Result
2:2
04/05/2025 at 12:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Premier League - Round 33
- Referee: Jabarov R. (Aze)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Azerbaijan | CBC Sport |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 63% | 37% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 13 | 9 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 5 | 4 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 4 | 3 |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 2 | 1 |
| Red Cards |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 13 | 9 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 5 | 4 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 8 | 5 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 4 | 3 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 2 | 3 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (1 - 0)
- 24', 1 - 0, Alex Fernandes ⚽,
- 36', Camalov E. 🟨,
- 2nd Half (1 - 2)
- 46', Mabatshoev S. ↓, Ardazishvili R. ↑,
- 46', Manafov T. ↓, Samadov U. ↑,
- 46', Shafiyev S. ↓, Pachu ↑,
- 46', Buhagiar T. ↓, Cafarov C. ↑,
- 50', 1 - 1, Pachu ⚽,
- 63', 1 - 2, Cafarov C. ⚽,
- 66', Yuri Matias ↓, Kuc E. ↑,
- 66', Koffi E. ↓, Mammadov M. ↑,
- 70', Camalov E. 🟨,
- 72', Alex Fernandes ↓, Mahmudov E. ↑,
- 86', Shtogrin A. ↓, Haciyev R. ↑,
- 89', Pachu 🟨,
- 90+5', 2 - 2, Mahmudov E. (Pen),
Chances of winning
Neftchi Baku
54.9% | Draw
25.3% | Kapaz
19.8% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Neftchi Baku has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.8%)Kapaz has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.3%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Neftchi Baku than the current prediction. (+0.1%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Kapaz than the current prediction. (-0.4%)
Neftchi Baku - Kapaz Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.66 ↓
(1.71) |
3.6 ↑
(3.4) |
4.61 ↑
(4.53) |
9.7%
(9.9%) | |
The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
Preview Facts
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Neftchi won 3.
- Both teams are showing inconsistent performances lately.
- Neftchi may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
- Recently, Neftchi has had a series of away games.
- In this match, Neftchi is considered a favorite.
- In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Neftchi won 11 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 34:21. (average 1.7:1.1).
- Including home matches between the teams, Neftchi won 6 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 18:8. (average 1.8:0.8).
How many head-to-head matches has Neftchi Baku won against Kapaz?
Neftchi Baku has won 7 of their last 12 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Kapaz won against Neftchi Baku?
Kapaz has won 3 of their last 12 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Neftchi Baku - Kapaz were as follows:
05.03.2025
Kapaz
-
Neftchi Baku
1:0
28.02.2025
Neftchi Baku
-
Kapaz
1:0
05.02.2025
Kapaz
-
Neftchi Baku
0:2
15.12.2024
Neftchi Baku
-
Kapaz
2:1
04.10.2024
Kapaz
-
Neftchi Baku
4:3
Latest results of Neftchi Baku
Azerbaijan Premier League Table
2024/25 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Qarabag | 36 | 28 | 5 | 3 | 86:19 | 67 | 89 |
| 2 | Zira | 36 | 23 | 5 | 8 | 59:27 | 32 | 74 |
| 3 | Araz | 36 | 15 | 13 | 8 | 34:29 | 5 | 58 |
| 4 | Turan | 36 | 14 | 13 | 9 | 45:39 | 6 | 55 |
| 5 | Sabah Baku | 36 | 10 | 18 | 8 | 50:46 | 4 | 48 |
| 6 | Neftci Baku | 36 | 10 | 13 | 13 | 39:49 | -10 | 43 |
| 7 | Shamakhi | 36 | 9 | 9 | 18 | 32:46 | -14 | 36 |
| 8 | Sumqayit | 36 | 9 | 6 | 21 | 31:53 | -22 | 33 |
| 9 | Kapaz | 36 | 8 | 8 | 20 | 28:65 | -37 | 32 |
| 10 | Sabail | 36 | 4 | 10 | 22 | 28:59 | -31 | 22 |
Promotion ~ Champions League (Qualification: )
Promotion ~ Conference League (Qualification: )
Relegation ~ I Liqa
