Result
0:0
18/10/2025 at 22:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- USL Championship
- Referee: Corrigan M. (Usa)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Usa | CBS Sports Golazo, FanDuel Sports Network SoCal, Paramount+ |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.57 | 2.55 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 52% | 48% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 5 | 25 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 3 | 5 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 4 | 11 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 79% (302/383) | 78% (264/337) |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 4 | 1 |
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.57 | 2.55 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 0.37 | 0.31 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 5 | 25 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 3 | 5 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 2 | 7 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 0 | 13 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 4 | 14 |
| Shots outside the Box |
|---|
| 1 | 11 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
|---|
| 1 | 1 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 4 | 11 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 8 | 25 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 1 | 3 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 8 | 9 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 79% (302/383) | 78% (264/337) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 44% (27/62) | 51% (27/53) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 53% (46/86) | 71% (92/129) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 19% (3/16) | 31% (12/39) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 0.54 | 0.87 |
| Throw-ins |
|---|
| 19 | 24 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 9 | 8 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 68% (13/19) | 90% (9/10) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 43 | 51 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 32 | 29 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 11 | 10 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 5 | 3 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 0.31 | 0.37 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| 0.31 | 0.37 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 0)
- 43', Dia A. 🟨,
- 2nd Half (0 - 0)
- 60', Guimaraes P. 🟨,
- 63', Jamison B. ↓, War M. ↑,
- 63', Trager T. ↓, Sylla O. ↑,
- 66', Morris J. ↓, Dayes B. ↑,
- 66', Goodrum P. ↓, Lancaster C. ↑,
- 66', Perez A. ↓, Ownby B. ↑,
- 75', Zubak E. 🟨,
- 82', Pinto M. ↓, Partida K. ↑,
- 85', Partida K. 🟨,
- 86', Hegardt C. 🟨,
- 89', Davila E. ↓, McCabe N. ↑,
- 89', Serrano R. ↓, Gleadle S. ↑,
- 90+3', Hegardt C. ↓, Miles A. ↑,
Chances of winning
Orange County SC
29.6% | Draw
27.2% | Louisville City
43.3% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Orange County SC has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.3%)Louisville City has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.2%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Orange County SC than the current prediction. (+0.8%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Louisville City than the current prediction. (-2.6%)
Orange County SC - Louisville City Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
3.12 ↑
(2.99) |
3.4 ↑
(3.19) |
2.13 ↓
(2.3) |
8.3%
(8.3%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
What is the prediction for Orange County SC - Louisville City?
High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): Louisville City will win (2 of 2 users predict this - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip. The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
Preview Facts
- Louisville City is Qualified for USL Championship (Play Offs )
- Orange County SC has had mixed results lately (last 5 games: 1 wins).
- Louisville City is on a winning streak and currently in very good shape (last 5 games: 5 wins).
- Louisville City may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
- Louisville City is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.
- In the last 3 head-to-head matches, Orange County SC won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 2:9. (average 0.7:3).
- Including home match between the teams, Orange County SC won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 1:3.
How many head-to-head matches has Orange County SC won against Louisville City?
Orange County SC has won 0 of their last 2 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Louisville City won against Orange County SC?
Louisville City has won 2 of their last 2 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Orange County SC - Louisville City were as follows:
11.05.2024
Louisville City
-
Orange County SC
3:0
11.03.2023
Orange County SC
-
Louisville City
1:3
Latest results of Orange County SC
Latest results of Louisville City
USL Championship Table
2026Eastern Conference | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Louisville City | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 10:4 | 6 | 9 |
| 2 | Hartford Athletic | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 5:1 | 4 | 7 |
| 3 | Tampa Bay | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 4:0 | 4 | 6 |
| 4 | Charleston | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 5:3 | 2 | 6 |
| 5 | Detroit | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 4:2 | 2 | 3 |
| 6 | Indy Eleven | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2:2 | 0 | 3 |
| 7 | Pittsburgh | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 4:7 | -3 | 3 |
| 8 | Brooklyn | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 2:5 | -3 | 3 |
| 9 | Loudoun | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2:3 | -1 | 1 |
| 10 | Rhode Island | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 3:5 | -2 | 1 |
| 11 | Birmingham | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 2:4 | -2 | 1 |
| 12 | Miami FC | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1:4 | -3 | 1 |
| 13 | Sporting Jax | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1:4 | -3 | 1 |
Western Conference | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Oakland Roots | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 5:3 | 2 | 7 |
| 2 | San Antonio | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 3:1 | 2 | 7 |
| 3 | Sacramento Republic | 3 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 3:1 | 2 | 5 |
| 4 | Orange County SC | 3 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 3:2 | 1 | 5 |
| 5 | El Paso | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 5:2 | 3 | 4 |
| 6 | Colorado Springs | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 5:5 | 0 | 4 |
| 7 | FC Tulsa | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 3:4 | -1 | 4 |
| 8 | Phoenix Rising | 3 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 4:5 | -1 | 2 |
| 9 | Lexington | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1:2 | -1 | 1 |
| 10 | Las Vegas Lights | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 5:7 | -2 | 1 |
| 11 | Monterey Bay | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 1:5 | -4 | 1 |
| 12 | New Mexico | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1:3 | -2 | 0 |
Promotion ~ USL Championship (Play Offs: 1/8~finals)
