Atlanta United vs Orlando City – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Football MLS Atlanta United - Orlando City
Result
3:2
28/05/2025 at 19:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • MLS
  • Where to Watch on TV:
usaUsaMLS Season Pass
worldWorldEA Sports FC

Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
1.490.91
Ball Possession
60%40%
Total shots
1311
Shots on target
55
Big Chances
21
Corner Kicks
56
Passes
89% (485/547)84% (321/381)
Yellow Cards
32
Red Cards
01
Expected Goals (xG)
1.490.91
xG on target (xGOT)
1.691.29
Total shots
1311
Shots on target
55
Shots off target
85
Blocked Shots
01
Shots inside the Box
97
Shots outside the Box
44
Hit the Woodwork
01
Big Chances
21
Corner Kicks
56
Touches in opposition box
3017
Accurate through passes
01
Offsides
30
Free Kicks
412
Passes
89% (485/547)84% (321/381)
Long passes
67% (26/39)56% (35/62)
Passes in final third
83% (192/230)67% (66/98)
Crosses
22% (7/32)22% (2/9)
Expected assists (xA)
1.620.27
Throw-ins
218
Fouls
124
Tackles
78% (7/9)71% (10/14)
Duels won
2644
Clearances
1849
Interceptions
59
Errors leading to shot
00
Errors leading to goal
10
Goalkeeper Saves
32
xGOT faced
1.291.69
Goals prevented
-0.71-1.31

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (1 - 2)
  • 4', 0 - 1, Araujo C. , Pasalic M. (A), Ojeda M. (A2)
  • 19', 1 - 1, Miranchuk Al. ,
  • 32', 1 - 2, Enrique R. ,
  • 2nd Half (2 - 0)
  • 64', Slisz B. 🟨,
  • 68', Edwards M. , Klich M. ,
  • 68', Latte Lath E. , Thiare J. ,
  • 68', Hernandez R. , Amador P. ,
  • 73', Angulo I. , Smith K. ,
  • 73', Pasalic M. , Muriel L. ,
  • 73', Ojeda M. , Atuesta E. ,
  • 77', Araujo C. 🟥,
  • 79', Klich M. 🟨,
  • 80', Enrique R. , Thorhallsson D. ,
  • 82', Fortune A. 🟨,
  • 82', Abram L. , Mosquera E. ,
  • 83', 2 - 2, Slisz B. , Miranchuk Al. (A),
  • 90+1', Atuesta E. 🟨,
  • 90+3', Gallese P. 🟨,
  • 90+5', 3 - 2, Thiare J. , Lobjanidze S. (A), Miranchuk Al. (A2)
  • 90+7', Lobjanidze S. , Cobb N. ,
  • 90+7', Schlegel R. , McGuire D. ,

Highlights

Chances of winning


Atlanta United
32.3%
Draw
25.7%
Orlando City
42%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
37.6% 26.2% 36.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

38.1% 26.6% 35.7%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Atlanta United has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.3%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Atlanta United's form might have worsened.
  • Orlando City has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.8%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Orlando City's recent form is better than expected.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Atlanta United than the current prediction. (+5.8%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Atlanta United, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Orlando City than the current prediction. (-6.3%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Orlando City, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
  • Atlanta United - Orlando City Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    2.94
    (2.48)
    3.72
    (3.55)
    2.29
    (2.58)
    4.5%
    (7.4%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 3.00
    What is the prediction for Atlanta United - Orlando City?
  • Users Predictions: 8 users predict this event. Atlanta will win (votes: 2 - 25%). Orlando City will win (votes: 4 - 50%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 25%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for Orlando City: 15.4%84.6%.
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 3 high ROI users predict this event. Atlanta (votes: 1 - 33.3%). Orlando City (votes: 2 - 66.7%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
  • Preview Facts
    • Let's watch a game between a leader and an outsider (ranked 12 and 4 in the zone Promotion ~ MLS (Play Offs: 1/8~finals)).
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Atlanta won 2.
    • Atlanta has had mixed results lately (last 5 games: 1 wins).
    • Orlando City is in great form at the moment (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).
    • Orlando City may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
    • Recently, Orlando City has had a series of home games.
    • In this match, both teams have almost equal chances to win.
    • There will not play in Atlanta: Gregersen S. (Thigh Injury) Lennon B. (Hamstring Injury) Muyumba T. (Knee Injury)
    • There will not play in Orlando City: Cartagena W. (Achilles Tendon Injury) Rodriguez N. (Injury) Tsukada Y. (Knee Injury)
    • There are questionable in Orlando City: Caraballo G. (Leg Injury)
    • In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Atlanta won 9 matches, drew 5 matches, lost 6 matches, and goals 26:21. (average 1.3:1.1).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Atlanta won 4 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 13:6. (average 1.6:0.8).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Atlanta United - Orlando City were as follows:
    26.04.2025 Orlando City - Atlanta United 3:0
    24.11.2024 Orlando City - Atlanta United 1:0
    19.10.2024 Orlando City - Atlanta United 1:2
    17.03.2024 Atlanta United - Orlando City 2:0
    15.07.2023 Atlanta United - Orlando City 1:2
    Latest results of Atlanta United
    Latest results of Orlando City
    Draw
    Play Offs

    1/16-finals
    1Philadelphia UnionBye
    2Chicago FireOrlando City3 : 1
    3CharlotteBye
    4ByeNew York City
    5Inter MiamiBye
    6ByeNashville SC
    7FC CincinnatiBye
    8ByeColumbus Crew
    9San Diego FCBye
    10Portland TimbersReal Salt Lake3 : 1
    11Minnesota UnitedBye
    12ByeSeattle Sounders
    13Los Angeles FCBye
    14ByeAustin FC
    15Vancouver WhitecapsBye
    16ByeFC Dallas

    1/8-finals
    1Philadelphia UnionChicago Fire
    2CharlotteNew York City
    3Inter MiamiNashville SC1 : 0
    4FC CincinnatiColumbus Crew
    5San Diego FCPortland Timbers
    6Minnesota UnitedSeattle Sounders
    7Los Angeles FCAustin FC
    8Vancouver WhitecapsFC Dallas

    Quarter-finals
    1TBD #1TBD #2
    2TBD #3TBD #4
    3TBD #5TBD #6
    4TBD #7TBD #8

    Semi-finals
    1TBD #1TBD #2
    2TBD #3TBD #4

    Final
    1TBD #1TBD #2