Result
0:0
18/10/2025 at 22:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- USL Championship
- Referee: Corrigan M. (Usa)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Usa | CBS Sports Golazo, FanDuel Sports Network SoCal, Paramount+ |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.57 | 2.55 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 52% | 48% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 5 | 25 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 3 | 5 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 4 | 11 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 79% (302/383) | 78% (264/337) |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 4 | 1 |
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.57 | 2.55 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 0.37 | 0.31 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 5 | 25 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 3 | 5 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 2 | 7 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 0 | 13 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 4 | 14 |
| Shots outside the Box |
|---|
| 1 | 11 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
|---|
| 1 | 1 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 4 | 11 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 8 | 25 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 1 | 3 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 8 | 9 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 79% (302/383) | 78% (264/337) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 44% (27/62) | 51% (27/53) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 53% (46/86) | 71% (92/129) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 19% (3/16) | 31% (12/39) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 0.54 | 0.87 |
| Throw-ins |
|---|
| 19 | 24 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 9 | 8 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 68% (13/19) | 90% (9/10) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 43 | 51 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 32 | 29 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 11 | 10 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 5 | 3 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 0.31 | 0.37 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| 0.31 | 0.37 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 0)
- 43', Dia A. 🟨,
- 2nd Half (0 - 0)
- 60', Guimaraes P. 🟨,
- 63', Jamison B. ↓, War M. ↑,
- 63', Trager T. ↓, Sylla O. ↑,
- 66', Morris J. ↓, Dayes B. ↑,
- 66', Goodrum P. ↓, Lancaster C. ↑,
- 66', Perez A. ↓, Ownby B. ↑,
- 75', Zubak E. 🟨,
- 82', Pinto M. ↓, Partida K. ↑,
- 85', Partida K. 🟨,
- 86', Hegardt C. 🟨,
- 89', Davila E. ↓, McCabe N. ↑,
- 89', Serrano R. ↓, Gleadle S. ↑,
- 90+3', Hegardt C. ↓, Miles A. ↑,
Chances of winning
Orange County SC
29.6% | Draw
27.2% | Louisville City
43.3% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Orange County SC has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.3%)Louisville City has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.2%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Orange County SC than the current prediction. (+0.8%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Louisville City than the current prediction. (-2.6%)
Orange County SC - Louisville City Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
3.12 ↑
(2.99) |
3.4 ↑
(3.19) |
2.13 ↓
(2.3) |
8.3%
(8.3%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
What is the prediction for Orange County SC - Louisville City?
High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 1 high ROI users predict this event. Louisville City (votes: 1 - 100%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
Preview Facts
- Louisville City is Qualified for USL Championship (Play Offs )
- Orange County SC has had mixed results lately (last 5 games: 1 wins).
- Louisville City is on a winning streak and currently in very good shape (last 5 games: 5 wins).
- Louisville City may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
- Louisville City is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.
- In the last 3 head-to-head matches, Orange County SC won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 2:9. (average 0.7:3).
- Including home match between the teams, Orange County SC won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 1:3.
How many head-to-head matches has Orange County SC won against Louisville City?
Orange County SC has won 0 of their last 2 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Louisville City won against Orange County SC?
Louisville City has won 2 of their last 2 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Orange County SC - Louisville City were as follows:
11.05.2024
Louisville City
-
Orange County SC
3:0
11.03.2023
Orange County SC
-
Louisville City
1:3
Latest results of Orange County SC
Latest results of Louisville City
USL Championship Table
MainEastern Conference | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Louisville City | 30 | 22 | 7 | 1 | 56:19 | 37 | 73 |
| 2 | Charleston | 30 | 19 | 5 | 6 | 62:32 | 30 | 62 |
| 3 | North Carolina | 30 | 13 | 6 | 11 | 40:39 | 1 | 45 |
| 4 | Hartford Athletic | 30 | 13 | 5 | 12 | 48:36 | 12 | 44 |
| 5 | Pittsburgh | 30 | 12 | 8 | 10 | 32:28 | 4 | 44 |
| 6 | Loudoun | 30 | 12 | 6 | 12 | 45:48 | -3 | 42 |
| 7 | Rhode Island | 30 | 10 | 8 | 12 | 29:29 | 0 | 38 |
| 8 | Detroit | 30 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 33:35 | -2 | 37 |
| 9 | Indy Eleven | 30 | 10 | 5 | 15 | 44:52 | -8 | 35 |
| 10 | Tampa Bay | 30 | 9 | 7 | 14 | 43:50 | -7 | 34 |
| 11 | Miami FC | 30 | 8 | 6 | 16 | 29:44 | -15 | 30 |
| 12 | Birmingham | 30 | 5 | 12 | 13 | 36:50 | -14 | 27 |
Western Conference | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | FC Tulsa | 30 | 16 | 9 | 5 | 50:30 | 20 | 57 |
| 2 | New Mexico | 30 | 14 | 6 | 10 | 45:41 | 4 | 48 |
| 3 | Sacramento Republic | 30 | 13 | 9 | 8 | 44:27 | 17 | 48 |
| 4 | El Paso | 30 | 10 | 11 | 9 | 47:45 | 2 | 41 |
| 5 | San Antonio | 30 | 11 | 7 | 12 | 39:38 | 1 | 40 |
| 6 | Phoenix Rising | 30 | 9 | 13 | 8 | 48:48 | 0 | 40 |
| 7 | Orange County SC | 30 | 10 | 9 | 11 | 44:45 | -1 | 39 |
| 8 | Colorado Springs | 30 | 10 | 7 | 13 | 35:47 | -12 | 37 |
| 9 | Lexington | 30 | 9 | 9 | 12 | 31:42 | -11 | 36 |
| 10 | Oakland Roots | 30 | 8 | 8 | 14 | 42:52 | -10 | 32 |
| 11 | Monterey Bay | 30 | 7 | 8 | 15 | 27:45 | -18 | 29 |
| 12 | Las Vegas Lights | 30 | 6 | 9 | 15 | 23:50 | -27 | 27 |
Promotion ~ USL Championship (Play Offs: )
