Result
5:1
26/12/2025 at 10:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
- League One - Round 22
- Referee: Mulhall S. (Eng)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 United-kingdom | Sky Sports+ |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 2.48 | 0.75 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 50% | 50% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 15 | 13 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 8 | 2 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 4 | 2 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 5 | 7 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 61% (171/279) | 59% (164/277) |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 3 | 2 |
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 2.48 | 0.75 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 2.50 | 0.79 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 15 | 13 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 8 | 2 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 1 | 6 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 6 | 5 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 11 | 7 |
| Shots outside the Box |
|---|
| 4 | 6 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Headed Goals |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 4 | 2 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 5 | 7 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 27 | 22 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 8 | 12 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 61% (171/279) | 59% (164/277) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 31% (22/71) | 29% (23/79) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 52% (57/110) | 49% (53/108) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 28% (5/18) | 12% (2/17) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 0.43 | 0.47 |
| Throw-ins |
|---|
| 30 | 24 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 12 | 8 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 63% (10/16) | 76% (13/17) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 50 | 55 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 54 | 42 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 5 | 7 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 2 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 1 | 4 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 0.79 | 2.50 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| -0.21 | -1.50 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (4 - 1)
- 3', 1 - 0, Beesley J. (Penalty Awarded),
- 23', 2 - 0, Armer J. ⚽, Beesley J. (A),
- 28', 3 - 0, Dyche M. (Own goal),
- 38', McCarthy C. ↓, Burroughs J. ↑,
- 39', 3 - 1, Eaves T. ⚽, Taylor T. (A),
- 44', 4 - 1, Shade T. ⚽, Larsson J. (A),
- 2nd Half (1 - 0)
- 46', Dyche M. ↓, Willis J. ↑,
- 46', Hoskins S. ↓, List E. ↑,
- 46', Thorniley J. ↓, Forbes M. ↑,
- 51', Wheatley E. 🟨,
- 56', Williams D. 🟨,
- 59', Vancooten T. 🟨,
- 73', Williams D. ↓, Krubally S. ↑,
- 75', Burroughs J. 🟨,
- 76', Wheatley E. ↓, Edwards K. ↑,
- 77', Evans G. 🟨,
- 84', 5 - 1, Shade T. ⚽, Krubally S. (A),
- 90+1', Larsson J. ↓, Newall J. ↑,
- 90+1', Vancooten T. ↓, Akoto N. ↑,
- 90+2', Beesley J. ↓, Scutt Z. ↑,
- 90+6', Shade T. ↓, Williamson J. ↑,
Chances of winning
Burton Albion
42.6% | Draw
28.2% | Northampton Town
29.2% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Burton Albion has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.3%)Northampton Town has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.2%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Burton Albion than the current prediction. (+1%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Northampton Town than the current prediction. (+0.3%)
Burton Albion - Northampton Town Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
2.21
(2.21) |
3.34 ↓
(3.43) |
3.19 ↑
(3.07) |
6.7%
(7%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
What is the prediction for Burton Albion - Northampton Town?
Users Predictions:
13 users predict this event. Burton will win (votes: 5 - 38.5%). Northampton will win (votes: 4 - 30.8%). It will Tie (votes: 4 - 30.8%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Burton: 12% – 65%.High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 2 high ROI users predict this event. Northampton (votes: 2 - 100%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
Preview Facts
- An outsider and a mid-table team will play in this game (ranked 19 and 12).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Burton won 1.
- Burton has had mixed results lately (last 5 games: 1 wins).
- Northampton is showing top-class performance now (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).
- Burton is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.
- There will not play in Burton: Delap F.
(Inactive)
Jones J.
(Foot Injury)
Sibbick T.
(International duty)
Sraha J.
(Inactive)
Tavares F.
(Inactive)
- There will not play in Northampton: Vale J.
(Injury)
- There are questionable in Burton: Godwin-Malife U.
(Inactive)
Krubally S.
(Inactive)
McKiernan J. J.
(Inactive)
Revan S.
(Inactive)
Webster C.
(Injury)
- There are questionable in Northampton: Shaw L.
(Knee Injury)
Willis J.
(Injury)
Wormleighton J.
(Injury)
- In the last 15 head-to-head matches, Burton won 6 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 7 matches, and goals 19:21. (average 1.3:1.4).
- Including home matches between the teams, Burton won 3 matches, drew 1 match, lost 4 matches, and goals 10:14. (average 1.3:1.8).
How many head-to-head matches has Burton Albion won against Northampton Town?
Burton Albion has won 1 of their last 5 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Northampton Town won against Burton Albion?
Northampton Town has won 3 of their last 5 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Burton Albion - Northampton Town were as follows:
04.01.2025
Burton Albion
-
Northampton Town
0:1
12.11.2024
Northampton Town
-
Burton Albion
2:5
31.08.2024
Northampton Town
-
Burton Albion
0:0
24.02.2024
Burton Albion
-
Northampton Town
0:2
11.11.2023
Northampton Town
-
Burton Albion
2:0
Latest results of Burton Albion
Latest results of Northampton Town
English League One Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Cardiff | 34 | 22 | 6 | 6 | 68:36 | 32 | 72 |
| 2 | Lincoln | 34 | 21 | 8 | 5 | 63:31 | 32 | 71 |
| 3 | Bolton | 35 | 16 | 13 | 6 | 50:34 | 16 | 61 |
| 4 | Bradford City | 34 | 17 | 7 | 10 | 43:38 | 5 | 58 |
| 5 | Stockport County | 34 | 16 | 8 | 10 | 47:43 | 4 | 56 |
| 6 | Huddersfield | 35 | 15 | 7 | 13 | 55:46 | 9 | 52 |
| 7 | Reading | 34 | 13 | 12 | 9 | 50:44 | 6 | 51 |
| 8 | Stevenage | 33 | 14 | 9 | 10 | 37:35 | 2 | 51 |
| 9 | Wycombe | 34 | 13 | 11 | 10 | 49:36 | 13 | 50 |
| 10 | Luton | 34 | 13 | 8 | 13 | 43:41 | 2 | 47 |
| 11 | Peterborough | 35 | 14 | 4 | 17 | 50:49 | 1 | 46 |
| 12 | Plymouth | 34 | 14 | 4 | 16 | 49:50 | -1 | 46 |
| 13 | Barnsley | 31 | 12 | 8 | 11 | 53:53 | 0 | 44 |
| 14 | AFC Wimbledon | 33 | 12 | 7 | 14 | 41:48 | -7 | 43 |
| 15 | Exeter | 33 | 11 | 8 | 14 | 38:39 | -1 | 41 |
| 16 | Mansfield | 32 | 10 | 10 | 12 | 39:37 | 2 | 40 |
| 17 | Burton | 34 | 10 | 9 | 15 | 38:49 | -11 | 39 |
| 18 | Doncaster | 33 | 11 | 6 | 16 | 36:55 | -19 | 39 |
| 19 | Wigan | 33 | 9 | 10 | 14 | 35:46 | -11 | 37 |
| 20 | Blackpool | 34 | 10 | 7 | 17 | 40:54 | -14 | 37 |
| 21 | Leyton Orient | 33 | 10 | 6 | 17 | 44:56 | -12 | 36 |
| 22 | Northampton | 35 | 9 | 8 | 18 | 31:47 | -16 | 35 |
| 23 | Rotherham | 33 | 9 | 7 | 17 | 33:47 | -14 | 34 |
| 24 | Port Vale | 32 | 6 | 9 | 17 | 26:44 | -18 | 27 |
Promotion ~ Championship
Promotion ~ League One (Play Offs: )
Relegation ~ League Two
