Ponferradina vs Leonesa – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Football Spanish Primera RFEF Group 1 Ponferradina - Leonesa
Result
2:1
17/05/2025 at 13:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • Primera RFEF - Group 1 - Round 37
  • Where to Watch on TV:
spainSpainFEF TV

Match Stats

Ball Possession
61%39%
Total shots
1610
Shots on target
87
Corner Kicks
152
Yellow Cards
32
Total shots
1610
Shots on target
87
Shots off target
83
Corner Kicks
152
Goalkeeper Saves
66

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 1)
  • 3', 0 - 1, Chacon L. ,
  • 34', Doue M. 🟨,
  • 2nd Half (2 - 0)
  • 46', Bicho , Ruiz A. ,
  • 58', Lozano M. 🟨,
  • 59', Samanes S. , Artola J. ,
  • 59', Calderon C. , Pibe ,
  • 61', Lozano M. , Esquerdo V. ,
  • 64', Ortega G. , Garcia V. ,
  • 73', 🟨,
  • 76', Sibille K. , Lancho J. ,
  • 76', Ramon A. , Lopez A. ,
  • 76', Doue M. , Ferrer P. ,
  • 82', 1 - 1, Bustos A. ,
  • 86', Justo M. , Rodri Suarez ,
  • 88', Valle B. 🟨,
  • 90+5', 2 - 1, Esquerdo V. ,
  • 90+8', 🟨,

Highlights

Chances of winning


Ponferradina
40.5%
Draw
29.8%
Leonesa
29.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
43.6% 28.8% 27.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

44.4% 28.3% 27.1%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Ponferradina has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.1%)
  • Leonesa has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.1%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Ponferradina than the current prediction. (+3.9%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Leonesa than the current prediction. (-2.6%)
  • Ponferradina - Leonesa Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    2.29
    (2.1)
    3.07
    (3.19)
    3.15
    (3.32)
    8.1%
    (9%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
  • Preview Facts
    • One of the most interesting matches of the day, featuring two top-table teams (ranked 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Primera RFEF ~ Promotion Play Offs and 1 in the zone Promotion ~ LaLiga2).
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Ponferradina won 0.
    • Each of the teams is struggling with stability in their game.
    • Ponferradina is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.
    • In the last 8 head-to-head matches, Ponferradina won 1 match, drew 4 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 4:8. (average 0.5:1).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Ponferradina won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 2 matches, and goals 3:5. (average 0.8:1.3).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Ponferradina - Leonesa were as follows:
    27.10.2024 Leonesa - Ponferradina 2:0
    18.02.2024 Leonesa - Ponferradina 0:0
    29.10.2023 Ponferradina - Leonesa 1:2
    Latest results of Ponferradina
    Latest results of Leonesa
    10.05.2025 Leonesa - Barakaldo 2:1
    03.05.2025 Ourense CF - Leonesa 1:0
    12.04.2025 Tarazona - Leonesa 1:0
    Draw
    Promotion - Play Offs

    Semi-finals
    1AntequeraPonferradina1 : 2, 1 : 0
    2AndorraUD Ibiza1 : 0, 2 : 0
    3GimnasticMurcia1 : 0, 1 : 1
    4Merida ADReal Sociedad B1 : 0, 0 : 1

    Final
    1PonferradinaAndorra0 : 1, 1 : 1
    2GimnasticReal Sociedad B2 : 1, 1 : 3