Result
28/06/2025 at 06:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
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Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.09 | 1.33 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 63% | 37% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 16 | 10 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 4 | 3 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 2 | 1 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 8 | 2 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 79% (378/478) | 63% (183/290) |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 2 | 3 |
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.09 | 1.33 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 0.72 | 1.24 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 16 | 10 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 4 | 3 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 8 | 6 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 4 | 1 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 7 | 7 |
| Shots outside the Box |
|---|
| 9 | 3 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 2 | 1 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 8 | 2 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 26 | 13 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 1 | 1 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 5 | 4 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 9 | 16 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 79% (378/478) | 63% (183/290) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 37% (24/65) | 32% (24/75) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 74% (134/180) | 51% (45/89) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 28% (7/25) | 25% (2/8) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 1.31 | 0.49 |
| Throw-ins |
|---|
| 30 | 22 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 16 | 9 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 100% (8/8) | 46% (6/13) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 39 | 56 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 29 | 35 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 12 | 13 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 2 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 1 | 3 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 1.24 | 0.72 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| -0.76 | -0.28 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 2)
- 21', 0 - 1, Mateus ⚽, Morishima T. (A),
- 32', Nakamura S. 🟨,
- 40', 0 - 2, Mateus ⚽, Inagaki S. (A),
- 44', Nogami Y. 🟨,
- 2nd Half (1 - 0)
- 46', Mateus ↓, Nagai K. ↑,
- 46', Kinoshita K. ↓, Nakajima Y. ↑,
- 46', Higashi S. 🟨,
- 50', Morishima T. 🟨,
- 55', Morishima T. ↓, Kikuchi T. ↑,
- 58', Kato M. ↓, Maeda N. ↑,
- 58', Higashi S. ↓, Suga D. ↑,
- 71', Germain R. ↓, Germain V. ↑,
- 76', Nakamura S. ↓, Ohara M. ↑,
- 81', Pisano A. 🟨,
- 90', 1 - 2, Arai N. ⚽,
- 90+4', Tokumoto S. ↓, Kawazura A. ↑,
- 90+4', Yamagishi Y. ↓, Mori S. ↑,
Chances of winning
Sanfrecce Hiroshima
52.9% | Draw
26.5% | Nagoya Grampus
20.6% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Sanfrecce Hiroshima has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7.1%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Sanfrecce Hiroshima's performance.Nagoya Grampus has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.9%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Sanfrecce Hiroshima than the current prediction. (-6.4%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Sanfrecce Hiroshima that the model has picked up on.ML Model estimates a higher probability for Nagoya Grampus than the current prediction. (+3.5%)
Sanfrecce Hiroshima - Nagoya Grampus Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.8 ↓
(2.09) |
3.54 ↑
(3.22) |
4.61 ↑
(3.91) |
5.6%
(4.5%) | |
The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
What is the prediction for Sanfrecce Hiroshima - Nagoya Grampus?
Users Predictions:
Sanfrecce Hiroshima will win
(21 of 23 users predict this - 91.3%).
Confidence interval (95%): 79.78% – 100%.High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): Sanfrecce Hiroshima will win (5 of 5 users predict this - 100%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.
Preview Facts
- Get ready for a battle between the top and the middle of the table (ranked 3 in the zone Promotion ~ AFC Champions League 2 and 14).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Hiroshima won 2.
- Right now, both teams are showing solid form.
- Recently, Nagoya has had a series of home games.
- In this match, Hiroshima is a strong favorite.
- There will not play in Hiroshima: Arslan T.
(Knee Injury)
- There will not play in Nagoya: Mori S.
(Inactive)
Sato Y.
(Yellow Cards)
Schmidt D.
(Knee Injury)
- In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Hiroshima won 8 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 10 matches, and goals 23:23. (average 1.2:1.2).
- Including home matches between the teams, Hiroshima won 5 matches, drew 1 match, lost 4 matches, and goals 15:12. (average 1.5:1.2).
How many head-to-head matches has Sanfrecce Hiroshima won against Nagoya Grampus?
Sanfrecce Hiroshima has won 3 of their last 10 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Nagoya Grampus won against Sanfrecce Hiroshima?
Nagoya Grampus has won 6 of their last 10 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Sanfrecce Hiroshima - Nagoya Grampus were as follows:
20.04.2025
Nagoya Grampus
-
Sanfrecce Hiroshima
2:1
08.09.2024
Sanfrecce Hiroshima
-
Nagoya Grampus
1:3
04.09.2024
Nagoya Grampus
-
Sanfrecce Hiroshima
0:1
17.08.2024
Nagoya Grampus
-
Sanfrecce Hiroshima
1:2
06.05.2024
Sanfrecce Hiroshima
-
Nagoya Grampus
2:3
Latest results of Sanfrecce Hiroshima
Latest results of Nagoya Grampus
Japan J1 League Table
2025 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Kashima Antlers | 22 | 13 | 2 | 7 | 32:20 | 12 | 41 |
| 2 | Kashiwa Reysol | 22 | 11 | 8 | 3 | 30:20 | 10 | 41 |
| 3 | Vissel Kobe | 22 | 12 | 4 | 6 | 28:21 | 7 | 40 |
| 4 | Kyoto | 22 | 11 | 5 | 6 | 36:26 | 10 | 38 |
| 5 | Sanfrecce Hiroshima | 22 | 11 | 3 | 8 | 26:18 | 8 | 36 |
| 6 | Kawasaki Frontale | 22 | 9 | 8 | 5 | 35:23 | 12 | 35 |
| 7 | Urawa Reds | 21 | 9 | 7 | 5 | 26:20 | 6 | 34 |
| 8 | Machida | 22 | 10 | 4 | 8 | 30:25 | 5 | 34 |
| 9 | Cerezo Osaka | 22 | 9 | 6 | 7 | 34:29 | 5 | 33 |
| 10 | Okayama | 22 | 8 | 6 | 8 | 19:19 | 0 | 30 |
| 11 | Avispa Fukuoka | 22 | 8 | 6 | 8 | 19:21 | -2 | 30 |
| 12 | Gamba Osaka | 22 | 8 | 4 | 10 | 26:30 | -4 | 28 |
| 13 | Nagoya Grampus | 22 | 7 | 6 | 9 | 28:30 | -2 | 27 |
| 14 | Shimizu S-Pulse | 22 | 7 | 6 | 9 | 27:29 | -2 | 27 |
| 15 | Verdy | 22 | 7 | 6 | 9 | 15:23 | -8 | 27 |
| 16 | FC Tokyo | 22 | 7 | 5 | 10 | 24:31 | -7 | 26 |
| 17 | Shonan Bellmare | 21 | 6 | 5 | 10 | 16:26 | -10 | 23 |
| 18 | Yokohama FC | 22 | 5 | 4 | 13 | 14:27 | -13 | 19 |
| 19 | Albirex Niigata | 22 | 4 | 7 | 11 | 23:37 | -14 | 19 |
| 20 | Yokohama F. Marinos | 22 | 3 | 6 | 13 | 19:32 | -13 | 15 |
Promotion ~ AFC Champions League (League phase: )
Promotion ~ AFC Champions League 2
Relegation ~ J2 League
Which TV channels are streaming of Sanfrecce Hiroshima - Nagoya Grampus?
It is being streamed on various channels, including:
| |
|---|
 Australia | Optus Sport |
 China | K-Ball |
 India | FanCode, FanCode |
 Indonesia | PSJ TV |
 Japan | DAZN Japan |
