Result
4:2
02/05/2025 at 14:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Ligue 2 - Round 33
- Referee: Kubler G. (Fra)
- Where to Watch on TV:
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 France | beIN Connect, beIN Sports MAX 6, Free |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.79 | 1.44 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 41% | 59% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 8 | 19 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 7 | 8 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 5 | 2 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 4 | 5 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 86% (338/394) | 91% (506/556) |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 1 | 1 |
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.79 | 1.44 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 2.93 | 2.70 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 8 | 19 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 7 | 8 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 1 | 8 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 0 | 3 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 7 | 16 |
| Shots outside the Box |
|---|
| 1 | 3 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 5 | 2 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 4 | 5 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 16 | 33 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 6 | 3 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 13 | 8 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 86% (338/394) | 91% (506/556) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 55% (24/44) | 63% (17/27) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 64% (47/74) | 81% (127/156) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 9% (1/11) | 24% (6/25) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 1.58 | 0.99 |
| Throw-ins |
|---|
| 11 | 22 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 8 | 13 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 84% (16/19) | 53% (8/15) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 43 | 34 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 15 | 12 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 9 | 7 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 6 | 3 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 2.70 | 2.93 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| 0.65 | -1.07 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (3 - 1)
- 7', 1 - 0, Mafouta L. ⚽, Leautey A. (A),
- 17', 2 - 0, Leautey A. ⚽, Mbaye M. (A),
- 24', 3 - 0, Mafouta L. ⚽, Mbaye M. (A),
- 33', 3 - 1, Koudou T. ⚽,
- 2nd Half (1 - 1)
- 46', Gomes T. ↓, Diawara K. ↑,
- 47', Kante 🟨,
- 60', Arconte T. ↓, Bangre M. ↑,
- 60', Kante ↓, Ruiz J. ↑,
- 60', Lopy J. ↓, Ngom O. ↑,
- 67', 3 - 2, Bangre M. ⚽,
- 68', Lutin R. ↓, Kouassi K. ↑,
- 70', Mafouta L. 🟨,
- 74', Mafouta L. ↓, Tincres J. ↑,
- 78', Kalulu J. ↓, Obiang J. ↑,
- 87', 4 - 2, Mbaye M. ⚽, Leautey A. (A),
- 90+1', Corchia S. ↓, Chibozo A. ↑,
- 90+1', Mbaye M. ↓, Carraro Injai P. ↑,
- 90+1', Leautey A. ↓, Tine M. ↑,
Chances of winning
Amiens
35.3% | Draw
26.2% | Pau
38.6% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Amiens has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7.1%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Amiens's performance.Pau has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.2%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Pau might be facing challenges that affect their performance.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Amiens than the current prediction. (-7.5%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Amiens that the model has picked up on.ML Model estimates a higher probability for Pau than the current prediction. (+5.9%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Pau could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
Amiens - Pau Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
2.67 ↓
(3.33) |
3.62 ↑
(3.34) |
2.43 ↑
(2.14) |
6.2%
(6.7%) | |
The most likely Over/Under: 2.75
What is the prediction for Amiens - Pau?
Users Predictions:
14 users predict this event. Amiens will win (votes: 11 - 78.6%). Pau will win (votes: 2 - 14.3%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 7.1%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Amiens: 57.1% – 100%.High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 1 high ROI users predict this event. Amiens (votes: 1 - 100%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
Preview Facts
- This time we’ll see a clash between two mid-table teams (ranked 12 and 10).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Amiens won 2.
- The recent form of both competitors has been shaky.
- Pau will hold a modest advantage in this match.
- There will not play in Amiens: Ait Boudlal A.
(Inactive)
Chibozo A.
(Inactive)
Kaiboue K.
(Inactive)
Kandil N.
(Injury)
Manitu M.
(Inactive)
- There will not play in Pau: Bobichon A.
(Ankle Injury)
Meddah D.
(Injury)
- There are questionable in Amiens: Ait Boudlal A.
(Injury)
- In the last 9 head-to-head matches, Amiens won 2 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 9:12. (average 1:1.3).
- Including home matches between the teams, Amiens won 1 match, drew 2 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 5:5. (average 1.3:1.3).
How many head-to-head matches has Amiens won against Pau?
Amiens has won 2 of their last 5 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Pau won against Amiens?
Pau has won 3 of their last 5 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Amiens - Pau were as follows:
25.10.2024
Pau
-
Amiens
0:2
30.03.2024
Amiens
-
Pau
2:3
30.09.2023
Pau
-
Amiens
1:0
04.03.2023
Amiens
-
Pau
1:0
05.11.2022
Pau
-
Amiens
2:1
French Ligue 2 Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | St Etienne | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 8:3 | 5 | 7 |
| 2 | Nancy | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 4:1 | 3 | 7 |
| 3 | Troyes | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 3:1 | 2 | 7 |
| 4 | Clermont | 3 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 4:3 | 1 | 5 |
| 5 | Red Star | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 6:4 | 2 | 4 |
| 6 | Montpellier | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 3:3 | 0 | 4 |
| 7 | Reims | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 3:2 | 1 | 4 |
| 8 | Pau FC | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 3:1 | 2 | 4 |
| 9 | Amiens | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 5:4 | 1 | 4 |
| 10 | Le Mans | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 5:5 | 0 | 4 |
| 11 | Annecy | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 3:4 | -1 | 4 |
| 12 | Laval | 3 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 5:5 | 0 | 3 |
| 13 | Dunkerque | 3 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 5:7 | -2 | 2 |
| 14 | Rodez | 3 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 1:5 | -4 | 2 |
| 15 | Bastia | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1:2 | -1 | 1 |
| 16 | Grenoble | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3:5 | -2 | 1 |
| 17 | Guingamp | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3:8 | -5 | 1 |
| 18 | Boulogne | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0:2 | -2 | 0 |
Promotion ~ Ligue 1
Promotion ~ Ligue 1 (Promotion ~ Play Offs: Final)
Promotion ~ Ligue 1 (Promotion ~ Play Offs: Semi~finals)
Ligue 2 (Relegation)
Relegation ~ National
