Nõmme Kalju vs Nõmme United – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
7:1
22/04/2026 at 11:45 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • Meistriliiga - Round 8
  • Referee: Koppel K. (Est)
  • Where to Watch on TV:
estoniaEstoniaJalgpall.ee, Soccernet TV

Match Stats

Ball possession
63%37%
Total shots
123
Shots on target
72
Corner kicks
62
Yellow cards
02
Total shots
123
Shots on target
72
Shots off target
51
Corner kicks
62

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (2 - 1)
  • 18', 1 - 0, Siht R. , Tarassenkov D. (A),
  • 20', 1 - 1, Beglarishvili Z. ,
  • 22', 2 - 1, Ivanov N. , Siht R. (A),
  • 2nd Half (5 - 0)
  • 54', Merilai S. , Truuvaart A. ,
  • 60', 3 - 1, Vastsuk B. , Siht R. (A),
  • 60', Jabir I. , Mannilaan M. ,
  • 60', Sotsugov D. , Kask K. ,
  • 61', Morishige Y. 🟨,
  • 65', 4 - 1, Mannilaan M. , Ivanov N. (A),
  • 68', Jarvelaid H. 🟨,
  • 69', Vastsuk B. , Baptista T. ,
  • 69', Jarvelaid H. , Vain B. ,
  • 69', Morishige Y. , Chisala B. ,
  • 69', Dacosta O. , Palts M. ,
  • 76', Tarassenkov D. , Orlov M. ,
  • 76', Ivanov N. , Nikolajev A. ,
  • 81', 5 - 1, Orlov M. ,
  • 86', Kabal G. , Palu R. ,
  • 88', 6 - 1, Baptista T. ,
  • 90+2', 7 - 1, Baptista T. ,

Highlights

Official Live

Chances of winning


Nõmme Kalju
68.5%
Draw
19%
Nõmme United
12.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
67.4% 19.1% 13.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

71.8% 17.9% 12.8%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Nõmme Kalju has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.1%)
  • Nõmme United has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.1%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Nõmme Kalju than the current prediction. (+3.3%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Nõmme United than the current prediction. (+0.3%)
  • Nõmme Kalju - Nõmme United Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.35
    (1.36)
    4.87
    (4.8)
    7.41
    (6.76)
    8.1%
    (9.2%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 3.25
    What is the prediction for Nõmme Kalju - Nõmme United?
  • Users Predictions: 3 users predict this event. Nõmme Kalju will win (votes: 3 - 100%).
  • Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:
    • DNB - Nõmme Kalju (1.16) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
  • Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Nõmme Kalju (votes: 1 - 100%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 2:0.
  • Preview Facts
    • A leader and an outsider will face off in this match (ranked 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Conference League (Qualification: ) and 8).
    • Nõmme Kalju is currently in amazing form (last 5 games: 3 wins).
    • Nõmme United has been struggling lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).
    • Nõmme Kalju may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
    • In this match, Nõmme Kalju is the clear favorite.
    • In the last 4 head-to-head matches, Nõmme Kalju won 2 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 8:1. (average 2:0.3).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Nõmme Kalju won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 4:1. (average 2:0.5).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Nõmme Kalju - Nõmme United were as follows:
    18.09.2024 Nõmme Kalju - Nõmme United 3:0
    19.07.2024 Nõmme United - Nõmme Kalju 0:4
    28.05.2024 Nõmme Kalju - Nõmme United 1:1
    17.03.2024 Nõmme United - Nõmme Kalju 0:0
    Latest results of Nõmme Kalju
    Latest results of Nõmme United
    Estonian Meistriliiga Table
    2026
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Levadia1073026:81824
    2Kalju1071222:61622
    3Flora1060421:12918
    4Paide1052317:12517
    5Harju JK Laagri1051414:17-316
    6Nomme Utd1041523:24-113
    7Tammeka1031611:17-610
    8Parnu JK Vaprus1031611:21-1010
    9Kuressaare1030711:19-89
    10Narva102089:29-206

          Promotion ~ Champions League (Qualification: )
          Promotion ~ Conference League (Qualification: )
          Meistriliiga (Relegation)
          Relegation ~ Esiliiga