Result
0:1
04/01/2025 at 07:30 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
- ENGLAND: League One - Round 25
- Referee: Joyce R. (Eng)
- Where to Watch on TV:
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United-kingdom | Sky Sports+ |
Match Stats
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Expected Goals (xG) |
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0.88 | 0.77 |
Ball Possession |
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57% | 43% |
Goal Attempts |
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9 | 8 |
Shots on Goal |
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2 | 2 |
Shots off Goal |
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5 | 4 |
Blocked Shots |
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2 | 2 |
Big Chances |
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1 | 1 |
Corner Kicks |
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4 | 1 |
Shots inside the Box |
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8 | 5 |
Shots outside the Box |
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1 | 3 |
Hit the Woodwork |
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1 | 0 |
Goalkeeper Saves |
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1 | 2 |
Free Kicks |
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16 | 15 |
Offsides |
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5 | 0 |
Fouls |
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15 | 16 |
Yellow Cards |
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1 | 1 |
Throw-ins |
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17 | 24 |
Touches in the Opposition Box |
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20 | 18 |
Passes |
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75% (312/414) | 65% (203/311) |
Passes in the final third |
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60% (61/102) | 48% (70/145) |
Crosses |
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21% (5/24) | 27% (4/15) |
Tackles |
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67% (8/12) | 59% (10/17) |
Clearances Total |
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39 | 42 |
Interceptions |
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5 | 10 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 0)
- 17', Webster C. 🟨,
- 2nd Half (0 - 1)
- 46', Webster C. ↓, Bodin B. ↑,
- 58', Orsi-Dadomo D. ↓, Bennett M. ↑,
- 59', Chouchane S. ↓, Fosu T. ↑,
- 83', Hoskins S. 🟨,
- 86', 0 - 1, Hoskins S. ⚽, Pinnock M. (A),
- 90', Chauke K. ↓, Whitfield B. ↑,
Chances of winning
Burton Albion 42.9% | Draw 29.4% | Northampton Town 27.8% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Burton Albion has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.1%)Northampton Town has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.6%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Northampton Town might be facing challenges that affect their performance.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Burton Albion than the current prediction. (-4.8%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Northampton Town than the current prediction. (+6.2%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Northampton Town could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
Burton Albion - Northampton Town Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now (Initially) |
2.2 ↓ (2.4) |
3.21 ↓ (3.36) |
3.41 ↑ (2.79) |
6% (7.3%) | |
The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
What is the prediction for Burton Albion - Northampton Town?
Users Predictions:
28 users predict this event. Burton will win (votes: 19 - 67.9%). Northampton will win (votes: 5 - 17.9%). It will Tie (votes: 4 - 14.3%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Burton: 50.6% – 85.2%. The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
Preview Facts
- We will watch a tense game between outsiders (ranked 24 in the zone Relegation ~ League Two and 19).
- Last 5 head-to-head matches Burton won 2.
- The competitors look crappy now.
- Burton will have a poor advantage in this game.
- Last 14 head-to-head matches Burton won 6 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 6 matches and goals 19:20 (average 1.4:1.4).
- Including matches at home between the teams Burton won 3 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 10:13 (average 1.4:1.9).
How many head-to-head matches has Burton Albion won against Northampton Town?
Burton Albion has won 1 of their last 4 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Northampton Town won against Burton Albion?
Northampton Town has won 2 of their last 4 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Burton Albion - Northampton Town were as follows:
12.11.2024
Northampton Town
-
Burton Albion
2:5
31.08.2024
Northampton Town
-
Burton Albion
0:0
24.02.2024
Burton Albion
-
Northampton Town
0:2
11.11.2023
Northampton Town
-
Burton Albion
2:0
Latest results of Burton Albion
Latest results of Northampton Town
English League One Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
1 | Huddersfield | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3:0 | 3 | 3 |
2 | Wigan | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3:1 | 2 | 3 |
3 | Barnsley | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3:1 | 2 | 3 |
4 | Stockport County | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2:0 | 2 | 3 |
5 | Lincoln | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2:0 | 2 | 3 |
6 | Stevenage | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3:2 | 1 | 3 |
7 | Cardiff | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2:1 | 1 | 3 |
8 | Bradford City | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2:1 | 1 | 3 |
9 | Rotherham | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2:1 | 1 | 3 |
10 | Burton | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2:1 | 1 | 3 |
11 | Doncaster | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1:0 | 1 | 3 |
12 | Luton | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1:0 | 1 | 3 |
13 | Blackpool | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2:3 | -1 | 0 |
14 | Port Vale | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1:2 | -1 | 0 |
15 | Wycombe | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1:2 | -1 | 0 |
16 | Mansfield | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1:2 | -1 | 0 |
17 | Peterborough | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1:2 | -1 | 0 |
18 | Exeter | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0:1 | -1 | 0 |
19 | AFC Wimbledon | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0:1 | -1 | 0 |
20 | Plymouth | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1:3 | -2 | 0 |
21 | Northampton | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1:3 | -2 | 0 |
22 | Bolton | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0:2 | -2 | 0 |
23 | Reading | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0:2 | -2 | 0 |
24 | Leyton Orient | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0:3 | -3 | 0 |
Promotion ~ Championship
Promotion ~ League One (Play Offs: )
Relegation ~ League Two