New York Red Bulls vs New York City – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Football MLS New York Red Bulls - New York City
Result
2:3
27/09/2025 at 19:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • MLS
  • Referee: Gonzalez G. Jr. (Usa)
  • Where to Watch on TV:
canadaCanadaAmazon Prime Video
chinaChinaQQ Sports
italyItalyAmazon Prime Video
usaUsaMLS Season Pass, SiriusXM FC
worldWorldEA Sports FC

Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
1.032.05
Ball Possession
53%47%
Total shots
1013
Shots on target
38
Big Chances
23
Corner Kicks
64
Passes
80% (364/454)82% (325/395)
Yellow Cards
32
Expected Goals (xG)
1.032.05
xG on target (xGOT)
0.733.07
Total shots
1013
Shots on target
38
Shots off target
44
Blocked Shots
31
Shots inside the Box
911
Shots outside the Box
12
Hit the Woodwork
01
Headed Goals
01
Big Chances
23
Corner Kicks
64
Touches in opposition box
1922
Accurate through passes
11
Offsides
04
Free Kicks
919
Passes
80% (364/454)82% (325/395)
Long passes
47% (24/51)46% (24/52)
Passes in final third
64% (98/152)74% (70/95)
Crosses
13% (2/16)36% (5/14)
Expected assists (xA)
1.010.62
Throw-ins
2621
Fouls
199
Tackles
62% (8/13)64% (9/14)
Duels won
5360
Clearances
1740
Interceptions
68
Errors leading to shot
00
Errors leading to goal
00
Goalkeeper Saves
50
xGOT faced
3.070.73
Goals prevented
0.07-1.27

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (1 - 2)
  • 2', 0 - 1, Mercau N. , Haak J. (A),
  • 8', Edwards R. 🟨,
  • 23', 1 - 1, Hall J. , Choupo-Moting E. M. (A),
  • 26', 1 - 2, Perea A. , Raul Gustavo (A),
  • 2nd Half (1 - 1)
  • 47', 2 - 2, Forsberg E. ,
  • 54', Moralez M. 🟨,
  • 55', Edwards R. , Morales M. ,
  • 65', 2 - 3, Thiago Martins ,
  • 66', Hall J. , Sofo M. ,
  • 66', Carmona W. , Gjengaar D. ,
  • 67', Freese M. , Romero T. ,
  • 67', Moralez M. , Fernandez J. ,
  • 82', Gjengaar D. 🟨,
  • 82', O'Neill A. , O'Toole K. ,
  • 82', Berggren G. , Ngoma S. ,
  • 82', Parker T. , Hack A. ,
  • 90+1', Duncan K. , Nealis S. ,
  • 90+3', Nealis S. 🟨,
  • 90+4', Mercau N. , Tanasijevic S. ,
  • 90+4', Wolf H. , Garfield Reid S. ,
  • 90+12', Fernandez J. 🟨,

Highlights

Chances of winning


New York Red Bulls
37.6%
Draw
27.2%
New York City
35.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
41.4% 26.2% 32.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

41.8% 26.4% 32%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • New York Red Bulls has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.8%)
  • New York City has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.9%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for New York Red Bulls than the current prediction. (+4.2%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for New York City than the current prediction. (-3.2%)
  • New York Red Bulls - New York City Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    2.54
    (2.27)
    3.51
    (3.58)
    2.72
    (2.9)
    4.7%
    (6.6%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 2.75
    What is the prediction for New York Red Bulls - New York City?
  • Users Predictions: 5 users predict this event. NY Red Bulls will win (votes: 3 - 60%). NY City will win (votes: 1 - 20%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 20%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
  • Preview Facts
    • Watch a clash between a mid-table side and a current leader (ranked 10 and 5 in the zone Promotion ~ MLS (Play Offs: 1/8~finals)).
    • NY City is Qualified for MLS (Play Offs 1/8~finals)
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, NY Red Bulls won 1.
    • Both teams have been playing unpredictably.
    • NY City may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
    • Recently, NY City has had a series of home games.
    • The probability of winning is almost the same for both teams in this match.
    • There will not play in NY Red Bulls: Bogacz W. (Ankle Injury) Harper C. (Knee Injury) Marcucci A. (Knee Injury) Morgan L. (Thigh Injury)
    • There will not play in NY City: Cavallo N. (Leg Injury) Jones M. (Broken Leg) Parks K. (Leg Injury)
    • In the last 20 head-to-head matches, NY Red Bulls won 9 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 8 matches, and goals 23:23. (average 1.2:1.2).
    • Including home matches between the teams, NY Red Bulls won 7 matches, drew 1 match, lost 2 matches, and goals 15:8. (average 1.5:0.8).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between New York Red Bulls - New York City were as follows:
    17.05.2025 New York City - New York Red Bulls 2:0
    23.11.2024 New York City - New York Red Bulls 0:2
    28.09.2024 New York Red Bulls - New York City 1:5
    18.05.2024 New York City - New York Red Bulls 2:1
    16.09.2023 New York City - New York Red Bulls 0:0
    Latest results of New York Red Bulls
    Latest results of New York City
    Draw
    Play Offs

    1/16-finals
    1Philadelphia UnionBye
    2Chicago FireOrlando City3 : 1
    3CharlotteBye
    4ByeNew York City
    5Inter MiamiBye
    6ByeNashville SC
    7FC CincinnatiBye
    8ByeColumbus Crew
    9San Diego FCBye
    10Portland TimbersReal Salt Lake3 : 1
    11Minnesota UnitedBye
    12ByeSeattle Sounders
    13Los Angeles FCBye
    14ByeAustin FC
    15Vancouver WhitecapsBye
    16ByeFC Dallas

    1/8-finals
    1Philadelphia UnionChicago Fire
    2CharlotteNew York City
    3Inter MiamiNashville SC1 : 0
    4FC CincinnatiColumbus Crew
    5San Diego FCPortland Timbers
    6Minnesota UnitedSeattle Sounders
    7Los Angeles FCAustin FC
    8Vancouver WhitecapsFC Dallas

    Quarter-finals
    1TBD #1TBD #2
    2TBD #3TBD #4
    3TBD #5TBD #6
    4TBD #7TBD #8

    Semi-finals
    1TBD #1TBD #2
    2TBD #3TBD #4

    Final
    1TBD #1TBD #2