Result
0:0
20/03/2026 at 15:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Ligue 2 - Round 28
- Referee: Kubler G. (Fra)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
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 France | beIN Connect, beIN Sports MAX 8, Free |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.01 | 0.35 |
| Ball possession |
|---|
| 65% | 35% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 16 | 4 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 2 | 1 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 4 | 3 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 89% (465/524) | 75% (216/287) |
| Yellow cards |
|---|
| 2 | 1 |
| Red cards |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.01 | 0.35 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 0.37 | 0.05 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 16 | 4 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 2 | 1 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 9 | 2 |
| Blocked shots |
|---|
| 5 | 1 |
| Shots inside the box |
|---|
| 6 | 2 |
| Shots outside the box |
|---|
| 10 | 2 |
| Hit the woodwork |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 4 | 3 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 23 | 9 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Free kicks |
|---|
| 14 | 10 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 89% (465/524) | 75% (216/287) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 47% (20/43) | 21% (9/42) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 74% (94/127) | 43% (24/56) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 25% (6/24) | 31% (4/13) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 0.47 | 0.37 |
| Throw ins |
|---|
| 17 | 25 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 10 | 14 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 71% (10/14) | 70% (14/20) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 42 | 46 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 22 | 16 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 11 | 7 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper saves |
|---|
| 1 | 2 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 0.05 | 0.37 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| 0.05 | 0.37 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 0)
- 22', Sissoko O. ↓, Sadik O. ↑,
- 45+2', Jullien C. 🟥,
- 2nd Half (0 - 0)
- 46', Issoufou Y. ↓, Junior Pereira da Silva E. ↑,
- 66', Touzghar R. ↓, Anziani J. ↑,
- 66', Mbuku N. ↓, Mincarelli L. ↑,
- 69', Junior Pereira da Silva E. 🟨,
- 73', Meddah D. 🟨,
- 75', Mendy A. ↓, Molebe E. ↑,
- 80', Meddah D. ↓, Bobichon A. ↑,
- 90', Pays N. ↓, Gueguin A. ↑,
- 90+1', Beusnard S. 🟨,
Chances of winning
Pau
33.9% | Draw
27.8% | Montpellier
38.3% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Pau has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.2%)Montpellier has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.7%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Pau than the current prediction. (+3.2%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Montpellier than the current prediction. (-2.7%)
Pau - Montpellier Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
2.75 ↑
(2.52) |
3.35 ↓
(3.42) |
2.45 ↓
(2.62) |
7.1%
(7.1%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.75
What is the prediction for Pau - Montpellier?
Users Predictions:
14 users predict this event. Montpellier will win (votes: 9 - 64.3%). It will Tie (votes: 5 - 35.7%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Montpellier: 39.2% – 89.4%. The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
Preview Facts
- This time we’ll see a clash between two mid-table teams (ranked 11 and 7).
- Recent form of Pau has been disappointing (last 5 games: 1 wins).
- Montpellier is currently in excellent shape (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).
- The chances of victory for both teams are nearly identical in this match.
- There will not play in Pau: Gaspar J.
(Inactive)
Karamoko S.
(Inactive)
Raveyre N.
(Inactive)
- There will not play in Montpellier: Ngosso G.
(Knee Injury)
Savanier T.
(Inactive)
Sishuba A.
(Inactive)
- There are questionable in Montpellier: Issoufou Y.
(Injury)
- In the last 2 head-to-head matches, Pau won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 3:1. (average 1.5:0.5).
- Including home match between the teams, Pau won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 2:1.
How many head-to-head matches has Pau won against Montpellier?
Pau has won 2 of their last 2 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Montpellier won against Pau?
Montpellier has won 0 of their last 2 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Pau - Montpellier were as follows:
06.12.2025
Montpellier
-
Pau
0:1
06.01.2023
Pau
-
Montpellier
2:1
Latest results of Montpellier
French Ligue 2 Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Troyes | 29 | 17 | 7 | 5 | 51:30 | 21 | 58 |
| 2 | St Etienne | 30 | 17 | 6 | 7 | 53:31 | 22 | 57 |
| 3 | Le Mans | 30 | 14 | 12 | 4 | 45:29 | 16 | 54 |
| 4 | Red Star | 30 | 14 | 9 | 7 | 36:30 | 6 | 51 |
| 5 | Reims | 30 | 12 | 12 | 6 | 43:28 | 15 | 48 |
| 6 | Rodez | 29 | 11 | 12 | 6 | 36:34 | 2 | 45 |
| 7 | Montpellier | 30 | 12 | 8 | 10 | 35:27 | 8 | 44 |
| 8 | Annecy | 30 | 12 | 7 | 11 | 36:34 | 2 | 43 |
| 9 | Pau FC | 30 | 11 | 9 | 10 | 41:48 | -7 | 42 |
| 10 | Dunkerque | 30 | 10 | 10 | 10 | 45:37 | 8 | 40 |
| 11 | Guingamp | 30 | 10 | 10 | 10 | 39:42 | -3 | 40 |
| 12 | Boulogne | 30 | 9 | 9 | 12 | 30:38 | -8 | 36 |
| 13 | Grenoble | 30 | 6 | 14 | 10 | 29:36 | -7 | 32 |
| 14 | Clermont | 30 | 7 | 9 | 14 | 34:41 | -7 | 30 |
| 15 | Nancy | 30 | 7 | 9 | 14 | 27:43 | -16 | 30 |
| 16 | Laval | 30 | 4 | 13 | 13 | 26:43 | -17 | 25 |
| 17 | Amiens | 30 | 6 | 6 | 18 | 34:52 | -18 | 24 |
| 18 | Bastia | 30 | 3 | 12 | 15 | 19:36 | -17 | 21 |
Promotion ~ Ligue 1
Promotion ~ Ligue 1 (Promotion ~ Play Offs: Final)
Promotion ~ Ligue 1 (Promotion ~ Play Offs: Semi~finals)
Ligue 2 (Relegation)
Relegation ~ National
