Result
7:1
22/04/2026 at 11:45 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Meistriliiga - Round 8
- Referee: Koppel K. (Est)
- Where to Watch on TV:
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|---|
Estonia | Jalgpall.ee, Soccernet TV |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Ball possession |
|---|
| 63% | 37% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 12 | 3 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 7 | 2 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 6 | 2 |
| Yellow cards |
|---|
| 0 | 2 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 12 | 3 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 7 | 2 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 5 | 1 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 6 | 2 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (2 - 1)
- 18', 1 - 0, Siht R. ⚽, Tarassenkov D. (A),
- 20', 1 - 1, Beglarishvili Z. ⚽,
- 22', 2 - 1, Ivanov N. ⚽, Siht R. (A),
- 2nd Half (5 - 0)
- 54', Merilai S. ↓, Truuvaart A. ↑,
- 60', 3 - 1, Vastsuk B. ⚽, Siht R. (A),
- 60', Jabir I. ↓, Mannilaan M. ↑,
- 60', Sotsugov D. ↓, Kask K. ↑,
- 61', Morishige Y. 🟨,
- 65', 4 - 1, Mannilaan M. ⚽, Ivanov N. (A),
- 68', Jarvelaid H. 🟨,
- 69', Vastsuk B. ↓, Baptista T. ↑,
- 69', Jarvelaid H. ↓, Vain B. ↑,
- 69', Morishige Y. ↓, Chisala B. ↑,
- 69', Dacosta O. ↓, Palts M. ↑,
- 76', Tarassenkov D. ↓, Orlov M. ↑,
- 76', Ivanov N. ↓, Nikolajev A. ↑,
- 81', 5 - 1, Orlov M. ⚽,
- 86', Kabal G. ↓, Palu R. ↑,
- 88', 6 - 1, Baptista T. ⚽,
- 90+2', 7 - 1, Baptista T. ⚽,
Chances of winning
Nõmme Kalju 68.5% | Draw 19% | Nõmme United 12.5% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Nõmme Kalju has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.1%)Nõmme United has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.1%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Nõmme Kalju than the current prediction. (+3.3%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Nõmme United than the current prediction. (+0.3%)
Nõmme Kalju - Nõmme United Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now (Initially) |
1.35 ↓ (1.36) |
4.87 ↑ (4.8) |
7.41 ↑ (6.76) |
8.1% (9.2%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 3.25
What is the prediction for Nõmme Kalju - Nõmme United?
Users Predictions:
3 users predict this event. Nõmme Kalju will win (votes: 3 - 100%). Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:- DNB - Nõmme Kalju (1.16) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Nõmme Kalju (votes: 1 - 100%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 2:0.
Preview Facts
- A leader and an outsider will face off in this match (ranked 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Conference League (Qualification: ) and 8).
- Nõmme Kalju is currently in amazing form (last 5 games: 3 wins).
- Nõmme United has been struggling lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).
- Nõmme Kalju may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
- In this match, Nõmme Kalju is the clear favorite.
- In the last 4 head-to-head matches, Nõmme Kalju won 2 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 8:1. (average 2:0.3).
- Including home matches between the teams, Nõmme Kalju won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 4:1. (average 2:0.5).
How many head-to-head matches has Nõmme Kalju won against Nõmme United?
Nõmme Kalju has won 2 of their last 4 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Nõmme United won against Nõmme Kalju?
Nõmme United has won 0 of their last 4 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Nõmme Kalju - Nõmme United were as follows:
18.09.2024
Nõmme Kalju
-
Nõmme United
3:0
19.07.2024
Nõmme United
-
Nõmme Kalju
0:4
28.05.2024
Nõmme Kalju
-
Nõmme United
1:1
17.03.2024
Nõmme United
-
Nõmme Kalju
0:0
Latest results of Nõmme Kalju
Latest results of Nõmme United
Estonian Meistriliiga Table
2026 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Levadia | 10 | 7 | 3 | 0 | 26:8 | 18 | 24 |
| 2 | Kalju | 10 | 7 | 1 | 2 | 22:6 | 16 | 22 |
| 3 | Flora | 10 | 6 | 0 | 4 | 21:12 | 9 | 18 |
| 4 | Paide | 10 | 5 | 2 | 3 | 17:12 | 5 | 17 |
| 5 | Harju JK Laagri | 10 | 5 | 1 | 4 | 14:17 | -3 | 16 |
| 6 | Nomme Utd | 10 | 4 | 1 | 5 | 23:24 | -1 | 13 |
| 7 | Tammeka | 10 | 3 | 1 | 6 | 11:17 | -6 | 10 |
| 8 | Parnu JK Vaprus | 10 | 3 | 1 | 6 | 11:21 | -10 | 10 |
| 9 | Kuressaare | 10 | 3 | 0 | 7 | 11:19 | -8 | 9 |
| 10 | Narva | 10 | 2 | 0 | 8 | 9:29 | -20 | 6 |
Promotion ~ Champions League (Qualification: )
Promotion ~ Conference League (Qualification: )
Meistriliiga (Relegation)
Relegation ~ Esiliiga