Result
0:1
04/01/2025 at 07:30 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
- ENGLAND: League One - Round 25
- Referee: Joyce R. (Eng)
- Where to Watch on TV:
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|---|
 United-kingdom | Sky Sports+ |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.88 | 0.77 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 57% | 43% |
| Goal Attempts |
|---|
| 9 | 8 |
| Shots on Goal |
|---|
| 2 | 2 |
| Shots off Goal |
|---|
| 5 | 4 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 2 | 2 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 1 | 1 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 4 | 1 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 8 | 5 |
| Shots outside the Box |
|---|
| 1 | 3 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 1 | 2 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 16 | 15 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 5 | 0 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 15 | 16 |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 1 | 1 |
| Throw-ins |
|---|
| 17 | 24 |
| Touches in the Opposition Box |
|---|
| 20 | 18 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 75% (312/414) | 65% (203/311) |
| Passes in the final third |
|---|
| 60% (61/102) | 48% (70/145) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 21% (5/24) | 27% (4/15) |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 67% (8/12) | 59% (10/17) |
| Clearances Total |
|---|
| 39 | 42 |
| Interceptions |
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| 5 | 10 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 0)
- 17', Webster C. 🟨,
- 2nd Half (0 - 1)
- 46', Webster C. ↓, Bodin B. ↑,
- 58', Orsi-Dadomo D. ↓, Bennett M. ↑,
- 59', Chouchane S. ↓, Fosu T. ↑,
- 83', Hoskins S. 🟨,
- 86', 0 - 1, Hoskins S. ⚽, Pinnock M. (A),
- 90', Chauke K. ↓, Whitfield B. ↑,
Chances of winning
Burton Albion
42.9% | Draw
29.4% | Northampton Town
27.8% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Burton Albion has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.1%)Northampton Town has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.6%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Northampton Town might be facing challenges that affect their performance.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Burton Albion than the current prediction. (-4.8%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Northampton Town than the current prediction. (+6.2%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Northampton Town could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
Burton Albion - Northampton Town Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
2.2 ↓
(2.4) |
3.21 ↓
(3.36) |
3.41 ↑
(2.79) |
6%
(7.3%) | |
The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
What is the prediction for Burton Albion - Northampton Town?
Users Predictions:
28 users predict this event. Burton will win (votes: 19 - 67.9%). Northampton will win (votes: 5 - 17.9%). It will Tie (votes: 4 - 14.3%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Burton: 50.6% – 85.2%. The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
Preview Facts
- We will watch a tense game between outsiders (ranked 24 in the zone Relegation ~ League Two and 19).
- Last 5 head-to-head matches Burton won 2.
- The competitors look crappy now.
- Burton will have a poor advantage in this game.
- Last 14 head-to-head matches Burton won 6 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 6 matches and goals 19:20 (average 1.4:1.4).
- Including matches at home between the teams Burton won 3 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 10:13 (average 1.4:1.9).
How many head-to-head matches has Burton Albion won against Northampton Town?
Burton Albion has won 1 of their last 4 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Northampton Town won against Burton Albion?
Northampton Town has won 2 of their last 4 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Burton Albion - Northampton Town were as follows:
12.11.2024
Northampton Town
-
Burton Albion
2:5
31.08.2024
Northampton Town
-
Burton Albion
0:0
24.02.2024
Burton Albion
-
Northampton Town
0:2
11.11.2023
Northampton Town
-
Burton Albion
2:0
Latest results of Burton Albion
Latest results of Northampton Town
English League One Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Bradford City | 11 | 7 | 3 | 1 | 20:13 | 7 | 24 |
| 2 | Stevenage | 9 | 7 | 1 | 1 | 15:8 | 7 | 22 |
| 3 | Lincoln | 10 | 6 | 3 | 1 | 17:9 | 8 | 21 |
| 4 | Cardiff | 10 | 6 | 2 | 2 | 15:6 | 9 | 20 |
| 5 | Huddersfield | 10 | 6 | 1 | 3 | 16:11 | 5 | 19 |
| 6 | AFC Wimbledon | 10 | 6 | 0 | 4 | 14:12 | 2 | 18 |
| 7 | Luton | 10 | 5 | 1 | 4 | 14:11 | 3 | 16 |
| 8 | Stockport County | 10 | 4 | 4 | 2 | 15:13 | 2 | 16 |
| 9 | Barnsley | 9 | 5 | 1 | 3 | 14:12 | 2 | 16 |
| 10 | Doncaster | 10 | 5 | 1 | 4 | 10:11 | -1 | 16 |
| 11 | Bolton | 10 | 3 | 5 | 2 | 14:10 | 4 | 14 |
| 12 | Mansfield | 10 | 4 | 2 | 4 | 15:13 | 2 | 14 |
| 13 | Northampton | 9 | 4 | 1 | 4 | 7:8 | -1 | 13 |
| 14 | Wigan | 10 | 3 | 3 | 4 | 14:15 | -1 | 12 |
| 15 | Plymouth | 10 | 4 | 0 | 6 | 15:18 | -3 | 12 |
| 16 | Port Vale | 10 | 3 | 2 | 5 | 10:10 | 0 | 11 |
| 17 | Leyton Orient | 10 | 3 | 2 | 5 | 13:18 | -5 | 11 |
| 18 | Exeter | 10 | 3 | 0 | 7 | 10:12 | -2 | 9 |
| 19 | Reading | 9 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 10:14 | -4 | 9 |
| 20 | Wycombe | 10 | 2 | 2 | 6 | 11:13 | -2 | 8 |
| 21 | Rotherham | 10 | 2 | 2 | 6 | 9:15 | -6 | 8 |
| 22 | Blackpool | 10 | 2 | 2 | 6 | 10:17 | -7 | 8 |
| 23 | Burton | 9 | 2 | 2 | 5 | 6:14 | -8 | 8 |
| 24 | Peterborough | 10 | 2 | 1 | 7 | 7:18 | -11 | 7 |
Promotion ~ Championship
Promotion ~ League One (Play Offs: )
Relegation ~ League Two
