Result
18/04/2026 at 09:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
Chances of winning
Leiria
51.9% | Draw
27.1% | Penafiel
21% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Leiria has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.2%)Penafiel has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.1%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Leiria than the current prediction. (+3.4%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Penafiel than the current prediction. (-0.6%)
Leiria - Penafiel Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.78 ↑
(1.72) |
3.42 ↓
(3.71) |
4.4 ↓
(4.46) |
8.2%
(7.4%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
Preview Facts
- This match features a clash between the league leader and a mid-table team (ranked 4 and 13).
- Both teams have been playing unpredictably.
- In this match, Leiria is the team to beat.
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Leiria won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 1:5. (average 0.2:1).
- Including home matches between the teams, Leiria won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 1:2. (average 0.5:1).
How many head-to-head matches has Leiria won against Penafiel?
Leiria has won 1 of their last 5 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Penafiel won against Leiria?
Penafiel has won 4 of their last 5 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Leiria - Penafiel were as follows:
05.12.2025
Penafiel
-
Leiria
1:0
02.03.2025
Leiria
-
Penafiel
1:0
06.10.2024
Penafiel
-
Leiria
1:0
25.04.2024
Leiria
-
Penafiel
0:2
16.12.2023
Penafiel
-
Leiria
1:0
Latest results of Penafiel
Portuguese Liga 2 Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Maritimo | 29 | 18 | 6 | 5 | 44:21 | 23 | 60 |
| 2 | Academico Viseu | 29 | 15 | 5 | 9 | 53:33 | 20 | 50 |
| 3 | Torreense | 29 | 14 | 4 | 11 | 36:30 | 6 | 46 |
| 4 | Leiria | 29 | 12 | 10 | 7 | 45:36 | 9 | 46 |
| 5 | Vizela | 29 | 12 | 8 | 9 | 37:34 | 3 | 44 |
| 6 | Benfica B | 29 | 10 | 11 | 8 | 41:35 | 6 | 41 |
| 7 | Sporting CP B | 29 | 13 | 2 | 14 | 41:30 | 11 | 41 |
| 8 | FC Porto B | 28 | 12 | 5 | 11 | 36:35 | 1 | 41 |
| 9 | Feirense | 29 | 11 | 8 | 10 | 32:32 | 0 | 41 |
| 10 | Chaves | 29 | 11 | 6 | 12 | 31:29 | 2 | 39 |
| 11 | Lusitania FC | 28 | 10 | 8 | 10 | 37:44 | -7 | 38 |
| 12 | Leixoes | 28 | 10 | 5 | 13 | 33:50 | -17 | 35 |
| 13 | Penafiel | 29 | 9 | 8 | 12 | 28:30 | -2 | 35 |
| 14 | Felgueiras | 29 | 8 | 10 | 11 | 25:34 | -9 | 34 |
| 15 | SC Farense | 29 | 8 | 8 | 13 | 25:35 | -10 | 32 |
| 16 | Pacos Ferreira | 29 | 7 | 11 | 11 | 26:39 | -13 | 32 |
| 17 | Portimonense | 29 | 8 | 6 | 15 | 31:42 | -11 | 30 |
| 18 | Oliveirense | 28 | 6 | 9 | 13 | 27:39 | -12 | 27 |
Promotion ~ Liga Portugal
Promotion ~ Liga Portugal (Promotion: )
Liga Portugal 2 (Relegation)
Relegation ~ Liga 3
