Result
01/05/2026 at 09:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Serie B - Round 37
- Referee: Allegretta C. G. (Ita)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Bosnia-and-herzegovina | Arena Sport 2 |
 Italy | DAZN Italia, LAB Channel |
 Kosovo | Arena Premium 3 |
 Serbia | Arena Premium 3 |
 Slovenia | Sport TV1 |
 Usa | FOX One, Fox Soccer Plus |
 World | Onefootball |
Chances of winning
Palermo
54.9% | Draw
24.3% | Catanzaro
20.8% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Palermo has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.5%)Catanzaro has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Palermo than the current prediction. (+4.2%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Catanzaro than the current prediction. (-1.9%)
Palermo - Catanzaro Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.71 ↑
(1.65) |
3.86 ↓
(3.91) |
4.53 ↓
(4.71) |
6.5%
(7.2%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.75
What is the prediction for Palermo - Catanzaro?
Users Predictions:
9 users predict this event. Palermo will win (votes: 7 - 77.8%). Catanzaro will win (votes: 1 - 11.1%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 11.1%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Palermo: 50.6% – 100%. The most likely score by Bookmakers is 2:1.
Preview Facts
- The most interesting match of the day — two teams from the very top of the table will face off (ranked 4 in the zone Promotion ~ Serie B (Play Offs: Semi~finals) and 5 in the zone Promotion ~ Serie B (Play Offs: Quarter~finals)).
- Catanzaro is Qualified for Serie B (Play Offs Quarter~finals)
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Palermo won 1.
- Palermo is undoubtedly in great shape (last 5 games: 3 wins).
- Catanzaro's form has been unstable in recent games (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).
- In this match, Palermo is seen as the favorite.
- There will not play in Palermo: Gomes C.
(Inactive)
- There will not play in Catanzaro: Cisse A.
(Muscle Injury)
D'Alessandro M.
(Muscle Injury)
Iemmello P.
(Injury)
- There are questionable in Catanzaro: Petriccione J.
(Injury)
- We predict that Palermo will win today's game, with odds of 1.59.
- In the last 10 head-to-head matches, Palermo won 1 match, drew 4 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 8:11. (average 0.8:1.1).
- Including home matches between the teams, Palermo won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 3 matches, and goals 3:6. (average 0.8:1.5).
How many head-to-head matches has Palermo won against Catanzaro?
Palermo has won 1 of their last 5 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Catanzaro won against Palermo?
Catanzaro has won 3 of their last 5 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Palermo - Catanzaro were as follows:
25.10.2025
Catanzaro
-
Palermo
1:0
27.04.2025
Catanzaro
-
Palermo
1:3
15.12.2024
Palermo
-
Catanzaro
1:2
26.01.2024
Catanzaro
-
Palermo
1:1
01.12.2023
Palermo
-
Catanzaro
1:2
Latest results of Palermo
Latest results of Catanzaro
Italian Serie B Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Venezia | 36 | 23 | 9 | 4 | 73:29 | 44 | 78 |
| 2 | Monza | 36 | 22 | 9 | 5 | 57:27 | 30 | 75 |
| 3 | Frosinone | 36 | 21 | 12 | 3 | 70:34 | 36 | 75 |
| 4 | Palermo | 36 | 19 | 12 | 5 | 58:29 | 29 | 69 |
| 5 | Catanzaro ✔ | 36 | 15 | 14 | 7 | 58:45 | 13 | 59 |
| 6 | Modena ✔ | 36 | 14 | 10 | 12 | 47:34 | 13 | 52 |
| 7 | Juve Stabia | 36 | 11 | 17 | 8 | 43:43 | 0 | 50 |
| 8 | Avellino | 36 | 12 | 10 | 14 | 42:54 | -12 | 46 |
| 9 | Cesena | 36 | 12 | 9 | 15 | 42:52 | -10 | 45 |
| 10 | Carrarese | 36 | 10 | 13 | 13 | 46:50 | -4 | 43 |
| 11 | Mantova | 36 | 12 | 7 | 17 | 42:50 | -8 | 43 |
| 12 | Sampdoria | 36 | 10 | 11 | 15 | 34:47 | -13 | 41 |
| 13 | Sudtirol | 36 | 8 | 16 | 12 | 37:46 | -9 | 40 |
| 14 | Padova | 36 | 10 | 10 | 16 | 34:46 | -12 | 40 |
| 15 | Entella | 36 | 9 | 12 | 15 | 34:48 | -14 | 39 |
| 16 | Empoli | 36 | 8 | 13 | 15 | 44:52 | -8 | 37 |
| 17 | Pescara | 36 | 7 | 13 | 16 | 50:64 | -14 | 34 |
| 18 | Bari | 36 | 8 | 10 | 18 | 33:58 | -25 | 34 |
| 19 | Reggiana | 36 | 8 | 10 | 18 | 34:54 | -20 | 34 |
| 20 | Spezia | 36 | 8 | 9 | 19 | 40:56 | -16 | 33 |
Promotion ~ Serie A
Promotion ~ Serie B (Play Offs: Semi~finals)
Promotion ~ Serie B (Play Offs: Quarter~finals)
Serie B (Play Out: )
Relegation
Clinched Spots for Teams
Catanzaro is Qualified for Serie B (Play Offs Quarter~finals)
Modena is Qualified for Serie B (Play Offs Quarter~finals)
