Pau vs Amiens – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
1:2
12/12/2025 at 14:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
  • Ligue 2 - Round 17
  • Referee: Benchabane F. (Fra)
  • Where to Watch on TV:
franceFrancebeIN Connect, beIN Sports MAX 8, Free

Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
2.231.71
Ball Possession
61%39%
Total shots
168
Shots on target
45
Big Chances
33
Corner Kicks
82
Passes
85% (415/487)81% (264/325)
Yellow Cards
42
Expected Goals (xG)
2.231.71
xG on target (xGOT)
2.012.13
Total shots
168
Shots on target
45
Shots off target
72
Blocked Shots
51
Shots inside the Box
96
Shots outside the Box
72
Hit the Woodwork
11
Big Chances
33
Corner Kicks
82
Touches in opposition box
2911
Accurate through passes
00
Offsides
13
Free Kicks
1624
Passes
85% (415/487)81% (264/325)
Long passes
50% (18/36)42% (19/45)
Passes in final third
76% (105/138)52% (31/60)
Crosses
36% (10/28)20% (2/10)
Expected assists (xA)
1.170.38
Throw-ins
2821
Fouls
2416
Tackles
79% (11/14)70% (14/20)
Duels won
5067
Clearances
2235
Interceptions
95
Errors leading to shot
00
Errors leading to goal
00
Goalkeeper Saves
33
xGOT faced
2.132.01
Goals prevented
0.131.01

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 1)
  • 20', 0 - 1, Hamache I. , Lutin R. (A),
  • 25', Ruiz J. 🟨,
  • 29', Meddah D. 🟨,
  • 31', Chabane A. 🟨,
  • 2nd Half (1 - 1)
  • 57', 1 - 1, Versini G. (Penalty Awarded),
  • 61', Fall C. , Bobichon A. ,
  • 61', Dong K. , Messi R. ,
  • 70', Averlant T. , Leautey A. ,
  • 77', Pouilly T. , Glossoa N. ,
  • 77', Versini G. , Zuliani E. ,
  • 81', Hamache I. , Rafii Y. ,
  • 83', Glossoa N. 🟨,
  • 86', Bakayoko S. 🟨,
  • 90+4', Raveyre N. 🟨,
  • 90+5', 1 - 2, Kaiboue K. (Penalty Awarded),

Chances of winning


Pau
60.8%
Draw
21.9%
Amiens
17.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
61.9% 21.8% 16.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

48.3% 17% 20.9%

Pau - Amiens Odds

1 X 2 Marga
Avarage Now
(Initially)
1.53
(1.51)
4.29
(4.28)
5.4
(5.72)
7.2%
(7.1%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 3.00
What is the prediction for Pau - Amiens?
  • Users Predictions: 18 users predict this event. Pau will win (votes: 12 - 66.7%). Amiens will win (votes: 5 - 27.8%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 5.6%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for Pau: 44.9%88.5%.
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 1 high ROI users predict this event. Amiens (votes: 1 - 100%).
  • Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:
    • BTTS - yes (votes: 2 - 100%) .
    • O/U 3 - over (votes: 1 - 50%) .
    • O/U 1, 1st Half - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 2:1.
  • Preview Facts
    • One of the top teams will play against one of the outsiders (ranked 6 and 15).
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Pau won 2.
    • In recent matches, Pau has shown inconsistent form (last 5 games: 1 wins).
    • Amiens is currently in poor form (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).
    • In this match, Pau is the undisputed favorite.
    • There will not play in Pau: Briancon A. (Inactive) Gasnier K. (Inactive) Gaspar J. (Inactive) Salles E. (Inactive)
    • There will not play in Amiens: Appiah A. (Achilles Tendon Injury) Kandil N. (Knee Injury) Lobry V. (Knee Injury) Manitu M. (Inactive) Mlakar J. (Inactive) Monconduit T. (Inactive) Rafii Y. (Injury)
    • There are questionable in Pau: Versini G. (Injury)
    • In the last 10 head-to-head matches, Pau won 5 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 14:13. (average 1.4:1.3).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Pau won 4 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 7:4. (average 1.4:0.8).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Pau - Amiens were as follows:
    02.05.2025 Amiens - Pau 4:2
    25.10.2024 Pau - Amiens 0:2
    30.03.2024 Amiens - Pau 2:3
    30.09.2023 Pau - Amiens 1:0
    04.03.2023 Amiens - Pau 1:0
    Latest results of Pau
    06.12.2025 Montpellier - Pau 0:1
    29.11.2025 SA Mérignac - Pau 1:0
    21.11.2025 Pau - Le Mans 1:2
    08.11.2025 Guingamp - Pau 2:2
    03.11.2025 Pau - Troyes 1:1
    Latest results of Amiens
    05.12.2025 Le Mans - Amiens 1:0
    29.11.2025 Reims Sainte-Anne - Amiens 0:4
    22.11.2025 Amiens - Guingamp 1:2
    07.11.2025 Clermont - Amiens 2:1
    01.11.2025 Amiens - Grenoble 2:3
    French Ligue 2 Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Troyes22125534:221241
    2Reims22116537:231439
    3Le Mans22109327:19839
    4St Etienne22114737:271037
    5Red Star22107530:22837
    6Dunkerque2297635:231234
    7Pau FC2297633:33034
    8Guingamp2296733:33033
    9Annecy2295828:22632
    10Montpellier2294924:22231
    11Rodez2279628:30-230
    12Grenoble2268824:29-526
    13Nancy22741120:30-1025
    14Boulogne22651123:33-1023
    15Clermont22571024:30-622
    16Amiens22641227:35-822
    17Laval22381115:30-1517
    18Bastia22371211:27-1616

          Promotion ~ Ligue 1
          Promotion ~ Ligue 1 (Promotion ~ Play Offs: Final)
          Promotion ~ Ligue 1 (Promotion ~ Play Offs: Semi~finals)
          Ligue 2 (Relegation)
          Relegation ~ National