Result
28/06/2025 at 06:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- J1 League - Round 22
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
---|
Australia | Optus Sport |
China | K-Ball |
India | FanCode, FanCode |
Indonesia | PSJ TV |
Japan | DAZN Japan |
Match Stats
| |
---|
Expected Goals (xG) |
---|
1.09 | 1.33 |
Ball Possession |
---|
63% | 37% |
Total shots |
---|
16 | 10 |
Shots on target |
---|
4 | 3 |
Big Chances |
---|
2 | 1 |
Corner Kicks |
---|
8 | 2 |
Passes |
---|
79% (378/478) | 63% (183/290) |
Yellow Cards |
---|
2 | 3 |
Expected Goals (xG) |
---|
1.09 | 1.33 |
xG on target (xGOT) |
---|
0.72 | 1.24 |
Total shots |
---|
16 | 10 |
Shots on target |
---|
4 | 3 |
Shots off target |
---|
8 | 6 |
Blocked Shots |
---|
4 | 1 |
Shots inside the Box |
---|
7 | 7 |
Shots outside the Box |
---|
9 | 3 |
Hit the Woodwork |
---|
0 | 1 |
Big Chances |
---|
2 | 1 |
Corner Kicks |
---|
8 | 2 |
Touches in opposition box |
---|
26 | 13 |
Accurate through passes |
---|
1 | 1 |
Offsides |
---|
5 | 4 |
Free Kicks |
---|
9 | 16 |
Passes |
---|
79% (378/478) | 63% (183/290) |
Long passes |
---|
37% (24/65) | 32% (24/75) |
Passes in final third |
---|
74% (134/180) | 51% (45/89) |
Crosses |
---|
28% (7/25) | 25% (2/8) |
Expected assists (xA) |
---|
1.31 | 0.49 |
Throw-ins |
---|
30 | 22 |
Fouls |
---|
16 | 9 |
Tackles |
---|
100% (8/8) | 46% (6/13) |
Duels won |
---|
39 | 56 |
Clearances |
---|
29 | 35 |
Interceptions |
---|
12 | 13 |
Errors leading to shot |
---|
1 | 0 |
Errors leading to goal |
---|
2 | 0 |
Goalkeeper Saves |
---|
1 | 3 |
xGOT faced |
---|
1.24 | 0.72 |
Goals prevented |
---|
-0.76 | -0.28 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 2)
- 21', 0 - 1, Mateus ⚽, Morishima T. (A),
- 32', Nakamura S. 🟨,
- 40', 0 - 2, Mateus ⚽, Inagaki S. (A),
- 44', Nogami Y. 🟨,
- 2nd Half (1 - 0)
- 46', Mateus ↓, Nagai K. ↑,
- 46', Kinoshita K. ↓, Nakajima Y. ↑,
- 46', Higashi S. 🟨,
- 50', Morishima T. 🟨,
- 55', Morishima T. ↓, Kikuchi T. ↑,
- 58', Kato M. ↓, Maeda N. ↑,
- 58', Higashi S. ↓, Suga D. ↑,
- 71', Germain R. ↓, Germain V. ↑,
- 76', Nakamura S. ↓, Ohara M. ↑,
- 81', Pisano A. 🟨,
- 90', 1 - 2, Arai N. ⚽,
- 90+4', Tokumoto S. ↓, Kawazura A. ↑,
- 90+4', Yamagishi Y. ↓, Mori S. ↑,
Chances of winning
Sanfrecce Hiroshima 52.9% | Draw 26.5% | Nagoya Grampus 20.6% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Sanfrecce Hiroshima has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7.1%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Sanfrecce Hiroshima's performance.Nagoya Grampus has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.9%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Sanfrecce Hiroshima than the current prediction. (-6.4%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Sanfrecce Hiroshima that the model has picked up on.ML Model estimates a higher probability for Nagoya Grampus than the current prediction. (+3.5%)
Sanfrecce Hiroshima - Nagoya Grampus Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now (Initially) |
1.8 ↓ (2.09) |
3.54 ↑ (3.22) |
4.61 ↑ (3.91) |
5.6% (4.5%) | |
The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
What is the prediction for Sanfrecce Hiroshima - Nagoya Grampus?
Users Predictions:
Sanfrecce Hiroshima will win
(21 of 23 users predict this - 91.3%).
Confidence interval (95%): 79.78% – 100%.High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): Sanfrecce Hiroshima will win (5 of 5 users predict this - 100%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.
Preview Facts
- Get ready for a battle between the top and the middle of the table (ranked 3 in the zone Promotion ~ AFC Champions League 2 and 14).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Hiroshima won 2.
- Right now, both teams are showing solid form.
- Recently, Nagoya has had a series of home games.
- In this match, Hiroshima is a strong favorite.
- There will not play in Hiroshima: Arslan T.
(Knee Injury)
- There will not play in Nagoya: Mori S.
(Inactive)
Sato Y.
(Yellow Cards)
Schmidt D.
(Knee Injury)
- In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Hiroshima won 8 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 10 matches, and goals 23:23. (average 1.2:1.2).
- Including home matches between the teams, Hiroshima won 5 matches, drew 1 match, lost 4 matches, and goals 15:12. (average 1.5:1.2).
How many head-to-head matches has Sanfrecce Hiroshima won against Nagoya Grampus?
Sanfrecce Hiroshima has won 3 of their last 10 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Nagoya Grampus won against Sanfrecce Hiroshima?
Nagoya Grampus has won 6 of their last 10 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Sanfrecce Hiroshima - Nagoya Grampus were as follows:
20.04.2025
Nagoya Grampus
-
Sanfrecce Hiroshima
2:1
08.09.2024
Sanfrecce Hiroshima
-
Nagoya Grampus
1:3
04.09.2024
Nagoya Grampus
-
Sanfrecce Hiroshima
0:1
17.08.2024
Nagoya Grampus
-
Sanfrecce Hiroshima
1:2
06.05.2024
Sanfrecce Hiroshima
-
Nagoya Grampus
2:3
Latest results of Sanfrecce Hiroshima
Latest results of Nagoya Grampus
Japan J1 League Table
2025 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
1 | Vissel Kobe | 24 | 14 | 4 | 6 | 34:22 | 12 | 46 |
2 | Kashima Antlers | 24 | 14 | 2 | 8 | 36:24 | 12 | 44 |
3 | Kashiwa Reysol | 24 | 12 | 8 | 4 | 33:23 | 10 | 44 |
4 | Kyoto | 24 | 12 | 6 | 6 | 40:29 | 11 | 42 |
5 | Sanfrecce Hiroshima | 24 | 13 | 3 | 8 | 29:18 | 11 | 42 |
6 | Machida | 24 | 12 | 4 | 8 | 34:25 | 9 | 40 |
7 | Kawasaki Frontale | 24 | 10 | 8 | 6 | 38:26 | 12 | 38 |
8 | Urawa Reds | 23 | 10 | 7 | 6 | 32:24 | 8 | 37 |
9 | Cerezo Osaka | 24 | 9 | 7 | 8 | 37:33 | 4 | 34 |
10 | Gamba Osaka | 24 | 10 | 4 | 10 | 29:31 | -2 | 34 |
11 | Avispa Fukuoka | 23 | 8 | 7 | 8 | 21:23 | -2 | 31 |
12 | Okayama | 24 | 8 | 6 | 10 | 20:22 | -2 | 30 |
13 | Shimizu S-Pulse | 24 | 8 | 6 | 10 | 29:32 | -3 | 30 |
14 | FC Tokyo | 24 | 8 | 5 | 11 | 27:34 | -7 | 29 |
15 | Nagoya Grampus | 24 | 7 | 7 | 10 | 28:33 | -5 | 28 |
16 | Verdy | 24 | 7 | 7 | 10 | 15:24 | -9 | 28 |
17 | Shonan Bellmare | 24 | 6 | 6 | 12 | 20:37 | -17 | 24 |
18 | Yokohama F. Marinos | 24 | 5 | 6 | 13 | 23:32 | -9 | 21 |
19 | Yokohama FC | 24 | 5 | 4 | 15 | 14:30 | -16 | 19 |
20 | Albirex Niigata | 24 | 4 | 7 | 13 | 24:41 | -17 | 19 |
Promotion ~ AFC Champions League (League phase: )
Promotion ~ AFC Champions League 2
Relegation ~ J2 League