Result
0:1
06/12/2025 at 08:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
- Ligue 2 - Round 16
- Referee: Landry R. (Fra)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Austria | DAZN |
 Bosnia-and-herzegovina | Arena Sport 5 |
 Canada | beIN Connect |
 Croatia | Arena Sport 6, MAXtv To Go |
 Cyprus | Cablenet Sports 2, Cablenet Sports 2 |
 Czech-republic | Nova Sport 1, Oneplay |
 Denmark | Viaplay |
 Finland | Viaplay |
 France | beIN Connect, beIN Sports 3, Free |
 Germany | DAZN Deutsch |
 Israel | 5 PLUS Israel |
 Japan | DAZN Japan |
 Netherlands | Viaplay |
 Norway | Viaplay |
 Serbia | Arena Sport 1x2 |
 Slovakia | Voyo |
 Sweden | Viaplay |
 Switzerland | DAZN Switzerland |
 Ukraine | MEGOGO Futbol 5, MEGOGO Ukraine |
 Usa | beIN Connect, Fanatiz |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.05 | 0.74 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 56% | 44% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 13 | 8 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 5 | 4 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 3 | 0 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 13 | 4 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 85% (325/382) | 79% (245/311) |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 2 | 5 |
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.05 | 0.74 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 1.12 | 0.80 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 13 | 8 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 5 | 4 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 5 | 3 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 3 | 1 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 8 | 5 |
| Shots outside the Box |
|---|
| 5 | 3 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 3 | 0 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 13 | 4 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 25 | 13 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 2 | 1 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 18 | 22 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 85% (325/382) | 79% (245/311) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 56% (20/36) | 48% (23/48) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 61% (58/95) | 68% (54/80) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 10% (3/29) | 27% (4/15) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 1.07 | 0.91 |
| Throw-ins |
|---|
| 19 | 20 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 22 | 18 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 80% (12/15) | 71% (12/17) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 46 | 72 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 17 | 35 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 10 | 4 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 3 | 5 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 0.80 | 1.12 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| -0.20 | 1.12 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 1)
- 17', 0 - 1, Touzghar R. ⚽, Versini G. (A),
- 23', Touzghar R. 🟨,
- 33', Fall C. 🟨,
- 39', Fayad K. 🟨,
- 41', Sadik O. 🟨,
- 2nd Half (0 - 0)
- 46', Kante ↓, Karamoko S. ↑,
- 54', Versini G. ↓, Zuliani E. ↑,
- 55', Sissoko O. ↓, Glossoa N. ↑,
- 74', Fayad K. ↓, Mouanga Y. ↑,
- 74', Mbuku N. ↓, Orakpo V. ↑,
- 79', Sainte-Luce T. ↓, Mincarelli L. ↑,
- 85', Karamoko S. 🟨,
- 87', Touzghar R. ↓, Messi R. ↑,
- 87', Pouilly T. ↓, Dong K. ↑,
- 90+1', Glossoa N. 🟨,
- 90+2', Chennahi T. 🟨,
Chances of winning
Montpellier
52.3% | Draw
24.7% | Pau
23% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Montpellier has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.8%)Pau has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.7%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Montpellier than the current prediction. (+2.5%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Pau than the current prediction. (-2.4%)
Montpellier - Pau Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.8 ↑
(1.71) |
3.79 ↑
(3.55) |
4.11 ↓
(4.28) |
6.4%
(10%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 3.00
What is the prediction for Montpellier - Pau?
Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:- O/U 1.5 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .
- O/U 2.5 - over (votes: 3 - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.
- BTTS - yes (votes: 3 - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.
Users Predictions:
Montpellier will win
(11 of 11 users predict this - 100%).
Confidence interval (95%): 100% – 100%.High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): Montpellier will win (3 of 3 users predict this - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip. The most likely score by Bookmakers is 2:1.
Preview Facts
- The two neighboring teams will play an exciting match (ranked 6 and 7)
- Montpellier is showing really good form (last 5 games: 4 wins).
- Pau has been struggling lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 0).
- Montpellier may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
- In this match, Montpellier is seen as the favorite.
- There will not play in Montpellier: Gueguin A.
(Inactive)
Jullien C.
(Knee Injury)
Mouanga Y.
(Leg Injury)
Ngosso G.
(Knee Injury)
- There will not play in Pau: Gasnier K.
(Inactive)
Gaspar J.
(Inactive)
Karamoko S.
(Inactive)
Raveyre N.
(Injury)
Zuliani E.
(Inactive)
- We predict that Montpellier will win today's game, with odds of 1.84.
- In the last 1 head-to-head match, Montpellier won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 1:2.
How many head-to-head matches has Montpellier won against Pau?
Montpellier has won 0 of their last 1 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Pau won against Montpellier?
Pau has won 1 of their last 1 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Montpellier - Pau were as follows:
06.01.2023
Pau
-
Montpellier
2:1
Latest results of Montpellier
French Ligue 2 Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Troyes | 25 | 14 | 6 | 5 | 40:25 | 15 | 48 |
| 2 | St Etienne | 25 | 14 | 4 | 7 | 44:29 | 15 | 46 |
| 3 | Reims | 25 | 11 | 9 | 5 | 37:23 | 14 | 42 |
| 4 | Le Mans | 25 | 10 | 11 | 4 | 30:24 | 6 | 41 |
| 5 | Red Star | 25 | 11 | 8 | 6 | 30:25 | 5 | 41 |
| 6 | Annecy | 25 | 11 | 6 | 8 | 34:25 | 9 | 39 |
| 7 | Dunkerque | 25 | 10 | 8 | 7 | 41:27 | 14 | 38 |
| 8 | Rodez | 25 | 9 | 10 | 6 | 31:31 | 0 | 37 |
| 9 | Montpellier | 25 | 10 | 5 | 10 | 28:25 | 3 | 35 |
| 10 | Guingamp | 25 | 9 | 8 | 8 | 35:36 | -1 | 35 |
| 11 | Pau FC | 25 | 9 | 7 | 9 | 37:42 | -5 | 34 |
| 12 | Grenoble | 25 | 6 | 11 | 8 | 24:29 | -5 | 29 |
| 13 | Clermont | 25 | 7 | 7 | 11 | 29:33 | -4 | 28 |
| 14 | Nancy | 25 | 7 | 6 | 12 | 22:33 | -11 | 27 |
| 15 | Boulogne | 25 | 7 | 6 | 12 | 25:36 | -11 | 27 |
| 16 | Amiens | 25 | 6 | 5 | 14 | 28:41 | -13 | 23 |
| 17 | Laval | 25 | 3 | 10 | 12 | 19:35 | -16 | 19 |
| 18 | Bastia | 25 | 3 | 9 | 13 | 12:27 | -15 | 18 |
Promotion ~ Ligue 1
Promotion ~ Ligue 1 (Promotion ~ Play Offs: Final)
Promotion ~ Ligue 1 (Promotion ~ Play Offs: Semi~finals)
Ligue 2 (Relegation)
Relegation ~ National
