Nacional Asuncion vs Libertad Asuncion – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Football Paraguayan Primera Division Nacional Asuncion - Libertad Asuncion
27/09/2025 at 18:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))

Chances of winning


Nacional Asuncion
33.3%
Draw
29.7%
Libertad Asuncion
36.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
35.6% 30.6% 33.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

37.5% 32.2% 32.1%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Nacional Asuncion has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.3%)
  • Libertad Asuncion has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.1%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Nacional Asuncion than the current prediction. (+4.2%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Libertad Asuncion than the current prediction. (-4.8%)
  • Nacional Asuncion - Libertad Asuncion Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    2.78
    (2.62)
    3.16
    (3.04)
    2.51
    (2.76)
    7.4%
    (7.3%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.00
  • Preview Facts
    • Get ready for a battle between the top and the middle of the table (ranked 3 and 8).
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Nacional won 2.
    • Both teams have been playing unpredictably.
    • The chances of victory for both teams are nearly identical in this match.
    • In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Nacional won 6 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 12 matches, and goals 16:33. (average 0.8:1.7).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Nacional won 2 matches, drew 1 match, lost 5 matches, and goals 7:15. (average 0.9:1.9).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Nacional Asuncion - Libertad Asuncion were as follows:
    19.07.2025 Libertad Asuncion - Nacional Asuncion 0:1
    11.04.2025 Libertad Asuncion - Nacional Asuncion 1:0
    29.01.2025 Nacional Asuncion - Libertad Asuncion 0:3
    06.12.2024 Libertad Asuncion - Nacional Asuncion 1:0
    29.09.2024 Nacional Asuncion - Libertad Asuncion 2:1
    Latest results of Libertad Asuncion
    Paraguayan Primera Division Table
    Clausura
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Guarani1391331:121928
    2Cerro Porteno1374223:16725
    3Nacional Asuncion1364316:11522
    4Sportivo Trinidense1363419:17221
    52 de Mayo1354415:17-219
    6Recoleta1353520:19118
    7General Caballero JLM1353514:18-418
    8Libertad Asuncion1345415:11417
    9Sp. Luqueno1352618:21-317
    10Olimpia Asuncion1334617:24-713
    11Ameliano1332813:23-1011
    12Atl. Tembetary1313914:26-126

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