Cesena vs Palermo – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Football Italian Serie B Cesena - Palermo
Result
1:1
27/09/2025 at 09:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • Serie B - Round 5
  • Referee: Massa D. (Ita)
  • Where to Watch on TV:
italyItalyAmazon Prime Video, DAZN Italia, LAB Channel
worldWorldOnefootball

Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
1.521.00
Ball Possession
50%50%
Total shots
1310
Shots on target
22
Big Chances
15
Corner Kicks
21
Passes
82% (363/441)78% (342/436)
Yellow Cards
21
Expected Goals (xG)
1.521.00
xG on target (xGOT)
0.971.25
Total shots
1310
Shots on target
22
Shots off target
84
Blocked Shots
34
Shots inside the Box
109
Shots outside the Box
31
Hit the Woodwork
01
Big Chances
15
Corner Kicks
21
Touches in opposition box
1821
Accurate through passes
00
Offsides
11
Free Kicks
1414
Passes
82% (363/441)78% (342/436)
Long passes
35% (18/52)36% (21/59)
Passes in final third
73% (74/102)70% (71/102)
Crosses
45% (5/11)30% (8/27)
Expected assists (xA)
0.731.26
Throw-ins
1318
Fouls
1414
Tackles
56% (5/9)78% (7/9)
Duels won
4747
Clearances
4014
Interceptions
108
Errors leading to shot
00
Errors leading to goal
00
Goalkeeper Saves
11
xGOT faced
1.250.97
Goals prevented
0.25-0.03

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (1 - 0)
  • 13', Zaro G. 🟨,
  • 34', 1 - 0, Blesa J. ,
  • 2nd Half (0 - 1)
  • 46', Segre J. , Blin A. ,
  • 56', 1 - 1, Bani M. , Augello T. (A),
  • 57', Castagnetti M. 🟨,
  • 62', Castagnetti M. , Bastoni S. ,
  • 62', Shpendi C. , Balde S. ,
  • 64', Le Douaron J. , Brunori M. ,
  • 64', Gyasi E. , Peda P. ,
  • 68', Blin A. 🟨,
  • 69', Palumbo A. , Giovane S. ,
  • 70', Berti T. , Bisoli D. ,
  • 70', Ciervo R. , Guidi M. ,
  • 82', Gomes C. , Vasic A. ,
  • 86', Ciofi A. , Piacentini M. ,

Highlights

Chances of winning


Cesena
35.9%
Draw
32.3%
Palermo
31.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
33.5% 30.4% 36.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

34.8% 31.5% 34.8%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Cesena has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.4%)
  • Palermo has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.3%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Cesena than the current prediction. (-1.1%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Palermo than the current prediction. (+3%)
  • Cesena - Palermo Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    2.7
    (2.84)
    3.11
    (3.13)
    3.35
    (2.64)
    -0.8%
    (5.1%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
  • What is the prediction for Cesena - Palermo?
  • Users Predictions: 11 users predict this event. Cesena will win (votes: 2 - 18.2%). Palermo will win (votes: 2 - 18.2%). It will Tie (votes: 7 - 63.6%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for a draw: 35.2%92%.
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 3 high ROI users predict this event. Tie (votes: 3 - 100%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
  • Preview Facts
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Cesena won 1.
    • Now, both teams are in good form.
    • Palermo may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
    • In this match, both teams are almost equally likely to win.
    • There will not play in Cesena: Frabotta G. (Inactive)
    • There will not play in Palermo: Bardi F. (Inactive) Gomis A. (Arm Injury)
    • There are questionable in Cesena: Ciervo R. (Injury)
    • In the last 9 head-to-head matches, Cesena won 1 match, drew 6 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 7:8. (average 0.8:0.9).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Cesena won 1 match, drew 4 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 5:4. (average 1:0.8).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Cesena - Palermo were as follows:
    04.05.2025 Cesena - Palermo 2:1
    21.09.2024 Palermo - Cesena 0:0
    Latest results of Cesena
    20.09.2025 Venezia - Cesena 1:2
    13.09.2025 Sampdoria - Cesena 1:2
    30.08.2025 Cesena - Virtus Entella 1:1
    22.08.2025 Pescara - Cesena 1:3
    17.08.2025 Cesena - Pisa 0:1
    Latest results of Palermo
    23.09.2025 Udinese - Palermo 2:1
    19.09.2025 Palermo - Bari 2:0
    30.08.2025 Palermo - Frosinone 0:0
    23.08.2025 Palermo - Reggiana 2:1
    Italian Serie B Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Frosinone532010:3711
    2Palermo53207:2511
    3Cesena53209:5411
    4Modena43109:2710
    5Avellino53119:7210
    6Sudtirol52219:728
    7Venezia52217:528
    8Juve Stabia51406:427
    9Monza52124:407
    10Padova52124:5-17
    11Carrarese41216:515
    12Catanzaro50506:605
    13Reggiana51227:8-15
    14Entella51224:6-25
    15Pescara41128:714
    16Empoli41125:9-44
    17Mantova51044:11-73
    18Bari50233:9-62
    19Spezia50232:8-62
    20Sampdoria50143:9-61

          Promotion ~ Serie A
          Promotion ~ Serie B (Play Offs: Semi~finals)
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