Result
16/08/2025 at 10:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Meistriliiga - Round 24
- Referee: Maalinn R. (Est)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Estonia | Soccernet TV |
Chances of winning
Paide LM
71.1% | Draw
18.1% | Kuressaare
10.8% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Paide LM has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.1%)Kuressaare has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.3%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Paide LM than the current prediction. (+2.4%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Kuressaare than the current prediction. (+0.7%)
Paide LM - Kuressaare Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.3 ↓
(1.32) |
5.09 ↓
(5.15) |
8.5 ↑
(7.65) |
8.6%
(8.2%) | |
The most likely Over/Under: 3.00
Preview Facts
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Paide won 4.
- In recent matches, Paide has shown inconsistent form (last 5 games: 2 wins).
- Kuressaare is currently in poor form (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).
- Kuressaare may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
- Recently, Kuressaare has had a series of home games.
- In this match, Paide is the undisputed favorite.
- In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Paide won 12 matches, drew 5 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 40:21. (average 2:1.1).
- Including home matches between the teams, Paide won 6 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 18:9. (average 1.8:0.9).
How many head-to-head matches has Paide LM won against Kuressaare?
Paide LM has won 11 of their last 15 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Kuressaare won against Paide LM?
Kuressaare has won 2 of their last 15 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Paide LM - Kuressaare were as follows:
13.08.2025
Kuressaare
-
Paide LM
1:2
04.05.2025
Paide LM
-
Kuressaare
1:1
02.03.2025
Kuressaare
-
Paide LM
1:2
23.11.2024
Paide LM
-
Kuressaare
2:1
21.09.2024
Paide LM
-
Kuressaare
4:3
Latest results of Paide LM
Latest results of Kuressaare
Estonian Meistriliiga Table
2025 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Levadia | 22 | 17 | 2 | 3 | 53:16 | 37 | 53 |
| 2 | Flora | 22 | 15 | 3 | 4 | 46:19 | 27 | 48 |
| 3 | Paide | 23 | 14 | 3 | 6 | 37:20 | 17 | 45 |
| 4 | Kalju | 23 | 14 | 2 | 7 | 47:27 | 20 | 44 |
| 5 | Narva | 23 | 12 | 3 | 8 | 41:29 | 12 | 39 |
| 6 | Parnu JK Vaprus | 24 | 9 | 6 | 9 | 41:33 | 8 | 33 |
| 7 | Tammeka | 24 | 6 | 1 | 17 | 30:59 | -29 | 19 |
| 8 | Harju JK Laagri | 23 | 5 | 4 | 14 | 26:47 | -21 | 19 |
| 9 | Kuressaare | 23 | 5 | 2 | 16 | 23:46 | -23 | 17 |
| 10 | Tallinna Kalev | 23 | 4 | 2 | 17 | 23:71 | -48 | 14 |
Promotion ~ Champions League (Qualification: )
Promotion ~ Conference League (Qualification: )
Meistriliiga (Relegation)
Relegation ~ Esiliiga
