Result
5:2
29/03/2026 at 10:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Campeonato de Portugal - Group C - Round 17
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Ball possession |
|---|
| 55% | 45% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 14 | 10 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 8 | 4 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 5 | 10 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 14 | 10 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 8 | 4 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 6 | 6 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 5 | 10 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (3 - 1)
- 30', 1 - 0, ⚽,
- 34', 1 - 1, ⚽,
- 40', 2 - 1, ⚽,
- 44', 3 - 1, ⚽,
- 2nd Half (2 - 1)
- 58', 4 - 1, ⚽,
- 65', 5 - 1, ⚽,
- 90+4', 5 - 2, ⚽,
Chances of winning
Samora Correia
27.8% | Draw
29.4% | Peniche
42.9% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Samora Correia has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.5%)Peniche has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.7%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Samora Correia than the current prediction. (+5.5%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Samora Correia, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Peniche than the current prediction. (-4.9%)
Samora Correia - Peniche Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
3.26 ↑
(2.82) |
3.08 ↓
(3.2) |
2.11 ↓
(2.32) |
10.4%
(9.9%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
Preview Facts
- The game between a mid-table team and the outsider (ranked 13 in the zone Relegation and 8).
- Samora Correia has been struggling lately (last 5 games: 1 wins).
- Peniche has been playing with ups and downs recently (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).
- Samora Correia may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
- In this match, both teams are almost equally likely to win.
- In the last 1 head-to-head match, Samora Correia won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 0:1.
How many head-to-head matches has Samora Correia won against Peniche?
Samora Correia has won 0 of their last 1 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Peniche won against Samora Correia?
Peniche has won 1 of their last 1 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Samora Correia - Peniche were as follows:
14.09.2025
Peniche
-
Samora Correia
1:0
Latest results of Samora Correia
Latest results of Peniche
Campeonato de Portugal - Group C Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Vitoria Sernache ✔ | 24 | 15 | 7 | 2 | 32:10 | 22 | 52 |
| 2 | SB Castelo Branco | 24 | 14 | 4 | 6 | 41:20 | 21 | 46 |
| 3 | Naval 1893 | 24 | 13 | 5 | 6 | 34:23 | 11 | 44 |
| 4 | Oliveira Hospital | 24 | 12 | 8 | 4 | 34:12 | 22 | 44 |
| 5 | Uniao Da Serra | 24 | 11 | 8 | 5 | 33:22 | 11 | 41 |
| 6 | Mortagua | 24 | 10 | 6 | 8 | 21:24 | -3 | 36 |
| 7 | Os Marialvas | 24 | 10 | 5 | 9 | 33:27 | 6 | 35 |
| 8 | Peniche | 24 | 7 | 6 | 11 | 28:39 | -11 | 27 |
| 9 | Fatima | 24 | 6 | 8 | 10 | 20:28 | -8 | 26 |
| 10 | Lajense | 24 | 6 | 8 | 10 | 31:33 | -2 | 26 |
| 11 | Marinhense | 24 | 5 | 9 | 10 | 16:30 | -14 | 24 |
| 12 | Samora Correia | 24 | 6 | 5 | 13 | 21:32 | -11 | 23 |
| 13 | Electrico ✔ | 24 | 5 | 4 | 15 | 32:57 | -25 | 19 |
| 14 | SC Lusitania ✔ | 24 | 4 | 5 | 15 | 22:41 | -19 | 17 |
Promotion ~ Campeonato de Portugal ~ Promotion Group
Relegation
Clinched Spots for Teams
Vitoria Sernache is Qualified for Campeonato de Portugal ~ Promotion Group
Electrico is Relegated to
SC Lusitania is Relegated to
