Ponferradina vs Leonesa – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
2:1
17/05/2025 at 13:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • Primera RFEF - Group 1 - Round 37
  • Where to Watch on TV:
spainSpainFEF TV

Match Stats

Ball Possession
61%39%
Total shots
1610
Shots on target
87
Corner Kicks
152
Yellow Cards
32
Total shots
1610
Shots on target
87
Shots off target
83
Corner Kicks
152
Goalkeeper Saves
66

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 1)
  • 3', 0 - 1, Chacon L. ,
  • 34', Doue M. 🟨,
  • 2nd Half (2 - 0)
  • 46', Bicho , Ruiz A. ,
  • 58', Lozano M. 🟨,
  • 59', Samanes S. , Artola J. ,
  • 59', Calderon C. , Pibe ,
  • 61', Lozano M. , Esquerdo V. ,
  • 64', Ortega G. , Garcia V. ,
  • 73', 🟨,
  • 76', Sibille K. , Lancho J. ,
  • 76', Ramon A. , Lopez A. ,
  • 76', Doue M. , Ferrer P. ,
  • 82', 1 - 1, Bustos A. ,
  • 86', Justo M. , Rodri Suarez ,
  • 88', Valle B. 🟨,
  • 90+5', 2 - 1, Esquerdo V. ,
  • 90+8', 🟨,

Highlights

Chances of winning


Ponferradina
40.5%
Draw
29.8%
Leonesa
29.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
43.6% 28.8% 27.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

44.4% 28.3% 27.1%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Ponferradina has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.1%)
  • Leonesa has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.1%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Ponferradina than the current prediction. (+3.9%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Leonesa than the current prediction. (-2.6%)
  • Ponferradina - Leonesa Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    2.29
    (2.1)
    3.07
    (3.19)
    3.15
    (3.32)
    8.1%
    (9%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
    What is the prediction for Ponferradina - Leonesa?
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 1 high ROI users predict this event. Tie (votes: 1 - 100%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
  • Preview Facts
    • One of the most interesting matches of the day, featuring two top-table teams (ranked 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Primera RFEF ~ Promotion Play Offs and 1 in the zone Promotion ~ LaLiga2).
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Ponferradina won 0.
    • Each of the teams is struggling with stability in their game.
    • Ponferradina is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.
    • In the last 8 head-to-head matches, Ponferradina won 1 match, drew 4 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 4:8. (average 0.5:1).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Ponferradina won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 2 matches, and goals 3:5. (average 0.8:1.3).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Ponferradina - Leonesa were as follows:
    27.10.2024 Leonesa - Ponferradina 2:0
    18.02.2024 Leonesa - Ponferradina 0:0
    29.10.2023 Ponferradina - Leonesa 1:2
    Latest results of Ponferradina
    Latest results of Leonesa
    10.05.2025 Leonesa - Barakaldo 2:1
    03.05.2025 Ourense CF - Leonesa 1:0
    12.04.2025 Tarazona - Leonesa 1:0
    Spanish Primera RFEF Group 1 Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Tenerife26184447:153258
    2Celta Vigo B26147542:311149
    3Pontevedra261011532:201241
    4Lugo261010626:22440
    5Ponferradina26116928:22639
    6AD Merida26116936:34239
    7Ath Bilbao B26116928:29-139
    8Real Madrid B261151032:34-238
    9Barakaldo26910734:29537
    10Unionistas26107937:33437
    11Racing Club Ferrol261141130:31-137
    12Zamora2699833:31236
    13Arenas Getxo261031330:37-733
    14Real Aviles26951239:45-632
    15Ourense CF26871130:31-131
    16CF Talavera26841428:37-928
    17Cacereno266101025:34-928
    18Guadalajara26671323:40-1725
    19Arenteiro26661423:33-1024
    20Osasuna B26491317:32-1521

          Promotion ~ LaLiga2
          Promotion ~ Primera RFEF ~ Group 1
          Relegation