong Ajax?
MVV Maastricht has won 2 of their last 5 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Jong Ajax won against MVV Maastricht?
Jong Ajax has won 2 of their last 5 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between MVV Maastricht - Jong Ajax were as follows:
19.08.2024
Jong Ajax
-
MVV Maastricht
0:0
12.02.2024
Jong Ajax
-
MVV Maastricht
3:0
01.09.2023
MVV Maastricht
-
Jong Ajax
2:1
20.02.2023
Jong Ajax
-
MVV Maastricht
4:2
16.09.2022
MVV Maastricht
-
Jong Ajax
4:1
Latest results of MVV Maastricht
Latest results of Jong Ajax
Dutch Eerste Divisie Table
Main | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
1 | De Graafschap | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
2 | Venlo | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
3 | Cambuur | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
4 | Den Bosch | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
5 | Dordrecht | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
6 | Eindhoven FC | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
7 | FC Emmen | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
8 | Helmond | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
9 | Maastricht | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
10 | Almere City | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
11 | Oss | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
12 | Waalwijk | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
13 | Roda | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
14 | Vitesse | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
15 | Willem II | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
16 | Den Haag | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
17 | Jong PSV | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
18 | Jong Ajax | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
19 | Jong AZ | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
20 | Jong Utrecht | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
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