MVV Maastricht vs Jong Ajax – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Football Dutch Eerste Divisie MVV Maastricht - Jong Ajax
Result
1:0
02/05/2025 at 14:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • Eerste Divisie - Round 37
  • Referee: Timmer L. (Ned)
  • Where to Watch on TV:
netherlandsNetherlandsESPN Extra

Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
1.120.43
Ball Possession
48%52%
Total shots
811
Shots on target
32
Big Chances
10
Corner Kicks
95
Passes
86% (329/381)90% (377/421)
Expected Goals (xG)
1.120.43
xG on target (xGOT)
1.930.61
Total shots
811
Shots on target
32
Shots off target
36
Blocked Shots
23
Shots inside the Box
56
Shots outside the Box
35
Hit the Woodwork
31
Big Chances
10
Corner Kicks
95
Touches in opposition box
2221
Accurate through passes
00
Offsides
63
Free Kicks
1311
Passes
86% (329/381)90% (377/421)
Long passes
69% (44/64)66% (31/47)
Passes in final third
68% (50/73)78% (87/112)
Crosses
32% (6/19)8% (1/12)
Expected assists (xA)
0.680.52
Throw-ins
2015
Fouls
1113
Tackles
67% (14/21)68% (17/25)
Duels won
4544
Clearances
2422
Interceptions
612
Errors leading to shot
00
Errors leading to goal
00
Goalkeeper Saves
22
xGOT faced
0.611.93
Goals prevented
0.610.58

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 0)
  • 33', Rijkhoff J. , Vink S. ,
  • 2nd Half (1 - 0)
  • 46', Buifrahi R. , Silva Timas I. ,
  • 46', Braken S. , Camil Mmaee ,
  • 63', Faberski J. , Chahid R. ,
  • 63', Johnson J. , Speksnijder R. ,
  • 63', Wolff K. , Kalokoh D. ,
  • 73', Coomans W. , Hofland M. ,
  • 75', Camil Mmaee (Pen),
  • 80', Zeegers T. , Sy K. ,
  • 90+3', 1 - 0, Klaasen R. , El Basri N. (A),

Highlights

Chances of winning


MVV Maastricht
44.6%
Draw
24.5%
Jong Ajax
31%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
49.9% 22.6% 27.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

50.3% 22.4% 27.3%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • MVV Maastricht has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.3%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that MVV Maastricht's form might have worsened.
  • Jong Ajax has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.5%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for MVV Maastricht than the current prediction. (+5.7%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for MVV Maastricht, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Jong Ajax than the current prediction. (-3.7%)
  • MVV Maastricht - Jong Ajax Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    2.09
    (1.9)
    3.82
    (4.18)
    3.02
    (3.44)
    7.1%
    (5.8%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 3.50
  • What is the prediction for MVV Maastricht - Jong Ajax?
  • Users Predictions: MVV Maastricht will win (5 of 6 users predict this - 83.33%).
    Confidence interval (95%): 53.51%100%.
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
  • Preview Facts
    • A great opportunity to watch a clash of neighbouring teams in the table (ranked 15 and 17)
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Maastricht won 2.
    • The current form of both teams is below expectations.
    • Maastricht is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.
    • There are questionable in Maastricht: Smeets B. (Injury)
    • In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Maastricht won 8 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 8 matches, and goals 26:35. (average 1.3:1.8).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Maastricht won 5 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 13:17. (average 1.3:1.7).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between MVV Maastricht - Jong Ajax were as follows:
    19.08.2024 Jong Ajax - MVV Maastricht 0:0
    12.02.2024 Jong Ajax - MVV Maastricht 3:0
    01.09.2023 MVV Maastricht - Jong Ajax 2:1
    20.02.2023 Jong Ajax - MVV Maastricht 4:2
    16.09.2022 MVV Maastricht - Jong Ajax 4:1
    Latest results of MVV Maastricht
    Latest results of Jong Ajax
    28.04.2025 Jong Ajax - Helmond Sport 1:0
    19.04.2025 De Graafschap - Jong Ajax 2:0
    14.04.2025 Jong Ajax - Vitesse 1:1
    04.04.2025 Dordrecht - Jong Ajax 3:0
    31.03.2025 Jong Ajax - Volendam 0:2
    Dutch Eerste Divisie Table
    Main
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1De Graafschap00000:000
    2Venlo00000:000
    3Cambuur00000:000
    4Den Bosch00000:000
    5Dordrecht00000:000
    6Eindhoven FC00000:000
    7FC Emmen00000:000
    8Helmond00000:000
    9Maastricht00000:000
    10Almere City00000:000
    11Oss00000:000
    12Waalwijk00000:000
    13Roda00000:000
    14Vitesse00000:000
    15Willem II00000:000
    16Den Haag00000:000
    17Jong PSV00000:000
    18Jong Ajax00000:000
    19Jong AZ00000:000
    20Jong Utrecht00000:000

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