Burton Albion vs Northampton Town – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
5:1
26/12/2025 at 10:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
  • League One - Round 22
  • Referee: Mulhall S. (Eng)
  • Where to Watch on TV:
united-kingdomUnited-kingdomSky Sports+

Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
2.480.75
Ball Possession
50%50%
Total shots
1513
Shots on target
82
Big Chances
42
Corner Kicks
57
Passes
61% (171/279)59% (164/277)
Yellow Cards
32
Expected Goals (xG)
2.480.75
xG on target (xGOT)
2.500.79
Total shots
1513
Shots on target
82
Shots off target
16
Blocked Shots
65
Shots inside the Box
117
Shots outside the Box
46
Hit the Woodwork
01
Headed Goals
01
Big Chances
42
Corner Kicks
57
Touches in opposition box
2722
Accurate through passes
00
Offsides
01
Free Kicks
812
Passes
61% (171/279)59% (164/277)
Long passes
31% (22/71)29% (23/79)
Passes in final third
52% (57/110)49% (53/108)
Crosses
28% (5/18)12% (2/17)
Expected assists (xA)
0.430.47
Throw-ins
3024
Fouls
128
Tackles
63% (10/16)76% (13/17)
Duels won
5055
Clearances
5442
Interceptions
57
Errors leading to shot
00
Errors leading to goal
02
Goalkeeper Saves
14
xGOT faced
0.792.50
Goals prevented
-0.21-1.50

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (4 - 1)
  • 3', 1 - 0, Beesley J. (Penalty Awarded),
  • 23', 2 - 0, Armer J. , Beesley J. (A),
  • 28', 3 - 0, Dyche M. (Own goal),
  • 38', McCarthy C. , Burroughs J. ,
  • 39', 3 - 1, Eaves T. , Taylor T. (A),
  • 44', 4 - 1, Shade T. , Larsson J. (A),
  • 2nd Half (1 - 0)
  • 46', Dyche M. , Willis J. ,
  • 46', Hoskins S. , List E. ,
  • 46', Thorniley J. , Forbes M. ,
  • 51', Wheatley E. 🟨,
  • 56', Williams D. 🟨,
  • 59', Vancooten T. 🟨,
  • 73', Williams D. , Krubally S. ,
  • 75', Burroughs J. 🟨,
  • 76', Wheatley E. , Edwards K. ,
  • 77', Evans G. 🟨,
  • 84', 5 - 1, Shade T. , Krubally S. (A),
  • 90+1', Larsson J. , Newall J. ,
  • 90+1', Vancooten T. , Akoto N. ,
  • 90+2', Beesley J. , Scutt Z. ,
  • 90+6', Shade T. , Williamson J. ,

Highlights

Chances of winning


Burton Albion
42.6%
Draw
28.2%
Northampton Town
29.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
42.3% 27.3% 30.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

43.6% 26.5% 29.5%

Burton Albion - Northampton Town Odds

1 X 2 Marga
Avarage Now
(Initially)
2.21
(2.21)
3.34
(3.43)
3.19
(3.07)
6.7%
(7%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
What is the prediction for Burton Albion - Northampton Town?
  • Users Predictions: 13 users predict this event. Burton will win (votes: 5 - 38.5%). Northampton will win (votes: 4 - 30.8%). It will Tie (votes: 4 - 30.8%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for Burton: 12%65%.
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 1 high ROI users predict this event. Northampton (votes: 1 - 100%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
  • Preview Facts
    • An outsider and a mid-table team will play in this game (ranked 19 and 12).
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Burton won 1.
    • Burton has had mixed results lately (last 5 games: 1 wins).
    • Northampton is showing top-class performance now (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).
    • Burton is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.
    • There will not play in Burton: Delap F. (Inactive) Jones J. (Foot Injury) Sibbick T. (International duty) Sraha J. (Inactive) Tavares F. (Inactive)
    • There will not play in Northampton: Vale J. (Injury)
    • There are questionable in Burton: Godwin-Malife U. (Inactive) Krubally S. (Inactive) McKiernan J. J. (Inactive) Revan S. (Inactive) Webster C. (Injury)
    • There are questionable in Northampton: Shaw L. (Knee Injury) Willis J. (Injury) Wormleighton J. (Injury)
    • In the last 15 head-to-head matches, Burton won 6 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 7 matches, and goals 19:21. (average 1.3:1.4).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Burton won 3 matches, drew 1 match, lost 4 matches, and goals 10:14. (average 1.3:1.8).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Burton Albion - Northampton Town were as follows:
    04.01.2025 Burton Albion - Northampton Town 0:1
    12.11.2024 Northampton Town - Burton Albion 2:5
    31.08.2024 Northampton Town - Burton Albion 0:0
    24.02.2024 Burton Albion - Northampton Town 0:2
    11.11.2023 Northampton Town - Burton Albion 2:0
    Latest results of Burton Albion
    Latest results of Northampton Town
    English League One Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Cardiff26174545:261955
    2Lincoln26147542:281449
    3Bradford City25137535:27846
    4Stockport County26136737:32545
    5Bolton271110633:25843
    6Huddersfield271161046:38839
    7Luton26116937:32539
    8Stevenage25108727:23438
    9Wycombe2699834:29536
    10Mansfield24105934:28635
    11Reading2598833:31235
    12Peterborough261121333:35-235
    13Exeter251031228:23533
    14Plymouth261031333:39-633
    15Barnsley2295835:34132
    16Leyton Orient26951239:43-432
    17AFC Wimbledon25941227:34-731
    18Wigan2579926:28-230
    19Burton25861126:35-930
    20Blackpool26851332:39-729
    21Northampton25851223:30-729
    22Doncaster25751325:41-1626
    23Rotherham25661324:38-1424
    24Port Vale24461418:34-1618

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