Result
15/04/2026 at 14:45 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
Chances of winning
Luton Town
66% | Draw
20.5% | Northampton Town
13.5% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Luton Town has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1%)Northampton Town has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.4%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Luton Town than the current prediction. (+2.5%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Northampton Town than the current prediction. (-0.3%)
Luton Town - Northampton Town Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.41 ↓
(1.44) |
4.56 ↑
(4.43) |
6.92 ↑
(6.72) |
7.2%
(6.9%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 3.00
Preview Facts
- A meeting between a mid-table team and the outsider will take place in this match (ranked 10 and 23 in the zone Relegation ~ League Two).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Luton won 4.
- Luton is currently enjoying a strong run with several victories in a row (last 5 games: 4 wins).
- Northampton is going through a series of losses (in the last 5 games, wins – 0).
- In this match, Luton is the undisputed favorite.
- We predict that Luton will win today's game, with odds of 1.42.
- In the last 8 head-to-head matches, Luton won 5 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 13:10. (average 1.6:1.3).
- Including home matches between the teams, Luton won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 6:5. (average 2:1.7).
How many head-to-head matches has Luton Town won against Northampton Town?
Luton Town has won 2 of their last 2 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Northampton Town won against Luton Town?
Northampton Town has won 0 of their last 2 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Luton Town - Northampton Town were as follows:
04.03.2026
Luton Town
-
Northampton Town
2:1
25.10.2025
Northampton Town
-
Luton Town
0:1
Latest results of Luton Town
Latest results of Northampton Town
English League One Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Lincoln ✔ | 41 | 27 | 9 | 5 | 77:35 | 42 | 90 |
| 2 | Cardiff | 40 | 23 | 9 | 8 | 74:42 | 32 | 78 |
| 3 | Bradford City | 41 | 21 | 8 | 12 | 52:45 | 7 | 71 |
| 4 | Bolton | 41 | 18 | 16 | 7 | 59:42 | 17 | 70 |
| 5 | Stockport County | 40 | 19 | 10 | 11 | 59:50 | 9 | 67 |
| 6 | Stevenage | 40 | 18 | 10 | 12 | 42:38 | 4 | 64 |
| 7 | Plymouth | 41 | 19 | 5 | 17 | 64:56 | 8 | 62 |
| 8 | Reading | 42 | 16 | 14 | 12 | 62:54 | 8 | 62 |
| 9 | Huddersfield | 41 | 17 | 10 | 14 | 62:53 | 9 | 61 |
| 10 | Luton | 41 | 17 | 10 | 14 | 57:50 | 7 | 61 |
| 11 | Wycombe | 42 | 16 | 11 | 15 | 60:48 | 12 | 59 |
| 12 | Mansfield | 39 | 13 | 14 | 12 | 49:41 | 8 | 53 |
| 13 | Peterborough | 40 | 15 | 6 | 19 | 59:55 | 4 | 51 |
| 14 | Barnsley | 39 | 13 | 12 | 14 | 60:64 | -4 | 51 |
| 15 | Leyton Orient | 41 | 14 | 8 | 19 | 56:64 | -8 | 50 |
| 16 | AFC Wimbledon | 41 | 14 | 8 | 19 | 49:62 | -13 | 50 |
| 17 | Doncaster | 41 | 14 | 8 | 19 | 42:64 | -22 | 50 |
| 18 | Wigan | 41 | 12 | 13 | 16 | 44:55 | -11 | 49 |
| 19 | Burton | 42 | 12 | 12 | 18 | 45:56 | -11 | 48 |
| 20 | Blackpool | 42 | 13 | 9 | 20 | 48:64 | -16 | 48 |
| 21 | Exeter | 42 | 12 | 10 | 20 | 45:53 | -8 | 46 |
| 22 | Rotherham | 40 | 9 | 10 | 21 | 35:59 | -24 | 37 |
| 23 | Northampton | 41 | 9 | 8 | 24 | 34:60 | -26 | 35 |
| 24 | Port Vale | 39 | 8 | 10 | 21 | 30:54 | -24 | 34 |
Promotion ~ Championship
Promotion ~ League One (Play Offs: )
Relegation ~ League Two
Clinched Spots for Teams
Lincoln is Qualified for Championship
