Result
2:1
04/05/2025 at 09:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Serie B - Round 37
- Referee: Aureliano G. (Ita)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Italy | DAZN Italia |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.95 | 2.45 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 39% | 61% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 12 | 19 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 5 | 6 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 2 | 7 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 6 | 4 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 79% (230/291) | 88% (405/461) |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 2 | 2 |
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.95 | 2.45 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 1.71 | 1.66 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 12 | 19 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 5 | 6 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 6 | 8 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 1 | 5 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 10 | 15 |
| Shots outside the Box |
|---|
| 2 | 4 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
|---|
| 1 | 1 |
| Headed Goals |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 2 | 7 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 6 | 4 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 12 | 25 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 3 | 2 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 16 | 23 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 79% (230/291) | 88% (405/461) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 34% (16/47) | 58% (22/38) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 70% (43/61) | 68% (75/111) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 23% (3/13) | 32% (8/25) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 0.40 | 1.16 |
| Throw-ins |
|---|
| 13 | 19 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 23 | 16 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 57% (8/14) | 50% (4/8) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 43 | 38 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 26 | 10 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 2 | 1 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 5 | 3 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 1.66 | 1.71 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| 0.47 | -0.29 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (1 - 1)
- 37', 1 - 0, Calo G. ⚽, Prestia G. (A),
- 41', Pierozzi N. 🟨,
- 45+2', Diakite S. 🟨,
- 45+5', Pohjanpalo J. (Pen),
- 45+6', 1 - 1, Pierozzi N. ⚽, Ranocchia F. (A),
- 2nd Half (1 - 0)
- 46', 2 - 1, Saric D. ⚽, Ceesay J. (A),
- 53', Piacentini M. 🟨,
- 57', Le Douaron J. ↓, Brunori M. ↑,
- 57', Verre V. ↓, Segre J. ↑,
- 57', Lund K. ↓, Di Francesco F. ↑,
- 61', Piacentini M. ↓, Ciofi A. ↑,
- 75', Ranocchia F. ↓, Insigne R. ↑,
- 78', Berti T. ↓, Antonucci M. ↑,
- 78', Bastoni S. ↓, Mendicino L. ↑,
- 80', Ceesay J. 🟨,
- 82', Diakite S. ↓, Di Mariano F. ↑,
- 86', Ceesay J. ↓, Donnarumma D. ↑,
- 86', Mangraviti M. ↓, Pieraccini S. ↑,
Chances of winning
Cesena
34.5% | Draw
31.4% | Palermo
34.1% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Cesena has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.5%)Palermo has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.1%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Cesena than the current prediction. (+3%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Palermo than the current prediction. (-1.5%)
Cesena - Palermo Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
2.73 ↑
(2.6) |
3 ↓
(3.12) |
2.79 ↑
(2.75) |
5.8%
(6.8%) | |
The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
What is the prediction for Cesena - Palermo?
Users Predictions:
9 users predict this event. Cesena will win (votes: 1 - 11.1%). Palermo will win (votes: 5 - 55.6%). It will Tie (votes: 3 - 33.3%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Palermo: 23.1% – 88.1%. The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
Preview Facts
- Watch a clash between a mid-table side and a current leader (ranked 10 and 6 in the zone Promotion ~ Serie B (Play Offs: Quarter~finals)).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Cesena won 0.
- Cesena is currently in poor form (last 5 games: 0 wins).
- In recent matches, Palermo has shown inconsistent performance (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).
- Palermo may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
- The chances of victory for both teams are nearly identical in this match.
- There will not play in Cesena: Adamo E.
(Yellow Cards)
Ciofi A.
(Inactive)
Francesconi M.
(Red Card)
Pieraccini S.
(Inactive)
Russo F.
(Inactive)
- There will not play in Palermo: Gomis A.
(Injury)
- In the last 8 head-to-head matches, Cesena won 0 matches, drew 6 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 5:7. (average 0.6:0.9).
- Including home matches between the teams, Cesena won 0 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 3:3. (average 0.8:0.8).
How many head-to-head matches has Cesena won against Palermo?
Cesena has won 0 of their last 1 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Palermo won against Cesena?
Palermo has won 0 of their last 1 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Cesena - Palermo were as follows:
21.09.2024
Palermo
-
Cesena
0:0
Latest results of Palermo
Italian Serie B Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Cesena | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 4:2 | 2 | 4 |
| 2 | Sudtirol | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 4:2 | 2 | 4 |
| 3 | Modena | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 3:1 | 2 | 4 |
| 4 | Frosinone | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2:0 | 2 | 4 |
| 5 | Carrarese | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2:0 | 2 | 4 |
| 6 | Monza | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2:1 | 1 | 4 |
| 7 | Venezia | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2:1 | 1 | 4 |
| 8 | Palermo | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2:1 | 1 | 4 |
| 9 | Reggiana | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 4:3 | 1 | 3 |
| 10 | Empoli | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 4:4 | 0 | 3 |
| 11 | Mantova | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2:2 | 0 | 3 |
| 12 | Entella | 2 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 2:2 | 0 | 2 |
| 13 | Juve Stabia | 2 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 1:1 | 0 | 2 |
| 14 | Catanzaro | 2 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 1:1 | 0 | 2 |
| 15 | Bari | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2:3 | -1 | 1 |
| 16 | Avellino | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1:3 | -2 | 1 |
| 17 | Padova | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1:3 | -2 | 1 |
| 18 | Spezia | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0:2 | -2 | 1 |
| 19 | Pescara | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2:5 | -3 | 0 |
| 20 | Sampdoria | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1:5 | -4 | 0 |
Promotion ~ Serie A
Promotion ~ Serie B (Play Offs: Semi~finals)
Promotion ~ Serie B (Play Offs: Quarter~finals)
Serie B (Play Out: )
Relegation
