Result
3:2
28/05/2025 at 19:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- MLS
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Usa | MLS Season Pass |
 World | EA Sports FC |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.49 | 0.91 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 60% | 40% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 13 | 11 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 5 | 5 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 2 | 1 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 5 | 6 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 89% (485/547) | 84% (321/381) |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 3 | 2 |
| Red Cards |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.49 | 0.91 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 1.69 | 1.29 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 13 | 11 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 5 | 5 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 8 | 5 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 9 | 7 |
| Shots outside the Box |
|---|
| 4 | 4 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 2 | 1 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 5 | 6 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 30 | 17 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 3 | 0 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 4 | 12 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 89% (485/547) | 84% (321/381) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 67% (26/39) | 56% (35/62) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 83% (192/230) | 67% (66/98) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 22% (7/32) | 22% (2/9) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 1.62 | 0.27 |
| Throw-ins |
|---|
| 21 | 8 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 12 | 4 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 78% (7/9) | 71% (10/14) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 26 | 44 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 18 | 49 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 5 | 9 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 3 | 2 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 1.29 | 1.69 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| -0.71 | -1.31 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (1 - 2)
- 4', 0 - 1, Araujo C. ⚽, Pasalic M. (A), Ojeda M. (A2)
- 19', 1 - 1, Miranchuk Al. ⚽,
- 32', 1 - 2, Enrique R. ⚽,
- 2nd Half (2 - 0)
- 64', Slisz B. 🟨,
- 68', Edwards M. ↓, Klich M. ↑,
- 68', Latte Lath E. ↓, Thiare J. ↑,
- 68', Hernandez R. ↓, Amador P. ↑,
- 73', Angulo I. ↓, Smith K. ↑,
- 73', Pasalic M. ↓, Muriel L. ↑,
- 73', Ojeda M. ↓, Atuesta E. ↑,
- 77', Araujo C. 🟥,
- 79', Klich M. 🟨,
- 80', Enrique R. ↓, Thorhallsson D. ↑,
- 82', Fortune A. 🟨,
- 82', Abram L. ↓, Mosquera E. ↑,
- 83', 2 - 2, Slisz B. ⚽, Miranchuk Al. (A),
- 90+1', Atuesta E. 🟨,
- 90+3', Gallese P. 🟨,
- 90+5', 3 - 2, Thiare J. ⚽, Lobjanidze S. (A), Miranchuk Al. (A2)
- 90+7', Lobjanidze S. ↓, Cobb N. ↑,
- 90+7', Schlegel R. ↓, McGuire D. ↑,
Chances of winning
Atlanta United
32.3% | Draw
25.7% | Orlando City
42% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Atlanta United has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.3%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Atlanta United's form might have worsened.Orlando City has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.8%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Orlando City's recent form is better than expected.ML Model estimates a higher probability for Atlanta United than the current prediction. (+5.8%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Atlanta United, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Orlando City than the current prediction. (-6.3%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Orlando City, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
Atlanta United - Orlando City Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
2.94 ↑
(2.48) |
3.72 ↑
(3.55) |
2.29 ↓
(2.58) |
4.5%
(7.4%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 3.00
What is the prediction for Atlanta United - Orlando City?
Users Predictions:
8 users predict this event. Atlanta will win (votes: 2 - 25%). Orlando City will win (votes: 4 - 50%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 25%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Orlando City: 15.4% – 84.6%.High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 3 high ROI users predict this event. Atlanta (votes: 1 - 33.3%). Orlando City (votes: 2 - 66.7%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
Preview Facts
- Let's watch a game between a leader and an outsider (ranked 12 and 4 in the zone Promotion ~ MLS (Play Offs: 1/8~finals)).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Atlanta won 2.
- Atlanta has had mixed results lately (last 5 games: 1 wins).
- Orlando City is in great form at the moment (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).
- Orlando City may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
- Recently, Orlando City has had a series of home games.
- In this match, both teams have almost equal chances to win.
- There will not play in Atlanta: Gregersen S.
(Thigh Injury)
Lennon B.
(Hamstring Injury)
Muyumba T.
(Knee Injury)
- There will not play in Orlando City: Cartagena W.
(Achilles Tendon Injury)
Rodriguez N.
(Injury)
Tsukada Y.
(Knee Injury)
- There are questionable in Orlando City: Caraballo G.
(Leg Injury)
- In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Atlanta won 9 matches, drew 5 matches, lost 6 matches, and goals 26:21. (average 1.3:1.1).
- Including home matches between the teams, Atlanta won 4 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 13:6. (average 1.6:0.8).
How many head-to-head matches has Atlanta United won against Orlando City?
Atlanta United has won 3 of their last 7 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Orlando City won against Atlanta United?
Orlando City has won 3 of their last 7 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Atlanta United - Orlando City were as follows:
26.04.2025
Orlando City
-
Atlanta United
3:0
24.11.2024
Orlando City
-
Atlanta United
1:0
19.10.2024
Orlando City
-
Atlanta United
1:2
17.03.2024
Atlanta United
-
Orlando City
2:0
15.07.2023
Atlanta United
-
Orlando City
1:2
Latest results of Atlanta United
Latest results of Orlando City
Draw
Play Offs1/16-finals| 1 | Philadelphia Union | Bye | |
| 2 | Chicago Fire | Orlando City | 3 : 1 |
| 3 | Charlotte | Bye | |
| 4 | Bye | New York City | |
| 5 | Inter Miami | Bye | |
| 6 | Bye | Nashville SC | |
| 7 | FC Cincinnati | Bye | |
| 8 | Bye | Columbus Crew | |
| 9 | San Diego FC | Bye | |
| 10 | Portland Timbers | Real Salt Lake | 3 : 1 |
| 11 | Minnesota United | Bye | |
| 12 | Bye | Seattle Sounders | |
| 13 | Los Angeles FC | Bye | |
| 14 | Bye | Austin FC | |
| 15 | Vancouver Whitecaps | Bye | |
| 16 | Bye | FC Dallas | |
1/8-finals| 1 | Philadelphia Union | Chicago Fire | |
| 2 | Charlotte | New York City | |
| 3 | Inter Miami | Nashville SC | 1 : 0 |
| 4 | FC Cincinnati | Columbus Crew | |
| 5 | San Diego FC | Portland Timbers | |
| 6 | Minnesota United | Seattle Sounders | |
| 7 | Los Angeles FC | Austin FC | |
| 8 | Vancouver Whitecaps | FC Dallas | |
Quarter-finalsSemi-finalsFinal
