New York Red Bulls vs New York City – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

27/09/2025 at 19:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))

Red Bull Arena (Harrison, NJ).

MLS
Referee: Gonzalez G. Jr. (Usa)
Where to Watch on TV:


Canada	Amazon Prime Video
China	QQ Sports
Italy	Amazon Prime Video
Usa	MLS Season Pass, SiriusXM FC
World	EA Sports FC

Match Stats


Expected Goals (xG)
1.03	2.05
Ball Possession
53%	47%
Total shots
10	13
Shots on target
3	8
Big Chances
2	3
Corner Kicks
6	4
Passes
80% (364/454)	82% (325/395)
Yellow Cards
3	2
Expected Goals (xG)
1.03	2.05
xG on target (xGOT)
0.73	3.07
Total shots
10	13
Shots on target
3	8
Shots off target
4	4
Blocked Shots
3	1
Shots inside the Box
9	11
Shots outside the Box
1	2
Hit the Woodwork
0	1
Headed Goals
0	1
Big Chances
2	3
Corner Kicks
6	4
Touches in opposition box
19	22
Accurate through passes
1	1
Offsides
0	4
Free Kicks
9	19
Passes
80% (364/454)	82% (325/395)
Long passes
47% (24/51)	46% (24/52)
Passes in final third
64% (98/152)	74% (70/95)
Crosses
13% (2/16)	36% (5/14)
Expected assists (xA)
1.01	0.62
Throw-ins
26	21
Fouls
19	9
Tackles
62% (8/13)	64% (9/14)
Duels won
53	60
Clearances
17	40
Interceptions
6	8
Errors leading to shot
0	0
Errors leading to goal
0	0
Goalkeeper Saves
5	0
xGOT faced
3.07	0.73
Goals prevented
0.07	-1.27

Key Moments

Here there are

1st Half (1 - 2)
2', 0 - 1, Mercau N. ⚽, Haak J. (A),
8', Edwards R. 🟨,
23', 1 - 1, Hall J. ⚽, Choupo-Moting E. M. (A),
26', 1 - 2, Perea A. ⚽, Raul Gustavo (A),
2nd Half (1 - 1)
47', 2 - 2, Forsberg E. ⚽,
54', Moralez M. 🟨,
55', Edwards R. ↓, Morales M. ↑,
65', 2 - 3, Thiago Martins ⚽,
66', Hall J. ↓, Sofo M. ↑,
66', Carmona W. ↓, Gjengaar D. ↑,
67', Freese M. ↓, Romero T. ↑,
67', Moralez M. ↓, Fernandez J. ↑,
82', Gjengaar D. 🟨,
82', O'Neill A. ↓, O'Toole K. ↑,
82', Berggren G. ↓, Ngoma S. ↑,
82', Parker T. ↓, Hack A. ↑,
90+1', Duncan K. ↓, Nealis S. ↑,
90+3', Nealis S. 🟨,
90+4', Mercau N. ↓, Tanasijevic S. ↑,
90+4', Wolf H. ↓, Garfield Reid S. ↑,
90+12', Fernandez J. 🟨,

Highlights

Chances of winning

New York Red Bulls
37.6%

Draw
27.2%

New York City
35.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

41.4%

26.2%

32.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

41.8%

26.4%

32%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

New York Red Bulls has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.8%)

New York City has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.9%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for New York Red Bulls than the current prediction. (+4.2%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for New York City than the current prediction. (-3.2%)

New York Red Bulls - New York City Odds

	1	X	2	Marga
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.54 ↑ (2.27)	3.51 ↓ (3.58)	2.72 ↓ (2.9)	4.7% (6.6%)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

What is the prediction for New York Red Bulls - New York City?

Users Predictions: 5 users predict this event. NY Red Bulls will win (votes: 3 - 60%). NY City will win (votes: 1 - 20%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 20%).

The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.

Preview Facts

Watch a clash between a mid-table side and a current leader (ranked 10 and 5 in the zone Promotion ~ MLS (Play Offs: 1/8~finals)).
NY City is Qualified for MLS (Play Offs 1/8~finals)
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, NY Red Bulls won 1.
Both teams have been playing unpredictably.
NY City may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
Recently, NY City has had a series of home games.
The probability of winning is almost the same for both teams in this match.
There will not play in NY Red Bulls: Bogacz W. (Ankle Injury) Harper C. (Knee Injury) Marcucci A. (Knee Injury) Morgan L. (Thigh Injury)
There will not play in NY City: Cavallo N. (Leg Injury) Jones M. (Broken Leg) Parks K. (Leg Injury)
In the last 20 head-to-head matches, NY Red Bulls won 9 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 8 matches, and goals 23:23. (average 1.2:1.2).
Including home matches between the teams, NY Red Bulls won 7 matches, drew 1 match, lost 2 matches, and goals 15:8. (average 1.5:0.8).

How many head-to-head matches has New York Red Bulls won against New York City?

New York Red Bulls has won 3 of their last 8 head-to-head matches.

How many head-to-head matches has New York City won against New York Red Bulls?

New York City has won 4 of their last 8 head-to-head matches.

What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?

The latest head-to-head matches between New York Red Bulls - New York City were as follows:

17.05.2025 New York City - New York Red Bulls 2:0

23.11.2024 New York City - New York Red Bulls 0:2

28.09.2024 New York Red Bulls - New York City 1:5

18.05.2024 New York City - New York Red Bulls 2:1

16.09.2023 New York City - New York Red Bulls 0:0

Latest results of New York Red Bulls

20.09.2025 CF Montréal - New York Red Bulls 0:2 ✺

13.09.2025 Portland Timbers - New York Red Bulls 2:1 ✺

30.08.2025 New York Red Bulls - Columbus Crew 0:0 ✺

24.08.2025 Charlotte - New York Red Bulls 1:0 ✺

16.08.2025 New York Red Bulls - Philadelphia Union 1:0 ✺

Latest results of New York City

24.09.2025 New York City - Inter Miami 0:4 ✺

20.09.2025 New York City - Charlotte 2:0 ✺

17.09.2025 New York City - Columbus Crew 3:2 ✺

13.09.2025 Chicago Fire - New York City 1:3 ✺

30.08.2025 New York City - DC United 1:2 ✺

MLS Table

Main

Western Conference

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
1	San Diego FC ✔	33	18	6	9	60:41	19	60
2	Minnesota United ✔	33	16	10	7	55:37	18	58
3	Vancouver Whitecaps ✔	31	16	9	6	59:34	25	57
4	Los Angeles FC ✔	30	15	8	7	60:37	23	53
5	Seattle Sounders	32	13	10	9	55:47	8	49
6	Austin FC	32	12	8	12	35:43	-8	44
7	Portland Timbers	33	11	11	11	41:44	-3	44
8	FC Dallas	32	10	11	11	49:52	-3	41
9	Real Salt Lake	32	12	4	16	36:46	-10	40
10	Colorado Rapids	33	11	7	15	42:54	-12	40
11	San Jose Earthquakes	32	10	8	14	57:58	-1	38
12	Houston Dynamo	33	9	9	15	43:56	-13	36
13	St. Louis City	33	8	7	18	42:56	-14	31
14	Sporting Kansas City	33	7	6	20	46:70	-24	27
15	Los Angeles Galaxy	32	5	9	18	42:64	-22	24

Eastern Conference

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
1	Philadelphia Union ✔	33	20	6	7	57:33	24	66
2	FC Cincinnati ✔	33	19	5	9	49:40	9	62
3	Inter Miami ✔	32	17	8	7	72:53	19	59
4	Charlotte ✔	33	18	2	13	53:46	7	56
5	New York City ✔	33	17	5	11	49:42	7	56
6	Nashville SC	33	16	6	11	56:40	16	54
7	Orlando City	32	14	11	7	60:45	15	53
8	Chicago Fire	33	15	7	11	66:58	8	52
9	Columbus Crew	33	13	12	8	52:50	2	51
10	New York Red Bulls	33	12	7	14	47:44	3	43
11	New England Revolution	33	9	8	16	42:49	-7	35
12	Toronto FC	32	5	14	13	33:40	-7	29
13	CF Montreal	33	6	10	17	34:57	-23	28
14	Atlanta Utd	31	5	12	14	37:57	-20	27
15	DC United	33	5	10	18	29:65	-36	25

Promotion ~ MLS (Play Offs: 1/8~finals)
Promotion ~ MLS (Play Offs: 1/16~finals)

Clinched Spots for Teams

San Diego FC is Qualified for MLS (Play Offs 1/8~finals)
Minnesota United is Qualified for MLS (Play Offs 1/8~finals)
Vancouver Whitecaps is Qualified for MLS (Play Offs 1/8~finals)
Los Angeles FC is Qualified for MLS (Play Offs 1/8~finals)
Philadelphia Union is Qualified for MLS (Play Offs 1/8~finals)
FC Cincinnati is Qualified for MLS (Play Offs 1/8~finals)
Inter Miami is Qualified for MLS (Play Offs 1/8~finals)
Charlotte is Qualified for MLS (Play Offs 1/8~finals)
New York City is Qualified for MLS (Play Offs 1/8~finals)