Result
5:1
24/11/2025 at 13:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
- Ekstraklasa - Round 16
- Referee: Kuzma L. (Pol)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Canada | beIN Connect |
 Finland | Veikkaus TV |
 Poland | CANAL+ Sport 3, CANAL+ Sport 5, Ekstraklasa TV |
 Usa | beIN Connect, Fanatiz |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 2.33 | 1.07 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 51% | 49% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 13 | 16 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 6 | 5 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 4 | 4 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 4 | 2 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 75% (270/360) | 70% (231/332) |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 2 | 1 |
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 2.33 | 1.07 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 2.21 | 1.85 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 13 | 16 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 6 | 5 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 2 | 7 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 5 | 4 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 9 | 7 |
| Shots outside the Box |
|---|
| 4 | 9 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
|---|
| 1 | 1 |
| Headed Goals |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 4 | 4 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 4 | 2 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 20 | 21 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 0 | 2 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 9 | 13 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 75% (270/360) | 70% (231/332) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 40% (21/53) | 39% (22/56) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 62% (58/93) | 51% (50/98) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 30% (3/10) | 15% (3/20) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 0.73 | 1.09 |
| Throw-ins |
|---|
| 29 | 23 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 13 | 9 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 63% (5/8) | 40% (4/10) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 47 | 47 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 43 | 15 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 4 | 8 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 4 | 0 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 1.85 | 2.21 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| 0.85 | -2.79 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (3 - 0)
- 3', 1 - 0, Keramitsis D. ⚽,
- 23', Loncar D. 🟨,
- 25', Ulvestad F. 🟨,
- 38', 2 - 0, Molnar R. ⚽, Wahlqvist L. (A),
- 40', 3 - 0, Przyborek A. ⚽,
- 2nd Half (2 - 1)
- 46', Lucic L. ↓, Corluka J. ↑,
- 46', Kocaba F. ↓, Dziewiatowski M. ↑,
- 46', Sypek J. ↓, Diaz J. ↑,
- 49', 3 - 1, Dziewiatowski M. ⚽, Szmyt K. (A),
- 54', Diaz J. ↓, Wdowiak M. ↑,
- 72', Buric J. 🟨,
- 75', Greenwood S. (Pen),
- 75', 4 - 1, Molnar R. ⚽,
- 76', Przyborek A. ↓, Juwara M. ↑,
- 77', Orlikowski I. ↓, Kosidis M. ↑,
- 84', Wahlqvist L. ↓, Ali H. ↑,
- 84', Grosicki K. ↓, Mukairu P. ↑,
- 85', 5 - 1, Greenwood S. ⚽, Loncar D. (A),
- 89', Loncar D. ↓, Huja M. ↑,
- 89', Ulvestad F. ↓, Wojciechowski M. ↑,
Chances of winning
Pogoń Szczecin
54.3% | Draw
24% | Zagłębie Lubin
21.7% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Pogoń Szczecin has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.3%)Zagłębie Lubin has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.9%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Pogoń Szczecin than the current prediction. (-1.5%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Zagłębie Lubin than the current prediction. (+1.1%)
Pogoń Szczecin - Zagłębie Lubin Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.75 ↓
(1.85) |
3.94 ↑
(3.71) |
4.36 ↑
(4) |
5.5%
(6%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 3.00
What is the prediction for Pogoń Szczecin - Zagłębie Lubin?
Users Predictions:
22 users predict this event. Pogoń Szczecin will win (votes: 15 - 68.2%). Zagłębie Lubin will win (votes: 4 - 18.2%). It will Tie (votes: 3 - 13.6%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Pogoń Szczecin: 48.7% – 87.7%.High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 5 high ROI users predict this event. Pogoń Szczecin (votes: 2 - 40%). Zagłębie Lubin (votes: 2 - 40%). Tie (votes: 1 - 20%).Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:- EH -1 - Zagłębie Lubin (1.88) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
- DC - Zagłębie Lubin (2.00) (votes: 2 - 100%) .
- O/U 3 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .
Overall votes from High ROI Users Predictions (including all markets): 8 high ROI users predict this event. Pogoń Szczecin (votes: 2 - 25%). Zagłębie Lubin (votes: 5 - 62.5%). Tie (votes: 1 - 12.5%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 2:1.
Preview Facts
- The game between a mid-table team and the outsider (ranked 15 and 9).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Pogoń Szczecin won 2.
- Both teams have been playing unpredictably.
- In this match, Pogoń Szczecin is the team to beat.
- There will not play in Pogoń Szczecin: Leo Borges
(Foot Injury)
- There will not play in Zagłębie Lubin: Hladun D.
(Shoulder Injury)
Regula M.
(Yellow Cards)
- There are questionable in Pogoń Szczecin: Greenwood S.
(Inactive)
- There are questionable in Zagłębie Lubin: Corluka J.
(Injury)
- In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Pogoń Szczecin won 11 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 6 matches, and goals 29:27. (average 1.5:1.4).
- Including home matches between the teams, Pogoń Szczecin won 6 matches, drew 1 match, lost 3 matches, and goals 16:16. (average 1.6:1.6).
How many head-to-head matches has Pogoń Szczecin won against Zagłębie Lubin?
Pogoń Szczecin has won 4 of their last 7 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Zagłębie Lubin won against Pogoń Szczecin?
Zagłębie Lubin has won 2 of their last 7 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Pogoń Szczecin - Zagłębie Lubin were as follows:
01.02.2025
Pogoń Szczecin
-
Zagłębie Lubin
1:0
04.12.2024
Pogoń Szczecin
-
Zagłębie Lubin
4:3
28.07.2024
Zagłębie Lubin
-
Pogoń Szczecin
2:2
10.03.2024
Pogoń Szczecin
-
Zagłębie Lubin
0:2
03.09.2023
Zagłębie Lubin
-
Pogoń Szczecin
1:0
Latest results of Pogoń Szczecin
Latest results of Zagłębie Lubin
Polish Ekstraklasa Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Jagiellonia | 21 | 10 | 7 | 4 | 37:24 | 13 | 37 |
| 2 | Zaglebie | 22 | 9 | 8 | 5 | 35:27 | 8 | 35 |
| 3 | Lech Poznan | 22 | 9 | 8 | 5 | 36:31 | 5 | 35 |
| 4 | Gornik Zabrze | 22 | 10 | 4 | 8 | 32:28 | 4 | 34 |
| 5 | Rakow | 22 | 10 | 4 | 8 | 28:25 | 3 | 34 |
| 6 | Wisla Plock | 22 | 8 | 9 | 5 | 24:18 | 6 | 33 |
| 7 | Cracovia | 22 | 8 | 9 | 5 | 27:22 | 5 | 33 |
| 8 | Korona Kielce | 22 | 8 | 6 | 8 | 27:24 | 3 | 30 |
| 9 | Radomiak Radom | 21 | 7 | 7 | 7 | 36:33 | 3 | 28 |
| 10 | Pogon Szczecin | 22 | 8 | 4 | 10 | 32:35 | -3 | 28 |
| 11 | Lechia Gdansk | 22 | 9 | 5 | 8 | 44:43 | 1 | 27 |
| 12 | GKS Katowice | 21 | 8 | 3 | 10 | 28:31 | -3 | 27 |
| 13 | Motor Lublin | 22 | 6 | 9 | 7 | 30:37 | -7 | 27 |
| 14 | Piast Gliwice | 22 | 7 | 5 | 10 | 23:26 | -3 | 26 |
| 15 | Arka Gdynia | 21 | 7 | 4 | 10 | 19:36 | -17 | 25 |
| 16 | Legia | 22 | 5 | 9 | 8 | 25:27 | -2 | 24 |
| 17 | Widzew Lodz | 22 | 7 | 3 | 12 | 29:32 | -3 | 24 |
| 18 | Termalica B-B | 22 | 5 | 6 | 11 | 26:39 | -13 | 21 |
Promotion ~ Champions League (Qualification: )
Promotion ~ Conference League (Qualification: )
Relegation ~ Division 1
