Result
2:2
20/01/2025 at 13:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
- PORTUGAL: Liga Portugal 2 - Round 18
- Referee: Silva D. (Por)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Japan | DAZN Japan |
 Portugal | Sport TV6 |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 46% | 54% |
| Goal Attempts |
|---|
| 9 | 9 |
| Shots on Goal |
|---|
| 5 | 6 |
| Shots off Goal |
|---|
| 4 | 3 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 10 | 9 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 4 | 3 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 16 | 23 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 5 | 1 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 17 | 14 |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 3 | 2 |
| Throw-ins |
|---|
| 24 | 27 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (1 - 0)
- 7', Gabriel Barbosa 🟨,
- 13', 1 - 0, Casimiro ⚽,
- 2nd Half (1 - 2)
- 52', 1 - 1, Gabriel Barbosa ⚽,
- 57', Filipe Alves 🟨,
- 63', Suker H. ↓, Silva A. ↑,
- 63', Batista D. ↓, Reko ↑,
- 65', 2 - 1, Nagata K. ⚽,
- 73', Silva J. 🟨,
- 74', Nagata K. ↓, Sabino ↑,
- 75', Olamilekan Fatai S. ↓, Silva J. ↑,
- 78', Silva J. ↓, Veiga T. ↑,
- 81', Maga ↓, Brito D. ↑,
- 84', 2 - 2, Ewerton ⚽,
- 85', Ze Manuel ↓, Bruno Silva ↑,
- 85', Candeias D. ↓, Schurrle ↑,
- 86', Namora N. ↓, Caballero M. ↑,
- 86', Bruno Silva 🟨,
- 90+2', Silva A. 🟨,
Chances of winning
Oliveirense
24.1% | Draw
28.7% | Penafiel
47.3% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Oliveirense has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.5%)Penafiel has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.3%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Oliveirense than the current prediction. (+0.7%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Penafiel than the current prediction. (+1.2%)
Oliveirense - Penafiel Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
3.83 ↑
(3.64) |
3.26 ↓
(3.39) |
1.98
(1.98) |
7.3%
(7.6%) | |
The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
What is the prediction for Oliveirense - Penafiel?
Users Predictions:
18 users predict this event. Oliveirense will win (votes: 3 - 16.7%). Penafiel will win (votes: 14 - 77.8%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 5.6%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Penafiel: 58.6% – 97%. The most likely score by Bookmakers is 0:1.
Preview Facts
- This match will be held between outsider and one of leaders (ranked 18 in the zone Relegation ~ Liga 3 and 1 in the zone Promotion ~ Liga Portugal).
- Last 5 head-to-head matches Oliveirense won 1.
- Oliveirense is in unsatisfactory shape (in the last 5 games wins - 1).
- Penafiel is in super good shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 3).
- In this match Penafiel is a favorite.
- Last 19 head-to-head matches Oliveirense won 8 matches, drawn 6 matches, lost 5 matches and goals 27:22 (average 1.4:1.2).
- Including matches at home between the teams Oliveirense won 5 matches, drawn 3 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 14:9 (average 1.6:1).
How many head-to-head matches has Oliveirense won against Penafiel?
Oliveirense has won 1 of their last 5 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Penafiel won against Oliveirense?
Penafiel has won 1 of their last 5 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Oliveirense - Penafiel were as follows:
11.08.2024
Penafiel
-
Oliveirense
4:3
03.02.2024
Penafiel
-
Oliveirense
1:1
27.08.2023
Oliveirense
-
Penafiel
3:1
04.03.2023
Penafiel
-
Oliveirense
1:1
09.09.2022
Oliveirense
-
Penafiel
1:1
Latest results of Oliveirense
Latest results of Penafiel
Portuguese Liga 2 Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Leixoes | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
| 2 | Feirense | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
| 3 | Penafiel | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
| 4 | Portimonense | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
| 5 | Vizela | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
| 6 | Chaves | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
| 7 | Oliveirense | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
| 8 | Torreense | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
| 9 | Maritimo | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
| 10 | Pacos Ferreira | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
| 11 | Leiria | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
| 12 | Academico Viseu | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
| 13 | Lusitania FC | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
| 14 | SC Farense | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
| 15 | Felgueiras | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
| 16 | FC Porto B | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
| 17 | Sporting CP B | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
| 18 | Benfica B | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
Promotion ~ Liga Portugal
Promotion ~ Liga Portugal (Promotion: )
Liga Portugal 2 (Relegation)
Relegation ~ Liga 3
