Result
0:1
25/10/2025 at 10:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- League One - Round 14
- Referee: Corlett M. (Eng)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 United-kingdom | LTFC+ |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.89 | 2.22 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 45% | 55% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 11 | 14 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 5 | 4 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 2 | 3 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 6 | 10 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 61% (138/226) | 74% (209/282) |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 2 | 2 |
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.89 | 2.22 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 0.61 | 1.89 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 11 | 14 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 5 | 4 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 1 | 4 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 5 | 6 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 7 | 8 |
| Shots outside the Box |
|---|
| 4 | 6 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 2 | 3 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 6 | 10 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 18 | 31 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 0 | 2 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 12 | 10 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 61% (138/226) | 74% (209/282) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 39% (30/76) | 38% (23/60) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 49% (38/77) | 61% (77/127) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 25% (6/24) | 19% (5/26) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 0.70 | 1.40 |
| Throw-ins |
|---|
| 24 | 31 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 10 | 12 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 57% (13/23) | 67% (10/15) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 59 | 61 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 38 | 45 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 11 | 6 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 3 | 4 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 1.89 | 0.61 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| 0.89 | 0.61 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 0)
- 13', Perkins J. 🟨,
- 26', Wormleighton J. ↓, Edwards K. ↑,
- 40', Dabo L. 🟨,
- 45+1', Swyer K. 🟨,
- 2nd Half (0 - 1)
- 52', Naismith K. 🟨,
- 60', Clark J. ↓, Yates J. ↑,
- 67', Perkins J. ↓, Willis J. ↑,
- 67', Swyer K. ↓, Wheatley E. ↑,
- 73', Kodua G. ↓, Jones I. ↑,
- 77', 0 - 1, Dabo L. ⚽, Jones I. (A),
- 87', Lonwijk N. ↓, Odoffin H. ↑,
- 87', Richards J. ↓, Andersen M. ↑,
Chances of winning
Northampton Town
23.8% | Draw
28.8% | Luton Town
47.4% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Northampton Town has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.2%)Luton Town has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.1%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Northampton Town than the current prediction. (+2.5%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Luton Town than the current prediction. (-2.2%)
Northampton Town - Luton Town Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
3.9 ↑
(3.73) |
3.3 ↓
(3.4) |
2 ↑
(1.97) |
6%
(7.1%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
What is the prediction for Northampton Town - Luton Town?
Users Predictions:
9 users predict this event. Northampton will win (votes: 2 - 22.2%). Luton will win (votes: 3 - 33.3%). It will Tie (votes: 4 - 44.4%).
Confidence interval (95%) for a draw: 11.9% – 76.9%.Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:- AH 0 - Northampton (2.74) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
Overall votes from High ROI Users Predictions (including all markets): 1 high ROI users predict this event. Northampton (votes: 1 - 100%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 0:1.
Preview Facts
- This time we’ll see a clash between two mid-table teams (ranked 11 and 15).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Northampton won 3.
- Northampton has had mixed results lately (last 5 games: 2 wins).
- Luton's performance has dropped in recent matches (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).
- Luton may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
- Recently, Northampton has had a series of away games.
- In this match, Luton is considered a favorite.
- There will not play in Northampton: Burroughs J.
(Inactive)
Dyche M.
(Inactive)
Guthrie J.
(Knee Injury)
List E.
(Hamstring Injury)
Shaw L.
(Knee Injury)
Vale J.
(Injury)
- There will not play in Luton: Adebayo E.
(Knee Injury)
Al Hamadi A.
(Calf Injury)
Brown J.
(Ankle Injury)
Jones I.
(Back Injury)
Lockyer T.
(Ankle Injury)
Odoffin H.
(Muscle Injury)
- There are questionable in Northampton: Eaves T.
(Thigh Injury)
McCarthy C.
(Inactive)
McGeehan C.
(Inactive)
- There are questionable in Luton: Baptiste S.
(Knee Injury)
Lonwijk N.
(Inactive)
Walsh L.
(Shoulder Injury)
Walters R.
(Groin Injury)
- In the last 6 head-to-head matches, Northampton won 3 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 9:10. (average 1.5:1.7).
- Including home matches between the teams, Northampton won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 5:6. (average 1.3:1.5).
How many head-to-head matches has Northampton Town won against Luton Town?
Northampton Town has won of their last 0 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Luton Town won against Northampton Town?
Luton Town has won of their last 0 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Northampton Town - Luton Town were as follows:
Latest results of Northampton Town
Latest results of Luton Town
English League One Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Cardiff | 33 | 21 | 6 | 6 | 64:36 | 28 | 69 |
| 2 | Lincoln | 33 | 20 | 8 | 5 | 59:31 | 28 | 68 |
| 3 | Bolton | 34 | 15 | 13 | 6 | 45:33 | 12 | 58 |
| 4 | Bradford City | 33 | 17 | 7 | 9 | 42:36 | 6 | 58 |
| 5 | Stockport County | 33 | 16 | 8 | 9 | 46:41 | 5 | 56 |
| 6 | Huddersfield | 34 | 15 | 7 | 12 | 55:45 | 10 | 52 |
| 7 | Reading | 33 | 12 | 12 | 9 | 48:43 | 5 | 48 |
| 8 | Stevenage | 32 | 13 | 9 | 10 | 35:34 | 1 | 48 |
| 9 | Wycombe | 33 | 12 | 11 | 10 | 46:36 | 10 | 47 |
| 10 | Luton | 33 | 13 | 7 | 13 | 42:40 | 2 | 46 |
| 11 | Plymouth | 33 | 14 | 4 | 15 | 49:49 | 0 | 46 |
| 12 | Peterborough | 34 | 14 | 3 | 17 | 49:48 | 1 | 45 |
| 13 | AFC Wimbledon | 32 | 12 | 6 | 14 | 39:46 | -7 | 42 |
| 14 | Exeter | 32 | 11 | 8 | 13 | 37:34 | 3 | 41 |
| 15 | Barnsley | 30 | 11 | 8 | 11 | 50:52 | -2 | 41 |
| 16 | Mansfield | 31 | 10 | 9 | 12 | 37:35 | 2 | 39 |
| 17 | Burton | 33 | 10 | 9 | 14 | 38:46 | -8 | 39 |
| 18 | Doncaster | 32 | 11 | 6 | 15 | 36:51 | -15 | 39 |
| 19 | Blackpool | 33 | 10 | 7 | 16 | 40:50 | -10 | 37 |
| 20 | Leyton Orient | 32 | 10 | 6 | 16 | 43:53 | -10 | 36 |
| 21 | Wigan | 32 | 8 | 10 | 14 | 34:46 | -12 | 34 |
| 22 | Northampton | 34 | 9 | 7 | 18 | 30:46 | -16 | 34 |
| 23 | Rotherham | 32 | 8 | 7 | 17 | 32:47 | -15 | 31 |
| 24 | Port Vale | 31 | 6 | 8 | 17 | 25:43 | -18 | 26 |
Promotion ~ Championship
Promotion ~ League One (Play Offs: )
Relegation ~ League Two
