Pogoń Szczecin vs Zagłębie Lubin – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Football Polish Ekstraklasa
Result
5:1
24/11/2025 at 13:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
  • Ekstraklasa - Round 16
  • Referee: Kuzma L. (Pol)
  • Where to Watch on TV:
canadaCanadabeIN Connect
finlandFinlandVeikkaus TV
polandPolandCANAL+ Sport 3, CANAL+ Sport 5, Ekstraklasa TV
usaUsabeIN Connect, Fanatiz

Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
2.331.07
Ball Possession
51%49%
Total shots
1316
Shots on target
65
Big Chances
44
Corner Kicks
42
Passes
75% (270/360)70% (231/332)
Yellow Cards
21
Expected Goals (xG)
2.331.07
xG on target (xGOT)
2.211.85
Total shots
1316
Shots on target
65
Shots off target
27
Blocked Shots
54
Shots inside the Box
97
Shots outside the Box
49
Hit the Woodwork
11
Headed Goals
01
Big Chances
44
Corner Kicks
42
Touches in opposition box
2021
Accurate through passes
00
Offsides
02
Free Kicks
913
Passes
75% (270/360)70% (231/332)
Long passes
40% (21/53)39% (22/56)
Passes in final third
62% (58/93)51% (50/98)
Crosses
30% (3/10)15% (3/20)
Expected assists (xA)
0.731.09
Throw-ins
2923
Fouls
139
Tackles
63% (5/8)40% (4/10)
Duels won
4747
Clearances
4315
Interceptions
48
Errors leading to shot
10
Errors leading to goal
01
Goalkeeper Saves
40
xGOT faced
1.852.21
Goals prevented
0.85-2.79

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (3 - 0)
  • 3', 1 - 0, Keramitsis D. ⚽,
  • 23', Loncar D. 🟨,
  • 25', Ulvestad F. 🟨,
  • 38', 2 - 0, Molnar R. ⚽, Wahlqvist L. (A),
  • 40', 3 - 0, Przyborek A. ⚽,
  • 2nd Half (2 - 1)
  • 46', Lucic L. ↓, Corluka J. ↑,
  • 46', Kocaba F. ↓, Dziewiatowski M. ↑,
  • 46', Sypek J. ↓, Diaz J. ↑,
  • 49', 3 - 1, Dziewiatowski M. ⚽, Szmyt K. (A),
  • 54', Diaz J. ↓, Wdowiak M. ↑,
  • 72', Buric J. 🟨,
  • 75', Greenwood S. (Pen),
  • 75', 4 - 1, Molnar R. ⚽,
  • 76', Przyborek A. ↓, Juwara M. ↑,
  • 77', Orlikowski I. ↓, Kosidis M. ↑,
  • 84', Wahlqvist L. ↓, Ali H. ↑,
  • 84', Grosicki K. ↓, Mukairu P. ↑,
  • 85', 5 - 1, Greenwood S. ⚽, Loncar D. (A),
  • 89', Loncar D. ↓, Huja M. ↑,
  • 89', Ulvestad F. ↓, Wojciechowski M. ↑,

Highlights

Chances of winning


Pogoń Szczecin
54.3%		Draw
24%		Zagłębie Lubin
21.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
51% 25.4% 23.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

52.8% 26.3% 22.8%

Pogoń Szczecin - Zagłębie Lubin Odds

1 X 2 Marga
Avarage Now
(Initially)		 1.75 ↓
(1.85)		 3.94 ↑
(3.71)		 4.36 ↑
(4)		 5.5%
(6%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 3.00
What is the prediction for Pogoń Szczecin - Zagłębie Lubin?
  • Users Predictions: 22 users predict this event. Pogoń Szczecin will win (votes: 15 - 68.2%). Zagłębie Lubin will win (votes: 4 - 18.2%). It will Tie (votes: 3 - 13.6%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for Pogoń Szczecin: 48.7% – 87.7%.
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 1 high ROI users predict this event. Zagłębie Lubin (votes: 1 - 100%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 2:1.
    •
    Preview Facts
    • The game between a mid-table team and the outsider (ranked 15 and 9).
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Pogoń Szczecin won 2.
    • Both teams have been playing unpredictably.
    • In this match, Pogoń Szczecin is the team to beat.
    • There will not play in Pogoń Szczecin: Leo Borges (Foot Injury)
    • There will not play in Zagłębie Lubin: Hladun D. (Shoulder Injury) Regula M. (Yellow Cards)
    • There are questionable in Pogoń Szczecin: Greenwood S. (Inactive)
    • There are questionable in Zagłębie Lubin: Corluka J. (Injury)
    • In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Pogoń Szczecin won 11 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 6 matches, and goals 29:27. (average 1.5:1.4).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Pogoń Szczecin won 6 matches, drew 1 match, lost 3 matches, and goals 16:16. (average 1.6:1.6).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Pogoń Szczecin - Zagłębie Lubin were as follows:
    01.02.2025 Pogoń Szczecin - Zagłębie Lubin 1:0
    04.12.2024 Pogoń Szczecin - Zagłębie Lubin 4:3
    28.07.2024 Zagłębie Lubin - Pogoń Szczecin 2:2
    10.03.2024 Pogoń Szczecin - Zagłębie Lubin 0:2
    03.09.2023 Zagłębie Lubin - Pogoń Szczecin 1:0
    Latest results of Pogoń Szczecin
    09.11.2025 Pogoń Szczecin - Jagiellonia Białystok 1:2 ✺
    03.11.2025 Wisła Płock - Pogoń Szczecin 2:0 ✺
    30.10.2025 Legia Warsaw - Pogoń Szczecin 1:2 ✺
    25.10.2025 Pogoń Szczecin - Cracovia 2:1 ✺
    19.10.2025 Lech Poznań - Pogoń Szczecin 2:2 ✺
    Latest results of Zagłębie Lubin
    07.11.2025 Zagłębie Lubin - Górnik Zabrze 2:0 ✺
    03.11.2025 Cracovia - Zagłębie Lubin 0:0 ✺
    29.10.2025 Widzew Łódź - Zagłębie Lubin 1:0 ✺
    24.10.2025 Termalica Nieciecza - Zagłębie Lubin 1:1 ✺
    19.10.2025 Zagłębie Lubin - Legia Warsaw 3:1 ✺
    Polish Ekstraklasa Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Gornik Zabrze1793527:19830
    2Jagiellonia1483327:18927
    3Wisla Plock1576220:11927
    4Radomiak Radom1774633:28525
    5Cracovia1674523:19425
    6Lech Poznan1566327:24324
    7Korona Kielce1765620:18223
    8Rakow1572621:21023
    9Zaglebie1556428:23521
    10Widzew Lodz1762925:26-120
    11Pogon Szczecin1762926:30-420
    12GKS Katowice1662823:27-420
    13Motor Lublin1547421:25-419
    14Legia1546518:17118
    15Arka Gdynia1653813:28-1518
    16Lechia Gdansk1764732:35-317
    17Termalica B-B1744922:34-1216
    18Piast Gliwice1535716:19-314

          Promotion ~ Champions League (Qualification: )
          Promotion ~ Conference League (Qualification: )
          Relegation ~ Division 1

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