Result
1:0
15/03/2026 at 17:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Copa de Primera - Apertura - Round 10
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Argentina | DirecTV Sports |
 Paraguay | Tigo Sports, Tigo Sports+ |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.52 | 0.32 |
| Ball possession |
|---|
| 70% | 30% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 15 | 7 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 4 | 2 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 4 | 3 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 84% (448/533) | 60% (139/230) |
| Yellow cards |
|---|
| 1 | 2 |
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.52 | 0.32 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 1.57 | 0.08 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 15 | 7 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 4 | 2 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 9 | 4 |
| Blocked shots |
|---|
| 2 | 1 |
| Shots inside the box |
|---|
| 9 | 4 |
| Shots outside the box |
|---|
| 6 | 3 |
| Hit the woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Headed goals |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 4 | 3 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 23 | 8 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 2 | 0 |
| Free kicks |
|---|
| 18 | 10 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 84% (448/533) | 60% (139/230) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 57% (43/75) | 31% (17/54) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 71% (82/116) | 47% (38/81) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 21% (5/24) | 36% (4/11) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 1.29 | 0.45 |
| Throw ins |
|---|
| 29 | 14 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 10 | 18 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 71% (12/17) | 65% (13/20) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 64 | 49 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 20 | 29 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 10 | 7 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper saves |
|---|
| 2 | 3 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 0.08 | 1.57 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| 0.08 | 0.57 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 0)
- 20', Palacios J. 🟨,
- 37', Palacios J. ↓, Roldan M. ↑,
- 2nd Half (1 - 0)
- 58', Meza L. ↓, Jara F. ↑,
- 58', Colman Escobar D. J. ↓, Santacruz J. ↑,
- 59', Mendieta W. ↓, Leguizamon A. ↑,
- 71', Santacruz J. 🟨,
- 77', Diaz F. ↓, Almeida M. ↑,
- 78', 1 - 0, Santacruz J. ⚽, Canete Torres A. D. (A),
- 80', Gimenez C. ↓, Ruiz Diaz S. ↑,
- 80', Rojas R. ↓, Perez E. ↑,
- 86', Valdez I. ↓, Espinola C. ↑,
- 86', Benitez H. A. ↓, Bailone I. ↑,
- 90+1', Ferreira R. 🟨,
Chances of winning
Nacional Asuncion
48.5% | Draw
29.3% | Rubio Ñu
22.3% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Nacional Asuncion has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.6%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Nacional Asuncion's form might have worsened.Rubio Ñu has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.7%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Nacional Asuncion than the current prediction. (+9.8%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Nacional Asuncion, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Rubio Ñu than the current prediction. (-4.1%)
Nacional Asuncion - Rubio Ñu Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.92 ↑
(1.7) |
3.14 ↓
(3.5) |
4.17 ↓
(4.71) |
7.9%
(8.5%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.00
What is the prediction for Nacional Asuncion - Rubio Ñu?
Users Predictions:
4 users predict this event. Nacional will win (votes: 2 - 50%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 50%). Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:- DC - Rubio Ñu (1.84) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
Overall votes from High ROI Users Predictions (including all markets): 1 high ROI users predict this event. Rubio Ñu (votes: 1 - 100%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.
Preview Facts
- Get ready for a battle between the top and the middle of the table (ranked 3 and 7).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Nacional won 3.
- In recent matches, Nacional has shown inconsistent form (last 5 games: 0 wins).
- Rubio Ñu is in great form at the moment (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).
- Rubio Ñu may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
- In this match, Nacional is considered a favorite.
- In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Nacional won 7 matches, drew 6 matches, lost 7 matches, and goals 23:26. (average 1.2:1.3).
- Including home matches between the teams, Nacional won 4 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 12:11. (average 1.2:1.1).
How many head-to-head matches has Nacional Asuncion won against Rubio Ñu?
Nacional Asuncion has won of their last 0 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Rubio Ñu won against Nacional Asuncion?
Rubio Ñu has won of their last 0 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Nacional Asuncion - Rubio Ñu were as follows:
Latest results of Nacional Asuncion
Latest results of Rubio Ñu
Paraguayan Primera Division Table
Apertura | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Olimpia Asuncion | 11 | 8 | 3 | 0 | 14:6 | 8 | 27 |
| 2 | Cerro Porteno | 11 | 6 | 2 | 3 | 14:9 | 5 | 20 |
| 3 | Nacional Asuncion | 11 | 5 | 4 | 2 | 18:11 | 7 | 19 |
| 4 | Libertad Asuncion | 11 | 5 | 2 | 4 | 18:10 | 8 | 17 |
| 5 | Rubio Nu | 11 | 4 | 3 | 4 | 9:10 | -1 | 15 |
| 6 | Guarani | 10 | 3 | 4 | 3 | 17:13 | 4 | 13 |
| 7 | Ameliano | 10 | 3 | 4 | 3 | 9:7 | 2 | 13 |
| 8 | Recoleta | 11 | 3 | 4 | 4 | 13:14 | -1 | 13 |
| 9 | Sportivo Trinidense | 10 | 2 | 5 | 3 | 9:10 | -1 | 11 |
| 10 | Sp. Luqueno | 11 | 3 | 2 | 6 | 10:14 | -4 | 11 |
| 11 | 2 de Mayo | 10 | 2 | 3 | 5 | 6:15 | -9 | 9 |
| 12 | San Lorenzo | 11 | 0 | 4 | 7 | 7:25 | -18 | 4 |
Promotion ~ Copa Libertadores (Group Stage: )
