Result
2:3
27/09/2025 at 19:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- MLS
- Referee: Gonzalez G. Jr. (Usa)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Canada | Amazon Prime Video |
 China | QQ Sports |
 Italy | Amazon Prime Video |
 Usa | MLS Season Pass, SiriusXM FC |
 World | EA Sports FC |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.03 | 2.05 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 53% | 47% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 10 | 13 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 3 | 8 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 2 | 3 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 6 | 4 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 80% (364/454) | 82% (325/395) |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 3 | 2 |
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.03 | 2.05 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 0.73 | 3.07 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 10 | 13 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 3 | 8 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 4 | 4 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 3 | 1 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 9 | 11 |
| Shots outside the Box |
|---|
| 1 | 2 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Headed Goals |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 2 | 3 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 6 | 4 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 19 | 22 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 1 | 1 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 0 | 4 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 9 | 19 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 80% (364/454) | 82% (325/395) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 47% (24/51) | 46% (24/52) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 64% (98/152) | 74% (70/95) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 13% (2/16) | 36% (5/14) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 1.01 | 0.62 |
| Throw-ins |
|---|
| 26 | 21 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 19 | 9 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 62% (8/13) | 64% (9/14) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 53 | 60 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 17 | 40 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 6 | 8 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 5 | 0 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 3.07 | 0.73 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| 0.07 | -1.27 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (1 - 2)
- 2', 0 - 1, Mercau N. ⚽, Haak J. (A),
- 8', Edwards R. 🟨,
- 23', 1 - 1, Hall J. ⚽, Choupo-Moting E. M. (A),
- 26', 1 - 2, Perea A. ⚽, Raul Gustavo (A),
- 2nd Half (1 - 1)
- 47', 2 - 2, Forsberg E. ⚽,
- 54', Moralez M. 🟨,
- 55', Edwards R. ↓, Morales M. ↑,
- 65', 2 - 3, Thiago Martins ⚽,
- 66', Hall J. ↓, Sofo M. ↑,
- 66', Carmona W. ↓, Gjengaar D. ↑,
- 67', Freese M. ↓, Romero T. ↑,
- 67', Moralez M. ↓, Fernandez J. ↑,
- 82', Gjengaar D. 🟨,
- 82', O'Neill A. ↓, O'Toole K. ↑,
- 82', Berggren G. ↓, Ngoma S. ↑,
- 82', Parker T. ↓, Hack A. ↑,
- 90+1', Duncan K. ↓, Nealis S. ↑,
- 90+3', Nealis S. 🟨,
- 90+4', Mercau N. ↓, Tanasijevic S. ↑,
- 90+4', Wolf H. ↓, Garfield Reid S. ↑,
- 90+12', Fernandez J. 🟨,
Chances of winning
New York Red Bulls
37.6% | Draw
27.2% | New York City
35.2% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
New York Red Bulls has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.8%)New York City has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.9%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for New York Red Bulls than the current prediction. (+4.2%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for New York City than the current prediction. (-3.2%)
New York Red Bulls - New York City Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
2.54 ↑
(2.27) |
3.51 ↓
(3.58) |
2.72 ↓
(2.9) |
4.7%
(6.6%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.75
What is the prediction for New York Red Bulls - New York City?
Users Predictions:
5 users predict this event. NY Red Bulls will win (votes: 3 - 60%). NY City will win (votes: 1 - 20%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 20%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
Preview Facts
- Watch a clash between a mid-table side and a current leader (ranked 10 and 5 in the zone Promotion ~ MLS (Play Offs: 1/8~finals)).
- NY City is Qualified for MLS (Play Offs 1/8~finals)
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, NY Red Bulls won 1.
- Both teams have been playing unpredictably.
- NY City may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
- Recently, NY City has had a series of home games.
- The probability of winning is almost the same for both teams in this match.
- There will not play in NY Red Bulls: Bogacz W.
(Ankle Injury)
Harper C.
(Knee Injury)
Marcucci A.
(Knee Injury)
Morgan L.
(Thigh Injury)
- There will not play in NY City: Cavallo N.
(Leg Injury)
Jones M.
(Broken Leg)
Parks K.
(Leg Injury)
- In the last 20 head-to-head matches, NY Red Bulls won 9 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 8 matches, and goals 23:23. (average 1.2:1.2).
- Including home matches between the teams, NY Red Bulls won 7 matches, drew 1 match, lost 2 matches, and goals 15:8. (average 1.5:0.8).
How many head-to-head matches has New York Red Bulls won against New York City?
New York Red Bulls has won 3 of their last 8 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has New York City won against New York Red Bulls?
New York City has won 4 of their last 8 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between New York Red Bulls - New York City were as follows:
17.05.2025
New York City
-
New York Red Bulls
2:0
23.11.2024
New York City
-
New York Red Bulls
0:2
28.09.2024
New York Red Bulls
-
New York City
1:5
18.05.2024
New York City
-
New York Red Bulls
2:1
16.09.2023
New York City
-
New York Red Bulls
0:0
Latest results of New York Red Bulls
Latest results of New York City
Draw
Play Offs1/16-finals| 1 | Philadelphia Union | Bye | |
| 2 | Chicago Fire | Orlando City | 3 : 1 |
| 3 | Charlotte | Bye | |
| 4 | Bye | New York City | |
| 5 | Inter Miami | Bye | |
| 6 | Bye | Nashville SC | |
| 7 | FC Cincinnati | Bye | |
| 8 | Bye | Columbus Crew | |
| 9 | San Diego FC | Bye | |
| 10 | Portland Timbers | Real Salt Lake | 3 : 1 |
| 11 | Minnesota United | Bye | |
| 12 | Bye | Seattle Sounders | |
| 13 | Los Angeles FC | Bye | |
| 14 | Bye | Austin FC | |
| 15 | Vancouver Whitecaps | Bye | |
| 16 | Bye | FC Dallas | |
1/8-finals| 1 | Philadelphia Union | Chicago Fire | |
| 2 | Charlotte | New York City | |
| 3 | Inter Miami | Nashville SC | 1 : 0 |
| 4 | FC Cincinnati | Columbus Crew | |
| 5 | San Diego FC | Portland Timbers | |
| 6 | Minnesota United | Seattle Sounders | |
| 7 | Los Angeles FC | Austin FC | |
| 8 | Vancouver Whitecaps | FC Dallas | |
Quarter-finalsSemi-finalsFinal
