Result
4:2
02/05/2025 at 14:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Ligue 2 - Round 33
- Referee: Kubler G. (Fra)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
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France | beIN Connect, beIN Sports MAX 6, Free |
Match Stats
| |
---|
Expected Goals (xG) |
---|
1.79 | 1.44 |
Ball Possession |
---|
41% | 59% |
Total shots |
---|
8 | 19 |
Shots on target |
---|
7 | 8 |
Big Chances |
---|
5 | 2 |
Corner Kicks |
---|
4 | 5 |
Passes |
---|
86% (338/394) | 91% (506/556) |
Yellow Cards |
---|
1 | 1 |
Expected Goals (xG) |
---|
1.79 | 1.44 |
xG on target (xGOT) |
---|
2.93 | 2.70 |
Total shots |
---|
8 | 19 |
Shots on target |
---|
7 | 8 |
Shots off target |
---|
1 | 8 |
Blocked Shots |
---|
0 | 3 |
Shots inside the Box |
---|
7 | 16 |
Shots outside the Box |
---|
1 | 3 |
Hit the Woodwork |
---|
0 | 0 |
Big Chances |
---|
5 | 2 |
Corner Kicks |
---|
4 | 5 |
Touches in opposition box |
---|
16 | 33 |
Accurate through passes |
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1 | 0 |
Offsides |
---|
6 | 3 |
Free Kicks |
---|
13 | 8 |
Passes |
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86% (338/394) | 91% (506/556) |
Long passes |
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55% (24/44) | 63% (17/27) |
Passes in final third |
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64% (47/74) | 81% (127/156) |
Crosses |
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9% (1/11) | 24% (6/25) |
Expected assists (xA) |
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1.58 | 0.99 |
Throw-ins |
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11 | 22 |
Fouls |
---|
8 | 13 |
Tackles |
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84% (16/19) | 53% (8/15) |
Duels won |
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43 | 34 |
Clearances |
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15 | 12 |
Interceptions |
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9 | 7 |
Errors leading to shot |
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1 | 0 |
Errors leading to goal |
---|
0 | 1 |
Goalkeeper Saves |
---|
6 | 3 |
xGOT faced |
---|
2.70 | 2.93 |
Goals prevented |
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0.65 | -1.07 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (3 - 1)
- 7', 1 - 0, Mafouta L. ⚽, Leautey A. (A),
- 17', 2 - 0, Leautey A. ⚽, Mbaye M. (A),
- 24', 3 - 0, Mafouta L. ⚽, Mbaye M. (A),
- 33', 3 - 1, Koudou T. ⚽,
- 2nd Half (1 - 1)
- 46', Gomes T. ↓, Diawara K. ↑,
- 47', Kante 🟨,
- 60', Arconte T. ↓, Bangre M. ↑,
- 60', Kante ↓, Ruiz J. ↑,
- 60', Lopy J. ↓, Ngom O. ↑,
- 67', 3 - 2, Bangre M. ⚽,
- 68', Lutin R. ↓, Kouassi K. ↑,
- 70', Mafouta L. 🟨,
- 74', Mafouta L. ↓, Tincres J. ↑,
- 78', Kalulu J. ↓, Obiang J. ↑,
- 87', 4 - 2, Mbaye M. ⚽, Leautey A. (A),
- 90+1', Corchia S. ↓, Chibozo A. ↑,
- 90+1', Mbaye M. ↓, Carraro Injai P. ↑,
- 90+1', Leautey A. ↓, Tine M. ↑,
Chances of winning
Amiens 35.3% | Draw 26.2% | Pau 38.6% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Amiens has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7.1%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Amiens's performance.Pau has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.2%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Pau might be facing challenges that affect their performance.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Amiens than the current prediction. (-7.5%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Amiens that the model has picked up on.ML Model estimates a higher probability for Pau than the current prediction. (+5.9%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Pau could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
Amiens - Pau Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now (Initially) |
2.67 ↓ (3.33) |
3.62 ↑ (3.34) |
2.43 ↑ (2.14) |
6.2% (6.7%) | |
The most likely Over/Under: 2.75
What is the prediction for Amiens - Pau?
Users Predictions:
14 users predict this event. Amiens will win (votes: 11 - 78.6%). Pau will win (votes: 2 - 14.3%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 7.1%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Amiens: 57.1% – 100%.High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 1 high ROI users predict this event. Amiens (votes: 1 - 100%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
Preview Facts
- This time we’ll see a clash between two mid-table teams (ranked 12 and 10).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Amiens won 2.
- The recent form of both competitors has been shaky.
- Pau will hold a modest advantage in this match.
- There will not play in Amiens: Ait Boudlal A.
(Inactive)
Chibozo A.
(Inactive)
Kaiboue K.
(Inactive)
Kandil N.
(Injury)
Manitu M.
(Inactive)
- There will not play in Pau: Bobichon A.
(Ankle Injury)
Meddah D.
(Injury)
- There are questionable in Amiens: Ait Boudlal A.
(Injury)
- In the last 9 head-to-head matches, Amiens won 2 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 9:12. (average 1:1.3).
- Including home matches between the teams, Amiens won 1 match, drew 2 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 5:5. (average 1.3:1.3).
How many head-to-head matches has Amiens won against Pau?
Amiens has won 2 of their last 5 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Pau won against Amiens?
Pau has won 3 of their last 5 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Amiens - Pau were as follows:
25.10.2024
Pau
-
Amiens
0:2
30.03.2024
Amiens
-
Pau
2:3
30.09.2023
Pau
-
Amiens
1:0
04.03.2023
Amiens
-
Pau
1:0
05.11.2022
Pau
-
Amiens
2:1
French Ligue 2 Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
1 | Grenoble | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
2 | Le Mans | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
3 | Nancy | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
4 | St Etienne | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
5 | Amiens | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
6 | Bastia | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
7 | Clermont | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
8 | Guingamp | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
9 | Montpellier | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
10 | Reims | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
11 | Troyes | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
12 | Laval | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
13 | Pau FC | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
14 | Rodez | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
15 | Annecy | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
16 | Dunkerque | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
17 | Red Star | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
Promotion ~ Ligue 1
Promotion ~ Ligue 1 (Promotion ~ Play Offs: Final)
Promotion ~ Ligue 1 (Promotion ~ Play Offs: Semi~finals)
Ligue 2 (Relegation)
Relegation ~ National