Result
1:0
06/09/2025 at 10:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- League Two - Round 7
- Referee: Parkinson S. (Eng)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 United-kingdom | Sky Sports+ |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.30 | 1.08 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 58% | 42% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 13 | 13 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 4 | 6 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 2 | 1 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 9 | 5 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 73% (283/389) | 68% (196/288) |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 3 | 3 |
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.30 | 1.08 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 1.23 | 0.84 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 13 | 13 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 4 | 6 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 4 | 6 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 5 | 1 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 9 | 6 |
| Shots outside the Box |
|---|
| 4 | 7 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 2 | 1 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 9 | 5 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 24 | 15 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 3 | 1 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 16 | 16 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 73% (283/389) | 68% (196/288) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 21% (12/56) | 43% (34/79) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 58% (75/130) | 57% (57/100) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 27% (6/22) | 39% (7/18) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 1.24 | 0.67 |
| Throw-ins |
|---|
| 25 | 19 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 16 | 16 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 64% (9/14) | 74% (14/19) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 58 | 71 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 23 | 24 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 5 | 5 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 6 | 3 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 0.84 | 1.23 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| 0.84 | 0.23 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 0)
- 42', Rooney S. 🟨,
- 2nd Half (1 - 0)
- 46', 1 - 0, Dennis M. ⚽, Jatta A. (A),
- 52', Gordon K. 🟨,
- 53', Palmer M. 🟨,
- 61', Ennis E. ↓, Davies J. ↑,
- 66', Jatta A. ↓, Grant C. ↑,
- 73', Dennis M. 🟨,
- 75', Davies W. ↓, Norwood J. ↑,
- 77', Dennis M. ↓, Traore M. ↑,
- 77', Iorpenda T. ↓, Robertson S. ↑,
- 79', Potter F. 🟨,
- 84', Potter F. ↓, Evans C. ↑,
- 90+1', Graydon R. 🟨,
Chances of winning
Notts County
46.1% | Draw
27.3% | Fleetwood Town
26.6% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Notts County has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.8%)Fleetwood Town has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.1%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Notts County than the current prediction. (+5.2%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Notts County, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Fleetwood Town than the current prediction. (-3.7%)
Notts County - Fleetwood Town Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
2.03 ↑
(1.87) |
3.43 ↓
(3.51) |
3.53 ↓
(3.97) |
6.8%
(7.3%) | |
The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
What is the prediction for Notts County - Fleetwood Town?
Users Predictions:
6 users predict this event. Notts County will win (votes: 4 - 66.7%). Fleetwood will win (votes: 1 - 16.7%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 16.7%). High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 1 high ROI users predict this event. Fleetwood (votes: 1 - 100%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
Preview Facts
- Watch a clash between a mid-table side and a current leader (ranked 13 and 9).
- Both teams have been playing unpredictably.
- Notts County will hold a modest advantage in this match.
- There will not play in Fleetwood: Coughlan R.
(Achilles Tendon Injury)
- There are questionable in Notts County: Jarvis W.
(Injury)
Luker J.
(Injury)
- There are questionable in Fleetwood: Virtue-Thick M.
(Injury)
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Notts County won 1 match, drew 2 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 8:9. (average 1.6:1.8).
- Including home matches between the teams, Notts County won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 5:5. (average 1.7:1.7).
How many head-to-head matches has Notts County won against Fleetwood Town?
Notts County has won 0 of their last 2 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Fleetwood Town won against Notts County?
Fleetwood Town has won 0 of their last 2 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Notts County - Fleetwood Town were as follows:
01.03.2025
Fleetwood Town
-
Notts County
2:2
18.08.2024
Notts County
-
Fleetwood Town
2:2
Latest results of Notts County
Latest results of Fleetwood Town
English League Two Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Walsall | 10 | 7 | 1 | 2 | 15:8 | 7 | 22 |
| 2 | Swindon | 10 | 7 | 0 | 3 | 21:13 | 8 | 21 |
| 3 | Gillingham | 10 | 6 | 3 | 1 | 15:7 | 8 | 21 |
| 4 | Salford | 10 | 6 | 1 | 3 | 17:13 | 4 | 19 |
| 5 | Grimsby | 10 | 5 | 3 | 2 | 21:13 | 8 | 18 |
| 6 | Chesterfield | 10 | 5 | 3 | 2 | 18:13 | 5 | 18 |
| 7 | Bristol Rovers | 10 | 5 | 2 | 3 | 12:11 | 1 | 17 |
| 8 | Crewe | 10 | 5 | 1 | 4 | 14:11 | 3 | 16 |
| 9 | MK Dons | 10 | 4 | 3 | 3 | 16:10 | 6 | 15 |
| 10 | Cambridge Utd | 10 | 4 | 3 | 3 | 11:9 | 2 | 15 |
| 11 | Fleetwood | 10 | 4 | 3 | 3 | 15:14 | 1 | 15 |
| 12 | Notts Co | 10 | 4 | 2 | 4 | 17:12 | 5 | 14 |
| 13 | Oldham | 10 | 3 | 5 | 2 | 9:6 | 3 | 14 |
| 14 | Bromley | 10 | 3 | 5 | 2 | 14:12 | 2 | 14 |
| 15 | Barnet | 10 | 4 | 2 | 4 | 12:12 | 0 | 14 |
| 16 | Harrogate | 10 | 4 | 2 | 4 | 11:12 | -1 | 14 |
| 17 | Barrow | 10 | 4 | 0 | 6 | 9:12 | -3 | 12 |
| 18 | Tranmere | 9 | 2 | 4 | 3 | 13:12 | 1 | 10 |
| 19 | Accrington | 9 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 7:11 | -4 | 9 |
| 20 | Colchester | 10 | 1 | 5 | 4 | 10:14 | -4 | 8 |
| 21 | Crawley | 10 | 2 | 2 | 6 | 8:17 | -9 | 8 |
| 22 | Newport | 10 | 1 | 2 | 7 | 10:20 | -10 | 5 |
| 23 | Shrewsbury | 10 | 1 | 2 | 7 | 7:20 | -13 | 5 |
| 24 | Cheltenham | 10 | 1 | 1 | 8 | 4:24 | -20 | 4 |
Promotion ~ League One
Promotion ~ League Two (Play Offs: Semi~finals)
Relegation ~ National League
