Penafiel vs Paços de Ferreira – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

04/01/2026 at 06:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))

Chances of winning


Penafiel
44.3%
Draw
29.2%
Paços de Ferreira
26.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
43.9% 28.8% 27.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

44.5% 28.4% 27%

Penafiel - Paços de Ferreira Odds

1 X 2 Marga
Avarage Now
(Initially)
2.08
(2.1)
3.18
(3.2)
3.45
(3.36)
8.5%
(8.6%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
Preview Facts
  • A mid-table team will face off against the outsider in this match (ranked 11 and 16 in the zone Liga Portugal 2 (Relegation)).
  • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Penafiel won 1.
  • Both teams have been playing unpredictably.
  • Paços de Ferreira may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
  • Penafiel will hold a modest advantage in this match.
  • In the last 11 head-to-head matches, Penafiel won 1 match, drew 4 matches, lost 6 matches, and goals 12:17. (average 1.1:1.5).
  • Including home matches between the teams, Penafiel won 0 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 4:7. (average 0.8:1.4).
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Penafiel - Paços de Ferreira were as follows:
08.02.2025 Penafiel - Paços de Ferreira 1:2
01.09.2024 Paços de Ferreira - Penafiel 1:3
20.04.2024 Penafiel - Paços de Ferreira 1:1
09.12.2023 Paços de Ferreira - Penafiel 2:1
15.07.2023 Paços de Ferreira - Penafiel 1:1
Latest results of Penafiel
21.12.2025 Penafiel - Torreense 1:0
12.12.2025 Porto B - Penafiel 1:0
05.12.2025 Penafiel - Leiria 1:0
23.11.2025 Marítimo - Penafiel 2:1
Latest results of Paços de Ferreira
Portuguese Liga 2 Table
2025/26
PlWDLDiffPts
1Maritimo16103324:111333
2Sporting CP B1592424:91529
3Academico Viseu1675429:181126
4Chaves1675419:12726
5Vizela1566319:14524
6Leiria1565419:17223
7Lusitania FC1665523:23023
8Benfica B1656524:23121
9Torreense1662819:20-120
10SC Farense1655615:20-520
11Penafiel1654715:16-119
12Felgueiras1554618:22-419
13Oliveirense1546515:17-218
14Feirense1545616:17-117
15FC Porto B1552814:22-817
16Pacos Ferreira1637616:23-716
17Leixoes16511018:34-1616
18Portimonense1543817:26-915

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