Result
1:0
02/05/2025 at 14:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Eerste Divisie - Round 37
- Referee: Timmer L. (Ned)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Netherlands | ESPN Extra |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.12 | 0.43 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 48% | 52% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 8 | 11 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 3 | 2 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 9 | 5 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 86% (329/381) | 90% (377/421) |
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.12 | 0.43 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 1.93 | 0.61 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 8 | 11 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 3 | 2 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 3 | 6 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 2 | 3 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 5 | 6 |
| Shots outside the Box |
|---|
| 3 | 5 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
|---|
| 3 | 1 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 9 | 5 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 22 | 21 |
| Accurate through passes |
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| 0 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 6 | 3 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 13 | 11 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 86% (329/381) | 90% (377/421) |
| Long passes |
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| 69% (44/64) | 66% (31/47) |
| Passes in final third |
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| 68% (50/73) | 78% (87/112) |
| Crosses |
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| 32% (6/19) | 8% (1/12) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 0.68 | 0.52 |
| Throw-ins |
|---|
| 20 | 15 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 11 | 13 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 67% (14/21) | 68% (17/25) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 45 | 44 |
| Clearances |
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| 24 | 22 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 6 | 12 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 2 | 2 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 0.61 | 1.93 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| 0.61 | 0.58 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 0)
- 33', Rijkhoff J. ↓, Vink S. ↑,
- 2nd Half (1 - 0)
- 46', Buifrahi R. ↓, Silva Timas I. ↑,
- 46', Braken S. ↓, Camil Mmaee ↑,
- 63', Faberski J. ↓, Chahid R. ↑,
- 63', Johnson J. ↓, Speksnijder R. ↑,
- 63', Wolff K. ↓, Kalokoh D. ↑,
- 73', Coomans W. ↓, Hofland M. ↑,
- 75', Camil Mmaee (Pen),
- 80', Zeegers T. ↓, Sy K. ↑,
- 90+3', 1 - 0, Klaasen R. ⚽, El Basri N. (A),
Chances of winning
MVV Maastricht
44.6% | Draw
24.5% | Jong Ajax
31% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
MVV Maastricht has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.3%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that MVV Maastricht's form might have worsened.Jong Ajax has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.5%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for MVV Maastricht than the current prediction. (+5.7%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for MVV Maastricht, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Jong Ajax than the current prediction. (-3.7%)
MVV Maastricht - Jong Ajax Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
2.09 ↑
(1.9) |
3.82 ↓
(4.18) |
3.02 ↓
(3.44) |
7.1%
(5.8%) | |
The most likely Over/Under: 3.50
What is the prediction for MVV Maastricht - Jong Ajax?
Users Predictions:
MVV Maastricht will win
(5 of 6 users predict this - 83.33%).
Confidence interval (95%): 53.51% – 100%. The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
Preview Facts
- A great opportunity to watch a clash of neighbouring teams in the table (ranked 15 and 17)
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Maastricht won 2.
- The current form of both teams is below expectations.
- Maastricht is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.
- There are questionable in Maastricht: Smeets B.
(Injury)
- In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Maastricht won 8 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 8 matches, and goals 26:35. (average 1.3:1.8).
- Including home matches between the teams, Maastricht won 5 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 13:17. (average 1.3:1.7).
How many head-to-head matches has MVV Maastricht won against Jong Ajax?
MVV Maastricht has won 2 of their last 5 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Jong Ajax won against MVV Maastricht?
Jong Ajax has won 2 of their last 5 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between MVV Maastricht - Jong Ajax were as follows:
19.08.2024
Jong Ajax
-
MVV Maastricht
0:0
12.02.2024
Jong Ajax
-
MVV Maastricht
3:0
01.09.2023
MVV Maastricht
-
Jong Ajax
2:1
20.02.2023
Jong Ajax
-
MVV Maastricht
4:2
16.09.2022
MVV Maastricht
-
Jong Ajax
4:1
Latest results of MVV Maastricht
Latest results of Jong Ajax
Dutch Eerste Divisie Table
Main | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Jong PSV | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 5:1 | 4 | 6 |
| 2 | Roda | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 4:1 | 3 | 6 |
| 3 | Waalwijk | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 4:3 | 1 | 4 |
| 4 | Den Haag | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 5:1 | 4 | 3 |
| 5 | Den Bosch | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2:0 | 2 | 3 |
| 6 | Dordrecht | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1:0 | 1 | 3 |
| 7 | Eindhoven FC | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1:0 | 1 | 3 |
| 8 | Oss | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 4:1 | 3 | 3 |
| 9 | De Graafschap | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 3:3 | 0 | 3 |
| 10 | Cambuur | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1:1 | 0 | 3 |
| 11 | Helmond | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2:4 | -2 | 1 |
| 12 | Almere City | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
| 13 | Jong AZ | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2:3 | -1 | 0 |
| 14 | Jong Utrecht | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0:1 | -1 | 0 |
| 15 | FC Emmen | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1:3 | -2 | 0 |
| 16 | Jong Ajax | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0:2 | -2 | 0 |
| 17 | Willem II | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1:5 | -4 | 0 |
| 18 | Maastricht | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0:4 | -4 | 0 |
| 19 | Venlo | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2:5 | -3 | 0 |
Promotion ~ Eredivisie
Promotion ~ Eredivisie (Promotion: )
