Result
1:1
27/09/2025 at 09:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Serie B - Round 5
- Referee: Massa D. (Ita)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Italy | Amazon Prime Video, DAZN Italia, LAB Channel |
 World | Onefootball |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.52 | 1.00 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 50% | 50% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 13 | 10 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 2 | 2 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 1 | 5 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 2 | 1 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 82% (363/441) | 78% (342/436) |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 2 | 1 |
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.52 | 1.00 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 0.97 | 1.25 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 13 | 10 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 2 | 2 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 8 | 4 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 3 | 4 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 10 | 9 |
| Shots outside the Box |
|---|
| 3 | 1 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 1 | 5 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 2 | 1 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 18 | 21 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 1 | 1 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 14 | 14 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 82% (363/441) | 78% (342/436) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 35% (18/52) | 36% (21/59) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 73% (74/102) | 70% (71/102) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 45% (5/11) | 30% (8/27) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 0.73 | 1.26 |
| Throw-ins |
|---|
| 13 | 18 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 14 | 14 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 56% (5/9) | 78% (7/9) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 47 | 47 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 40 | 14 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 10 | 8 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 1 | 1 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 1.25 | 0.97 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| 0.25 | -0.03 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (1 - 0)
- 13', Zaro G. 🟨,
- 34', 1 - 0, Blesa J. ⚽,
- 2nd Half (0 - 1)
- 46', Segre J. ↓, Blin A. ↑,
- 56', 1 - 1, Bani M. ⚽, Augello T. (A),
- 57', Castagnetti M. 🟨,
- 62', Castagnetti M. ↓, Bastoni S. ↑,
- 62', Shpendi C. ↓, Balde S. ↑,
- 64', Le Douaron J. ↓, Brunori M. ↑,
- 64', Gyasi E. ↓, Peda P. ↑,
- 68', Blin A. 🟨,
- 69', Palumbo A. ↓, Giovane S. ↑,
- 70', Berti T. ↓, Bisoli D. ↑,
- 70', Ciervo R. ↓, Guidi M. ↑,
- 82', Gomes C. ↓, Vasic A. ↑,
- 86', Ciofi A. ↓, Piacentini M. ↑,
Chances of winning
Cesena
35.9% | Draw
32.3% | Palermo
31.8% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Cesena has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.4%)Palermo has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.3%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Cesena than the current prediction. (-1.1%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Palermo than the current prediction. (+3%)
Cesena - Palermo Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
2.7 ↓
(2.84) |
3.11 ↓
(3.13) |
3.35 ↑
(2.64) |
-0.8%
(5.1%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
What is the prediction for Cesena - Palermo?
Users Predictions:
11 users predict this event. Cesena will win (votes: 2 - 18.2%). Palermo will win (votes: 2 - 18.2%). It will Tie (votes: 7 - 63.6%).
Confidence interval (95%) for a draw: 35.2% – 92%.High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 7 high ROI users predict this event. Tie (votes: 7 - 100%).Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:- O/U 2.5 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .
- BTTS - yes (votes: 1 - 100%) .
The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
Preview Facts
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Cesena won 1.
- Now, both teams are in good form.
- Palermo may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
- In this match, both teams are almost equally likely to win.
- There will not play in Cesena: Frabotta G.
(Inactive)
- There will not play in Palermo: Bardi F.
(Inactive)
Gomis A.
(Arm Injury)
- There are questionable in Cesena: Ciervo R.
(Injury)
- In the last 9 head-to-head matches, Cesena won 1 match, drew 6 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 7:8. (average 0.8:0.9).
- Including home matches between the teams, Cesena won 1 match, drew 4 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 5:4. (average 1:0.8).
How many head-to-head matches has Cesena won against Palermo?
Cesena has won 1 of their last 2 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Palermo won against Cesena?
Palermo has won 0 of their last 2 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Cesena - Palermo were as follows:
04.05.2025
Cesena
-
Palermo
2:1
21.09.2024
Palermo
-
Cesena
0:0
Latest results of Palermo
Italian Serie B Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Venezia | 31 | 20 | 7 | 4 | 63:26 | 37 | 67 |
| 2 | Monza | 31 | 19 | 7 | 5 | 49:25 | 24 | 64 |
| 3 | Frosinone | 31 | 17 | 11 | 3 | 59:31 | 28 | 62 |
| 4 | Palermo | 31 | 16 | 10 | 5 | 51:27 | 24 | 58 |
| 5 | Catanzaro | 30 | 14 | 10 | 6 | 48:35 | 13 | 52 |
| 6 | Modena | 30 | 13 | 8 | 9 | 40:24 | 16 | 47 |
| 7 | Juve Stabia | 31 | 9 | 15 | 7 | 35:37 | -2 | 42 |
| 8 | Cesena | 31 | 11 | 7 | 13 | 38:46 | -8 | 40 |
| 9 | Avellino | 31 | 10 | 9 | 12 | 36:49 | -13 | 39 |
| 10 | Sudtirol | 31 | 8 | 14 | 9 | 33:32 | 1 | 38 |
| 11 | Carrarese | 31 | 8 | 12 | 11 | 38:42 | -4 | 36 |
| 12 | Padova | 31 | 8 | 10 | 13 | 32:42 | -10 | 34 |
| 13 | Mantova | 31 | 9 | 7 | 15 | 35:46 | -11 | 34 |
| 14 | Empoli | 31 | 7 | 12 | 12 | 39:45 | -6 | 33 |
| 15 | Sampdoria | 31 | 7 | 10 | 14 | 29:42 | -13 | 31 |
| 16 | Bari | 31 | 7 | 10 | 14 | 30:47 | -17 | 31 |
| 17 | Entella | 31 | 7 | 10 | 14 | 28:45 | -17 | 31 |
| 18 | Spezia | 31 | 7 | 9 | 15 | 30:43 | -13 | 30 |
| 19 | Reggiana | 31 | 7 | 9 | 15 | 30:46 | -16 | 30 |
| 20 | Pescara | 31 | 6 | 11 | 14 | 41:54 | -13 | 29 |
Promotion ~ Serie A
Promotion ~ Serie B (Play Offs: Semi~finals)
Promotion ~ Serie B (Play Offs: Quarter~finals)
Serie B (Play Out: )
Relegation
