Result
1:3
07/05/2025 at 18:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Copa Libertadores - Group Stage - Round 4
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
---|
Africa | Sporty TV, StarTimes App, Startimes World Football |
Argentina | Disney+, FOX Sports 2 |
Asia | beIN Connect MENA, beIN Sports MENA 2, TOD |
Australia | beIN Connect, beIN Sports 2 |
Bosnia-and-herzegovina | Arena Premium 2, Arena Sport 2 |
Brazil | Paramount+ |
Bulgaria | Max Sport 4 |
Canada | beIN Connect, beIN Sports XTRA Espanol |
Chile | Disney+, ESPN Premium |
Colombia | Disney+, ESPN 5 |
Croatia | Arena Sport 3, MAXtv To Go |
Georgia | Silk Universal |
Indonesia | Mola TV |
Israel | Sport 1 |
Italy | Como TV |
Mexico | Disney+, ESPN 2 |
Netherlands | Canal+, ESPN 2 |
Peru | Disney+, Fox Sports 2 |
Russia | Okko Sport |
Serbia | Arena Premium 3 |
South-america | ESPN 5 South, ViX Latin America |
Uruguay | Disney+ |
Usa | beIN Connect, beIN Sports US XTRA Espanol, Fanatiz, Fubo Sports Network, Tubi TV |
Venezuela | Disney+, Inter |
Match Stats
| |
---|
Expected Goals (xG) |
---|
1.44 | 2.41 |
Ball Possession |
---|
73% | 27% |
Total shots |
---|
17 | 13 |
Shots on target |
---|
8 | 7 |
Big Chances |
---|
2 | 4 |
Corner Kicks |
---|
6 | 7 |
Passes |
---|
91% (549/601) | 76% (165/218) |
Expected Goals (xG) |
---|
1.44 | 2.41 |
xG on target (xGOT) |
---|
2.12 | 2.92 |
Total shots |
---|
17 | 13 |
Shots on target |
---|
8 | 7 |
Shots off target |
---|
4 | 4 |
Blocked Shots |
---|
5 | 2 |
Shots inside the Box |
---|
11 | 8 |
Shots outside the Box |
---|
6 | 5 |
Hit the Woodwork |
---|
0 | 0 |
Big Chances |
---|
2 | 4 |
Corner Kicks |
---|
6 | 7 |
Touches in opposition box |
---|
25 | 18 |
Accurate through passes |
---|
2 | 1 |
Offsides |
---|
2 | 7 |
Free Kicks |
---|
12 | 8 |
Passes |
---|
91% (549/601) | 76% (165/218) |
Long passes |
---|
62% (13/21) | 45% (19/42) |
Passes in final third |
---|
81% (122/150) | 68% (45/66) |
Crosses |
---|
19% (5/26) | 21% (3/14) |
Expected assists (xA) |
---|
1.63 | 1.07 |
Throw-ins |
---|
9 | 7 |
Fouls |
---|
8 | 12 |
Tackles |
---|
100% (10/10) | 58% (7/12) |
Duels won |
---|
44 | 33 |
Clearances |
---|
14 | 37 |
Interceptions |
---|
6 | 3 |
Errors leading to shot |
---|
1 | 0 |
Errors leading to goal |
---|
0 | 0 |
Goalkeeper Saves |
---|
4 | 7 |
xGOT faced |
---|
2.92 | 2.12 |
Goals prevented |
---|
-0.08 | 1.12 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 0)
- 2nd Half (1 - 3)
- 47', 1 - 0, Jean Lucas ⚽, Willian Jose (A),
- 57', 1 - 1, Morales L. ⚽, Millan J. (A),
- 61', Recoba J. ↓, Romero D. ↑,
- 64', Everton Ribeiro ↓, Ademir ↑,
- 69', 1 - 2, Lopez N. ⚽, Villalba Jaume L. M. (A),
- 76', Morales L. ↓, Rodriguez N. ↑,
- 82', Oliva C. ↓, Rodriguez Y. ↑,
- 84', Jean Lucas ↓, Rodriguez L. ↑,
- 84', Erick ↓, Michel Araujo ↑,
- 86', 1 - 3, Millan J. ⚽, Villalba Jaume L. M. (A),
- 90', Caio Alexandre ↓, Rodrigo ↑,
- 90', Erick Pulga ↓, Kayky ↑,
Chances of winning
Bahia 60.8% | Draw 22.8% | Nacional Montevideo 16.4% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Bahia has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.8%)Nacional Montevideo has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.8%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Bahia than the current prediction. (+2.7%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Nacional Montevideo than the current prediction. (-1.3%)
Bahia - Nacional Montevideo Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now (Initially) |
1.55 ↑ (1.53) |
4.1 ↓ (4.15) |
5.71 ↓ (6.04) |
6.3% (6%) | |
The most likely Over/Under: 2.75
What is the prediction for Bahia - Nacional Montevideo?
Users Predictions:
11 users predict this event. Bahia will win (votes: 7 - 63.6%). Nacional will win (votes: 3 - 27.3%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 9.1%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Bahia: 35.2% – 92%. The most likely score by Bookmakers is 2:0.
Preview Facts
- Both teams have recently enjoyed a winning streak.
- Bahia may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
- In this match, Bahia is the clear favorite.
- There will not play in Bahia: Arias S.
(Inactive)
Gilberto
(Inactive)
Kanu
(Muscle Injury)
Ronaldo Strada
(Muscle Injury)
- There will not play in Nacional: Carneiro G.
(Knee Injury)
Mereles E.
(Injury)
- We predict that Bahia will win today's game, with odds of 1.52.
- In the last 1 head-to-head match, Bahia won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 1:0.
How many head-to-head matches has Bahia won against Nacional Montevideo?
Bahia has won 1 of their last 1 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Nacional Montevideo won against Bahia?
Nacional Montevideo has won 0 of their last 1 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Bahia - Nacional Montevideo were as follows:
09.04.2025
Nacional Montevideo
-
Bahia
0:1
Latest results of Nacional Montevideo
Copa Libertadores Table
Group StageGroup A | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
1 | Estudiantes L.P | 6 | 4 | 0 | 2 | 11:5 | 6 | 12 |
2 | Botafogo RJ | 6 | 4 | 0 | 2 | 8:5 | 3 | 12 |
3 | U. De Chile | 6 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 8:6 | 2 | 10 |
4 | Carabobo | 6 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 2:13 | -11 | 1 |
Group B | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
1 | River Plate | 6 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 13:7 | 6 | 12 |
2 | U. de Deportes | 6 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 4:4 | 0 | 8 |
3 | Ind. del Valle | 6 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 8:11 | -3 | 8 |
4 | Barcelona SC | 6 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 4:7 | -3 | 4 |
Group C | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
1 | LDU Quito | 6 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 8:4 | 4 | 11 |
2 | Flamengo RJ | 6 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 6:3 | 3 | 11 |
3 | Central Cordoba | 6 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 7:7 | 0 | 11 |
4 | Dep. Tachira | 6 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 4:11 | -7 | 0 |
Group D | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
1 | Sao Paulo | 6 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 10:4 | 6 | 14 |
2 | Libertad Asuncion | 6 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 6:5 | 1 | 9 |
3 | Alianza Lima | 6 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 7:11 | -4 | 5 |
4 | Talleres Cordoba | 6 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 5:8 | -3 | 4 |
Group E | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
1 | Racing Club | 6 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 14:3 | 11 | 13 |
2 | Fortaleza | 6 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 8:5 | 3 | 8 |
3 | Bucaramanga | 6 | 1 | 3 | 2 | 6:10 | -4 | 6 |
4 | Colo Colo | 6 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 5:15 | -10 | 5 |
Group F | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
1 | Internacional | 6 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 12:8 | 4 | 11 |
2 | Atl. Nacional | 6 | 3 | 0 | 3 | 7:6 | 1 | 9 |
3 | Bahia | 6 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 5:7 | -2 | 7 |
4 | Nacional | 6 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 7:10 | -3 | 7 |
Group G | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
1 | Palmeiras | 6 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 17:4 | 13 | 18 |
2 | Cerro Porteno | 6 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 7:11 | -4 | 7 |
3 | Bolivar | 6 | 2 | 0 | 4 | 12:11 | 1 | 6 |
4 | Sporting Cristal | 6 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 6:16 | -10 | 4 |
Group H | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
1 | Velez Sarsfield | 6 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 11:4 | 7 | 11 |
2 | Penarol | 6 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 9:4 | 5 | 11 |
3 | SA Bulo Bulo | 6 | 2 | 0 | 4 | 5:15 | -10 | 6 |
4 | Olimpia Asuncion | 6 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 9:11 | -2 | 5 |
Promotion ~ Copa Libertadores (Play Offs: 1/8~finals)
Promotion ~ Copa Sudamericana (Play Offs: 1/16~finals)