Result
25/01/2026 at 10:30 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
Chances of winning
Oliveirense
39.8% | Draw
29.1% | Penafiel
31.1% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Oliveirense - Penafiel Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
2.32 ↑
(2.29) |
3.16 ↓
(3.22) |
2.97 ↓
(3.09) |
8.5%
(7.1%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
Preview Facts
- We will watch a tense game between outsiders (ranked 17 in the zone Relegation ~ Liga 3 and 18 in the zone Relegation ~ Liga 3).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Oliveirense won 1.
- Oliveirense is currently in poor form (last 5 games: 1 wins).
- Penafiel's form has been unstable in recent games (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).
- Penafiel may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
- Recently, Penafiel has had a series of home games.
- The probability of winning is almost the same for both teams in this match.
- In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Oliveirense won 7 matches, drew 8 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 28:24. (average 1.4:1.2).
- Including home matches between the teams, Oliveirense won 5 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 16:11. (average 1.6:1.1).
How many head-to-head matches has Oliveirense won against Penafiel?
Oliveirense has won 1 of their last 7 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Penafiel won against Oliveirense?
Penafiel has won 1 of their last 7 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Oliveirense - Penafiel were as follows:
17.08.2025
Penafiel
-
Oliveirense
0:0
20.01.2025
Oliveirense
-
Penafiel
2:2
11.08.2024
Penafiel
-
Oliveirense
4:3
03.02.2024
Penafiel
-
Oliveirense
1:1
27.08.2023
Oliveirense
-
Penafiel
3:1
Latest results of Oliveirense
Latest results of Penafiel
Portuguese Liga 2 Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Maritimo | 18 | 12 | 3 | 3 | 31:13 | 18 | 39 |
| 2 | Academico Viseu | 18 | 9 | 5 | 4 | 33:19 | 14 | 32 |
| 3 | Sporting CP B | 18 | 9 | 2 | 7 | 27:15 | 12 | 29 |
| 4 | Vizela | 18 | 7 | 7 | 4 | 24:17 | 7 | 28 |
| 5 | Chaves | 18 | 7 | 5 | 6 | 21:16 | 5 | 26 |
| 6 | Torreense | 18 | 8 | 2 | 8 | 22:21 | 1 | 26 |
| 7 | Benfica B | 18 | 6 | 7 | 5 | 26:24 | 2 | 25 |
| 8 | Leiria | 18 | 6 | 7 | 5 | 23:23 | 0 | 25 |
| 9 | Lusitania FC | 18 | 6 | 6 | 6 | 25:29 | -4 | 24 |
| 10 | Feirense | 18 | 6 | 6 | 6 | 24:23 | 1 | 24 |
| 11 | Felgueiras | 18 | 6 | 5 | 7 | 19:23 | -4 | 23 |
| 12 | Portimonense | 18 | 6 | 4 | 8 | 20:26 | -6 | 22 |
| 13 | SC Farense | 18 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 15:21 | -6 | 21 |
| 14 | FC Porto B | 18 | 6 | 3 | 9 | 18:26 | -8 | 21 |
| 15 | Leixoes | 18 | 6 | 2 | 10 | 21:36 | -15 | 20 |
| 16 | Pacos Ferreira | 18 | 4 | 7 | 7 | 18:27 | -9 | 19 |
| 17 | Oliveirense | 18 | 4 | 7 | 7 | 18:22 | -4 | 19 |
| 18 | Penafiel | 18 | 5 | 4 | 9 | 16:20 | -4 | 19 |
Promotion ~ Liga Portugal
Promotion ~ Liga Portugal (Promotion: )
Liga Portugal 2 (Relegation)
Relegation ~ Liga 3
