Atlanta United vs Orlando City – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Football MLS Atlanta United - Orlando City
Result
3:2
28/05/2025 at 19:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • MLS
  • Where to Watch on TV:
usaUsaMLS Season Pass
worldWorldEA Sports FC

Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
1.490.91
Ball Possession
60%40%
Total shots
1311
Shots on target
55
Big Chances
21
Corner Kicks
56
Passes
89% (485/547)84% (321/381)
Yellow Cards
32
Red Cards
01
Expected Goals (xG)
1.490.91
xG on target (xGOT)
1.691.29
Total shots
1311
Shots on target
55
Shots off target
85
Blocked Shots
01
Shots inside the Box
97
Shots outside the Box
44
Hit the Woodwork
01
Big Chances
21
Corner Kicks
56
Touches in opposition box
3017
Accurate through passes
01
Offsides
30
Free Kicks
412
Passes
89% (485/547)84% (321/381)
Long passes
67% (26/39)56% (35/62)
Passes in final third
83% (192/230)67% (66/98)
Crosses
22% (7/32)22% (2/9)
Expected assists (xA)
1.620.27
Throw-ins
218
Fouls
124
Tackles
78% (7/9)71% (10/14)
Duels won
2644
Clearances
1849
Interceptions
59
Errors leading to shot
00
Errors leading to goal
10
Goalkeeper Saves
32
xGOT faced
1.291.69
Goals prevented
-0.71-1.31

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (1 - 2)
  • 4', 0 - 1, Araujo C. , Pasalic M. (A), Ojeda M. (A2)
  • 19', 1 - 1, Miranchuk Al. ,
  • 32', 1 - 2, Enrique R. ,
  • 2nd Half (2 - 0)
  • 64', Slisz B. 🟨,
  • 68', Edwards M. , Klich M. ,
  • 68', Latte Lath E. , Thiare J. ,
  • 68', Hernandez R. , Amador P. ,
  • 73', Angulo I. , Smith K. ,
  • 73', Pasalic M. , Muriel L. ,
  • 73', Ojeda M. , Atuesta E. ,
  • 77', Araujo C. 🟥,
  • 79', Klich M. 🟨,
  • 80', Enrique R. , Thorhallsson D. ,
  • 82', Fortune A. 🟨,
  • 82', Abram L. , Mosquera E. ,
  • 83', 2 - 2, Slisz B. , Miranchuk Al. (A),
  • 90+1', Atuesta E. 🟨,
  • 90+3', Gallese P. 🟨,
  • 90+5', 3 - 2, Thiare J. , Lobjanidze S. (A), Miranchuk Al. (A2)
  • 90+7', Lobjanidze S. , Cobb N. ,
  • 90+7', Schlegel R. , McGuire D. ,

Highlights

Chances of winning


Atlanta United
32.3%
Draw
25.7%
Orlando City
42%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
37.6% 26.2% 36.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

38.1% 26.6% 35.7%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Atlanta United has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.3%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Atlanta United's form might have worsened.
  • Orlando City has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.8%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Orlando City's recent form is better than expected.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Atlanta United than the current prediction. (+5.8%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Atlanta United, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Orlando City than the current prediction. (-6.3%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Orlando City, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
  • Atlanta United - Orlando City Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    2.94
    (2.48)
    3.72
    (3.55)
    2.29
    (2.58)
    4.5%
    (7.4%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 3.00
  • What is the prediction for Atlanta United - Orlando City?
  • Users Predictions: 8 users predict this event. Atlanta will win (votes: 2 - 25%). Orlando City will win (votes: 4 - 50%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 25%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for Orlando City: 15.4%84.6%.
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 3 high ROI users predict this event. Atlanta (votes: 1 - 33.3%). Orlando City (votes: 2 - 66.7%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
  • Preview Facts
    • Let's watch a game between a leader and an outsider (ranked 12 and 4 in the zone Promotion ~ MLS (Play Offs: 1/8~finals)).
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Atlanta won 2.
    • Atlanta has had mixed results lately (last 5 games: 1 wins).
    • Orlando City is in great form at the moment (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).
    • Orlando City may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
    • Recently, Orlando City has had a series of home games.
    • In this match, both teams have almost equal chances to win.
    • There will not play in Atlanta: Gregersen S. (Thigh Injury) Lennon B. (Hamstring Injury) Muyumba T. (Knee Injury)
    • There will not play in Orlando City: Cartagena W. (Achilles Tendon Injury) Rodriguez N. (Injury) Tsukada Y. (Knee Injury)
    • There are questionable in Orlando City: Caraballo G. (Leg Injury)
    • In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Atlanta won 9 matches, drew 5 matches, lost 6 matches, and goals 26:21. (average 1.3:1.1).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Atlanta won 4 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 13:6. (average 1.6:0.8).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Atlanta United - Orlando City were as follows:
    26.04.2025 Orlando City - Atlanta United 3:0
    24.11.2024 Orlando City - Atlanta United 1:0
    19.10.2024 Orlando City - Atlanta United 1:2
    17.03.2024 Atlanta United - Orlando City 2:0
    15.07.2023 Atlanta United - Orlando City 1:2
    Latest results of Atlanta United
    Latest results of Orlando City
    MLS Table
    Main

    Western Conference
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1San Diego FC ✔ 33186960:411960
    2Minnesota United ✔ 331610755:371858
    3Vancouver Whitecaps ✔ 31169659:342557
    4Los Angeles FC ✔ 30158760:372353
    5Seattle Sounders311210954:47746
    6Austin FC321281235:43-844
    7Portland Timbers3211111041:43-244
    8FC Dallas3210111149:52-341
    9Real Salt Lake321241636:46-1040
    10Colorado Rapids331171542:54-1240
    11San Jose Earthquakes321081457:58-138
    12Houston Dynamo33991543:56-1336
    13St. Louis City33871842:56-1431
    14Sporting Kansas City33762046:70-2427
    15Los Angeles Galaxy32591842:64-2224


    Eastern Conference
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Philadelphia Union ✔ 33206757:332466
    2FC Cincinnati ✔ 33195949:40962
    3Inter Miami ✔ 32178772:531959
    4Charlotte ✔ 331821353:46756
    5New York City ✔ 331751149:42756
    6Nashville SC331661156:401654
    7Orlando City321411760:451553
    8Chicago Fire331571166:58852
    9Columbus Crew331312852:50251
    10New York Red Bulls331271447:44343
    11New England Revolution33981642:49-735
    12Toronto FC325141333:40-729
    13CF Montreal336101734:57-2328
    14Atlanta Utd315121437:57-2027
    15DC United335101829:65-3625

          Promotion ~ MLS (Play Offs: 1/8~finals)
          Promotion ~ MLS (Play Offs: 1/16~finals)

    Clinched Spots for Teams
    San Diego FC is Qualified for MLS (Play Offs 1/8~finals)
    Minnesota United is Qualified for MLS (Play Offs 1/8~finals)
    Vancouver Whitecaps is Qualified for MLS (Play Offs 1/8~finals)
    Los Angeles FC is Qualified for MLS (Play Offs 1/8~finals)
    Philadelphia Union is Qualified for MLS (Play Offs 1/8~finals)
    FC Cincinnati is Qualified for MLS (Play Offs 1/8~finals)
    Inter Miami is Qualified for MLS (Play Offs 1/8~finals)
    Charlotte is Qualified for MLS (Play Offs 1/8~finals)
    New York City is Qualified for MLS (Play Offs 1/8~finals)