Leiria vs Penafiel – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Football Portuguese Liga 2 Leiria - Penafiel
Result
1:0
02/03/2025 at 09:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
  • PORTUGAL: Liga Portugal 2 - Round 24
  • Referee: Vasilica I. (Por)

Match Stats

Ball Possession
57%43%
Goal Attempts
74
Shots on Goal
41
Shots off Goal
33
Corner Kicks
62
Goalkeeper Saves
13
Free Kicks
1023
Offsides
00
Fouls
249
Throw-ins
1924

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (1 - 0)
  • 22', Ferreira T. , Ze Vitor ,
  • 29', Rofino V. G. 🟨,
  • 39', 1 - 0, Munoz J. ,
  • 2nd Half (0 - 0)
  • 46', Negrao G. , Suker H. ,
  • 65', Mbina O. , dos Anjos D. ,
  • 69', Olamilekan Fatai S. 🟨,
  • 71', Olamilekan Fatai S. , Batista D. ,
  • 71', Pereira B. , Silva J. ,
  • 71', Ewerton , Reko ,
  • 75', Robinho 🟨,
  • 78', van der Gaag J. , Jair da Silva ,
  • 78', Resende J. , Singh S. ,
  • 79', Munoz J. , Kouassi E. ,
  • 82', Silva A. , Silva J. ,
  • 84', Silva J. 🟨,
  • 90+2', Ze Vitor 🟨,
  • 90+5', Kaka 🟨,

Highlights

Chances of winning


Leiria
54.8%
Draw
25.8%
Penafiel
19.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
48% 27.1% 24.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

49.4% 26.3% 24.2%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Leiria has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.8%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Leiria's performance.
  • Penafiel has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.5%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Penafiel might be facing challenges that affect their performance.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Leiria than the current prediction. (-5.4%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Leiria that the model has picked up on.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Penafiel than the current prediction. (+4.8%)
  • Leiria - Penafiel Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.68
    (1.92)
    3.57
    (3.41)
    4.74
    (3.71)
    8.6%
    (8.3%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
  • What is the prediction for Leiria - Penafiel?
  • Users Predictions: 7 users predict this event. Leiria will win (votes: 5 - 71.4%). Penafiel will win (votes: 1 - 14.3%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 14.3%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.
  • Preview Facts
    • Watch a game between a team from the middle of a tournament table and a team which is a leader now (ranked 9 and 3 in the zone Promotion ~ Liga Portugal (Promotion: )).
    • Recent matches Leiria is playing mutable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).
    • Penafiel is in a poor shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).
    • In this match Leiria is a favorite.
    • Last 3 head-to-head matches Leiria won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 0:4 (average 0:1.3).
    • Including matches at home between the teams Leiria won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 0:2
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Leiria - Penafiel were as follows:
    06.10.2024 Penafiel - Leiria 1:0
    25.04.2024 Leiria - Penafiel 0:2
    16.12.2023 Penafiel - Leiria 1:0
    Latest results of Leiria
    22.02.2025 Marítimo - Leiria 1:2
    09.02.2025 Leiria - Porto B 0:0
    02.02.2025 Alverca - Leiria 2:1
    26.01.2025 Leiria - Portimonense 1:0
    Latest results of Penafiel
    21.02.2025 Penafiel - Portimonense 3:0
    16.02.2025 Porto B - Penafiel 3:2
    01.02.2025 Tondela - Penafiel 2:0
    26.01.2025 Penafiel - Vizela 1:1
    Portuguese Liga 2 Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Leixoes00000:000
    2Feirense00000:000
    3Penafiel00000:000
    4Portimonense00000:000
    5Vizela00000:000
    6Chaves00000:000
    7Oliveirense00000:000
    8Torreense00000:000
    9Maritimo00000:000
    10Pacos Ferreira00000:000
    11Leiria00000:000
    12Academico Viseu00000:000
    13Lusitania FC00000:000
    14SC Farense00000:000
    15Felgueiras00000:000
    16FC Porto B00000:000
    17Sporting CP B00000:000
    18Benfica B00000:000

          Promotion ~ Liga Portugal
          Promotion ~ Liga Portugal (Promotion: )
          Liga Portugal 2 (Relegation)
          Relegation ~ Liga 3