Burton Albion vs Northampton Town – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Football English League One Burton Albion - Northampton Town
Result
0:1
04/01/2025 at 07:30 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
  • ENGLAND: League One - Round 25
  • Referee: Joyce R. (Eng)
  • Where to Watch on TV:
united-kingdomUnited-kingdomSky Sports+

Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
0.880.77
Ball Possession
57%43%
Goal Attempts
98
Shots on Goal
22
Shots off Goal
54
Blocked Shots
22
Big Chances
11
Corner Kicks
41
Shots inside the Box
85
Shots outside the Box
13
Hit the Woodwork
10
Goalkeeper Saves
12
Free Kicks
1615
Offsides
50
Fouls
1516
Yellow Cards
11
Throw-ins
1724
Touches in the Opposition Box
2018
Passes
75% (312/414)65% (203/311)
Passes in the final third
60% (61/102)48% (70/145)
Crosses
21% (5/24)27% (4/15)
Tackles
67% (8/12)59% (10/17)
Clearances Total
3942
Interceptions
510

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 0)
  • 17', Webster C. 🟨,
  • 2nd Half (0 - 1)
  • 46', Webster C. , Bodin B. ,
  • 58', Orsi-Dadomo D. , Bennett M. ,
  • 59', Chouchane S. , Fosu T. ,
  • 83', Hoskins S. 🟨,
  • 86', 0 - 1, Hoskins S. , Pinnock M. (A),
  • 90', Chauke K. , Whitfield B. ,

Highlights

Chances of winning


Burton Albion
42.9%
Draw
29.4%
Northampton Town
27.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
38.8% 27.8% 33.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

38.1% 27.3% 34%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Burton Albion has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.1%)
  • Northampton Town has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.6%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Northampton Town might be facing challenges that affect their performance.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Burton Albion than the current prediction. (-4.8%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Northampton Town than the current prediction. (+6.2%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Northampton Town could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
  • Burton Albion - Northampton Town Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    2.2
    (2.4)
    3.21
    (3.36)
    3.41
    (2.79)
    6%
    (7.3%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
  • What is the prediction for Burton Albion - Northampton Town?
  • Users Predictions: 28 users predict this event. Burton will win (votes: 19 - 67.9%). Northampton will win (votes: 5 - 17.9%). It will Tie (votes: 4 - 14.3%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for Burton: 50.6%85.2%.
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
  • Preview Facts
    • We will watch a tense game between outsiders (ranked 24 in the zone Relegation ~ League Two and 19).
    • Last 5 head-to-head matches Burton won 2.
    • The competitors look crappy now.
    • Burton will have a poor advantage in this game.
    • Last 14 head-to-head matches Burton won 6 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 6 matches and goals 19:20 (average 1.4:1.4).
    • Including matches at home between the teams Burton won 3 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 10:13 (average 1.4:1.9).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Burton Albion - Northampton Town were as follows:
    12.11.2024 Northampton Town - Burton Albion 2:5
    31.08.2024 Northampton Town - Burton Albion 0:0
    24.02.2024 Burton Albion - Northampton Town 0:2
    11.11.2023 Northampton Town - Burton Albion 2:0
    Latest results of Burton Albion
    Latest results of Northampton Town
    English League One Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Cardiff54107:1613
    2Huddersfield540110:3712
    3Stevenage54018:4412
    4Bradford City53207:4311
    5Stockport County53119:6310
    6Barnsley53118:6210
    7Lincoln53117:5210
    8Doncaster53115:4110
    9Mansfield530210:649
    10AFC Wimbledon53026:339
    11Luton53025:329
    12Wigan52127:617
    13Leyton Orient52126:9-37
    14Exeter52036:606
    15Bolton51315:506
    16Burton41125:6-14
    17Rotherham41124:7-34
    18Northampton51133:6-34
    19Plymouth51044:9-53
    20Blackpool51046:12-63
    21Wycombe50235:8-32
    22Port Vale50232:5-32
    23Reading50234:9-52
    24Peterborough50142:8-61

          Promotion ~ Championship
          Promotion ~ League One (Play Offs: )
          Relegation ~ League Two