Pogoń Szczecin vs Zagłębie Lubin – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Football Polish Ekstraklasa
Result
5:1
24/11/2025 at 13:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
  • Ekstraklasa - Round 16
  • Referee: Kuzma L. (Pol)
  • Where to Watch on TV:
canadaCanadabeIN Connect
finlandFinlandVeikkaus TV
polandPolandCANAL+ Sport 3, CANAL+ Sport 5, Ekstraklasa TV
usaUsabeIN Connect, Fanatiz

Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
2.331.07
Ball Possession
51%49%
Total shots
1316
Shots on target
65
Big Chances
44
Corner Kicks
42
Passes
75% (270/360)70% (231/332)
Yellow Cards
21
Expected Goals (xG)
2.331.07
xG on target (xGOT)
2.211.85
Total shots
1316
Shots on target
65
Shots off target
27
Blocked Shots
54
Shots inside the Box
97
Shots outside the Box
49
Hit the Woodwork
11
Headed Goals
01
Big Chances
44
Corner Kicks
42
Touches in opposition box
2021
Accurate through passes
00
Offsides
02
Free Kicks
913
Passes
75% (270/360)70% (231/332)
Long passes
40% (21/53)39% (22/56)
Passes in final third
62% (58/93)51% (50/98)
Crosses
30% (3/10)15% (3/20)
Expected assists (xA)
0.731.09
Throw-ins
2923
Fouls
139
Tackles
63% (5/8)40% (4/10)
Duels won
4747
Clearances
4315
Interceptions
48
Errors leading to shot
10
Errors leading to goal
01
Goalkeeper Saves
40
xGOT faced
1.852.21
Goals prevented
0.85-2.79

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (3 - 0)
  • 3', 1 - 0, Keramitsis D. ⚽,
  • 23', Loncar D. 🟨,
  • 25', Ulvestad F. 🟨,
  • 38', 2 - 0, Molnar R. ⚽, Wahlqvist L. (A),
  • 40', 3 - 0, Przyborek A. ⚽,
  • 2nd Half (2 - 1)
  • 46', Lucic L. ↓, Corluka J. ↑,
  • 46', Kocaba F. ↓, Dziewiatowski M. ↑,
  • 46', Sypek J. ↓, Diaz J. ↑,
  • 49', 3 - 1, Dziewiatowski M. ⚽, Szmyt K. (A),
  • 54', Diaz J. ↓, Wdowiak M. ↑,
  • 72', Buric J. 🟨,
  • 75', Greenwood S. (Pen),
  • 75', 4 - 1, Molnar R. ⚽,
  • 76', Przyborek A. ↓, Juwara M. ↑,
  • 77', Orlikowski I. ↓, Kosidis M. ↑,
  • 84', Wahlqvist L. ↓, Ali H. ↑,
  • 84', Grosicki K. ↓, Mukairu P. ↑,
  • 85', 5 - 1, Greenwood S. ⚽, Loncar D. (A),
  • 89', Loncar D. ↓, Huja M. ↑,
  • 89', Ulvestad F. ↓, Wojciechowski M. ↑,

Highlights

Chances of winning


Pogoń Szczecin
54.3%		Draw
24%		Zagłębie Lubin
21.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
51% 25.4% 23.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

52.8% 26.3% 22.8%

Pogoń Szczecin - Zagłębie Lubin Odds

1 X 2 Marga
Avarage Now
(Initially)		 1.75 ↓
(1.85)		 3.94 ↑
(3.71)		 4.36 ↑
(4)		 5.5%
(6%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 3.00
What is the prediction for Pogoń Szczecin - Zagłębie Lubin?
  • Users Predictions: 22 users predict this event. Pogoń Szczecin will win (votes: 15 - 68.2%). Zagłębie Lubin will win (votes: 4 - 18.2%). It will Tie (votes: 3 - 13.6%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for Pogoń Szczecin: 48.7% – 87.7%.
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 5 high ROI users predict this event. Pogoń Szczecin (votes: 2 - 40%). Zagłębie Lubin (votes: 2 - 40%). Tie (votes: 1 - 20%).
  • Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:
    • EH -1 - Zagłębie Lubin (1.88) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • DC - Zagłębie Lubin (2.00) (votes: 2 - 100%) .
    • O/U 3 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .
  • Overall votes from High ROI Users Predictions (including all markets): 8 high ROI users predict this event. Pogoń Szczecin (votes: 2 - 25%). Zagłębie Lubin (votes: 5 - 62.5%). Tie (votes: 1 - 12.5%).
    •
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 2:1.
    •
    Preview Facts
    • The game between a mid-table team and the outsider (ranked 15 and 9).
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Pogoń Szczecin won 2.
    • Both teams have been playing unpredictably.
    • In this match, Pogoń Szczecin is the team to beat.
    • There will not play in Pogoń Szczecin: Leo Borges (Foot Injury)
    • There will not play in Zagłębie Lubin: Hladun D. (Shoulder Injury) Regula M. (Yellow Cards)
    • There are questionable in Pogoń Szczecin: Greenwood S. (Inactive)
    • There are questionable in Zagłębie Lubin: Corluka J. (Injury)
    • In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Pogoń Szczecin won 11 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 6 matches, and goals 29:27. (average 1.5:1.4).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Pogoń Szczecin won 6 matches, drew 1 match, lost 3 matches, and goals 16:16. (average 1.6:1.6).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Pogoń Szczecin - Zagłębie Lubin were as follows:
    01.02.2025 Pogoń Szczecin - Zagłębie Lubin 1:0
    04.12.2024 Pogoń Szczecin - Zagłębie Lubin 4:3
    28.07.2024 Zagłębie Lubin - Pogoń Szczecin 2:2
    10.03.2024 Pogoń Szczecin - Zagłębie Lubin 0:2
    03.09.2023 Zagłębie Lubin - Pogoń Szczecin 1:0
    Latest results of Pogoń Szczecin
    09.11.2025 Pogoń Szczecin - Jagiellonia Białystok 1:2 ✺
    03.11.2025 Wisła Płock - Pogoń Szczecin 2:0 ✺
    30.10.2025 Legia Warsaw - Pogoń Szczecin 1:2 ✺
    25.10.2025 Pogoń Szczecin - Cracovia 2:1 ✺
    19.10.2025 Lech Poznań - Pogoń Szczecin 2:2 ✺
    Latest results of Zagłębie Lubin
    07.11.2025 Zagłębie Lubin - Górnik Zabrze 2:0 ✺
    03.11.2025 Cracovia - Zagłębie Lubin 0:0 ✺
    29.10.2025 Widzew Łódź - Zagłębie Lubin 1:0 ✺
    24.10.2025 Termalica Nieciecza - Zagłębie Lubin 1:1 ✺
    19.10.2025 Zagłębie Lubin - Legia Warsaw 3:1 ✺
    Polish Ekstraklasa Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Wisla Plock1989223:131033
    2Gornik Zabrze19103631:25633
    3Jagiellonia1895432:221032
    4Cracovia1986526:21530
    5Rakow1992827:25229
    6Zaglebie1977531:26528
    7Korona Kielce1976623:20327
    8Radomiak Radom1875635:30526
    9Lech Poznan1968530:30026
    10Motor Lublin1959525:29-424
    11Lechia Gdansk1984740:38223
    12Piast Gliwice1965821:21023
    13GKS Katowice1872925:28-323
    14Pogon Szczecin19631029:34-521
    15Arka Gdynia1863915:32-1721
    16Widzew Lodz19621127:31-420
    17Legia1947820:23-319
    18Termalica B-B19541024:36-1219

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          Relegation ~ Division 1

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