Result
1:0
05/09/2025 at 21:10 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Primera A - Clausura - Round 10
- Referee: Roldan W. (Col)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Colombia | Win+ Futbol, Win play |
 Usa | Fanatiz, Fubo Latino 2 |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.66 | 0.76 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 51% | 49% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 17 | 17 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 6 | 2 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 1 | 1 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 4 | 6 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 84% (295/353) | 81% (280/346) |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 3 | 3 |
| Red Cards |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.66 | 0.76 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 0.81 | 0.06 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 17 | 17 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 6 | 2 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 9 | 10 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 2 | 5 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 7 | 4 |
| Shots outside the Box |
|---|
| 10 | 13 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 1 | 1 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 4 | 6 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 18 | 13 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 12 | 6 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 84% (295/353) | 81% (280/346) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 60% (38/63) | 45% (18/40) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 72% (75/104) | 71% (109/154) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 33% (7/21) | 5% (1/21) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 0.67 | 0.70 |
| Throw-ins |
|---|
| 23 | 22 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 7 | 13 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 80% (8/10) | 93% (13/14) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 45 | 32 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 23 | 21 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 8 | 10 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 2 | 5 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 0.06 | 0.81 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| 0.06 | -0.19 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 0)
- 4', Riquett J. 🟨,
- 11', Cuesta Rodriguez K. A. ↓, Castano J. ↑,
- 41', Torres G. 🟨,
- 2nd Half (1 - 0)
- 49', 1 - 0, Zapata Ramirez J. A. ⚽,
- 51', Zapata Ramirez J. A. 🟨,
- 56', Torres G. ↓, Largacha J. ↑,
- 56', Perez M. ↓, Merheg S. J. ↑,
- 57', Pacheco W. 🟨,
- 61', Zapata Ramirez J. A. 🟨,
- 63', Largacha J. 🟨,
- 65', Kelvin Osorio ↓, Cabrera Y. ↑,
- 65', Pacheco W. ↓, Ararat J. ↑,
- 69', Zuleta M. ↓, Palacios L. ↑,
- 69', Sanchez L. ↓, Gomez P. ↑,
- 79', Barrios M. ↓, Quinones D. ↑,
- 84', Albornoz O. ↓, Mosquera L. ↑,
Highlights
https://tinyurl.com/3cpt4n2y
Chances of winning
Once Caldas
42.2% | Draw
30.8% | Deportivo Pereira
27% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Once Caldas has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.5%)Deportivo Pereira has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.3%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Once Caldas than the current prediction. (-3.1%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Deportivo Pereira than the current prediction. (+4%)
Once Caldas - Deportivo Pereira Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
2.23 ↓
(2.41) |
3.03 ↓
(3.11) |
3.43 ↑
(2.99) |
7%
(7.1%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.00
What is the prediction for Once Caldas - Deportivo Pereira?
Users Predictions:
5 users predict this event. Once Caldas will win (votes: 3 - 60%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 40%). High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 2 high ROI users predict this event. Tie (votes: 2 - 100%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
Preview Facts
- An outsider and a mid-table team will play in this game (ranked 19 and 8 in the zone Promotion ~ Primera A (Clausura ~ Quadrangular: )).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Once Caldas won 2.
- Once Caldas has been quite unpredictable recently (last 5 games: 3 wins).
- Pereira is showing top-class performance now (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).
- Once Caldas may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
- Recently, Once Caldas has had a series of away games.
- Once Caldas will hold a modest advantage in this match.
- In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Once Caldas won 7 matches, drew 5 matches, lost 8 matches, and goals 21:24. (average 1.1:1.2).
- Including home matches between the teams, Once Caldas won 3 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 10:9. (average 1.1:1).
How many head-to-head matches has Once Caldas won against Deportivo Pereira?
Once Caldas has won 4 of their last 10 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Deportivo Pereira won against Once Caldas?
Deportivo Pereira has won 3 of their last 10 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Once Caldas - Deportivo Pereira were as follows:
03.08.2025
Deportivo Pereira
-
Once Caldas
2:1
22.03.2025
Deportivo Pereira
-
Once Caldas
1:1
19.02.2025
Once Caldas
-
Deportivo Pereira
3:1
03.09.2024
Deportivo Pereira
-
Once Caldas
0:1
22.02.2024
Once Caldas
-
Deportivo Pereira
1:2
Latest results of Once Caldas
Latest results of Deportivo Pereira
Colombian Primera A Table
2026 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Inter Bogotu00e1 | 8 | 5 | 2 | 1 | 14:12 | 2 | 17 |
| 2 | Atl. Nacional | 6 | 5 | 0 | 1 | 15:4 | 11 | 15 |
| 3 | Dep. Pasto | 8 | 4 | 3 | 1 | 9:8 | 1 | 15 |
| 4 | America De Cali | 7 | 4 | 1 | 2 | 11:5 | 6 | 13 |
| 5 | Once Caldas | 8 | 3 | 4 | 1 | 13:10 | 3 | 13 |
| 6 | Deportes Tolima | 8 | 3 | 3 | 2 | 10:7 | 3 | 12 |
| 7 | Junior | 7 | 4 | 0 | 3 | 12:10 | 2 | 12 |
| 8 | Bucaramanga | 7 | 2 | 5 | 0 | 10:4 | 6 | 11 |
| 9 | Dep. Cali | 8 | 3 | 2 | 3 | 10:7 | 3 | 11 |
| 10 | Aguilas | 7 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 9:8 | 1 | 11 |
| 11 | Llaneros | 8 | 2 | 4 | 2 | 9:8 | 1 | 10 |
| 12 | Santa Fe | 9 | 2 | 4 | 3 | 10:12 | -2 | 10 |
| 13 | Fortaleza | 8 | 2 | 4 | 2 | 9:12 | -3 | 10 |
| 14 | Jaguares de Cordoba | 7 | 3 | 1 | 3 | 8:13 | -5 | 10 |
| 15 | Millonarios | 8 | 2 | 2 | 4 | 8:10 | -2 | 8 |
| 16 | Ind. Medellin | 8 | 1 | 4 | 3 | 10:12 | -2 | 7 |
| 17 | Cucuta | 8 | 1 | 3 | 4 | 12:16 | -4 | 6 |
| 18 | Pereira | 7 | 0 | 4 | 3 | 7:11 | -4 | 4 |
| 19 | Chico | 8 | 1 | 1 | 6 | 7:13 | -6 | 4 |
| 20 | Alianza | 7 | 0 | 3 | 4 | 3:14 | -11 | 3 |
Promotion ~ Primera A (Apertura ~ Play Offs: )
