Deportivo Pereira vs Once Caldas – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Football Colombian Primera A Deportivo Pereira - Once Caldas
Result
2:1
03/08/2025 at 15:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • Primera A - Clausura - Round 5
  • Where to Watch on TV:
colombiaColombiaWin+ Futbol, Win play, Win Sports
mexicoMexicoFanatiz
south-americaSouth-americaRCN Nuestra Tele Internacional
usaUsaFanatiz

Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
0.910.88
Ball Possession
42%58%
Total shots
812
Shots on target
55
Big Chances
11
Corner Kicks
34
Passes
72% (179/250)81% (266/330)
Yellow Cards
42
Expected Goals (xG)
0.910.88
xG on target (xGOT)
0.991.28
Total shots
812
Shots on target
55
Shots off target
14
Blocked Shots
23
Shots inside the Box
54
Shots outside the Box
38
Hit the Woodwork
00
Headed Goals
10
Big Chances
11
Corner Kicks
34
Touches in opposition box
108
Accurate through passes
00
Offsides
15
Free Kicks
721
Passes
72% (179/250)81% (266/330)
Long passes
31% (16/51)53% (31/58)
Passes in final third
51% (40/79)71% (90/126)
Crosses
20% (2/10)17% (4/23)
Expected assists (xA)
0.360.54
Throw-ins
2726
Fouls
217
Tackles
85% (11/13)73% (8/11)
Duels won
3446
Clearances
2216
Interceptions
211
Errors leading to shot
00
Errors leading to goal
00
Goalkeeper Saves
43
xGOT faced
1.280.99
Goals prevented
0.28-1.01

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (1 - 1)
  • 3', 1 - 0, Largacha J. , Merheg S. J. (A),
  • 13', Riquett J. 🟨,
  • 18', Tamayo K. 🟨,
  • 33', Mejia V. , Moreno E. ,
  • 35', Moya J. 🟨,
  • 40', 1 - 1, Barrios M. ,
  • 45+4', Quinones Y. 🟨,
  • 45+5', Velasco E. 🟨,
  • 2nd Half (1 - 0)
  • 46', Quinones Y. , Albornoz O. ,
  • 53', Sanchez L. , Garcia Castillo A. ,
  • 55', Kelvin Osorio 🟨,
  • 58', Cardona J. , Castano J. ,
  • 62', Velasco E. , Torres G. ,
  • 62', Merheg S. J. , Perez M. ,
  • 69', Barrios M. , Gomez P. ,
  • 69', Mejia R. , Rojas I. ,
  • 69', Zuleta M. , Quinones D. ,
  • 73', Quintero D. , Cabrera Y. ,
  • 76', 2 - 1, Cabrera Y. , Perez M. (A),

Highlights

https://tinyurl.com/2eesuh4k

Chances of winning


Deportivo Pereira
49.3%
Draw
29.8%
Once Caldas
20.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
46.6% 32.4% 21%

Our Initial ML Estimation

47.7% 31.7% 20.5%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Deportivo Pereira has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.7%)
  • Once Caldas has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.1%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Deportivo Pereira than the current prediction. (-1.6%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Once Caldas than the current prediction. (-0.4%)
  • Deportivo Pereira - Once Caldas Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.93
    (2.02)
    3.25
    (2.91)
    4.67
    (4.5)
    4%
    (6%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
  • What is the prediction for Deportivo Pereira - Once Caldas?
  • Users Predictions: 6 users predict this event. Pereira will win (votes: 3 - 50%). Once Caldas will win (votes: 3 - 50%).
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 1 high ROI users predict this event. Once Caldas (votes: 1 - 100%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.
  • Preview Facts
    • A meeting between a mid-table team and the outsider will take place in this match (ranked 15 and 19).
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Pereira won 1.
    • Pereira has been quite unpredictable recently (last 5 games: 2 wins).
    • Once Caldas is currently in excellent shape (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).
    • Once Caldas may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
    • Pereira might have a minor edge in this game.
    • In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Pereira won 7 matches, drew 5 matches, lost 8 matches, and goals 22:23. (average 1.1:1.2).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Pereira won 4 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 13:13. (average 1.2:1.2).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Deportivo Pereira - Once Caldas were as follows:
    22.03.2025 Deportivo Pereira - Once Caldas 1:1
    19.02.2025 Once Caldas - Deportivo Pereira 3:1
    03.09.2024 Deportivo Pereira - Once Caldas 0:1
    22.02.2024 Once Caldas - Deportivo Pereira 1:2
    10.09.2023 Deportivo Pereira - Once Caldas 1:2
    Latest results of Deportivo Pereira
    Latest results of Once Caldas
    Colombian Primera A Table
    Clausura
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Junior642014:6814
    2Atl. Nacional632111:5611
    3Llaneros63216:2411
    4Fortaleza62408:6210
    5Ind. Medellin63128:7110
    6Deportes Tolima63125:4110
    7Santa Fe62317:619
    8Pereira62226:608
    9Bucaramanga42118:627
    10Envigado51316:606
    11Chico61326:7-16
    12La Equidad61323:5-26
    13Dep. Cali61327:11-46
    14Dep. Pasto31206:515
    15U. Magdalena51223:7-45
    16Alianza61235:10-55
    17America De Cali41123:4-14
    18Aguilas60426:8-24
    19Once Caldas50236:10-42
    20Millonarios40133:6-31

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