Result
04/01/2026 at 06:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
Chances of winning
Penafiel 43.8% | Draw 29.2% | Paços de Ferreira 26.9% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Penafiel - Paços de Ferreira Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now (Initially) |
2.11 ↑ (2.1) |
3.17 ↓ (3.2) |
3.4 ↑ (3.36) |
8.3% (8.6%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
Preview Facts
- A mid-table team will face off against the outsider in this match (ranked 11 and 16 in the zone Liga Portugal 2 (Relegation)).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Penafiel won 1.
- Both teams have been playing unpredictably.
- Paços de Ferreira may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
- Penafiel will hold a modest advantage in this match.
- In the last 11 head-to-head matches, Penafiel won 1 match, drew 4 matches, lost 6 matches, and goals 12:17. (average 1.1:1.5).
- Including home matches between the teams, Penafiel won 0 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 4:7. (average 0.8:1.4).
How many head-to-head matches has Penafiel won against Paços de Ferreira?
Penafiel has won 1 of their last 5 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Paços de Ferreira won against Penafiel?
Paços de Ferreira has won 2 of their last 5 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Penafiel - Paços de Ferreira were as follows:
08.02.2025
Penafiel
-
Paços de Ferreira
1:2
01.09.2024
Paços de Ferreira
-
Penafiel
1:3
20.04.2024
Penafiel
-
Paços de Ferreira
1:1
09.12.2023
Paços de Ferreira
-
Penafiel
2:1
15.07.2023
Paços de Ferreira
-
Penafiel
1:1
Latest results of Penafiel
Latest results of Paços de Ferreira
Portuguese Liga 2 Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Maritimo | 16 | 10 | 3 | 3 | 24:11 | 13 | 33 |
| 2 | Sporting CP B | 15 | 9 | 2 | 4 | 24:9 | 15 | 29 |
| 3 | Academico Viseu | 16 | 7 | 5 | 4 | 29:18 | 11 | 26 |
| 4 | Chaves | 16 | 7 | 5 | 4 | 19:12 | 7 | 26 |
| 5 | Vizela | 15 | 6 | 6 | 3 | 19:14 | 5 | 24 |
| 6 | Leiria | 15 | 6 | 5 | 4 | 19:17 | 2 | 23 |
| 7 | Lusitania FC | 16 | 6 | 5 | 5 | 23:23 | 0 | 23 |
| 8 | Benfica B | 16 | 5 | 6 | 5 | 24:23 | 1 | 21 |
| 9 | Torreense | 16 | 6 | 2 | 8 | 19:20 | -1 | 20 |
| 10 | SC Farense | 16 | 5 | 5 | 6 | 15:20 | -5 | 20 |
| 11 | Penafiel | 16 | 5 | 4 | 7 | 15:16 | -1 | 19 |
| 12 | Felgueiras | 15 | 5 | 4 | 6 | 18:22 | -4 | 19 |
| 13 | Oliveirense | 15 | 4 | 6 | 5 | 15:17 | -2 | 18 |
| 14 | Feirense | 15 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 16:17 | -1 | 17 |
| 15 | FC Porto B | 15 | 5 | 2 | 8 | 14:22 | -8 | 17 |
| 16 | Pacos Ferreira | 16 | 3 | 7 | 6 | 16:23 | -7 | 16 |
| 17 | Leixoes | 16 | 5 | 1 | 10 | 18:34 | -16 | 16 |
| 18 | Portimonense | 15 | 4 | 3 | 8 | 17:26 | -9 | 15 |
Promotion ~ Liga Portugal
Promotion ~ Liga Portugal (Promotion: )
Liga Portugal 2 (Relegation)
Relegation ~ Liga 3