Notts County vs Fleetwood Town – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Football English League Two Notts County - Fleetwood Town
Result
1:0
06/09/2025 at 10:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • League Two - Round 7
  • Referee: Parkinson S. (Eng)
  • Where to Watch on TV:
united-kingdomUnited-kingdomSky Sports+

Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
1.301.08
Ball Possession
58%42%
Total shots
1313
Shots on target
46
Big Chances
21
Corner Kicks
95
Passes
73% (283/389)68% (196/288)
Yellow Cards
33
Expected Goals (xG)
1.301.08
xG on target (xGOT)
1.230.84
Total shots
1313
Shots on target
46
Shots off target
46
Blocked Shots
51
Shots inside the Box
96
Shots outside the Box
47
Hit the Woodwork
00
Big Chances
21
Corner Kicks
95
Touches in opposition box
2415
Accurate through passes
01
Offsides
31
Free Kicks
1616
Passes
73% (283/389)68% (196/288)
Long passes
21% (12/56)43% (34/79)
Passes in final third
58% (75/130)57% (57/100)
Crosses
27% (6/22)39% (7/18)
Expected assists (xA)
1.240.67
Throw-ins
2519
Fouls
1616
Tackles
64% (9/14)74% (14/19)
Duels won
5871
Clearances
2324
Interceptions
55
Errors leading to shot
00
Errors leading to goal
00
Goalkeeper Saves
63
xGOT faced
0.841.23
Goals prevented
0.840.23

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 0)
  • 42', Rooney S. 🟨,
  • 2nd Half (1 - 0)
  • 46', 1 - 0, Dennis M. , Jatta A. (A),
  • 52', Gordon K. 🟨,
  • 53', Palmer M. 🟨,
  • 61', Ennis E. , Davies J. ,
  • 66', Jatta A. , Grant C. ,
  • 73', Dennis M. 🟨,
  • 75', Davies W. , Norwood J. ,
  • 77', Dennis M. , Traore M. ,
  • 77', Iorpenda T. , Robertson S. ,
  • 79', Potter F. 🟨,
  • 84', Potter F. , Evans C. ,
  • 90+1', Graydon R. 🟨,

Highlights

Chances of winning


Notts County
46.1%
Draw
27.3%
Fleetwood Town
26.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
49.9% 26.6% 23.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

51.3% 25.9% 22.9%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Notts County has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.8%)
  • Fleetwood Town has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.1%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Notts County than the current prediction. (+5.2%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Notts County, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Fleetwood Town than the current prediction. (-3.7%)
  • Notts County - Fleetwood Town Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    2.03
    (1.87)
    3.43
    (3.51)
    3.53
    (3.97)
    6.8%
    (7.3%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
    What is the prediction for Notts County - Fleetwood Town?
  • Users Predictions: 6 users predict this event. Notts County will win (votes: 4 - 66.7%). Fleetwood will win (votes: 1 - 16.7%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 16.7%).
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 1 high ROI users predict this event. Fleetwood (votes: 1 - 100%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
  • Preview Facts
    • Watch a clash between a mid-table side and a current leader (ranked 13 and 9).
    • Both teams have been playing unpredictably.
    • Notts County will hold a modest advantage in this match.
    • There will not play in Fleetwood: Coughlan R. (Achilles Tendon Injury)
    • There are questionable in Notts County: Jarvis W. (Injury) Luker J. (Injury)
    • There are questionable in Fleetwood: Virtue-Thick M. (Injury)
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Notts County won 1 match, drew 2 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 8:9. (average 1.6:1.8).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Notts County won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 5:5. (average 1.7:1.7).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Notts County - Fleetwood Town were as follows:
    01.03.2025 Fleetwood Town - Notts County 2:2
    18.08.2024 Notts County - Fleetwood Town 2:2
    Latest results of Notts County
    Latest results of Fleetwood Town
    English League Two Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Walsall1382319:12726
    2Swindon1381424:19525
    3MK Dons1373326:131324
    4Grimsby1373325:151024
    5Gillingham1364318:12622
    6Chesterfield1364323:20322
    7Salford1371518:17122
    8Notts Co1363423:15821
    9Cambridge Utd1363416:13321
    10Barnet1362516:13320
    11Crewe1361617:16119
    12Fleetwood1354419:19019
    13Bromley1346319:17218
    14Colchester1345421:18317
    15Barrow1352611:13-217
    16Bristol Rovers1352614:21-717
    17Oldham1336410:10015
    18Tranmere1235420:18214
    19Harrogate1342715:20-514
    20Accrington1233611:14-312
    21Shrewsbury1333710:20-1012
    22Cheltenham133289:25-1611
    23Crawley1323810:22-129
    24Newport1322911:23-128

          Promotion ~ League One
          Promotion ~ League Two (Play Offs: Semi~finals)
          Relegation ~ National League