Result
3:2
28/05/2025 at 19:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- MLS
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
---|
Usa | MLS Season Pass |
World | EA Sports FC |
Match Stats
| |
---|
Expected Goals (xG) |
---|
1.49 | 0.91 |
Ball Possession |
---|
60% | 40% |
Total shots |
---|
13 | 11 |
Shots on target |
---|
5 | 5 |
Big Chances |
---|
2 | 1 |
Corner Kicks |
---|
5 | 6 |
Passes |
---|
89% (485/547) | 84% (321/381) |
Yellow Cards |
---|
3 | 2 |
Red Cards |
---|
0 | 1 |
Expected Goals (xG) |
---|
1.49 | 0.91 |
xG on target (xGOT) |
---|
1.69 | 1.29 |
Total shots |
---|
13 | 11 |
Shots on target |
---|
5 | 5 |
Shots off target |
---|
8 | 5 |
Blocked Shots |
---|
0 | 1 |
Shots inside the Box |
---|
9 | 7 |
Shots outside the Box |
---|
4 | 4 |
Hit the Woodwork |
---|
0 | 1 |
Big Chances |
---|
2 | 1 |
Corner Kicks |
---|
5 | 6 |
Touches in opposition box |
---|
30 | 17 |
Accurate through passes |
---|
0 | 1 |
Offsides |
---|
3 | 0 |
Free Kicks |
---|
4 | 12 |
Passes |
---|
89% (485/547) | 84% (321/381) |
Long passes |
---|
67% (26/39) | 56% (35/62) |
Passes in final third |
---|
83% (192/230) | 67% (66/98) |
Crosses |
---|
22% (7/32) | 22% (2/9) |
Expected assists (xA) |
---|
1.62 | 0.27 |
Throw-ins |
---|
21 | 8 |
Fouls |
---|
12 | 4 |
Tackles |
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78% (7/9) | 71% (10/14) |
Duels won |
---|
26 | 44 |
Clearances |
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18 | 49 |
Interceptions |
---|
5 | 9 |
Errors leading to shot |
---|
0 | 0 |
Errors leading to goal |
---|
1 | 0 |
Goalkeeper Saves |
---|
3 | 2 |
xGOT faced |
---|
1.29 | 1.69 |
Goals prevented |
---|
-0.71 | -1.31 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (1 - 2)
- 4', 0 - 1, Araujo C. ⚽, Pasalic M. (A), Ojeda M. (A2)
- 19', 1 - 1, Miranchuk Al. ⚽,
- 32', 1 - 2, Enrique R. ⚽,
- 2nd Half (2 - 0)
- 64', Slisz B. 🟨,
- 68', Edwards M. ↓, Klich M. ↑,
- 68', Latte Lath E. ↓, Thiare J. ↑,
- 68', Hernandez R. ↓, Amador P. ↑,
- 73', Angulo I. ↓, Smith K. ↑,
- 73', Pasalic M. ↓, Muriel L. ↑,
- 73', Ojeda M. ↓, Atuesta E. ↑,
- 77', Araujo C. 🟥,
- 79', Klich M. 🟨,
- 80', Enrique R. ↓, Thorhallsson D. ↑,
- 82', Fortune A. 🟨,
- 82', Abram L. ↓, Mosquera E. ↑,
- 83', 2 - 2, Slisz B. ⚽, Miranchuk Al. (A),
- 90+1', Atuesta E. 🟨,
- 90+3', Gallese P. 🟨,
- 90+5', 3 - 2, Thiare J. ⚽, Lobjanidze S. (A), Miranchuk Al. (A2)
- 90+7', Lobjanidze S. ↓, Cobb N. ↑,
- 90+7', Schlegel R. ↓, McGuire D. ↑,
Chances of winning
Atlanta United 32.3% | Draw 25.7% | Orlando City 42% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Atlanta United has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.3%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Atlanta United's form might have worsened.Orlando City has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.8%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Orlando City's recent form is better than expected.ML Model estimates a higher probability for Atlanta United than the current prediction. (+5.8%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Atlanta United, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Orlando City than the current prediction. (-6.3%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Orlando City, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
Atlanta United - Orlando City Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now (Initially) |
2.94 ↑ (2.48) |
3.72 ↑ (3.55) |
2.29 ↓ (2.58) |
4.5% (7.4%) | |
The most likely Over/Under: 3.00
What is the prediction for Atlanta United - Orlando City?
Users Predictions:
8 users predict this event. Atlanta will win (votes: 2 - 25%). Orlando City will win (votes: 4 - 50%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 25%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Orlando City: 15.4% – 84.6%.High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 3 high ROI users predict this event. Atlanta (votes: 1 - 33.3%). Orlando City (votes: 2 - 66.7%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
Preview Facts
- Let's watch a game between a leader and an outsider (ranked 12 and 4 in the zone Promotion ~ MLS (Play Offs: 1/8~finals)).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Atlanta won 2.
- Atlanta has had mixed results lately (last 5 games: 1 wins).
- Orlando City is in great form at the moment (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).
- Orlando City may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
- Recently, Orlando City has had a series of home games.
- In this match, both teams have almost equal chances to win.
- There will not play in Atlanta: Gregersen S.
(Thigh Injury)
Lennon B.
(Hamstring Injury)
Muyumba T.
(Knee Injury)
- There will not play in Orlando City: Cartagena W.
(Achilles Tendon Injury)
Rodriguez N.
(Injury)
Tsukada Y.
(Knee Injury)
- There are questionable in Orlando City: Caraballo G.
(Leg Injury)
- In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Atlanta won 9 matches, drew 5 matches, lost 6 matches, and goals 26:21. (average 1.3:1.1).
- Including home matches between the teams, Atlanta won 4 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 13:6. (average 1.6:0.8).
How many head-to-head matches has Atlanta United won against Orlando City?
Atlanta United has won 3 of their last 7 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Orlando City won against Atlanta United?
Orlando City has won 3 of their last 7 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Atlanta United - Orlando City were as follows:
26.04.2025
Orlando City
-
Atlanta United
3:0
24.11.2024
Orlando City
-
Atlanta United
1:0
19.10.2024
Orlando City
-
Atlanta United
1:2
17.03.2024
Atlanta United
-
Orlando City
2:0
15.07.2023
Atlanta United
-
Orlando City
1:2
Latest results of Atlanta United
Latest results of Orlando City
MLS Table
MainWestern Conference | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
1 | San Diego FC | 25 | 14 | 4 | 7 | 48:32 | 16 | 46 |
2 | Vancouver Whitecaps | 24 | 13 | 6 | 5 | 42:26 | 16 | 45 |
3 | Minnesota United | 25 | 12 | 8 | 5 | 42:28 | 14 | 44 |
4 | Seattle Sounders | 24 | 10 | 8 | 6 | 39:35 | 4 | 38 |
5 | Portland Timbers | 24 | 10 | 7 | 7 | 33:32 | 1 | 37 |
6 | Los Angeles FC | 22 | 10 | 6 | 6 | 39:28 | 11 | 36 |
7 | Austin FC | 23 | 9 | 6 | 8 | 21:26 | -5 | 33 |
8 | Real Salt Lake | 24 | 9 | 4 | 11 | 26:30 | -4 | 31 |
9 | Colorado Rapids | 25 | 8 | 6 | 11 | 31:39 | -8 | 30 |
10 | San Jose Earthquakes | 25 | 7 | 8 | 10 | 47:44 | 3 | 29 |
11 | Houston Dynamo | 24 | 7 | 6 | 11 | 30:39 | -9 | 27 |
12 | FC Dallas | 24 | 6 | 7 | 11 | 35:45 | -10 | 25 |
13 | Sporting Kansas City | 24 | 6 | 6 | 12 | 36:45 | -9 | 24 |
14 | St. Louis City | 24 | 4 | 6 | 14 | 24:40 | -16 | 18 |
15 | Los Angeles Galaxy | 24 | 3 | 7 | 14 | 28:48 | -20 | 16 |
Eastern Conference | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
1 | Philadelphia Union | 25 | 15 | 5 | 5 | 43:24 | 19 | 50 |
2 | FC Cincinnati | 25 | 15 | 4 | 6 | 39:31 | 8 | 49 |
3 | Nashville SC | 25 | 14 | 5 | 6 | 42:26 | 16 | 47 |
4 | Columbus Crew | 25 | 12 | 8 | 5 | 41:36 | 5 | 44 |
5 | Inter Miami | 22 | 12 | 6 | 4 | 49:34 | 15 | 42 |
6 | Orlando City | 25 | 11 | 8 | 6 | 46:33 | 13 | 41 |
7 | Charlotte | 25 | 12 | 2 | 11 | 43:39 | 4 | 38 |
8 | New York City | 24 | 11 | 5 | 8 | 34:29 | 5 | 38 |
9 | Chicago Fire | 24 | 10 | 5 | 9 | 45:40 | 5 | 35 |
10 | New York Red Bulls | 25 | 9 | 6 | 10 | 39:36 | 3 | 33 |
11 | New England Revolution | 24 | 6 | 7 | 11 | 31:35 | -4 | 25 |
12 | Toronto FC | 24 | 5 | 6 | 13 | 25:32 | -7 | 21 |
13 | Atlanta Utd | 24 | 4 | 9 | 11 | 29:45 | -16 | 21 |
14 | DC United | 25 | 4 | 7 | 14 | 22:49 | -27 | 19 |
15 | CF Montreal | 25 | 4 | 6 | 15 | 23:46 | -23 | 18 |
Promotion ~ MLS (Play Offs: 1/8~finals)
Promotion ~ MLS (Play Offs: 1/16~finals)