Result
1:0
05/12/2025 at 13:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
- Liga Portugal 2 - Round 13
- Referee: Lima R. (Por)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Portugal | Sport TV6 |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 47% | 53% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 9 | 13 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 5 | 6 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 6 | 7 |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 3 | 1 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 9 | 13 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 5 | 6 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 4 | 7 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 6 | 7 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 1 | 1 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 10 | 19 |
| Throw-ins |
|---|
| 20 | 21 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 18 | 8 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 0)
- 15', Daniel Borges 🟨,
- 2nd Half (1 - 0)
- 46', Lucho Vega ↓, Jair da Silva ↑,
- 46', Silva J. ↓, Baro M. ↑,
- 50', Reko 🟨,
- 65', Alcaina R. ↓, Sery J. ↑,
- 76', van der Gaag J. ↓, Michel D. ↑,
- 79', Alves R. ↓, Ze Leite ↑,
- 79', Davo ↓, Sanchez J. ↑,
- 80', Dani Molina 🟨,
- 88', Daniel Borges ↓, Pires M. ↑,
- 88', Maga ↓, Sylla H. ↑,
- 89', Santos A. ↓, Suker H. ↑,
- 90+3', 1 - 0, Sery J. ⚽,
- 90+5', Ze Leite 🟨,
Chances of winning
Penafiel
24.8% | Draw
27.5% | Leiria
47.7% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Penafiel has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.6%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Penafiel's form might have worsened.Leiria has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.4%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Leiria's recent form is better than expected.ML Model estimates a higher probability for Penafiel than the current prediction. (+5.2%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Penafiel, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Leiria than the current prediction. (-4.5%)
Penafiel - Leiria Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
3.75 ↑
(2.97) |
3.4 ↓
(3.42) |
1.95 ↓
(2.26) |
7.3%
(7.2%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
What is the prediction for Penafiel - Leiria?
Users Predictions:
6 users predict this event. Penafiel will win (votes: 1 - 16.7%). Leiria will win (votes: 3 - 50%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 33.3%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 0:1.
Preview Facts
- Enjoy a meeting between a mid-ranked team and one of the leaders (ranked 13 and 5).
- Penafiel has been quite unpredictable recently (last 5 games: 1 wins).
- Leiria is in great form at the moment (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).
- Recently, Penafiel has had a series of away games.
- Leiria could have a small edge in this match.
- In the last 4 head-to-head matches, Penafiel won 3 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 4:1. (average 1:0.3).
- Including home matches between the teams, Penafiel won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 2:0. (average 1:0).
How many head-to-head matches has Penafiel won against Leiria?
Penafiel has won 3 of their last 4 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Leiria won against Penafiel?
Leiria has won 1 of their last 4 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Penafiel - Leiria were as follows:
02.03.2025
Leiria
-
Penafiel
1:0
06.10.2024
Penafiel
-
Leiria
1:0
25.04.2024
Leiria
-
Penafiel
0:2
16.12.2023
Penafiel
-
Leiria
1:0
Latest results of Penafiel
Portuguese Liga 2 Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Maritimo | 27 | 17 | 5 | 5 | 43:21 | 22 | 56 |
| 2 | Academico Viseu | 27 | 15 | 5 | 7 | 50:28 | 22 | 50 |
| 3 | Torreense | 27 | 14 | 3 | 10 | 35:27 | 8 | 45 |
| 4 | Vizela | 27 | 12 | 8 | 7 | 36:31 | 5 | 44 |
| 5 | Leiria | 26 | 11 | 8 | 7 | 41:34 | 7 | 41 |
| 6 | Sporting CP B | 27 | 13 | 2 | 12 | 39:26 | 13 | 41 |
| 7 | FC Porto B | 27 | 11 | 5 | 11 | 33:35 | -2 | 38 |
| 8 | Lusitania FC | 27 | 10 | 7 | 10 | 37:44 | -7 | 37 |
| 9 | Benfica B | 27 | 9 | 10 | 8 | 37:32 | 5 | 37 |
| 10 | Chaves | 27 | 10 | 6 | 11 | 29:26 | 3 | 36 |
| 11 | Feirense | 27 | 9 | 8 | 10 | 30:32 | -2 | 35 |
| 12 | Leixoes | 27 | 10 | 4 | 13 | 32:49 | -17 | 34 |
| 13 | Felgueiras | 27 | 7 | 9 | 11 | 24:34 | -10 | 30 |
| 14 | Pacos Ferreira | 26 | 7 | 9 | 10 | 26:37 | -11 | 30 |
| 15 | Penafiel | 27 | 7 | 8 | 12 | 22:26 | -4 | 29 |
| 16 | SC Farense | 27 | 7 | 8 | 12 | 23:33 | -10 | 29 |
| 17 | Portimonense | 27 | 7 | 6 | 14 | 29:40 | -11 | 27 |
| 18 | Oliveirense | 27 | 6 | 9 | 12 | 26:37 | -11 | 27 |
Promotion ~ Liga Portugal
Promotion ~ Liga Portugal (Promotion: )
Liga Portugal 2 (Relegation)
Relegation ~ Liga 3
