Houston Dynamo vs Philadelphia Union – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Football MLS Houston Dynamo - Philadelphia Union
Result
1:1
19/07/2025 at 20:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • MLS
  • Where to Watch on TV:
usaUsaMLS Season Pass
worldWorldEA Sports FC

Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
1.701.55
Ball Possession
61%39%
Total shots
1112
Shots on target
32
Big Chances
43
Corner Kicks
24
Passes
85% (410/484)70% (214/304)
Yellow Cards
34
Red Cards
01
Expected Goals (xG)
1.701.55
xG on target (xGOT)
0.840.85
Total shots
1112
Shots on target
32
Shots off target
76
Blocked Shots
14
Shots inside the Box
59
Shots outside the Box
63
Hit the Woodwork
20
Big Chances
43
Corner Kicks
24
Touches in opposition box
1418
Accurate through passes
10
Offsides
10
Free Kicks
2519
Passes
85% (410/484)70% (214/304)
Long passes
51% (35/69)44% (16/36)
Passes in final third
73% (70/96)63% (52/83)
Crosses
20% (3/15)38% (8/21)
Expected assists (xA)
0.840.84
Throw-ins
1815
Fouls
1925
Tackles
57% (8/14)47% (7/15)
Duels won
5157
Clearances
2924
Interceptions
610
Errors leading to shot
00
Errors leading to goal
10
Goalkeeper Saves
12
xGOT faced
0.850.84
Goals prevented
-0.15-0.16

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (1 - 1)
  • 15', 0 - 1, Bedoya A. ,
  • 17', Mbaizo O. 🟨,
  • 26', Harriel N. 🟨,
  • 34', Uhre M. 🟨,
  • 37', Ponce E. , Holmes D. ,
  • 38', Escobar F. 🟨,
  • 45+10', 1 - 1, McGlynn J. (Pen),
  • 2nd Half (0 - 0)
  • 46', Uhre M. , Baribo T. ,
  • 46', Glesnes J. , Makhanya O. ,
  • 46', Lukic J. , Jean Jacques D. ,
  • 46', Dorsey G. 🟨,
  • 49', Lingr O. 🟨,
  • 58', Mbaizo O. , Wagner K. ,
  • 69', Escobar F. , Felipe Andrade ,
  • 69', Kowalczyk S. , Ennali L. ,
  • 73', Bedoya A. , Vassilev I. ,
  • 74', Westfield F. 🟨,
  • 90+1', Lingr O. , Segal G. ,
  • 90+1', Rafanello J. , Sullivan Q. ,
  • 90+9', Westfield F. 🟥,
  • 90+10', Dorsey G. , Duenas E. ,

Highlights

Chances of winning


Houston Dynamo
38%
Draw
28%
Philadelphia Union
33.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
38.4% 28.9% 32.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

40.1% 30.2% 31.3%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Houston Dynamo has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.4%)
  • Philadelphia Union has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.2%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Houston Dynamo than the current prediction. (+2.1%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Philadelphia Union than the current prediction. (-2.6%)
  • Houston Dynamo - Philadelphia Union Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    2.48
    (2.48)
    3.42
    (3.29)
    2.81
    (2.91)
    5.1%
    (5.2%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
  • What is the prediction for Houston Dynamo - Philadelphia Union?
  • Users Predictions: 10 users predict this event. Houston will win (votes: 2 - 20%). Philadelphia will win (votes: 6 - 60%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 20%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for Philadelphia: 29.6%90.4%.
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 2 high ROI users predict this event. Philadelphia (votes: 2 - 100%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
  • Preview Facts
    • A mid-table team takes on a leader in this match (ranked 11 and 1 in the zone Promotion ~ MLS (Play Offs: 1/8~finals)).
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Houston won 1.
    • Both teams have been playing unpredictably.
    • The chances of victory for both teams are nearly identical in this match.
    • There will not play in Houston: Quinones N. (Knee Injury) Tarbell A. (Knee Injury)
    • There will not play in Philadelphia: Glavinovich I. (Knee Injury)
    • There are questionable in Houston: Sviatchenko E. (Lower-Body Injury)
    • There are questionable in Philadelphia: Bueno J. (Hamstring Injury)
    • In the last 15 head-to-head matches, Houston won 7 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 6 matches, and goals 14:19. (average 0.9:1.3).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Houston won 6 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 11:4. (average 1.6:0.6).
    Latest results of Houston Dynamo
    Latest results of Philadelphia Union
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    Eastern Conference
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Philadelphia Union29176649:262357
    2FC Cincinnati29164942:36652
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    4Nashville SC29155949:331650
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    15DC United29591526:54-2824

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