Result
0:1
19/07/2025 at 15:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Copa de Primera - Clausura - Round 3
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Paraguay | Tigo Sports |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.97 | 0.85 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 71% | 29% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 10 | 11 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 1 | 2 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 1 | 1 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 7 | 5 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 85% (424/496) | 63% (126/200) |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 6 | 1 |
| Red Cards |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.97 | 0.85 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 0.14 | 0.99 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 10 | 11 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 1 | 2 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 6 | 5 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 3 | 4 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 7 | 3 |
| Shots outside the Box |
|---|
| 3 | 8 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 2 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 1 | 1 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 7 | 5 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 18 | 14 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 1 | 1 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 9 | 11 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 85% (424/496) | 63% (126/200) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 51% (26/51) | 30% (17/56) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 66% (85/129) | 49% (35/71) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 15% (4/27) | 25% (4/16) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 1.22 | 0.43 |
| Throw-ins |
|---|
| 17 | 12 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 11 | 9 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 63% (12/19) | 71% (10/14) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 58 | 43 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 23 | 43 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 4 | 8 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 1 | 1 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 0.99 | 0.14 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| -0.01 | 0.14 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 1)
- 40', 0 - 1, Prieto R. ⚽, Franco F. (A),
- 2nd Half (0 - 0)
- 46', Fernandez H. ↓, Fernandez M. ↑,
- 46', Santa C. R. ↓, Aguilar G. ↑,
- 53', Recalde J. 🟨,
- 58', Jara F. ↓, Meza L. ↑,
- 59', Recalde J. ↓, Martinez H. ↑,
- 59', Sanabria L. ↓, Franco I. ↑,
- 65', Espinoza M. ↓, Cardozo Lucena A. ↑,
- 68', Santacruz J. ↓, Benitez H. ↑,
- 68', Prieto R. ↓, Valdez I. ↑,
- 77', Gimenez N. 🟨,
- 79', Aguilar G. 🟨,
- 79', Viera D. 🟥,
- 87', Benitez G. ↓, Canete Torres A. D. ↑,
- 87', Campuzano A. 🟨,
- 88', Meza L. 🟨,
- 90+4', Melgarejo L. 🟨,
- 90+4', Franco I. 🟨,
Chances of winning
Libertad Asuncion
46.6% | Draw
30.8% | Nacional Asuncion
22.6% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Libertad Asuncion has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.1%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Libertad Asuncion's form might have worsened.Nacional Asuncion has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.8%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Libertad Asuncion than the current prediction. (+6.9%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Libertad Asuncion, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Nacional Asuncion than the current prediction. (-3.1%)
Libertad Asuncion - Nacional Asuncion Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
2 ↑
(1.76) |
3 ↓
(3.37) |
4.06 ↓
(4.69) |
8%
(7.8%) | |
The most likely Over/Under: 2.00
What is the prediction for Libertad Asuncion - Nacional Asuncion?
High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 1 high ROI users predict this event. Tie (votes: 1 - 100%).
Users Predictions:
Libertad Asuncion will win
(7 of 8 users predict this - 87.5%).
Confidence interval (95%): 64.58% – 100%. The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.
Preview Facts
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Libertad won 3.
- Each of the teams is struggling with stability in their game.
- Nacional may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
- In this match, Libertad is the team to beat.
- In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Libertad won 13 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 36:15. (average 1.8:0.8).
- Including home matches between the teams, Libertad won 7 matches, drew 1 match, lost 3 matches, and goals 18:8. (average 1.6:0.7).
How many head-to-head matches has Libertad Asuncion won against Nacional Asuncion?
Libertad Asuncion has won 8 of their last 12 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Nacional Asuncion won against Libertad Asuncion?
Nacional Asuncion has won 3 of their last 12 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Libertad Asuncion - Nacional Asuncion were as follows:
11.04.2025
Libertad Asuncion
-
Nacional Asuncion
1:0
29.01.2025
Nacional Asuncion
-
Libertad Asuncion
0:3
06.12.2024
Libertad Asuncion
-
Nacional Asuncion
1:0
29.09.2024
Nacional Asuncion
-
Libertad Asuncion
2:1
28.07.2024
Libertad Asuncion
-
Nacional Asuncion
1:2
Latest results of Libertad Asuncion
Latest results of Nacional Asuncion
Paraguayan Primera Division Table
Clausura | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Guarani | 10 | 7 | 1 | 2 | 26:9 | 17 | 22 |
| 2 | Cerro Porteno | 10 | 6 | 3 | 1 | 19:13 | 6 | 21 |
| 3 | Sportivo Trinidense | 10 | 5 | 2 | 3 | 15:13 | 2 | 17 |
| 4 | Sp. Luqueno | 10 | 5 | 2 | 3 | 13:9 | 4 | 17 |
| 5 | Nacional Asuncion | 10 | 4 | 4 | 2 | 11:8 | 3 | 16 |
| 6 | Libertad Asuncion | 10 | 3 | 4 | 3 | 11:9 | 2 | 13 |
| 7 | Olimpia Asuncion | 10 | 3 | 3 | 4 | 13:16 | -3 | 12 |
| 8 | Recoleta | 10 | 3 | 3 | 4 | 14:15 | -1 | 12 |
| 9 | General Caballero JLM | 10 | 3 | 2 | 5 | 7:15 | -8 | 11 |
| 10 | 2 de Mayo | 10 | 2 | 4 | 4 | 10:15 | -5 | 10 |
| 11 | Ameliano | 10 | 2 | 2 | 6 | 10:18 | -8 | 8 |
| 12 | Atl. Tembetary | 10 | 1 | 2 | 7 | 10:19 | -9 | 5 |
Promotion ~ Copa Libertadores (Group Stage: )
