Result
23/05/2023 at 22:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- SOUTH AMERICA: COPA SUDAMERICANA - GROUP STAGE - ROUND 4
- Referee: Herrera A. (Ven)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Australia | beIN Sports |
 Brazil | ESPN 2 |
Chances of winning
Millonarios
54.5% | Draw
27.4% | Peñarol de Montevideo
18.1% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Millonarios has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.1%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Millonarios's form might have worsened.Peñarol de Montevideo has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.4%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Millonarios than the current prediction. (+6.2%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Millonarios, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Peñarol de Montevideo than the current prediction. (-2.4%)
Millonarios - Peñarol de Montevideo Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.72 ↑
(1.53) |
3.44 ↓
(3.9) |
5.08 ↓
(5.9) |
7%
(8.1%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
What is the prediction for Millonarios - Peñarol de Montevideo?
Users Predictions:
Peñarol de Montevideo will win
(40 of 48 users predict this - 83.33%).
Confidence interval (95%): 72.79% – 93.87%. The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.
Preview Facts
- At the moment teams are feeling good and ready to play.
- Millonarios could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.
- In this match Millonarios is a favorite.
- Last 2 head-to-head matches Millonarios won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 3-3.
How many head-to-head matches has Millonarios won against Peñarol de Montevideo?
Millonarios has won 1 of their last 1 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Peñarol de Montevideo won against Millonarios?
Peñarol de Montevideo has won 0 of their last 1 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Millonarios - Peñarol de Montevideo were as follows:
20.04.2023
Peñarol de Montevideo
-
Millonarios
0:2
Latest results of Millonarios
Latest results of Peñarol de Montevideo
Copa Sudamericana Table
Group StageGroup A | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Macara | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 4:1 | 3 | 7 |
| 2 | Tigre | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 3:2 | 1 | 4 |
| 3 | America De Cali | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 3:4 | -1 | 4 |
| 4 | Alianza Atl | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 2:5 | -3 | 1 |
Group B | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Cienciano | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 4:1 | 3 | 7 |
| 2 | Juventud | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 6:3 | 3 | 4 |
| 3 | Puerto Cabello | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 2:7 | -5 | 3 |
| 4 | Atletico-MG | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 3:4 | -1 | 3 |
Group C | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Sao Paulo | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 3:0 | 3 | 7 |
| 2 | O'Higgins | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 4:2 | 2 | 6 |
| 3 | Millonarios | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1:2 | -1 | 4 |
| 4 | Boston River | 3 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 0:4 | -4 | 0 |
Group D | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | San Lorenzo | 3 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 4:2 | 2 | 5 |
| 2 | Dep. Cuenca | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1:2 | -1 | 4 |
| 3 | Recoleta | 3 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 2:2 | 0 | 3 |
| 4 | Santos | 3 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 2:3 | -1 | 2 |
Group E | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Botafogo RJ | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 7:3 | 4 | 7 |
| 2 | Caracas | 3 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 3:2 | 1 | 5 |
| 3 | Racing Club | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 6:5 | 1 | 4 |
| 4 | Independiente | 3 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 1:7 | -6 | 0 |
Group F | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Montevideo City | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 4:2 | 2 | 6 |
| 2 | Gremio | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1:1 | 0 | 4 |
| 3 | Dep. Riestra | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 2:2 | 0 | 4 |
| 4 | Palestino | 3 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 0:2 | -2 | 2 |
Group G | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Vasco | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 4:2 | 2 | 4 |
| 2 | A. Italiano | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 3:4 | -1 | 4 |
| 3 | Olimpia Asuncion | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 2:3 | -1 | 4 |
| 4 | Barracas Central | 3 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 1:1 | 0 | 3 |
Group H | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | River Plate | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 3:1 | 2 | 7 |
| 2 | Carabobo | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 3:1 | 2 | 6 |
| 3 | Bragantino | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 3:4 | -1 | 3 |
| 4 | Blooming | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3:6 | -3 | 1 |
Promotion ~ Copa Sudamericana (Play Offs: 1/8~finals)
Promotion ~ Copa Sudamericana (Play Offs: 1/16~finals)
