Millonarios vs Peñarol de Montevideo – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Football Copa Sudamericana Millonarios - Peñarol de Montevideo
23/05/2023 at 22:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • SOUTH AMERICA: COPA SUDAMERICANA - GROUP STAGE - ROUND 4
  • Referee: Herrera A. (Ven)
  • Where to Watch on TV:
australiaAustraliabeIN Sports
brazilBrazilESPN 2

Highlights

Chances of winning


Millonarios
54.5%
Draw
27.4%
Peñarol de Montevideo
18.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
60.6% 23.7% 15.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

60.7% 23.7% 15.7%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Millonarios has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.1%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Millonarios's form might have worsened.
  • Peñarol de Montevideo has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.4%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Millonarios than the current prediction. (+6.2%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Millonarios, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Peñarol de Montevideo than the current prediction. (-2.4%)
  • Millonarios - Peñarol de Montevideo Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.72
    (1.53)
    3.44
    (3.9)
    5.08
    (5.9)
    7%
    (8.1%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
  • What is the prediction for Millonarios - Peñarol de Montevideo?
  • Users Predictions: Peñarol de Montevideo will win (40 of 48 users predict this - 83.33%).
    Confidence interval (95%): 72.79%93.87%.
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.
  • Preview Facts
    • At the moment teams are feeling good and ready to play.
    • Millonarios could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.
    • In this match Millonarios is a favorite.
    • Last 2 head-to-head matches Millonarios won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 3-3.
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Millonarios - Peñarol de Montevideo were as follows:
    20.04.2023 Peñarol de Montevideo - Millonarios 0:2
    Latest results of Millonarios
    Draw
    Play Offs

    1/16-finals
    1Alianza LimaGremio1 : 1, 2 : 0
    2ByeU. Catolica
    3U. De ChileGuarani1 : 2, 5 : 0
    4ByeIndependiente
    5Central CordobaCerro Largo3 : 0, 0 : 0
    6ByeLanus
    7BahiaAmerica De Cali0 : 2, 0 : 0
    8ByeFluminense
    9BolivarPalestino3 : 0, 3 : 0
    10ByeCienciano
    11BucaramangaAtletico-MG1 : 1, 0 : 1
    12ByeGodoy Cruz
    13Ind. del ValleVasco1 : 1, 4 : 0
    14ByeMushuc Runa
    15SA Bulo BuloOnce Caldas0 : 4, 0 : 3
    16ByeHuracan

    1/8-finals
    1Alianza LimaU. Catolica
    2U. De ChileIndependiente
    3Central CordobaLanus
    4America De CaliFluminense
    5BolivarCienciano
    6Atletico-MGGodoy Cruz
    7Ind. del ValleMushuc Runa
    8Once CaldasHuracan

    Quarter-finals
    1TBD #1TBD #2
    2TBD #3TBD #4
    3TBD #5TBD #6
    4TBD #7TBD #8

    Semi-finals
    1TBD #1TBD #2
    2TBD #3TBD #4

    Final
    1TBD #1TBD #2