Independiente Medellín vs Nacional Montevideo – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Football Copa Libertadores Independiente Medellín - Nacional Montevideo
Result
2:1
23/05/2023 at 20:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • SOUTH AMERICA: COPA LIBERTADORES - GROUP STAGE - ROUND 4
  • Referee: Haro D. (Per)

Highlights

Chances of winning


Independiente Medellín
49.8%
Draw
26.9%
Nacional Montevideo
23.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
48.2% 27.9% 23.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

51% 29.5% 22.6%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Independiente Medellín has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.6%)
  • Nacional Montevideo has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.7%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Independiente Medellín than the current prediction. (+1.2%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Nacional Montevideo than the current prediction. (-0.6%)
  • Independiente Medellín - Nacional Montevideo Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.89
    (1.93)
    3.46
    (3.33)
    3.99
    (3.89)
    6.9%
    (7.6%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
  • What is the prediction for Independiente Medellín - Nacional Montevideo?
  • Users Predictions: 7 users predict this event. Ind Medellín will win (votes: 3 - 42.9%). Nacional will win (votes: 2 - 28.6%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 28.6%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 2:1.
  • Preview Facts
    • Recent matches Independiente Medellín is playing shaky (in the last 5 games wins - 2).
    • Nacional is in a first-class shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 3).
    • Independiente Medellín could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.
    • Recently Independiente Medellín have a series of home games.
    • Recently Nacional have a series of guest games.
    • In this match Independiente Medellín is a favorite.
    • Last 1 head-to-head matches Independiente Medellín won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 1-2.
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Independiente Medellín - Nacional Montevideo were as follows:
    19.04.2023 Nacional Montevideo - Independiente Medellín 2:1
    Draw
    Play Offs

    1/8-finals
    1Atl. NacionalSao Paulo1 : 2, 0 : 0
    2Botafogo RJLDU Quito0 : 2, 1 : 0
    3Libertad AsuncionRiver Plate1 : 2, 0 : 0
    4U. de DeportesPalmeiras0 : 0, 0 : 4
    5FortalezaVelez Sarsfield0 : 2, 0 : 0
    6PenarolRacing Club1 : 3, 1 : 0
    7Cerro PortenoEstudiantes L.P.0 : 0, 0 : 1
    8Flamengo RJInternacional2 : 0, 1 : 0

    Quarter-finals
    1Sao PauloLDU Quito
    2River PlatePalmeiras
    3Velez SarsfieldRacing Club
    4Estudiantes L.P.Flamengo RJ