Millwall vs Oxford United – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Football English League Championship Millwall - Oxford United
Result
0:1
01/01/2025 at 08:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
  • ENGLAND: Championship - Round 25
  • Referee: Ricardo R. (Eng)
  • Where to Watch on TV:
hungaryHungaryNet4+
united-kingdomUnited-kingdomSky Sports+
usaUsaParamount+

Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
0.990.65
Ball Possession
55%45%
Goal Attempts
158
Shots on Goal
42
Shots off Goal
83
Blocked Shots
33
Big Chances
12
Corner Kicks
34
Shots inside the Box
135
Shots outside the Box
23
Hit the Woodwork
00
Headed Goals
01
Goalkeeper Saves
14
Free Kicks
1115
Offsides
01
Fouls
1511
Yellow Cards
01
Throw-ins
2414
Touches in the Opposition Box
2714
Passes
80% (354/444)74% (272/370)
Passes in the final third
64% (92/143)56% (48/85)
Crosses
33% (8/24)25% (3/12)
Tackles
53% (9/17)65% (13/20)
Clearances Total
3038
Interceptions
103

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 0)
  • 2nd Half (0 - 1)
  • 46', Moore E. , Kioso P. ,
  • 57', 0 - 1, Rodrigues R. , Placheta P. (A),
  • 64', Brannagan C. 🟨,
  • 65', Watmore D. , Azeez F. ,
  • 69', Placheta P. , ter Avest H. ,
  • 69', Rodrigues R. , Phillips M. ,
  • 72', De Norre C. , Honeyman G. ,
  • 72', Langstaff M. , Bradshaw T. ,
  • 83', Harris M. , El Mizouni I. ,
  • 85', Saville G. , Wintle R. ,
  • 90', Goodrham T. , Sibley L. ,

Highlights

Chances of winning


Millwall
53.3%
Draw
27.7%
Oxford United
19%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
58.5% 24.5% 17%

Our Initial ML Estimation

60.5% 23.7% 16.4%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Millwall has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.2%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Millwall's form might have worsened.
  • Oxford United has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Millwall than the current prediction. (+7.2%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Millwall, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Oxford United than the current prediction. (-2.6%)
  • Millwall - Oxford United Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.79
    (1.6)
    3.43
    (3.81)
    5
    (5.48)
    5%
    (7.1%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.00
  • What is the prediction for Millwall - Oxford United?
  • Users Predictions: 43 users predict this event. Millwall will win (votes: 34 - 79.1%). Oxford will win (votes: 4 - 9.3%). It will Tie (votes: 5 - 11.6%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for Millwall: 66.9%91.3%.
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.
  • Preview Facts
    • In this match we will have an opportunity to see a game between team from the middle of a tournament table and a the outsider (ranked 13 and 20).
    • Last 5 head-to-head matches Millwall won 2.
    • Millwall is in unsatisfactory shape (in the last 5 games wins - 1).
    • Recent matches Oxford is playing uncertain (in the last 5 games wins - 2).
    • In this match Millwall is a favorite.
    • There will not play in Millwall: Cooper J. (Knee Injury) Scanlon C. (Lower Back Injury)
    • There will not play in Oxford: Bennett J. (Muscle Injury)
    • There are questionable in Oxford: Nelson B. (Injury)
    • Last 6 head-to-head matches Millwall won 2 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 6:10 (average 1:1.7).
    • Including matches at home between the teams Millwall won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 0:5 (average 0:2.5).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Millwall - Oxford United were as follows:
    30.11.2024 Oxford United - Millwall 1:1
    Latest results of Millwall
    29.12.2024 Coventry City - Millwall 0:0
    26.12.2024 Norwich City - Millwall 2:1
    14.12.2024 Middlesbrough - Millwall 1:0
    Latest results of Oxford United
    English League Championship Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Stoke22006:156
    2Middlesbrough22004:046
    3West Brom22004:226
    4Bristol City31205:235
    5Coventry21105:324
    6Birmingham21103:214
    7Hull21103:214
    8Preston21103:214
    9Southampton21103:214
    10Charlton21101:014
    11Leicester21013:303
    12Norwich21013:303
    13Portsmouth21012:203
    14Watford21012:203
    15Swansea21011:103
    16Millwall21012:4-23
    17Ipswich20202:202
    18QPR20112:3-11
    19Derby30125:9-41
    20Wrexham20023:5-20
    21Oxford Utd20022:4-20
    22Blackburn20021:3-20
    23Sheffield Utd20021:5-40
    24Sheffield Wed20021:5-40

          Promotion ~ Premier League
          Promotion ~ Championship (Play Offs: Semi~finals)
          Relegation ~ League One