Result
1:2
12/12/2025 at 14:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
- Ligue 2 - Round 17
- Referee: Benchabane F. (Fra)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 France | beIN Connect, beIN Sports MAX 8, Free |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 2.23 | 1.71 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 61% | 39% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 16 | 8 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 4 | 5 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 3 | 3 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 8 | 2 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 85% (415/487) | 81% (264/325) |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 4 | 2 |
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 2.23 | 1.71 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 2.01 | 2.13 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 16 | 8 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 4 | 5 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 7 | 2 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 5 | 1 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 9 | 6 |
| Shots outside the Box |
|---|
| 7 | 2 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
|---|
| 1 | 1 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 3 | 3 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 8 | 2 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 29 | 11 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 1 | 3 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 16 | 24 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 85% (415/487) | 81% (264/325) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 50% (18/36) | 42% (19/45) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 76% (105/138) | 52% (31/60) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 36% (10/28) | 20% (2/10) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 1.17 | 0.38 |
| Throw-ins |
|---|
| 28 | 21 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 24 | 16 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 79% (11/14) | 70% (14/20) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 50 | 67 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 22 | 35 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 9 | 5 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 3 | 3 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 2.13 | 2.01 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| 0.13 | 1.01 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 1)
- 20', 0 - 1, Hamache I. ⚽, Lutin R. (A),
- 25', Ruiz J. 🟨,
- 29', Meddah D. 🟨,
- 31', Chabane A. 🟨,
- 2nd Half (1 - 1)
- 57', 1 - 1, Versini G. (Penalty Awarded),
- 61', Fall C. ↓, Bobichon A. ↑,
- 61', Dong K. ↓, Messi R. ↑,
- 70', Averlant T. ↓, Leautey A. ↑,
- 77', Pouilly T. ↓, Glossoa N. ↑,
- 77', Versini G. ↓, Zuliani E. ↑,
- 81', Hamache I. ↓, Rafii Y. ↑,
- 83', Glossoa N. 🟨,
- 86', Bakayoko S. 🟨,
- 90+4', Raveyre N. 🟨,
- 90+5', 1 - 2, Kaiboue K. (Penalty Awarded),
Chances of winning
Pau
60.8% | Draw
21.9% | Amiens
17.3% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Pau has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.1%)Amiens has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Pau than the current prediction. (-12.5%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Pau that the model has picked up on.ML Model estimates a higher probability for Amiens than the current prediction. (+3.6%)
Pau - Amiens Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.53 ↑
(1.51) |
4.29 ↑
(4.28) |
5.4 ↓
(5.72) |
7.2%
(7.1%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 3.00
What is the prediction for Pau - Amiens?
Users Predictions:
18 users predict this event. Pau will win (votes: 12 - 66.7%). Amiens will win (votes: 5 - 27.8%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 5.6%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Pau: 44.9% – 88.5%.High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 1 high ROI users predict this event. Amiens (votes: 1 - 100%). Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:- BTTS - yes (votes: 2 - 100%) .
- O/U 3 - over (votes: 1 - 50%) .
- O/U 1, 1st Half - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .
The most likely score by Bookmakers is 2:1.
Preview Facts
- One of the top teams will play against one of the outsiders (ranked 6 and 15).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Pau won 2.
- In recent matches, Pau has shown inconsistent form (last 5 games: 1 wins).
- Amiens is currently in poor form (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).
- In this match, Pau is the undisputed favorite.
- There will not play in Pau: Briancon A.
(Inactive)
Gasnier K.
(Inactive)
Gaspar J.
(Inactive)
Salles E.
(Inactive)
- There will not play in Amiens: Appiah A.
(Achilles Tendon Injury)
Kandil N.
(Knee Injury)
Lobry V.
(Knee Injury)
Manitu M.
(Inactive)
Mlakar J.
(Inactive)
Monconduit T.
(Inactive)
Rafii Y.
(Injury)
- There are questionable in Pau: Versini G.
(Injury)
- In the last 10 head-to-head matches, Pau won 5 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 14:13. (average 1.4:1.3).
- Including home matches between the teams, Pau won 4 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 7:4. (average 1.4:0.8).
How many head-to-head matches has Pau won against Amiens?
Pau has won 3 of their last 6 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Amiens won against Pau?
Amiens has won 3 of their last 6 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Pau - Amiens were as follows:
02.05.2025
Amiens
-
Pau
4:2
25.10.2024
Pau
-
Amiens
0:2
30.03.2024
Amiens
-
Pau
2:3
30.09.2023
Pau
-
Amiens
1:0
04.03.2023
Amiens
-
Pau
1:0
French Ligue 2 Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Troyes | 25 | 14 | 6 | 5 | 40:25 | 15 | 48 |
| 2 | St Etienne | 25 | 14 | 4 | 7 | 44:29 | 15 | 46 |
| 3 | Reims | 25 | 11 | 9 | 5 | 37:23 | 14 | 42 |
| 4 | Le Mans | 25 | 10 | 11 | 4 | 30:24 | 6 | 41 |
| 5 | Red Star | 25 | 11 | 8 | 6 | 30:25 | 5 | 41 |
| 6 | Annecy | 25 | 11 | 6 | 8 | 34:25 | 9 | 39 |
| 7 | Dunkerque | 25 | 10 | 8 | 7 | 41:27 | 14 | 38 |
| 8 | Rodez | 25 | 9 | 10 | 6 | 31:31 | 0 | 37 |
| 9 | Montpellier | 25 | 10 | 5 | 10 | 28:25 | 3 | 35 |
| 10 | Guingamp | 25 | 9 | 8 | 8 | 35:36 | -1 | 35 |
| 11 | Pau FC | 25 | 9 | 7 | 9 | 37:42 | -5 | 34 |
| 12 | Grenoble | 25 | 6 | 11 | 8 | 24:29 | -5 | 29 |
| 13 | Clermont | 25 | 7 | 7 | 11 | 29:33 | -4 | 28 |
| 14 | Nancy | 25 | 7 | 6 | 12 | 22:33 | -11 | 27 |
| 15 | Boulogne | 25 | 7 | 6 | 12 | 25:36 | -11 | 27 |
| 16 | Amiens | 25 | 6 | 5 | 14 | 28:41 | -13 | 23 |
| 17 | Laval | 25 | 3 | 10 | 12 | 19:35 | -16 | 19 |
| 18 | Bastia | 25 | 3 | 9 | 13 | 12:27 | -15 | 18 |
Promotion ~ Ligue 1
Promotion ~ Ligue 1 (Promotion ~ Play Offs: Final)
Promotion ~ Ligue 1 (Promotion ~ Play Offs: Semi~finals)
Ligue 2 (Relegation)
Relegation ~ National
