Result
5:1
16/08/2025 at 10:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Meistriliiga - Round 24
- Referee: Maalinn R. (Est)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Estonia | Soccernet TV |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 66% | 34% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 28 | 7 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 15 | 3 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 5 | 1 |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 28 | 7 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 15 | 3 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 13 | 4 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 5 | 1 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 2 | 10 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (3 - 1)
- 15', 1 - 0, Willian Lins ⚽, Suso M. (A),
- 20', 1 - 1, Pajunurm M. (Pen),
- 29', 2 - 1, Cham P. A. ⚽, Lilander M. (A),
- 33', 3 - 1, Anier H. ⚽,
- 38', Cham P. A. 🟨,
- 2nd Half (2 - 0)
- 46', Victor Hugo ↓, Saliste J. ↑,
- 58', Smirnov A. ↓, Domov P. ↑,
- 58', Pevtsov G. ↓, Vahermagi J. ↑,
- 58', Anier H. ↓, Gilmore L. ↑,
- 58', Hoim O. ↓, Corr P. ↑,
- 59', 4 - 1, Gueye M. ⚽, Hoim O. (A),
- 63', Willian Lins ↓, Luts S. ↑,
- 68', Leivategija M. ↓, Visse A. ↑,
- 68', Demidov E. ↓, Jermatsenko A. ↑,
- 71', Cham P. A. ↓, Soo S. ↑,
- 84', Iljin A. ↓, Sinilaid S. ↑,
- 87', 5 - 1, Corr P. ⚽, Miller M. (A),
Chances of winning
Paide LM
70.7% | Draw
18.1% | Kuressaare
11.2% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Paide LM has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.7%)Kuressaare has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.9%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Paide LM than the current prediction. (+2.8%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Kuressaare than the current prediction. (+0.3%)
Paide LM - Kuressaare Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.3 ↓
(1.32) |
5.08 ↓
(5.15) |
8.22 ↑
(7.65) |
8.7%
(8.2%) | |
The most likely Over/Under: 3.00
What is the prediction for Paide LM - Kuressaare?
High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 1 high ROI users predict this event. Tie (votes: 1 - 100%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 2:0.
Preview Facts
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Paide won 4.
- Recent performances by Paide have been up and down (last 5 games: 2 wins).
- Kuressaare is going through a rough patch (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).
- Paide may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
- Recently, Kuressaare has had a series of home games.
- In this match, Paide is the undeniable favorite.
- In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Paide won 12 matches, drew 5 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 40:21. (average 2:1.1).
- Including home matches between the teams, Paide won 6 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 18:9. (average 1.8:0.9).
How many head-to-head matches has Paide LM won against Kuressaare?
Paide LM has won 11 of their last 15 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Kuressaare won against Paide LM?
Kuressaare has won 2 of their last 15 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Paide LM - Kuressaare were as follows:
13.08.2025
Kuressaare
-
Paide LM
1:2
04.05.2025
Paide LM
-
Kuressaare
1:1
02.03.2025
Kuressaare
-
Paide LM
1:2
23.11.2024
Paide LM
-
Kuressaare
2:1
21.09.2024
Paide LM
-
Kuressaare
4:3
Latest results of Paide LM
Latest results of Kuressaare
Estonian Meistriliiga Table
2025 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Levadia | 25 | 19 | 2 | 4 | 63:21 | 42 | 59 |
| 2 | Flora | 25 | 18 | 3 | 4 | 55:21 | 34 | 57 |
| 3 | Paide | 26 | 16 | 3 | 7 | 43:22 | 21 | 51 |
| 4 | Kalju | 25 | 15 | 2 | 8 | 50:29 | 21 | 47 |
| 5 | Narva | 26 | 14 | 3 | 9 | 46:33 | 13 | 45 |
| 6 | Parnu JK Vaprus | 26 | 11 | 6 | 9 | 45:34 | 11 | 39 |
| 7 | Tammeka | 26 | 7 | 1 | 18 | 33:60 | -27 | 22 |
| 8 | Harju JK Laagri | 25 | 5 | 4 | 16 | 27:53 | -26 | 19 |
| 9 | Kuressaare | 26 | 5 | 2 | 19 | 25:55 | -30 | 17 |
| 10 | Tallinna Kalev | 26 | 4 | 2 | 20 | 24:83 | -59 | 14 |
Promotion ~ Champions League (Qualification: )
Promotion ~ Conference League (Qualification: )
Meistriliiga (Relegation)
Relegation ~ Esiliiga
