Result
0:2
14/03/2026 at 11:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- League One - Round 37
- Referee: Swabey L. (Eng)
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.08 | 1.66 |
| Ball possession |
|---|
| 58% | 42% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 9 | 12 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 2 | 4 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 3 | 1 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 7 | 4 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 75% (317/423) | 67% (203/305) |
| Yellow cards |
|---|
| 2 | 2 |
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.08 | 1.66 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 0.95 | 1.41 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 9 | 12 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 2 | 4 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 4 | 4 |
| Blocked shots |
|---|
| 3 | 4 |
| Shots inside the box |
|---|
| 7 | 9 |
| Shots outside the box |
|---|
| 2 | 3 |
| Hit the woodwork |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 3 | 1 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 7 | 4 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 14 | 24 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 1 | 3 |
| Free kicks |
|---|
| 6 | 15 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 75% (317/423) | 67% (203/305) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 35% (29/82) | 35% (29/84) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 51% (49/96) | 59% (84/143) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 24% (6/25) | 25% (5/20) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 0.96 | 0.83 |
| Throw ins |
|---|
| 30 | 19 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 15 | 6 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 67% (8/12) | 73% (11/15) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 40 | 65 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 19 | 19 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 8 | 5 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper saves |
|---|
| 2 | 2 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 1.41 | 0.95 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| -0.59 | 0.95 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 1)
- 13', Taylor T. 🟨,
- 20', McGeehan C. 🟨,
- 32', 0 - 1, Beesley J. ⚽,
- 2nd Half (0 - 1)
- 64', Vale J. ↓, Eaves T. ↑,
- 64', Hoskins S. ↓, Swyer K. ↑,
- 65', Taylor T. ↓, Fornah T. ↑,
- 68', Cannon A. ↓, Williams D. ↑,
- 70', Collins B. 🟨,
- 83', Campbell D. ↓, Jacobs M. ↑,
- 83', Forbes M. ↓, Perkins J. ↑,
- 86', Chauke K. 🟨,
- 87', Chauke K. ↓, McKiernan J. J. ↑,
- 87', Shade T. ↓, Adom K. ↑,
- 89', 0 - 2, Lofthouse K. ⚽,
Chances of winning
Northampton Town
32.1% | Draw
29.8% | Burton Albion
38.1% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Northampton Town has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.8%)Burton Albion has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.8%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Northampton Town than the current prediction. (+4.6%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Burton Albion than the current prediction. (-2.6%)
Northampton Town - Burton Albion Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
2.92 ↑
(2.57) |
3.12 ↓
(3.32) |
2.47 ↓
(2.54) |
6.7%
(8.5%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
What is the prediction for Northampton Town - Burton Albion?
High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 3 high ROI users predict this event. Northampton (votes: 2 - 66.7%). Burton (votes: 1 - 33.3%). Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:- O/U 2.5 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .
Users Predictions:
Northampton Town will win
(6 of 7 users predict this - 85.71%).
Confidence interval (95%): 59.78% – 100%. The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
Preview Facts
- A mid-table team and an outsider will play in this match (ranked 23 in the zone Relegation ~ League Two and 17).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Northampton won 2.
- Northampton has suffered several defeats recently (last 5 games: 0 wins).
- In recent matches, Burton has shown inconsistent performance (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).
- The probability of winning is almost the same for both teams in this match.
- There will not play in Northampton: Shaw L.
(Knee Injury)
Wormleighton J.
(Inactive)
- There will not play in Burton: Armer J.
(Inactive)
Delap F.
(Inactive)
Gilligan C.
(Inactive)
Jones J.
(Foot Injury)
Revan S.
(Injury)
Webster C.
(Injury)
- There are questionable in Northampton: Edwards K.
(Injury)
Guthrie J.
(Inactive)
- There are questionable in Burton: Williams D.
(Inactive)
- In the last 16 head-to-head matches, Northampton won 7 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 7 matches, and goals 22:24. (average 1.4:1.5).
- Including home matches between the teams, Northampton won 3 matches, drew 1 match, lost 3 matches, and goals 7:9. (average 1:1.3).
How many head-to-head matches has Northampton Town won against Burton Albion?
Northampton Town has won 3 of their last 6 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Burton Albion won against Northampton Town?
Burton Albion has won 2 of their last 6 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Northampton Town - Burton Albion were as follows:
26.12.2025
Burton Albion
-
Northampton Town
5:1
04.01.2025
Burton Albion
-
Northampton Town
0:1
12.11.2024
Northampton Town
-
Burton Albion
2:5
31.08.2024
Northampton Town
-
Burton Albion
0:0
24.02.2024
Burton Albion
-
Northampton Town
0:2
Latest results of Northampton Town
Latest results of Burton Albion
English League One Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Lincoln | 39 | 25 | 9 | 5 | 74:34 | 40 | 84 |
| 2 | Cardiff | 39 | 23 | 8 | 8 | 73:41 | 32 | 77 |
| 3 | Bolton | 39 | 17 | 15 | 7 | 55:39 | 16 | 66 |
| 4 | Bradford City | 39 | 19 | 8 | 12 | 49:44 | 5 | 65 |
| 5 | Stockport County | 37 | 17 | 9 | 11 | 51:48 | 3 | 60 |
| 6 | Stevenage | 38 | 17 | 9 | 12 | 41:38 | 3 | 60 |
| 7 | Plymouth | 39 | 18 | 5 | 16 | 60:54 | 6 | 59 |
| 8 | Reading | 39 | 15 | 13 | 11 | 57:51 | 6 | 58 |
| 9 | Huddersfield | 39 | 16 | 9 | 14 | 59:51 | 8 | 57 |
| 10 | Wycombe | 39 | 15 | 11 | 13 | 55:43 | 12 | 56 |
| 11 | Luton | 39 | 15 | 10 | 14 | 52:49 | 3 | 55 |
| 12 | Peterborough | 38 | 15 | 5 | 18 | 57:52 | 5 | 50 |
| 13 | Barnsley | 37 | 13 | 11 | 13 | 59:60 | -1 | 50 |
| 14 | AFC Wimbledon | 38 | 14 | 8 | 16 | 49:55 | -6 | 50 |
| 15 | Mansfield | 37 | 12 | 13 | 12 | 47:41 | 6 | 49 |
| 16 | Leyton Orient | 38 | 14 | 6 | 18 | 55:62 | -7 | 48 |
| 17 | Doncaster | 38 | 13 | 8 | 17 | 41:59 | -18 | 47 |
| 18 | Burton | 39 | 12 | 10 | 17 | 44:54 | -10 | 46 |
| 19 | Wigan | 38 | 11 | 12 | 15 | 41:51 | -10 | 45 |
| 20 | Exeter | 39 | 11 | 9 | 19 | 42:52 | -10 | 42 |
| 21 | Blackpool | 39 | 11 | 9 | 19 | 46:63 | -17 | 42 |
| 22 | Rotherham | 38 | 9 | 9 | 20 | 35:58 | -23 | 36 |
| 23 | Northampton | 39 | 9 | 8 | 22 | 33:56 | -23 | 35 |
| 24 | Port Vale | 36 | 7 | 10 | 19 | 29:49 | -20 | 31 |
Promotion ~ Championship
Promotion ~ League One (Play Offs: )
Relegation ~ League Two
