Oxford United vs Millwall – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

01/11/2025 at 11:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))

Kassam Stadium (Oxford).

Championship - Round 13
Referee: Hallam F. (Eng)
Where to Watch on TV:


Usa	Paramount+

Match Stats


Expected Goals (xG)
0.63	2.36
Ball Possession
49%	51%
Total shots
14	11
Shots on target
6	4
Big Chances
0	3
Corner Kicks
5	8
Passes
66% (242/366)	69% (262/381)
Yellow Cards
0	1
Expected Goals (xG)
0.63	2.36
xG on target (xGOT)
1.33	1.97
Total shots
14	11
Shots on target
6	4
Shots off target
5	5
Blocked Shots
3	2
Shots inside the Box
4	8
Shots outside the Box
10	3
Hit the Woodwork
0	1
Headed Goals
0	1
Big Chances
0	3
Corner Kicks
5	8
Touches in opposition box
17	29
Accurate through passes
0	0
Offsides
0	4
Free Kicks
14	5
Passes
66% (242/366)	69% (262/381)
Long passes
26% (17/66)	26% (19/73)
Passes in final third
62% (68/109)	49% (52/106)
Crosses
5% (1/20)	19% (3/16)
Expected assists (xA)
0.45	0.79
Throw-ins
33	25
Fouls
5	14
Tackles
73% (8/11)	69% (9/13)
Duels won
62	58
Clearances
31	53
Interceptions
6	9
Errors leading to shot
0	0
Errors leading to goal
0	0
Goalkeeper Saves
2	4
xGOT faced
1.97	1.33
Goals prevented
-0.03	-0.67

Key Moments

Here there are

1st Half (1 - 1)
11', 0 - 1, Ballo T. ⚽, Leonard R. (A),
35', Azeez F. ↓, Neghli C. ↑,
45', 1 - 1, Brannagan C. ⚽, Mills S. (A),
2nd Half (1 - 1)
61', Cundle L. ↓, Emakhu A. ↑,
61', Mazou-Sacko D. ↓, Mitchell B. ↑,
62', Currie J. ↓, Leigh G. ↑,
66', 1 - 2, Cooper J. ⚽,
73', Vaulks W. ↓, Placheta P. ↑,
73', Krastev F. ↓, Harris L. ↑,
73', Lankshear W. ↓, Prelec N. ↑,
80', 🟨,
82', Mills S. ↓, Dembele S. ↑,
90+4', Leonard R. ↓, Harding W. ↑,
90+6', 2 - 2, Placheta P. ⚽, Dembele S. (A),

Highlights

Chances of winning

Oxford United
34.5%

Draw
29.1%

Millwall
36.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

33.5%

29.3%

37.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

34.6%

30.3%

36%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Oxford United has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1%)

Millwall has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.8%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Oxford United than the current prediction. (+0.1%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Millwall than the current prediction. (-0.4%)

Oxford United - Millwall Odds

	1	X	2	Marga
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.75 ↓ (2.82)	3.21 ↓ (3.22)	2.61 ↑ (2.54)	6% (5.9%)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

What is the prediction for Oxford United - Millwall?

Users Predictions: 8 users predict this event. Oxford will win (votes: 5 - 62.5%). Millwall will win (votes: 3 - 37.5%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Oxford: 29% – 96%.

The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.

Preview Facts

Let's watch a game between a leader and an outsider (ranked 19 and 3 in the zone Promotion ~ Championship (Play Offs: Semi~finals)).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Oxford won 3.
Oxford has been quite unpredictable recently (last 5 games: 2 wins).
Millwall is showing top-class performance now (in the last 5 games, wins – 4).
Recently, Oxford has had a series of away games.
Recently, Millwall has had a series of home games.
The probability of winning is almost the same for both teams in this match.
There will not play in Oxford: Phillips M. (Thigh Injury)
There will not play in Millwall: Benda S. (Inactive) Coburn J. (Injury) Jensen L. (Achilles Tendon Injury) Luongo M. (Injury) McNamara D. (Knee Injury) Smallbone W. (Hamstring Injury)
There are questionable in Oxford: Brannagan C. (Injury) Spencer B. (Injury)
In the last 7 head-to-head matches, Oxford won 4 matches, drew 1 match, lost 2 matches, and goals 11:6. (average 1.6:0.9).
Including home matches between the teams, Oxford won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 2 matches, and goals 5:6. (average 1.3:1.5).

How many head-to-head matches has Oxford United won against Millwall?

Oxford United has won 1 of their last 2 head-to-head matches.

How many head-to-head matches has Millwall won against Oxford United?

Millwall has won 0 of their last 2 head-to-head matches.

What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?

The latest head-to-head matches between Oxford United - Millwall were as follows:

01.01.2025 Millwall - Oxford United 0:1

30.11.2024 Oxford United - Millwall 1:1

Latest results of Oxford United

25.10.2025 Sheffield Wednesday - Oxford United 1:2 ✺

22.10.2025 Wrexham - Oxford United 1:0 ✺

18.10.2025 Oxford United - Derby County 1:0 ✺

04.10.2025 Watford - Oxford United 2:1 ✺

01.10.2025 Queens Park Rangers - Oxford United 0:0 ✺

Latest results of Millwall

25.10.2025 Millwall - Leicester City 1:0 ✺

21.10.2025 Millwall - Stoke City 2:0 ✺

18.10.2025 Queens Park Rangers - Millwall 1:2 ✺

04.10.2025 Millwall - West Bromwich Albion 3:0 ✺

01.10.2025 Millwall - Coventry City 0:4 ✺

English League Championship Table

2025/26

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
1	Coventry	35	21	8	6	72:38	34	71
2	Middlesbrough	35	19	9	7	54:35	19	66
3	Ipswich	34	18	9	7	60:34	26	63
4	Millwall	35	18	8	9	47:40	7	62
5	Hull	35	18	6	11	56:49	7	60
6	Wrexham	35	15	12	8	54:45	9	57
7	Southampton	35	14	11	10	57:46	11	53
8	Derby	35	14	9	12	52:46	6	51
9	Watford	35	13	12	10	45:41	4	51
10	Bristol City	35	14	8	13	48:44	4	50
11	Preston	35	12	13	10	41:40	1	49
12	Birmingham	35	13	10	12	46:46	0	49
13	Sheffield Utd	35	15	3	17	50:48	2	48
14	Stoke	35	13	8	14	39:34	5	47
15	QPR	35	13	8	14	46:54	-8	47
16	Swansea	35	13	7	15	40:43	-3	46
17	Norwich	35	13	6	16	47:44	3	45
18	Charlton	35	10	11	14	33:44	-11	41
19	Portsmouth	34	10	9	15	34:44	-10	39
20	Blackburn	35	10	8	17	33:46	-13	38
21	West Brom	35	9	8	18	34:52	-18	35
22	Leicester	35	10	10	15	47:56	-9	34
23	Oxford Utd	35	7	11	17	31:47	-16	32
24	Sheffield Wed ✔	35	1	8	26	21:71	-50	-7

      Promotion ~ Premier League
      Promotion ~ Championship (Play Offs: Semi~finals)
      Relegation ~ League One

Clinched Spots for Teams

Sheffield Wed is Relegated to League One