Independiente Medellín vs Nacional Montevideo – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
2:1
23/05/2023 at 20:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • SOUTH AMERICA: COPA LIBERTADORES - GROUP STAGE - ROUND 4
  • Referee: Haro D. (Per)

Highlights

Chances of winning


Independiente Medellín
49.8%
Draw
26.9%
Nacional Montevideo
23.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
48.2% 27.9% 23.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

51% 29.5% 22.6%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Independiente Medellín has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.6%)
  • Nacional Montevideo has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.7%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Independiente Medellín than the current prediction. (+1.2%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Nacional Montevideo than the current prediction. (-0.6%)
  • Independiente Medellín - Nacional Montevideo Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.89
    (1.93)
    3.46
    (3.33)
    3.99
    (3.89)
    6.9%
    (7.6%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
    What is the prediction for Independiente Medellín - Nacional Montevideo?
  • Users Predictions: 7 users predict this event. Ind Medellín will win (votes: 3 - 42.9%). Nacional will win (votes: 2 - 28.6%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 28.6%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 2:1.
  • Preview Facts
    • Recent matches Independiente Medellín is playing shaky (in the last 5 games wins - 2).
    • Nacional is in a first-class shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 3).
    • Independiente Medellín could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.
    • Recently Independiente Medellín have a series of home games.
    • Recently Nacional have a series of guest games.
    • In this match Independiente Medellín is a favorite.
    • Last 1 head-to-head matches Independiente Medellín won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 1-2.
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Independiente Medellín - Nacional Montevideo were as follows:
    19.04.2023 Nacional Montevideo - Independiente Medellín 2:1
    Copa Libertadores Table
    Group Stage

    Group A
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Flamengo RJ11002:023
    2Estudiantes L.P10101:101
    3Ind. Medellin10101:101
    4Cusco10010:2-20


    Group B
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Coquimbo10101:101
    2Nacional10101:101
    3Deportes Tolima10100:001
    4U. de Deportes10100:001


    Group C
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Ind. Rivadavia11001:013
    2Fluminense10100:001
    3La Guaira10100:001
    4Bolivar10010:1-10


    Group D
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Boca Juniors11002:113
    2Cruzeiro11001:013
    3U. Catolica10011:2-10
    4Barcelona SC10010:1-10


    Group E
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Corinthians11002:023
    2Santa Fe10101:101
    3Penarol10101:101
    4Platense10010:2-20


    Group F
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Sporting Cristal11001:013
    2Palmeiras10101:101
    3Junior10101:101
    4Cerro Porteno10010:1-10


    Group G
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Mirassol11001:013
    2LDU Quito11001:013
    3Lanus10010:1-10
    4Always Ready10010:1-10


    Group H
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Universidad Central11003:123
    2Rosario Central10100:001
    3Ind. del Valle10100:001
    4Libertad Asuncion10011:3-20

          Promotion ~ Copa Libertadores (Play Offs: 1/8~finals)
          Promotion ~ Copa Sudamericana (Play Offs: 1/16~finals)