Result
1:2
31/01/2026 at 10:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
- League Two - Round 30
- Referee: Joyce R. (Eng)
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.73 | 1.98 |
| Ball possession |
|---|
| 54% | 46% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 10 | 9 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 2 | 3 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 0 | 2 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 2 | 8 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 69% (282/409) | 68% (239/349) |
| Yellow cards |
|---|
| 2 | 4 |
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.73 | 1.98 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 0.27 | 2.02 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 10 | 9 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 2 | 3 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 4 | 3 |
| Blocked shots |
|---|
| 4 | 3 |
| Shots inside the box |
|---|
| 8 | 7 |
| Shots outside the box |
|---|
| 2 | 2 |
| Hit the woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 0 | 2 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 2 | 8 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 19 | 20 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 2 | 1 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 1 | 2 |
| Free kicks |
|---|
| 14 | 10 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 69% (282/409) | 68% (239/349) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 32% (25/77) | 21% (11/53) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 51% (60/117) | 58% (51/88) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 17% (4/24) | 19% (4/21) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 0.93 | 1.26 |
| Throw ins |
|---|
| 33 | 26 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 10 | 14 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 33% (6/18) | 67% (8/12) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 65 | 51 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 22 | 36 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 4 | 15 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper saves |
|---|
| 1 | 1 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 2.02 | 0.27 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| 0.02 | -0.73 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 1)
- 38', 0 - 1, Jatta A. ⚽, Jones J. (A),
- 2nd Half (1 - 1)
- 46', Hall T. ↓, Robertson S. ↑,
- 52', Jatta A. 🟨,
- 56', Belshaw J. 🟨,
- 59', Holgate H. 🟨,
- 61', Iorpenda T. ↓, Dennis M. ↑,
- 61', Jatta A. ↓, Ndlovu L. ↑,
- 61', Jones J. ↓, Kouhyar Q. ↑,
- 64', Dennis M. 🟨,
- 65', 1 - 1, Davies W. ⚽, Helm M. (A),
- 70', Davies W. 🟨,
- 70', 1 - 2, Dennis M. ⚽, Ndlovu L. (A),
- 79', Tsaroulla N. ↓, Ness L. ↑,
- 79', Evans C. ↓, Devonport O. ↑,
- 81', Norburn O. 🟨,
- 87', Powell J. ↓, Roberts L. ↑,
- 90+1', Virtue-Thick M. ↓, McLean C. ↑,
Chances of winning
Fleetwood Town
29.6% | Draw
27.2% | Notts County
43.2% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Fleetwood Town has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.6%)Notts County has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Notts County's recent form is better than expected.ML Model estimates a higher probability for Fleetwood Town than the current prediction. (+3.8%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Notts County than the current prediction. (-5.1%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Notts County, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
Fleetwood Town - Notts County Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
3.16 ↑
(2.68) |
3.43 ↑
(3.21) |
2.18 ↓
(2.47) |
6.7%
(8.9%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
What is the prediction for Fleetwood Town - Notts County?
Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:- DNB - Notts County (1.55) (votes: 2 - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.
Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. Notts County (votes: 2 - 100%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
Preview Facts
- Enjoy a meeting between a mid-ranked team and one of the leaders (ranked 15 and 5 in the zone Promotion ~ League Two (Play Offs: Semi~finals)).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Fleetwood won 2.
- Fleetwood is going through a rough patch (last 5 games: 1 wins).
- Notts County is in great form at the moment (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).
- Recently, Fleetwood has had a series of away games.
- Notts County might have a minor edge in this game.
- There will not play in Fleetwood: Hume D.
(Inactive)
Johnson W.
(Inactive)
Potter F.
(Injury)
- There will not play in Notts County: Luker J.
(Inactive)
McDonald R.
(Injury)
- There are questionable in Fleetwood: Bolton J.
(Inactive)
McCann L.
(Inactive)
Norwood J.
(Inactive)
- In the last 6 head-to-head matches, Fleetwood won 2 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 9:9. (average 1.5:1.5).
- Including home matches between the teams, Fleetwood won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 4:3. (average 2:1.5).
How many head-to-head matches has Fleetwood Town won against Notts County?
Fleetwood Town has won 0 of their last 3 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Notts County won against Fleetwood Town?
Notts County has won 1 of their last 3 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Fleetwood Town - Notts County were as follows:
06.09.2025
Notts County
-
Fleetwood Town
1:0
01.03.2025
Fleetwood Town
-
Notts County
2:2
18.08.2024
Notts County
-
Fleetwood Town
2:2
Latest results of Fleetwood Town
Latest results of Notts County
English League Two Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Bromley | 43 | 23 | 14 | 6 | 68:43 | 25 | 83 |
| 2 | MK Dons | 43 | 22 | 13 | 8 | 79:43 | 36 | 79 |
| 3 | Cambridge Utd | 42 | 21 | 14 | 7 | 62:31 | 31 | 77 |
| 4 | Notts Co | 43 | 23 | 7 | 13 | 71:49 | 22 | 76 |
| 5 | Swindon | 43 | 22 | 8 | 13 | 67:51 | 16 | 74 |
| 6 | Salford | 43 | 23 | 5 | 15 | 57:50 | 7 | 74 |
| 7 | Chesterfield | 42 | 18 | 15 | 9 | 64:53 | 11 | 69 |
| 8 | Grimsby | 41 | 19 | 11 | 11 | 62:45 | 17 | 68 |
| 9 | Barnet | 43 | 18 | 13 | 12 | 60:49 | 11 | 67 |
| 10 | Crewe | 43 | 19 | 9 | 15 | 63:53 | 10 | 66 |
| 11 | Oldham | 42 | 17 | 14 | 11 | 52:36 | 16 | 65 |
| 12 | Walsall | 43 | 17 | 11 | 15 | 52:50 | 2 | 62 |
| 13 | Colchester | 42 | 16 | 12 | 14 | 56:45 | 11 | 60 |
| 14 | Fleetwood | 43 | 15 | 13 | 15 | 53:54 | -1 | 58 |
| 15 | Bristol Rovers | 43 | 17 | 4 | 22 | 49:63 | -14 | 55 |
| 16 | Accrington | 42 | 14 | 9 | 19 | 41:48 | -7 | 51 |
| 17 | Gillingham | 42 | 12 | 14 | 16 | 48:60 | -12 | 50 |
| 18 | Shrewsbury | 43 | 13 | 8 | 22 | 40:66 | -26 | 47 |
| 19 | Cheltenham | 41 | 12 | 10 | 19 | 48:67 | -19 | 46 |
| 20 | Tranmere | 42 | 9 | 10 | 23 | 49:72 | -23 | 37 |
| 21 | Crawley | 43 | 8 | 13 | 22 | 41:65 | -24 | 37 |
| 22 | Newport | 43 | 10 | 7 | 26 | 43:73 | -30 | 37 |
| 23 | Barrow | 42 | 8 | 9 | 25 | 40:68 | -28 | 33 |
| 24 | Harrogate | 43 | 8 | 9 | 26 | 35:66 | -31 | 33 |
Promotion ~ League One
Promotion ~ League Two (Play Offs: Semi~finals)
Relegation ~ National League
