Pogoń Szczecin vs Zagłębie Lubin – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
5:1
24/11/2025 at 13:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
  • Ekstraklasa - Round 16
  • Referee: Kuzma L. (Pol)
  • Where to Watch on TV:
canadaCanadabeIN Connect
finlandFinlandVeikkaus TV
polandPolandCANAL+ Sport 3, CANAL+ Sport 5, Ekstraklasa TV
usaUsabeIN Connect, Fanatiz

Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
2.331.07
Ball Possession
51%49%
Total shots
1316
Shots on target
65
Big Chances
44
Corner Kicks
42
Passes
75% (270/360)70% (231/332)
Yellow Cards
21
Expected Goals (xG)
2.331.07
xG on target (xGOT)
2.211.85
Total shots
1316
Shots on target
65
Shots off target
27
Blocked Shots
54
Shots inside the Box
97
Shots outside the Box
49
Hit the Woodwork
11
Headed Goals
01
Big Chances
44
Corner Kicks
42
Touches in opposition box
2021
Accurate through passes
00
Offsides
02
Free Kicks
913
Passes
75% (270/360)70% (231/332)
Long passes
40% (21/53)39% (22/56)
Passes in final third
62% (58/93)51% (50/98)
Crosses
30% (3/10)15% (3/20)
Expected assists (xA)
0.731.09
Throw-ins
2923
Fouls
139
Tackles
63% (5/8)40% (4/10)
Duels won
4747
Clearances
4315
Interceptions
48
Errors leading to shot
10
Errors leading to goal
01
Goalkeeper Saves
40
xGOT faced
1.852.21
Goals prevented
0.85-2.79

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (3 - 0)
  • 3', 1 - 0, Keramitsis D. ,
  • 23', Loncar D. 🟨,
  • 25', Ulvestad F. 🟨,
  • 38', 2 - 0, Molnar R. , Wahlqvist L. (A),
  • 40', 3 - 0, Przyborek A. ,
  • 2nd Half (2 - 1)
  • 46', Lucic L. , Corluka J. ,
  • 46', Kocaba F. , Dziewiatowski M. ,
  • 46', Sypek J. , Diaz J. ,
  • 49', 3 - 1, Dziewiatowski M. , Szmyt K. (A),
  • 54', Diaz J. , Wdowiak M. ,
  • 72', Buric J. 🟨,
  • 75', Greenwood S. (Pen),
  • 75', 4 - 1, Molnar R. ,
  • 76', Przyborek A. , Juwara M. ,
  • 77', Orlikowski I. , Kosidis M. ,
  • 84', Wahlqvist L. , Ali H. ,
  • 84', Grosicki K. , Mukairu P. ,
  • 85', 5 - 1, Greenwood S. , Loncar D. (A),
  • 89', Loncar D. , Huja M. ,
  • 89', Ulvestad F. , Wojciechowski M. ,

Highlights

Chances of winning


Pogoń Szczecin
54.3%
Draw
24%
Zagłębie Lubin
21.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
51% 25.4% 23.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

52.8% 26.3% 22.8%

Pogoń Szczecin - Zagłębie Lubin Odds

1 X 2 Marga
Avarage Now
(Initially)
1.75
(1.85)
3.94
(3.71)
4.36
(4)
5.5%
(6%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 3.00
What is the prediction for Pogoń Szczecin - Zagłębie Lubin?
  • Users Predictions: 22 users predict this event. Pogoń Szczecin will win (votes: 15 - 68.2%). Zagłębie Lubin will win (votes: 4 - 18.2%). It will Tie (votes: 3 - 13.6%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for Pogoń Szczecin: 48.7%87.7%.
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 1 high ROI users predict this event. Zagłębie Lubin (votes: 1 - 100%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 2:1.
  • Preview Facts
    • The game between a mid-table team and the outsider (ranked 15 and 9).
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Pogoń Szczecin won 2.
    • Both teams have been playing unpredictably.
    • In this match, Pogoń Szczecin is the team to beat.
    • There will not play in Pogoń Szczecin: Leo Borges (Foot Injury)
    • There will not play in Zagłębie Lubin: Hladun D. (Shoulder Injury) Regula M. (Yellow Cards)
    • There are questionable in Pogoń Szczecin: Greenwood S. (Inactive)
    • There are questionable in Zagłębie Lubin: Corluka J. (Injury)
    • In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Pogoń Szczecin won 11 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 6 matches, and goals 29:27. (average 1.5:1.4).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Pogoń Szczecin won 6 matches, drew 1 match, lost 3 matches, and goals 16:16. (average 1.6:1.6).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Pogoń Szczecin - Zagłębie Lubin were as follows:
    01.02.2025 Pogoń Szczecin - Zagłębie Lubin 1:0
    04.12.2024 Pogoń Szczecin - Zagłębie Lubin 4:3
    28.07.2024 Zagłębie Lubin - Pogoń Szczecin 2:2
    10.03.2024 Pogoń Szczecin - Zagłębie Lubin 0:2
    03.09.2023 Zagłębie Lubin - Pogoń Szczecin 1:0
    Latest results of Pogoń Szczecin
    Latest results of Zagłębie Lubin
    Polish Ekstraklasa Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Wisla Plock1879221:12930
    2Gornik Zabrze1893629:24530
    3Jagiellonia1785429:21829
    4Rakow1892726:23329
    5Zaglebie1877431:24728
    6Cracovia1876525:21427
    7Radomiak Radom1875635:30526
    8Lech Poznan1768329:26326
    9Korona Kielce1866621:19224
    10Pogon Szczecin1863928:32-421
    11Motor Lublin1849523:28-521
    12Arka Gdynia1863915:32-1721
    13Lechia Gdansk1874737:37020
    14Piast Gliwice1755719:19020
    15Widzew Lodz18621026:28-220
    16GKS Katowice1762923:28-520
    17Legia1847719:21-219
    18Termalica B-B1854924:35-1119

          Promotion ~ Champions League (Qualification: )
          Promotion ~ Conference League (Qualification: )
          Relegation ~ Division 1