Result
2:0
18/04/2026 at 11:15 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Serie B - Round 35
- Referee: Collu G. (Ita)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Italy | DAZN Italia, LAB Channel |
 World | Onefootball |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 2.11 | 1.35 |
| Ball possession |
|---|
| 39% | 61% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 17 | 14 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 3 | 3 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 3 | 3 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 6 | 6 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 86% (318/368) | 90% (547/611) |
| Yellow cards |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 2.11 | 1.35 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 1.75 | 0.20 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 17 | 14 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 3 | 3 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 11 | 6 |
| Blocked shots |
|---|
| 3 | 5 |
| Shots inside the box |
|---|
| 14 | 6 |
| Shots outside the box |
|---|
| 3 | 8 |
| Hit the woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Headed goals |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 3 | 3 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 6 | 6 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 23 | 21 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Free kicks |
|---|
| 5 | 14 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 86% (318/368) | 90% (547/611) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 50% (24/48) | 53% (19/36) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 81% (96/118) | 78% (101/129) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 32% (9/28) | 24% (4/17) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 1.80 | 1.12 |
| Throw ins |
|---|
| 15 | 13 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 14 | 5 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 64% (9/14) | 75% (9/12) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 30 | 47 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 16 | 19 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 9 | 7 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 2 | 1 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper saves |
|---|
| 3 | 1 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 0.20 | 1.75 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| 0.20 | -0.25 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (1 - 0)
- 9', 1 - 0, Pohjanpalo J. ⚽, Le Douaron J. (A),
- 41', Cerri A. 🟨,
- 2nd Half (1 - 0)
- 71', 2 - 0, Pohjanpalo J. ⚽, Modesto R. (A),
- 72', Corazza T. ↓, Frabotta G. ↑,
- 72', Castagnetti M. ↓, Castrovilli G. ↑,
- 72', Cerri A. ↓, Ciervo R. ↑,
- 74', Palumbo A. ↓, Giovane S. ↑,
- 74', Le Douaron J. ↓, Gyasi E. ↑,
- 78', Olivieri M. ↓, Vrioni G. ↑,
- 80', Segre J. ↓, Vasic A. ↑,
- 80', Modesto R. ↓, Magnani G. ↑,
- 88', Pohjanpalo J. ↓, Corona G. ↑,
- 90', Berti T. ↓, Arrigoni T. ↑,
Chances of winning
Palermo
58.1% | Draw
23.6% | Cesena
18.3% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Palermo has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.7%)The chances for Cesena have remained the same compared to the initial analysis.ML Model estimates a higher probability for Palermo than the current prediction. (+0.7%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Cesena than the current prediction. (-0.4%)
Palermo - Cesena Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.62 ↑
(1.59) |
4.01 ↑
(3.77) |
5.13 ↑
(4.98) |
6.1%
(9.4%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.75
What is the prediction for Palermo - Cesena?
Users Predictions:
Palermo will win
(10 of 10 users predict this - 100%).
Confidence interval (95%): 100% – 100%. The most likely score by Bookmakers is 2:1.
Preview Facts
- Get ready for a battle between the top and the middle of the table (ranked 4 in the zone Promotion ~ Serie B (Play Offs: Semi~finals) and 8 in the zone Promotion ~ Serie B (Play Offs: Quarter~finals)).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Palermo won 0.
- Both teams have been playing unpredictably.
- Palermo may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
- In this match, Palermo is a strong favorite.
- There will not play in Palermo: Corona G.
(Inactive)
Johnsen D.
(Inactive)
Peda P.
(Yellow Cards)
- There are questionable in Palermo: Pierozzi N.
(Injury)
- There are questionable in Cesena: Castrovilli G.
(Inactive)
Cerri A.
(Injury)
- In the last 10 head-to-head matches, Palermo won 2 matches, drew 7 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 9:8. (average 0.9:0.8).
- Including home matches between the teams, Palermo won 2 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 4:2. (average 1:0.5).
How many head-to-head matches has Palermo won against Cesena?
Palermo has won 0 of their last 3 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Cesena won against Palermo?
Cesena has won 1 of their last 3 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Palermo - Cesena were as follows:
27.09.2025
Cesena
-
Palermo
1:1
04.05.2025
Cesena
-
Palermo
2:1
21.09.2024
Palermo
-
Cesena
0:0
Latest results of Palermo
Italian Serie B Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Venezia | 36 | 23 | 9 | 4 | 73:29 | 44 | 78 |
| 2 | Monza | 36 | 22 | 9 | 5 | 57:27 | 30 | 75 |
| 3 | Frosinone | 36 | 21 | 12 | 3 | 70:34 | 36 | 75 |
| 4 | Palermo | 36 | 19 | 12 | 5 | 58:29 | 29 | 69 |
| 5 | Catanzaro ✔ | 36 | 15 | 14 | 7 | 58:45 | 13 | 59 |
| 6 | Modena ✔ | 36 | 14 | 10 | 12 | 47:34 | 13 | 52 |
| 7 | Juve Stabia | 36 | 11 | 17 | 8 | 43:43 | 0 | 50 |
| 8 | Avellino | 36 | 12 | 10 | 14 | 42:54 | -12 | 46 |
| 9 | Cesena | 36 | 12 | 9 | 15 | 42:52 | -10 | 45 |
| 10 | Carrarese | 36 | 10 | 13 | 13 | 46:50 | -4 | 43 |
| 11 | Mantova | 36 | 12 | 7 | 17 | 42:50 | -8 | 43 |
| 12 | Sampdoria | 36 | 10 | 11 | 15 | 34:47 | -13 | 41 |
| 13 | Sudtirol | 36 | 8 | 16 | 12 | 37:46 | -9 | 40 |
| 14 | Padova | 36 | 10 | 10 | 16 | 34:46 | -12 | 40 |
| 15 | Entella | 36 | 9 | 12 | 15 | 34:48 | -14 | 39 |
| 16 | Empoli | 36 | 8 | 13 | 15 | 44:52 | -8 | 37 |
| 17 | Pescara | 36 | 7 | 13 | 16 | 50:64 | -14 | 34 |
| 18 | Bari | 36 | 8 | 10 | 18 | 33:58 | -25 | 34 |
| 19 | Reggiana | 36 | 8 | 10 | 18 | 34:54 | -20 | 34 |
| 20 | Spezia | 36 | 8 | 9 | 19 | 40:56 | -16 | 33 |
Promotion ~ Serie A
Promotion ~ Serie B (Play Offs: Semi~finals)
Promotion ~ Serie B (Play Offs: Quarter~finals)
Serie B (Play Out: )
Relegation
Clinched Spots for Teams
Catanzaro is Qualified for Serie B (Play Offs Quarter~finals)
Modena is Qualified for Serie B (Play Offs Quarter~finals)
