Ponferradina vs Leonesa – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Football Spanish Primera RFEF Group 1 Ponferradina - Leonesa
Result
2:1
17/05/2025 at 13:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • Primera RFEF - Group 1 - Round 37
  • Where to Watch on TV:
spainSpainFEF TV

Match Stats

Ball Possession
61%39%
Total shots
1610
Shots on target
87
Corner Kicks
152
Yellow Cards
32
Total shots
1610
Shots on target
87
Shots off target
83
Corner Kicks
152
Goalkeeper Saves
66

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 1)
  • 3', 0 - 1, Chacon L. ,
  • 34', Doue M. 🟨,
  • 2nd Half (2 - 0)
  • 46', Bicho , Ruiz A. ,
  • 58', Lozano M. 🟨,
  • 59', Samanes S. , Artola J. ,
  • 59', Calderon C. , Pibe ,
  • 61', Lozano M. , Esquerdo V. ,
  • 64', Ortega G. , Garcia V. ,
  • 73', 🟨,
  • 76', Sibille K. , Lancho J. ,
  • 76', Ramon A. , Lopez A. ,
  • 76', Doue M. , Ferrer P. ,
  • 82', 1 - 1, Bustos A. ,
  • 86', Justo M. , Rodri Suarez ,
  • 88', Valle B. 🟨,
  • 90+5', 2 - 1, Esquerdo V. ,
  • 90+8', 🟨,

Highlights

Chances of winning


Ponferradina
40.5%
Draw
29.8%
Leonesa
29.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
43.6% 28.8% 27.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

44.4% 28.3% 27.1%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Ponferradina has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.1%)
  • Leonesa has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.1%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Ponferradina than the current prediction. (+3.9%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Leonesa than the current prediction. (-2.6%)
  • Ponferradina - Leonesa Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    2.29
    (2.1)
    3.07
    (3.19)
    3.15
    (3.32)
    8.1%
    (9%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
    Preview Facts
    • One of the most interesting matches of the day, featuring two top-table teams (ranked 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Primera RFEF ~ Promotion Play Offs and 1 in the zone Promotion ~ LaLiga2).
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Ponferradina won 0.
    • Each of the teams is struggling with stability in their game.
    • Ponferradina is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.
    • In the last 8 head-to-head matches, Ponferradina won 1 match, drew 4 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 4:8. (average 0.5:1).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Ponferradina won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 2 matches, and goals 3:5. (average 0.8:1.3).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Ponferradina - Leonesa were as follows:
    27.10.2024 Leonesa - Ponferradina 2:0
    18.02.2024 Leonesa - Ponferradina 0:0
    29.10.2023 Ponferradina - Leonesa 1:2
    Latest results of Ponferradina
    Latest results of Leonesa
    10.05.2025 Leonesa - Barakaldo 2:1
    03.05.2025 Ourense CF - Leonesa 1:0
    12.04.2025 Tarazona - Leonesa 1:0
    Spanish Primera RFEF Group 1 Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Tenerife861116:41219
    2Racing Club Ferrol852112:7517
    3Celta Vigo B842210:6414
    4Real Aviles842215:14114
    5Guadalajara833210:8212
    6Real Madrid B840410:10012
    7Barakaldo82519:8111
    8Lugo83236:5111
    9Pontevedra83238:9-111
    10Ponferradina831410:9110
    11Cacereno82429:9010
    12Osasuna B82426:7-110
    13CF Talavera82338:9-19
    14Zamora82338:9-19
    15Arenteiro82337:8-19
    16Unionistas83058:10-29
    17Ath Bilbao B82337:9-29
    18Merida AD830510:15-59
    19Arenas Getxo82248:14-68
    20Ourense CF80445:12-74

          Promotion ~ LaLiga2
          Promotion ~ Primera RFEF ~ Group 1
          Relegation